Printer Friendly View Printer Friendly View

Santa Anita for Friday 18 October 2019

Only two weeks until the Breeders Cup at Santa Anita!

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

1  Mongolian Legend   last two races fit fine versus today's higher level of competition and the one two back is hidden buy a brutal trip........quite the rider upgrade for today......combined that with the most likely entrant to save ground on or just off of the lead and you have a three year old who has a decent chance to do well despite the often difficult move up from MC to MSW

4  Noble Pursuit   three horses lined up inside up him appear faster or slower than he is thus giving the hot bug boy a good chance at finding the wood on the 1st turn........if he does that should put him in a good position to make his move on turn 2 without having lost any ground until then

5  Salah   solid move forward in his latest endeavor where the connections saw the improvement coming as they moved him out of MC and put him in the MSW ranks.........if he duplicates his latest race is has a shot at the winners circle this afternoon

 

race 2    average clarity

3  Color War   brutal trip in his 3rd lifetime start which was his 1st at a route and also his 1st on the sod........Santucci fig earned when you adjust for trip stands out here.......if of course he can run as well in a dirt route.......sprint dirt race 2 back hints he can

1  Gorky Park   last race fits decently but Maldonado may have chosen our top choice over this Keith Desormeaux two year old colt.......but with the change you get Bejarano who will do just fine thank you

4  Golden Victory   sprint - sprint - route scenario for this youngster's 3rd lifetime start.......and.........one hot rider/trainer combo in Fuentes/Garcia as in 4 for their last 8 with 3 others in the money over the last couple of months

 

race 3    average clarity

6  Principe Carlo   best runner in this $40K claiming field if his obvious physical problems (voided claim in latest with a suspicious drop into claiming) don't get to him as he crushed the field for $50K claiming in his latest........(4 2 2 0) at today's 6 1/2 furlong distance

3  Savagery   best time to drop by my book is off of long layoffs which this Miller gelding is doing.........works hint he is feeling good enough......trainer goes to one of his top go to guys of late in Abel Cedillo

4  Union Ride   nice win as our 5 to 1 top selection where he was aided but a solid pace up front......seems to have a decent shot at getting one again today........sharp 4F drill since his 29 September race hints he exited his race in good shape.......we shall see if that is so about 2 pm pacific

1  Posterize

 

race 4    average clarity

5  Fun Coupons   powerful stats in two relevant to this race categories......2nd career race & MSW to MC........that and the colt will likely show more early gas than most handicappers will anticipate

4  Itsthattime   yet to get a decent trip in two lifetime starts........continues to train like he owns some talent......new rider Fuentes gets a shot at getting it out of him

6  Three Footer   like the rider change and also like that he showed increased early speed in his last his 2nd lifetime start........might be able to clear all by the turn which would likely put him in the drivers seat in the stretch

2  Promise Nothing

1  Shootin Money

 

race 5    average clarity

1  Secret Square   barn seems to mean business with some solid a.m. work put into their two year old filly in for maiden claiming tag for the 1st time.......as in she best be ready to win as she might get claimed today

7  Win Often   trainer Dean Pederson has done decently with limited starters in 2019........and over the years he wins his fair share with 1sters........good work tab considering the level of racing.......and mom has tossed 4 winners from 4 starters all of which were able to graduate at two

5  Nikkileaks   difficult to tell but he might have needed his debut which was nothing special.......the fact that Cedillo stays aboard hints he might of......we shall see

3  Aurora Night

 

race 6    below average clarity

5  City Rage   route speed in her latest is stout.......but his route speed two back run off of 25 days rest is supersonic like.......so much so it might even translate to a loose lead in this 5 1/2 furlong turf race run off of 21 days rest

3  Carnivorous   consistent racing long or short on the grass........O'Neill colt should be able to a nice stalking trip........hard not to like especially as well as Doug is doing these days

4  One Flew South   double barrel action as O'Neil also trains our 2nd selection..........latest for this colt was a total gimme/tune-up placed way over his head to muscle him up as only a race can do sometimes......1st on the grass today but bred just fine to handle it

6  Seven Scents

 

race 7    below average clarity

3  Eternal Endeavor   a perfect two for two racing on fast rated conventional dirt........both races were won by 5 or more lengths and would overwhelm today's competition if she is still the same individual........and both were the only times this gal was up for a tag.......35K tag today

2  Tiz Wonderfully   dangerous speed here so Victor Espinoza will likely put the pedal to the metal from the opening bell so as to get loose and lonely on the front end.........away since 28 Feb. but Cassidy has her training as if she is a well-meant fresh filly this afternoon

5  Mongolian Empire   race 3 back fits well in this spot provided our top selection slips off of form some.......last appears to be a dirty her up spin around the track to keep the claiming vultures at bay

4  Catoca

 

race 8    average clarity

2  No Wine Tasted   best early speed in this abbreviated turf sprint of 5 1/2 furlongs.......and......speed has been awfully tough to wheel in at SA in the sprints races on the sod.........add to that the fact this filly has won 4 of 5 lifetime races when she had a loose lead

1  Drift Away   voided claim when last seen way back in April in a claiming race at one level higher than today's $25K claiming race.........filly has had plenty of time off to correct whatever her problem was.........and the fact Prat wants the mount supports the notion........dangerous returnee

5  Swirling   overdue drop but at least it is a multiple level drop (40K to 25K).......if the race collapses this mare appears to own the best late run in this field of eight

3  Sapphire Kid

7  Bako Sweets

 

 

 

Posted on October 18, 2019 at 6:05 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections