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Del Mar for Saturday 9 November 2019

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

3  Potantico   lifetime best was run in his lone race at Del Mar and the strength of the effort is disguised by pressing a nasty set of fractions for the day........after the 34 to 1 win awakening he trained rather dull........but.......since his poor performance at SA he has been training very impressively........rather sure he is ready for a big effort if he can avoid a suicidal speed duel with our 4th selection who can really fly

6  Hardboot   only dirt race wasn't all that bad and his pedigree seems somewhat better for the dirt than the turf........he comes from far back and has a shot of being the "last one standing" in a field that might go a little too fast early

5  Mongolian Hero   vast improvement in his race two back which was at today's dirt distance and at Lrc.......turf to dirt today and with a nice 2/44 5F work put in 5 days ago........seems to have some potential for his lifetime best this afternoon........should a big price

7  Via Egnatia

 

race 2    average clarity

2  So Much Happy   best turf numbers and also appears to be the controlling speed in the race......good post and a decent gate horse......hard not to like three year old filly from the George Papaprodromou barn

1  Visual Magic   sprint-sprint-route scenario for this filly who moved forward in her last her 2nd lifetime start.......the effort is disguised by racing wide on a good rail day and pressing a quick 1/4.......stride (way of going) on the turf looked fine in her 1st start which was a 5F turf sprint

6  Vegas Palm   low percentage trainer the last few years but not off of layoffs of more than 3 months.......that and the fact Mike Smith sees fit to ride hints this grass filly is ready to roll just as she was in her MSW debut where she almost upset the apple-cart at 30 to 1 running 2nd beaten by a diminishing 1/2 length

7  Gold Arrow

 

race 3    average clarity

6  Twirling Tiger   seems like a good claim back by Charles Treece as his returnee likes the Dmr dirt and appears relatively sharp.......race 2 back which was a win at Del Mar and an effort that fits solidly here was run off of 25 days rest.....racing off of 27 days rest today and with a nice 46:3 bullet work put in since his 12 Oct race.....plenty to like

2  Papa Turf   poor record on the Del Mar dirt but this eight year old gelding's last is hard to ignore as it was the best run he has produced in many a year......Mullins claimed 3 races back and might have the trump card for this elder statesman......if so he might get his 1st win of his career at Del Mar

3  Fast Cotton   only mount of the day for the red hot to finish the SA meeting Agapito Delgadillo.......in all likelihood the front end either goes to him or our 2nd selection........like his chances if the veteran rider can avoid a speed duel one way or another

4  Mo Dinero

 

race 4    average clarity

1  Savvy Gal   jock upgrade today to Bejarano.......Baltas hasn't been using Rafael like he used to but over the last two months his horses have been quite "live" when he does......as in 2 wins and 6 others on the board with 9 starters......two year old filly has done little wrong in two lifetime starts and won his MSW on the Del Mar turf and at today's one mile distance

8  Seahawk Lisa   1st on the sod but owns a good pedigree for it........filly showed she can handle two turns with a nice graduating win on it at today's one mile distance......very stout work regiment put into this two year old by Hollendorfer who is back with the closing of SA where he is ruled off

7  Powerfulattraction   not much cooking in her 3rd lifetime start but her MSW debut was a winning one and then she ran 2nd in a Grade 2.........mom has tossed three turf winners.......new sire is off to a good start as far as producing turf runners is concerned

6  Guitty

3  Convoluted

 

race 5    above average clarity

6  Authentic   Baffert MSW 1st time starter sure is training like he is a very nice two year old colt and he acts as if he has plenty of early speed......and only 5 1/2 furlongs to negotiate........that and Van Dyke has done a nice job riding the Hall of Fame trainer's two year old runners

4  Jeffnjohn'sthundr   off slow and then showed plenty of life from there in his MSW debut........two reassuring drills since......plenty of upside especially if he breaks cleanly this afternoon

5  Absolute Unit  believe this Eurton 1st time starter is well-meant in his MSW debut as 3 of his last 4 preparatory drills were out of the gate.........that and mom has been rather prolific tossing 5 winners from 6 starters and 2 of which were Stakes winners

7  Moon Mischief

 

race 6    below average clarity

5  I Give Up   tepid top choice appears to have been given a sprint turf tune-up to get a taste of the game and muscle up some all to be ready for today's two turn route race.......and her pedigree to appreciate a turf route is better than a turf sprint.......that and her trainer Hector Palma is much more dangerous with 2nd time starters than he is with debut runners......should be a price

1  Awesome Ella   with a good trip rather than the bad trip that she had in her debut she could have won her MSW debut which was at SA on 6 October at 5 furlongs on the grass........broke about 2 slow and then went 4/5 wide......not too shabby to only get beat by 3 1/4 at the wire......tough call as far as her pedigree to handle a route is concerned.....but he she does she will be a major factor in the outcome of this MSW one mile grass race

2  Overjoyed   turf MSW debut 2 races back was decent and at today's 8F distance on the grass........funky looking ride by Mike Smith (or just hated the dirt) in this girl's last race which was on the dirt and where she went off as the favorite.......he stays aboard for a 3rd straight time enforcing the idea you can toss out this one's last.......hmmmm

7  Lace

3  Beautiful Thunder

 

race 7    below average clarity

2  Principe Carlo   SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE   like the step up in claiming with suggests his good health might be rebounding (voided claim 2 back on Aug 9)........most of this youngster's lifetime dirt sprints fit solidly here......and.......he seems at his most dangerous racing on the Del Mar dirt

4  Platinum Nights   (3 1 2 0) when Mike Smith rides.......(7 0 0 1) when other jocks have gotten the call.......and in general when Smith rides for Peter Eurton it is one dangerous proposition for the opposition

3  Union Ride   nice dirt record overall for this Palma three year old gelding (6 3 1 0).........lifetime best was his lone racing endeavor to date at Del Mar and the strength of the effort is somewhat hidden........continues to train like a happy healthy individual

5  Seven Scents

 

race 8    below average clarity

3  Ocean Fury   colt is seemingly in an every/other mode and today he is on the desired end of the pendulum......back in 7 days rest is alarming but O'Neill is as good as anyone getting a given runner to do well off of "micro" rest.....last two wins for this youngster have been at today's one mile turf distance

6  Carnivorous  SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE   might be a nice (expensive) claim by Knapp of a consistent grass runner who won his last two starts at Del Mar on the grass making him (3 2 01) overall on the Dmr turf.........seems to respond sitting mid pack and he should be able to get that position here

5  Bob and Jackie   colt has done little wrong in 3 lifetime starts (3 2 1 0) all of which were on the sod......just like his MSW debut Baltas appears to have him ready "fresh" once again.......not my favorite grass rider up but he has done a nice job riding this colt

 

race 9    average clarity

3  Defense Wins   somewhat suspicious that this colt is in a maiden claiming race even one that is for MC100K.....but if his good health has remained intact he should be tough from start to finish........and with the enhanced scrutiny of the horse colony by the vets there is less chance that this O'Neill two year old is hurting

5  Uncaptured Hero   MSW debut at Lrc is much better than it appears in print as this colt set a nasty pace and did so on a suspect inside and was also in tight some........did well to only fade to a 6 beaten length 4th........rider might be able to get loose........thus.......dangerous

6  Mr. Nasty   copious drills for this Baltas 1st time starter including some of merit.......only cost $60K at sale so why not start a decent working 1ster for the 100K maiden claiming price........might be a good opportunity for Valdivia to show he's ready to break back into the S Cal jockey colony

8  Stone Secret

2  Enemy Runner

Posted on November 9, 2019 at 8:32 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections