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Santa Anita for Thursday 24 October 2019

Seems like a decent Thursday race card to start the 2nd to last week of the Santa Anita Fall meeting. Make sure you check out our calendar for next week when the Breeders Cup comes to The Great Race Place.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

4  Jamminwithbrandon   the only time this gelding was put up for a tag (40K) since Cerin took over the training duties of this fellow 6 races back led to his lone win.......the effort was easily his lifetime best.......the number earned stands out here......in for 35K today versus softer.......hmmm

3  I Can Do This   jock might have selected this gelding over the 5 horse who he just won on........five year old comes off of his lifetime best and has put in back to back 5 furlong works that strongly suggests he has held form and maybe even improved.........should sit on or close to the front which he sure seems to prefer.......dangerous/sharp

5  Royal Insider   lead should go to this three year old or our 2nd pick.......with Cedillo riding the 3 horse Pratt lands here.......and Flavien won 6 of the 16 races carded this weekend

 

race 2    below average clarity

3  Lady Sunset   last two races run look good in this spot........very stout rider/trainer combo over the last couple of mounts......3 reassuring drills since her 2nd place finish at Lrc.........should sit on or near the lead saving some ground with the 2 runners inside of her lacking early speed

2  Billy'sgotasingle   trainer is awfully good of getting the most out of a given horse utilizing the sprint-route-sprint maneuver which is the case today with this MC30K..........that and of late when Cerin legs up bug boy Diaz his runners are most often "live"

1 Trouville   MC50K debut last sure appeared to be a gimme to tighten up and drop and go go go in her 2nd lifetime start......and with a switch in jocks to Prat.......and the rider & trainer are 3 for 6 over the last couple of months......seems dangerous

 

race 3    average clarity

5  Velvet Queen   brutal paces set in her last two one mile grass races led to her predictably tiring in both.......in her only other one mile grass race which was run as a two year old in a Grade 3 she broke slow and ran very wide doing very well to finish fourth beaten by less than 4L for the win.........in for $50K today so with the threat of being claimed my guess is Baltas will be all out with his filly today.......Prat stays put supporting the notion

4  Khairiya   SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE  three year old filly is a solid (7 3 2 1) when she has been up for a tag........clunker in latest but strong a.m. work since.........lone grass win came the only time this girl has competed at one mile on the sod.......rebound city seems likely this afternoon

3  Italia   last one standing might be possible in this spot loaded with speed........should sit far back and if the fractions are sub 22:4 and 46 flat she might come flying late

 

race 4    average clarity

2  Fast Cotton   seems best racing at today's 6F distance or 6 1/2F........O'Neill is dynamite 2nd out following a claim and especially when he races at the same level or slightly below the claiming price he snatched a given horse for.....taken for 12.5K and in for 10K today..........trainer is extremely hot.........dangerous sort to say the least

1  Autumn Day   trainer is solid in three categories relevant for this new addition to his barn........1st start with trainer - shippers - dropping multiple levels........that and this gelding seems at his best at today's 6F distance (3 for 6)

8  Short of Ez   needs a clever ride not to get caught wide on the turn but it helps that this gelding can run on or off of the pace and still win........that we get a switch to Prat.......trainer & rider have won with 2 of their last 3 as a team and the other was able to hit the board.........not out of the win picture by any means

5  Boy Howdy

4  Puriano

 

race 5    average clarity

5  Awesome Heights   he should be a tough cookie to wheel in as the best early speed in the field who now adds blinkers and gets 5 lbs off with 1st time Velez........who is........one nice apprentice rider including on the turf which is rare for a bug boy........gelding breaks well about 80 percent of the time........hard not to like

2  Italiano  trainer woke up out of a mini-slump last week winning 3 of 6.........colt/jockey had an impossible task in their last having to deal with the 12 post in a 5 1/2F turf race like today (posts 7 thru 12 have won only 2 of 45 races at 5 & 5 1/2F on the grass).......good time to drop off a bad looking race on paper......trainer is in go mode........danger city here

8  Getaloadofthis   tough post for sure (see above) but this race doesn't have much speed and this four year appears to have the 2nd most and is capable of winning without the lead......likely will stalk our top choice......might even lead.......1st time Prat.......such a deal

7  Grab the Munny

 

race 6    average clarity

6  Colonel Power   too fast of a 1st quarter did this speed horse in in her latest endeavor.......two solid very reassuring works since the 21 Sept race at Lrc........cut back in distance is a plus.......needs to avoid a suicidal speed duel with our 4th choice

3  Sybil's Kitty   Baltas three year old filly has been laid up since May........she showed little in her two lifetime races......she didn't work very well last Spring but she is this time around.......banking on a totally different runner in her return to the race wars this afternoon

7  Quite a Starlett   if the 5 and the 6 lock horns early this Stute three year old filly might sit a a very nice stalk position.......filly has been absent since her debut which was on May 19th but she ran well in her debut so she has shown she is capable "fresh"

5  My S V R

 

race 7    above average clarity

1  Boa Nova   owns an abundance of early speed in a race that lacks it especially for a turf sprint.......Maldonado stays up and he makes a living off of being a good gate jock who loves to ride on the lead

5  Stop the Violence   most likely to grab the stalk position in this 5 1/2 turf sprint.......like the rider change especially considering the 5 lbs off for bug boy Velez........dangerous sort

2  Ultimate Bango   seems like the best off those coming from off of the pace........four year old gelding will likely get a mid pack ground saving trip but he will need more pace than anticipated to get up in time by the wire

 

race 8    above average clarity

1  Dr. Bagley   gelding should get a great trip on or near the lead in a race that lacks speed and in the capable hands of Flavien Prat to guide him along.........that and Mullins is often at his best "2nd time route" with a given horse which is the case here

7  Dawood   turf to dirt......rider upgrade especially considering the jock is (2 1 1 0) on the Baltas gelding......takes a logical drop down........improved a.m. work......should be flying late.

6  Big Impression   another late runner who appears well meant in this spot.....both lifetime races run at one mile on the dirt fit and one of them was at SA......not impossible to upset but easy to make as our 3rd selection

8  Big Barrel

2  Chieftain's Lad

 

 

 

Posted on October 24, 2019 at 5:57 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections