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Del Mar for Thursday 25 July 2019

Average looking card today both handicapping wise and in quality. Be back with you tomorrow for Friday's late afternoon start.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

2  Jetovator   exits a very fast MSW Cal-bred heat where he only lost by a length and the time/number was supported by a gap of 17L to 3rd.......sharp 3/97 4F work at Dmr 6 days ago......should be in the mix from the get go

5  Satanta   Jeff Mullins has come out ready with his stock and then some........every runner he has started so far has run better than they anticipated (at least anticipated by yours truly)..........1ster is training sharply and seems very dangerous especially considering how well Jeff's stock has run so far

4  Loaded Joe   gets to run route turf to dirt sprint so this Gaines three year old might have plenty of endurance built up for today's MSW affair......that and her lone dirt race was solid and she showed a high level of early speed to boot.......Bejarano might get loose and never look back

7  Melbo   SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE

 

race 2    below average clarity

2  Kenjisstrorm   drop makes since as this horse's last win was 11 races back in early 2018.........and what a good spot to drop into as he sure seems like the controlling speed in the race.......not my favorite turf jock in Pedroza but he is good with turf route speed horses in races that lack speed like this one

6  Terrys Tom Cat   Tim McCanna eight year is 4 for 10 on the Dmr turf and 0 for 14 on all other turf courses........likely pointed for this race this afternoon...........McCanna has done fairly well at Del Mar over the last couple of years including winning with this fellow for the last few years

3  Unusually Green   Wong horses for the most part have been tossing dull races at the new meeting so far.......maybe this one drops precipitously to change that today.......trainer is used to winning at a high %......so he might be awfully hungry to get to the circle of joy

7  French Getaway

9  Buckstopper Kit

 

race 3    average clarity

2  Convoluted   trainer is off to a hot start at the summer Del Mar meeting as is the rider........work regiment for this two year old filly indicates she has some talent.........and mom has tossed 6 winners from 7 starters half of which precociously were able to graduate at 2

5  Magically Honored   O'Neill 1st time starter finished off her a.m. preparation with 4 straight gate works hinting that this is not a tune-up but rather a well meant young filly in her debut.........hot rider/trainer combo in Garcia/O'Neill to boot

4  Golden Melodie   Craig Lewis has already sent out a couple of 1st time starters that have run well (a win and a near win at 30 to 1) and the one that won was ridden by today's jock Jorge Velez........just bought in March for $100K so why not race for MC80K in her debut

3  Establish Justice

 

race 4    below average clarity

5  Stylin Ocean   lousy trip in his 5F grass race two back hides a solid effort.......latest was dull......switch in Espinoza's to the good one.......might be up for a rebound and at a bit of a price

4  Apples Arch   seems best at 5F on the grass basically because she has a lack of endurance........only 5 furlong grass race at Del Mar is decent.......O'Neill is often quite dangerous stepping a horse out of MC and into the MSW ranks and that is the case here with this three year old filly

6  Cellar Door   it has taken awhile for this $525K two year old to get the the races but the four year filly is training like she is ready and ready for a trainer in Mullins who appears to be in go mode to start the Dmr meeting

9 AE  Road Rager   SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE

2  Stylishly

3  Winter Gold

 

race 5    average clarity

4  Excavation   gelding owns a decent history racing off of short rest like today.......Miyadi is stellar getting beaten favorites like this fellow to come back and win in their next start........good history at Del Mar for the gelding at a mile.......owns some speed which few do in here

7  Kitten's Royal   trainer is not afraid to drop multiple levels following a claim and that seems even more "valid" here considering he is the listed owner......that and his new shooter has a good history at today's distance (5 2 0 2)

2  We're Just Sayin   SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE  just fired one of his better lifetime efforts and that is rather noteworthy in that it was his first to date on conventional dirt.......step up for today hints he exited the race in good shape......should be ignored at the windows

3  Comes the Dream

1  Top of the Game

 

race 6    below average clarity

3  Lucky Ms Jones   my comment in my notes for her 5F MSW turf debut at SA included, "she showed plenty of life following a poor start".........and then in her 2nd lifetime race which was in a one mile affair was able to graduate despite racing very wide and getting bumped a length.......the adjusted Santucci fig is par for today's higher level..........better post for Garcia to work out a better trip........should be tough if he does and she maintains her form

8  Opus One   very big race two back running a solid final time for the given day despite pressing a nasty set of fractions......regressed some in his next out.......plenty of time to mount a comeback........would have been top pick-a-rue if it wasn't for running a poor race the only time she was on the Dmr sod

2  Shehastheritestuff   just claimed by O'Neill and company and maybe for this meeting in particular as this gal seems to slightly prefer the Del Mar turf over others........seems like a player back vs Cal-breds who she has not faced in quite awhile

6  Oh My Oh

1  Sedamar

 

race 7    average clarity

4  Mongolian Hero   brutal trip in his MC debut which was on the sod and that was unfortunate as he was our top at 17 to 1 and only lost by 6L despite breaking very poorly and racing way too wide on the 2nd turn.......pedigree for the dirt is solid.......see ya Gutierrez and hello Cedillo who is 23% win in routes with his last 200

6  Mongolian Legend   double barrel action for Ganbat as he also trains our top pick.......works are good for this 1st time starter as is the trainer's ability to send out a 1ster in a route race successfully......mom has tossed 4 winners from 4 starters.......trainer is off to a good start at the new meeting

8  Potantico   SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE  last might be a dirty up his form outing (no action at the windows) to set up today's drop......tough to tell......but if it was he is likely rated too low as not only was his final time (2 races back) good for today's lower level but his pace that day would make him the controlling speed in this affair

5  Unbroken Star

9  Lostinthemonent

 

 

 

Posted on July 25, 2019 at 8:04 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections