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Del Mar for Sunday 1 September 2019

Nice card this afternoon both quality wise and handicapping wise. Closing day tomorrow with mandatory payoffs.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1   average clarity

5  El Tigre Terrible  last race won't get the job done but his race two back is strong......and he likely rebounds to it because if he wasn't doing better Miller would drop him as he just isn't afraid to lose a given horse

3  I Wanted One   nice forward move in her (filly vs boys) 2nd lifetime start and the effort is somewhat hidden by a very wide trip.....hard not to like this Andrew Lerner 3rd time starter who has a 2nd and a win to start her career

2  Riding With Dino   might be a good claim of a colt who won for fun in his 2nd lifetime start......and considering the claim was by Bob Hess (in the exacta 50% of the time at this Dmr meeting 19 of 38) he sure has the potential to produce even more this afternoon......and if he does he might be rated too low

7  Little Cents

 

race 2    average clarity

5  Blue Sky Jade   solid move forward in his latest and since the race he put in his best 5F work since early Spring.......likely feeling good and he appears to be the controlling speed in this affair.....bug boy Velez is well worth his 5 lbs weight break especially in route races

6  Peedie   SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE  connections seldom give anything away but this colt's MSW races for the most part have been dismal.......so........at least the drop to the bottom level maiden claiming makes plenty of sense

8  My Way Out   sprint-sprint-route maneuver has been a good one for Lerner as he is 2 for his last 5 and with another hitting the board......that and most of his horses when Fuentes rides have been live

1  Mad At Money

10  Refractometer

 

race 3    below average clarity

1  Encoder   tepid top selection in a field where seemingly all 7 entrants have a shot won like a good thing in his MSW debut which was at 5F on the grass.......Prat stays put which of course is a good sign and only gives credence to the idea that this Salder colt will handle the one mile of turf to cover........we shall see about 3 pm pacific time

2  Commander   colt won two of three in France in some solid races to start his career......shows up in the D'Amato barn and runs with Lasix for the 1st time.......dangerous enough if he matches his efforts in his two winning races overseas......but if Lasix improves him he should have been top pick

4  Croughavouke  SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE  beat the boys in Ireland at 6 to 1 to graduate and tackles them again today in her 1st start in the good old U S of A.........like our 2nd pick she runs with Lasix for the 1st time.......and Mullins been very dangerous over the years "1st time Lasix".........hmmm

3  Hit the Road  SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE

 

race 4    average clarity

4  Kylemore   last win for this gelding was one day short of a year so the drop into claiming sure makes sense to me......and the win was at Dmr and at today's one mile distance.......and the only other race at Del Mar was his latest start (also at one mile) and it fits a ton here and is greatly disguised in its strength........and the fact Geroux is willing to ride in a 20K claimer supports the idea that this fellow is well-meant this afternoon

6  Van Cortlandt   decent race turf to dirt 3 races back......turf in last......dirt today.......likely to get a nice mid pack position in a race that might yield a decent set of fractions

7  Broke Away Grey   Ellis has been making all the right moves for a good portion of this Dmr meeting so cutting the claiming price in half for this gelding and getting him back on the dirt where he won his lone dirt race by 6 1/4 lengths at 8 1/2 furlongs must be respected.......comes from far far back and as mentioned above there might be a lively pace in the race

2  Arch Anthem

10  Vintage Hollywood

 

race 5    average clarity

6  Drasario   beat 11 of 13 foes in his debut in Ireland at odds of 25 to 1 and the runner who finished 2nd came back to win........believe Baltas didn't have him all that cranked up for his 1st in the USA and if that is the case he should be tough today.......and the fact that out of town outstanding grass rider Geroux is lured to ride only supports the notion

4  Show Business   Richard Mandella 1st time starter is well-bred for the lawn and the distance and sure appears to have put in enough a.m. work to be fit and ready for his MSW debut in a one mile grass race.......my guess is he has some early speed for Richard to leg up an apprentice rider where he can keep out of trouble

3  Eddy Forever   another who sure appears wound up and ready to roll in his MSW debut.........last 5 preparatory works are spaced only 5 or 6 days apart hinting this Baffert two year old is feeling great......very dangerous to say the least

10  K P Indy

5  War Beast

 

race 6    average clarity

10  Staythirstymyamigo   very solid history sprinting on the Del mar main track.......and she appears rather sharp at the moment........3 for 5 at the distance.......seems to respond well to bug boy Velez in the irons........a superfecta of reasons to consider this three year old filly

6  Nomizar   last appears to be turf tightener to get fit and ready for today's drop into claiming for the 1st time.....blinkers on and just what you want to see as in a vastly improved recent work......1st time Prat......O'Neill has the lead in the trainer standings and intents to keep it

9  Time for Suzzie   both wins since Hess claimed 6 races back have come the two times he put Bejarano up......so it sure seems like a good sign that he remains up today for the red-hot trainer

8  Shes All Woman   

1  Super Klaus  SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE

 

race 7    average clarity

1  Foray   six year old has won 3 of the 4 times he got loose on the grass and two of those wins were with Velez up......also one of the three wins was the only time he broke from the one post in a race in 2016 at Del and the race was his maiden debut.......sure seems to own the best early gas

5  Offshore   gelding is on the rebound and definitely deserves this shot in an allowance which he hasn't seen since 2017........very sharp back to back 4F drills in preparation for today........loses Prat but lures Geroux to ride who is every bit or better of a grass rider than Pratt.....and that is saying something

4  Double Touch   jockey upgrade especially so for grass race.......gelding has been racing over his head far too long but sure should fit in this nw alw race...... and ........with stout turf jock Prat to guide him around the turf oval

6  North County Guy

2  Wound Tight

 

race 8    average clarity

10  Scarlet Lips   very nicely bred Baffert two year old filly MSW 1st time starter has put in 21 furlongs of endurance building work (including 3 gate works) since August 8th hinting she is doing great and more than ready for her debut into the wonderful world in Thoroughbred racing

8  A G Indy  Baltas 1st time starter sure has enough work put in to be raedy at 1st asking.....and a few of her works hint she has plenty of early speed......how have Baltas/Geroux done to this point as they have teamed up in the 4th - 5th - 7th - 8th -9th races

4  Matera   3 to 5 in MSW debut last but was caught dueling on a dull inside on 18 August and predictably tired......it was the 1st race of the day so Mike Smith like most of us didn't know the inside was quicksand like........definitely deserves another shot

7  Quality Response 

5  Scoot the Moon

 

race 9    average clarity

9  Nolo Contesto   here is my comment prior to his last start for this three year old "talk about having to face a bevy of "monsters" in his career.........plenty of class relief today for his 1st ever on the turf.....pedigree for the sod is solid.....and his recent 5F work (with the dogs up) on it is as well......blinkers off which is usually a dangerous move for the Sadler barn".......and was he impressive winning in decent time despite a wide trip........stout bullet drill since.......likely feels great coming off of a grass race.......and draws 1st time Prat.......hard not to like

5  Neptune's Storm   4 wins and a 2nd by a neck in his last 5 turf route races.........gets a rider upgrade........Geroux should get a garden trip stalking the 10 horse and maybe one or two others while saving plenty of ground........hard not to like

4  Originaire   very powerful late kick in this colt's last (with the blinkers taken off) closing into extremely slow pace to get up and win..........and his pedigree hints that 9F should fit fine despite failing twice at the distance but with blinkers on.......Mullins has had a good meeting and has been red hot teaming up with today's rider Mike Smith

3  Nolde

10  Kingly

 

race 10    average clarity

9  Temple Bar   turf MSW debut tightener should have him muscled up for today's drop into MC50K where he likely was pointed to all along........Hollendorfer is waking up some and in general over the years is very dangerous with the MSW to MC move

4  Eustace  solid forward move in his 2nd lifetime start and since the race his a.m. work is improved and the improvement is somewhat subtle.......rather convinced this colt improves again today

11 Chambers   very slow time for a MC80K two year old race but he did finish 2nd and drops a couple of MC levels today......rider has had a tough meeting but he has a shot at his 6th win of the meeting here

8  Itsthattime 

6  Mainframe Judy

3  Absolute Weapon

 

 

 

 

Posted on September 1, 2019 at 10:31 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections