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Santa Anita for Saturday 8 June 2109

Quite a few prices in our selections this afternoon. Sure hope a few of them come through.

Best of luck as always!

 

Belmont Stakes  race 11    below average clarity

6  Spinoff   both lifetime route races run on fast surfaces are decent winning by 11 lengths in an alw race at Tampa and then should have won a G2 at FG if not for a bad trip.......pedigree to get the 12F is decent.........and I think he will sit either 2nd or 3rd early behind the 1 horse in a race that should favor those that do........and last but not least Pletcher knows how to win the Belmont

10  Tacitus   would have been top selection if this colt hadn't drawn such a tough post but the rider can do no wrong of late and he knows this colt well having been aboard for all of his races........wouldn't be surprised if Jose Ortiz used him hard early as to not get caught too wide and at the same time sit close to the front........we shall see

9  War of Will  owns tactical speed so it likely will be pedal to the metal from the opening bell to get on over as soon as he can.......like our top selection he might sit 2nd or 3rd behind a suspect leader.......do note that our top pick beat him handily in the aforementioned G2 at FG and he also had a dream trip on a strong rail bias at Pimlico to win ....still if he holds form he will have to be reckoned with

7  Sir Wiston   significant awakening in his latest in his 1st ever on the Belmont main track......lookout if he builds on the effort and gets a little more heat up front than anticipated

3  Master Fencer   game finish in the Derby and his pedigree screams "the longer the better"

 

Santa Anita  race 1   average clarity

3  Super Patriot   ignore figs earned in his last two races as the pace up front was so slow it made for invalid (not useful) final time figs.......improved work tab in preparation for today's race.........believe Van Dyke will try to sit as close to our 2nd choice (who looks loose) as he can

1  Candy Swirls   need to lead type is highly likely to get what she needs here........she usually needs a very slow pace to stick around and she seemingly has a decent shot to get just that in this race totally lacking speed

7  Tammy Windows   usually very competitive but not in her latest........but......Sadler wisely gives her plenty of time off to recover and her a.m. hints that she has

4  Fool's Paradise

 

race 2    below average clarity

3  Jack's Diva   on the right end of the learning curve and his last move forward is somewhat hidden by racing wide on a decent rail day......red hot rider/trainer combo in Velez and Sadler.......well placed to win

1  Miss That Kat  after two straight crushing wins at LA to start his career and broke slightly tardy and then ran 4 wide in a nw 5F turf race at SA.......he lost about 5L to trip and was beaten by 5 1/4.......faces softer today and gets back to dirt......seems dangerous especially if he breaks well which he has failed to do in all three lifetime races

2  I Belong to Becky  drop after the claim for this now Glatt three-year old doesn't bother me whatsoever as good as the purse is for a 20K claimer.........and with the claim we get a jock upgrade especially so when Arroyo rides in a sprint

 

race 3    average clarity

1  Oh Man   trainer Steven Miyadi is at his often at his very best 2nd out after a claim and he seems to have a good spot for his new shooter here........looks loose on the lead and with a rider who is dynamite when competing in dirt routes

2  Dukes Up   trainer Glatt is heating things up of late and he sends out this six-year-old that owns three consecutive adjusted for trip Santucci figs that are 2 lengths better than par all of which were at SA and at today's one mile dirt distance.........and.......unless you are a touring golf pro two lengths better than par is a very good thing

3  Very Very Stella   moved forward in his last and the effort is disguised by a slightly tardy beginning and a three wide trip in only a 5 horse field........drops a couple of levels......fits fine in this spot if he produces the same effort as his last with a decent trip

 

race 4    average clarity

4  Unusually Handsome  moved forward in his 2nd lifetime start and the strength on the effort is disguised by a tough trip.......and the works since are improved hinting he is moving forward once again today........mom has tossed 5 turf winners two of which were Stakes winners.........trainer is quietly having a nice 2019 and might add to his win total here

2  Jamming Eddie   didn't seem deserving of his support at the windows but it turns out he was.......like last time he should be able to get a nice up close ground saving trip

5  No Parking Here   brutal trip in latest might have been the catalyst for trainer Miyadi putting the blinkers on this three-year old to help him focus.......and if the equipment change works he seemingly will have as a good a shot as anyone in this soft looking field

3  Desmond Doss

 

race 5    average clarity

2  Convince  just claimed by Belvoir who seems to be exiting a prolonged slump......both life 6F races vs. better fit very well in this spot.......four year old filly seems likely to sit close up in a race that has a decent chance to favor those that do.......like that Bejarano takes the mount as he has teamed up well with the trainer in the past

3  A Dime foe Me   consistent three-year old filly is the most likely to snatch the front end here.....and with one tough veteran rider in Pedroza to get by.......that and trainer Mark Glatt is rather hot of late

1  Time for Kisses   promising filly in 2018 hasn't run a bit in 2019.....but her recent a.m. work is improved and she drops once again........a wake up might be in the cards

 

race 6    average clarity

4  Great Return   solid efforts in both lifetime races which were 5F grass races like today.......really like her strong back to back works on 29 May and 3 June........finally draws a good post for a 5F grass race.......might sit closer off of some faster a.m. work........trainer has had a good SA meeting

2  C Q Covergirl   six-year-old mare has plenty of early speed and is capable of winning on or just off of the pace........that and stout speed jock Maldonado knows her well as this is the 7th straight mount on her......such a deal

6  Give Me a Hint   decently bred to appreciate a turf sprint and if she runs on it as well as she has on main track surfaces she can make it 4 for 4 lifetime.......only time that Kent Desormeaux got the mount on her she won by 9+ lengths in her debut which was run at 5 1/2 furlongs

5  Don't Sell

3  Tizanillusion

 

race 7    average clarity

7  For the Hustle   gelding has run well following a clunker in the past......and his last effort sure qualifies for one.....recent solid back to back works hint its turnaround time.....should be a handsome price

1  Market Sentiment  two nice 2nd place finishes in a row following a needed nine week break........sure appears to appreciate the deepened SA main track.......continues to train like a happy healthy individual........seems poised for another highly competitive race

4  For Him   best time to drop a horse precipitously is off of an extended layoff......this gelding has been absent for 10 months and drops way down the claiming ladder....and the D'A just happens to be 5 for his last 11 with multiple level drop downs

5  Hollywood Dancer

2  Smokin B

 

race 8    average clarity

3  Factorial  bet very hard in her 1st ever in a route and she did not disappoint.......she wired the field producing her lifetime best......with Pratt out-of-town Maldonado gets the mount and normally that would be a rider downgrade put not necessarily so with a route turf speed horse

5  Bellerin   Gaines five-year old handles ample time off well and gets it today.......does seem better on the main track than the grass but the spread is much less than appears in print......that and she sure is working the best of her career for today's race

8  Overdue   might be rated too low especially if Van Dyke can give as good a ride from the 8 post as Pratt did from the 11 post in the 18 May version of this race........rate it about a 50/50 chance that he can

2  Continental Divide

9  Ground Attack

 

race 9    below average clarity

9  Checks in the Mail   away since his debut at Tup in early November where he showed some life after a tardy start in a two turn grass race.....and take note that the race was in a nw2 lifetime alw race and not a MSW affair.....returns with a new trainer and a top-notch one in Bill Spawr.....doubt this is a tune-up or he would have been placed in a protected race and not a MC30K

6  Wicked Fen   on the improve with each and every start.....so it might be a good claim by Glatt and company........trainer is a solid 21% win with his last 81 1st out after a claim.....and he is heating things up of late

8  Bull Fighter  three-year old has been away since late December but returns as a 1st time gelding and with a prolonged work regiment that finished up with back to back decent 4F works spaced only 6 days apart........hinting......this is not a tune-up.......upside potential today

2  Lil Sidney

10  San Giorgio

 

race 10    average clarity

5  Formal Dude as stated above D'Amato just happens to be 5 for his last 11 with multiple level drop downs (how did the 4 horse do in race 7).....lifetime best for this gelding was the only time he ran on the dirt (and in a route race like today) and it was run turf to dirt.....turf in last.......dirt today........hmmm

10  Dawood   latest on the turf fits and his pedigree to handle the dirt is good.......and both times this four-year old dropped in class he improved.......MC50K in last......MC30K today......excellent dirt route jock up for the 1st time in Fuentes

1  No More Sweets  Clifford Sise is quite dangerous with MC 1st time starters and he sure has put in copious drills into this debut runner......and mom has tossed 5 winners from 5 starters and three of them were also Stakes winners......never easy to get a 1st time starter to handle two turns well but this one just might

4  Union Station

9  Drink

 

 

Posted on June 7, 2019 at 6:05 pm by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections