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Del Mar for Monday 7 September 2020

Mandatory payoffs for today which is closing day at Del Mar. Nice battle for the riding title today between Prat & Rispoli who leads by one going into today. Santa Anita starts up in 12 days on Saturday the 19th of September. We will be ready. 

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

3  Next Revolt   Rispoli is up by one in the jockeys standings and he has a chance to make that two with this colt who has faced many key fields and ran a time in his latest that fits just fine at today's 16K nw2 level........hard not to like

1  My Journey   likely to open up a lead in this spot and might be difficult to wheel in 2nd out after a layoff for Richard Baltas and company.......and a bonus in that he is capable without the lead

5  Bodega   1st after the Meredith claim and the small outfit gets Prat to ride........doubt his last would do the trick but his race 3 back would

10  All I Can Say   

2  Bam Bam Again

 

race 2    average clarity

4  Mickelson   lone race was way back in June of 2019 and it was a decent MSW race and for a trainer in Desormeaux that usually doesn't have them fully cranked for their debut........returns in the Baffert barn and he is fully cranked this time around........so Mickelson will likely be firing below par today

9  Defense Wins   another laid up individual (returns as a 1st time gelding) who looks ready to roll fresh off of the bench just as he was in his MSW debut........all three lifetime races at Del Mar fit well vs today's foes.......mostly placed as 2nd choice as O'Neill's go to guy is not exactly Cedillo (1 for 23 over the last 2 months)

1  Keystone Field   another 1st time gelding and yet another racing off of a layoff.........in fact this Mandella gelding raced once in 2017 and once in 2019......so.......one would surmise that he will be fully fit and ready as it might be a very long time before he can race again

2  Cem Sultan

3  Malibu Dreamin

 

race 3    belowaverage clarity

5  Hot Rod Charlie   sprint-sprint- route scenario for this O'neill 3rd time starter who ran a decent turf sprint in his 2nd start.........1st time Prat who is so good at getting the most out of young developing distance turf runners

10  Gone Rogue   retains Rispoli who dominated the grass races at Del Mar off of a decent endurance building one mile turf race........blinkers on likely get get him to sit closer in the early stages.......dangerous sort from the Dan Blacker barn

4  Taratino   expensive purchase as a yearling likely wasn't bought for his chances on the dirt as mom has tossed 4 turf winners from 4 starters.......very unusually buy for a Baffert runner must be respected

8  Heliochrome

3  Mount Pelliar

 

race 4    average clarity

6  Awhitsportscoat   overly ambitious placement in this fellow's latest.......fits fine at 10K........race two back which was run at today's 6 1/2F distance is solid and disguised by a bad start and a wide trip.......he won the 8K race despite the troubled trip and today he gets a much more accomplished rider on his back than he had in the 8K race.......such a deal

11  Around the Dial   sure appreciate when a given horse shows a better final time and doing so with improved pace.........this Herss gelding did just that and now drops two levels..........should be in the mix from the get go

4  Write Me a Song   solid layoff run in his latest and Papaprodromou must like what he sees since as he steps his newbie up a level for his 2nd start since he took over the training duties of the five year old gelding.......fits awfully well if he benefited from his layoff run

13 AE  Country Road  SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE

1  D K's Crown

12  Black Storm

 

race 5    average clarity

9  Kleen Karma   just fired her lifetime best and what seems noteworthy was it was her 1st to date on the Del Mar turf.........the Santucci fig earned is 3L better than par for today's alw level.......Prat logically stays put and the filly gets 2 lbs off which is worth about 1/2L at the distance of one mile........plenty to like here

7  On Mars   another who just popped her lifetime best in her 1st ever on the Del Mar turf.......her MSW breaking win fits fine here as she broke a little tardy and ran somewhat wide yet she still won by 4 1/2 lengths at the wire.......4 drills since........with Smith not riding today Valdivia gets a shot to impress the D'A

4  Harper's Gallop   another who ran a solid race in her latest at Del Mar that matches up well with our top two picks.......the reason she has been made the 3rd most likely winner is because the extra 1/16 to cover might flatten her out some

6  Pushing Sixty   

11  Empress of Fire

 

race 6    average clarity

6  Ensleys Dream   good MSW debut and trainer Brian Koriner is much better with 2nd time starters.........Prat remains up.......seems like a ton here if this two year old can handle the quick 15 day turn around

3  Eddie's New Dream   very bad start in her MSW debut and still managed to run 2nd ........3 very solid reassuring drills since.........hard not to like

9  Big Stretch   very good drills after this filly switched her a.m. work to Del Mar........good rider/trainer combo.......trainer has been awfully hot and might keep the ball rolling here

8  Big Chick

1  Complete Control

 

race 7    average clarity

10  Table for Ten   1st time Prat today and this gelding just put in his best work to date (by far) hinting the D'A has tweaked something for the better.........3 3rd place finishes to start his career - beaten 3L then 1 1/2L and then 1 1/4L for the win in 3 turf routes........sure seems poised to graduate

1  Tropical Terror   very strong consistent late runner owns quite a few races that are much better than par for the MSW for Cal-breds but he sure likes to hang in the stretch......maybe 1st time Van Dyke can get him over the bad habit

2  Mamba Cool   double barrel action for D'Amato as he also trains our top choice........so so run in dirt sprint debut......but dangerous looking works since and a pedigree that should like both the turf and a route.........might have always been pointed for this race......lookout if that is the case

6  Luvluv

8  I Am Innocent

 

race 8    average clarity

3  Happier    SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE   never easy to win your MSW debut at the distance of 7F but this $800K purchase did just that for Baffert and friends........one half furlong less today to run should be a piece of cake in start no. 2........LOL

7  Been Studying Her   very strong efforts/figs racing at the distances of 7F & 6 1/2F........plenty of speed signed up to flatter this girl's late running style.......not out of the win picture by any means

2  Magic At Midnight   3 for 3 lifetime and all three races fit figure wise very well at today's racing level.........but she has been loose in all three and might not be today with two fast early types just to the outside of her.......hard to split top three

1  Summer Love

 

race 9    average clarity

10  Rombauer   very impressive one mile turf MSW debut winning with a big late run into a pedestrian pace up front........should be flying once again for an underrated jock in J J Hernandez.......hard not to like

2  Get Her Number   Prat mount the 7 horse scratched so move over Cedillo as Prat scores the ride........I liked this filly with Cedillo up.......I like her enough now to make her 2nd choice following a strong winning turf sprint debut

1  Ambivalent   likely needs lifetime best.......catalyst to get there might be 1st time blinkers to improve his focus and 1st on the grass which he has a very good pedigree for

11  Cotopaxi 

12  Inner Ghost

 

race 10    average clarity

6  Dr. Shivel   stands out here figure wise so if he can run as well at 7F as he does at 6F he should be one tough cookie.......pedigree hints that he can...........J J Hernendez wisely sticks around.......trainer has had his best Del Mar meet and by quite a wide margin

5  Dixie's Two Stents   solid MSW debut and if he builds on the effort he has a big shot in this race.......solid trio at the helm in O'Neill/Gutierrez/Reddam

1  Spielberg   bad trip in his MSW debut in the race that our top choice won.......he earned a Santucci fig that was only 3L less than our top choice earned in the race......3 solid works since.......not impossible to turn the tables on our top pick especially considering he is trained by Bob Baffert

 

race 11    average clarity

9  Three Ay Em   believe a no go in his last which was in a protected race to come back quick in today's claiming race and go go go.......and note that Smith was up in his last race and with him not riding today's his agent's other jock gets the mount......hmmmm

10  Colosi   like are top choice he might be a no go in his last which was in a protected race to come back quick in today's claiming race and go go go..........last win was 5 back the last time this gelding was up for a tag (32K) and the day O'Neill claimed him

11  Move Over   strong late runner and the turf course with the rails in like today sure have favored late runners at the one mile distance all meeting long including yesterday

3  Erotic    

8  Mithqaal

4  Klondike Creek   

13  AE Sphinx    SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE

 

 

Posted on September 7, 2020 at 10:18 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections