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Santa Anita for Sunday 13 October 2019

10 days into the Fall Santa Anita Meeting and a win bet on every top selection is yielding a 24% profit. Not too shabby. Be back with you tomorrow.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

3  Malibu Star   Baffert MSW 1st time starter has hit the track every 6, 7 or 8 days going back mid July and maybe more.......rather sure that he owns some talent but it is hard to tell how much early speed he has.......if he has little he might have too much to do to get up in time in a 5 1/2F.......if he does he should have the endurance to go along with the speed

5  High Velocity   double barrel action form Baffert as he also trains out top pick........another making his MSW debut today that appears well prepared to be tough at 1st asking......and unlike our top choice I believe he has some early gas

1  Prince Magician   so so efforts in both lifetime races but he is now working vastly better as though Palma has found the "trump card" for this colt which in part or all is "blinkers on" for today.........dangerous sort

 

race 2    average clarity

5  Lincoln City   three year old was our 18 to 1 top pick and could have won if not for a bad trip........colt sure appears to want more ground to cover and gets it today in his 1st race on the turf racing as far as 5 1/2 furlongs........lifetime best was in his lone start at SA where he had a much less successful rider up than he has today especially for the lawn

1  Big Runnuer   trainer's bag is not at getting 1ster's ready to roll at first asking but the a.m. work for this V Garcia debut runner is too good to ignore.......and he sure appears to have some early speed when examining his preparatory drills

4  Shandling   another MSW 1st time starter training as if he is well meant in his debut run..........and the trainer Philip D'Amato is on fire to start the 2019 SA Fall meeting.......dangerous sort

3  Duece

10  Awesome Score

 

race 3    average clarity

3  Honor A. P.   very powerful stretch drive in his MSW debut........that and Shirreffs is much more dangerous with 2nd time starters......1st at a route today but owns a good pedigree to get the two turns.........Smith's lone mount of the today and that is usually a big positive......good a.m. prep......good post........hard not to like

4  Royal Thunder   pressed a brutal set of fractions in his 2nd lifetime race in a 6 1/2F affair and rightfully tired........1st long today and with a pedigree that is decent for one.......sure looks loose........good jock in routes in Fuentes

6  Special Day   showed he can handle a route race with a solid 2nd in his 2nd lifetime start in a race at Lrc at today's one mile distance.........sharp 5F work on 6 October says he's doing well......not out of the win picture by any means.......pun intended

5  Eel Point

9  Eddy Forever

 

race 4    average clarity

2  Lucky Ms Jones   lone win came in her 2nd lifetime start turf sprint to turf route........this time around it is turf route - turf sprint - turf route and a return to SA where this filly broke her maiden and earned an adjusted Santucci fig (7L of trip adjustment) that is par for today's higher level

3  Whoa Nessie  strong dirt race in her latest pressing the pace for about 1/2 of the race and then pulling away by 11 lengths by the time the wire came up.........that effort was her career best fig..........lone one mile grass race at SA for this gal was a win and her 2nd best lifetime number.......Cedillo wisely stays put

7  Absolutely Perfect  lone win came in her 2nd lifetime start dirt sprint to turf route........scenario today is turf sprint to turf route for her 2nd out after a 9 month layoff.......sure seems well meant

1  Brahms Command

 

race 5    average clarity

2  Love of Art   better early speed and final time in her latest winning at one level higher........and since her win at Lrc on 20 Sept. she put in an improved 3F speed work and on the SA surface which she is seeing for the first time.......and retains the red hot bug boy who sure put on a show yesterday

5  Princess Dorian   claimed for $20K and drops to $10K for her 1st start for his trainer who has been a little chilly of late.........as I have stated many times before I hate these "flip a coin" types

1  Majestic Diva   yes the track was an outside bias at Lrc on 20 September but this mare was placed a bit too wide by Pereira in the race and still managed 3rd and earned a decent Santucci fig.........that and I like the switch to the 7 lbs bug boy Diaz who does well in dirt routes

4  Buttie

 

race 6    average clarity

6  Grinningeartoear   looked like a winner loose on the lead in her MSW debut on 6 July but bled so bad she had to be vanned off.......Lasix today and she is training like she will flash speed and run a big effort......that and Koriner is night and day better with 2nd time starters than 1st time starters........turf pedigree is good

2  Stick Up   MSW debut run at Lrc is better than it appears on paper.......that and the filly had little support at the windows hinting she wasn't all that cranked up........if that is so she should be today.......blinkers on so look for her to sit closer........decent turf breeding

3  Love Not War   double barrel action from the D'Amato as he also trains our 2nd pick.......and like his other filly this girl's MSW debut effort at Lrc is better than it appears on paper.......that and the filly had zero support support at the windows hinting she wasn't all that cranked up........turf pedigree is  a ? mark

7  Remember to Smile

8  Goddess Aphrodite

 

race 7    average clarity

4  Leucothea   best early gas in this field.......and........possibly no one is capable of pressing her early.........which........bodes well for her chances as the only time she was loose on the lead she won by 14 lengths earning a number that is quite a bit better than anyone in this field has produced

1  Shedaresthedevil    very capable of running well from off of the pace and she should have plenty of speed to flatter her late run......trainer Callaghan is 4 for his last 9 with the sprint-route-sprint maneuver which is the case here

2  Pure Xena   blinkers on might be bad timing today because if they want the lead it may be very costly as she will likely go too fast early attempting to keep up with our top choice and the 6 Horse.......but my guess is Gryder will try to stalk.......like her chances more if he does

 

race 8    average clarity

2  South West Bay   private purchase so the connections got a very good idea of what they were getting........and O'Neill really seems to have a handle on his new acquisition as his a.m. work over at Slr is dynamite

6  Tartini   last 3 grass races sure fit and a couple of them are disguised in their strength......but more importantly we get one significant upgrade in jocks for a turf route

10  Reedley   not much speed in this affair outside of our top choice and this colt who has plenty of turf route speed.......so despite his nasty post he should be able to clear most or maybe all by the back-stretch.......thus.......making him dangerous

1  River God

4  Mongolian Hero

 

 

Posted on October 13, 2019 at 9:26 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections