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Santa Anita for Friday 16 October 2020

Decent looking card today. Next publication for The Racing Digest is Friday 23 October.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    above average clarity

5  Cassie Belle  rare bad trip given by Prat in a turf race in this gal's latest which was the 25 Sept. version of this 5 1/2F turf MSW race........filly lost about 5L to trip yet only lost by 1 1/4........top jock can do better.......nice reassuring work since her last.......the one to beat despite her 11 races with no wins to date

1  Envy   lost to our top pick in the aforementioned 25 September race and she had a good trip.........but the race was run off of a long layoff so more can occur today with that effort under her belt.........good supportive sign that Hernandez stays put

6  Elgofrano   lacks punch late at the 5 1/2 furlong turf distance........but........she might get a slow paced loose lead.......if that occurs I doubt she will quit very easily

4  Shez Our Arch

 

race 2    average clarity

4  Little Miss Ellie   filly has run too good not to hit the winners circle in 3 lifetime races........she earned strong Santucci figs in all three (the figs were from 2L better than par to 4L better than par)..........the 6 1/2 furlong distance offered today fits her well and won't for a few in the race.......and a jock upgrade to 1st time Prat

2  Jan Jan Can   about 3L shy of what our top choice has produced in her 3 lifetime races but like our top pick 6 1/2 furlongs should be to her advantage........likely needs a little more and/or our top choice slipping off form some

5  Ricie Nine Toe's   some shot to kick loose which would enhance her chances........but whereas 6 1/2 is a plus for our top two picks it is not for this filly........but then again if the 7 lbs bug boy can keep the fractions slow she would be dangerous

 

race 3    average clarity

(NOTE: AE 10 Me Likey is dangerous if he draws into the field)

5  That Corey   very strong and numerous drills for this Cecil MSW 1ster.......and mom has tossed two winners from 2 starters and both were able to win on the turf.......rather sure this two year old colt is a nice runner

8  The Chosen Vron   Kruljac is hardly ever ready with his 1st time starters but this colt is working too well to ignore.......like our top choice I am rather sure this colt is "meant & ready" for his MSW debut

4  Lil Nas   decent works prior to his MSW debut but stopped badly after showing some speed.........nice 5F drill just 5 days ago at SA.........high in demand Pratt stays put.........deserves another shot

6  Circleofchampions

7  By Moonlight

 

race 4    below average clarity

6  Flying Business  alarming (in a positive way) step up in claiming 1st after the Glatt claim considering how poorly this filly ran in her latest couple of races.......Glatt might have the trump card for this three year old as her a.m. work has never been better since Glatt took over........and look who rides - Prat

3  Dehydration   might be set up for today with a step up in claiming where she showed nothing and now a step down of 3 levels for a trainer who is 20% win from a large sampling 2nd out after a claim......seemingly has the best early speed so look for Baze to try and wire the field

5  Don't Stop Lookin   filly is best at SA and might get a nice stalk position with 7 lbs bug boy Centeno on her back........that weight break might go a long way in holding her together in the late stages of this 6 1/2F affair

 

race 5    below average clarity

3  Heathers Gray   four year old filly is at her best racing in one mile grass races and her last three races at the distance are solid and 2 of them are disguised in their strength........very sharp recent a.m. work.........she should get a nice mid pack or stalking trip.......on the negative side Gryder is rather cold on the turf as in only 2 wins with his last 75 turf mounts..........come on Aaron

1  Tapwater   good post for Mike Smith to work out a good trip.....but she likely will need a small forward move today as our top & 3rd choices outran her in her latest......maybe her 3rd out following a 15 month layoff can provide that small forward move

5  She's Our Charm   four year old filly is at her best 2nd out following layoffs and that is today's scenario for her.........and she retains Hernandez who is the only top echelon jock she has seen and yet she has two wins with a low percentage jock riding

 

race 6    average clarity

6  Secret Touch   trainer is having a great meeting and he might have made a very good claim for 16K with this gelding who has run 5 straight races that fit fine at today's 32K level.......that 32K level is quite a step up from 16K but he is firing figs that support the rise in claiming.......good to see Rispoli ride thru the claim

3  Justin's Quest   last sure fits but can she run as well off of a 2 1/2 month layoff.......my guess is yes as Pratt stays up and he has a solid history when riding this gelding (6 2 3 0)........five year old should be in the mix from the get go

2  Conquest Cobra   by far at his best on the SA main track........latest race fits just fine here despite the rise of two claiming levels........10 lbs apprentice up and up on a gelding that usually rides close to the front end off things.......that can keep Jessica Pyfer out of trouble........Belvoir eight year old seems quite dangerous

 

race 7    below average clarity

2  Microrithms   SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE  strange running lines for this Baffert six year old as he has run eye to eye battling for the lead in all 8 of his lifetime races.......pace wise you would think he would get loose in this spot but I wouldn't count on it......either way he seems like the one to beat

3  Pryon   nice win following the Glatt claim and the red hot trainer must like what he saw for him to move him up vs quite a bit tougher......retains Prat who once again should get a nice mid pack trip

7  Champagneonme   beaten badly by our top choice when they faced each other on 29 August.......but claimed in the race by Sadler and the veteran trainer has him training like a vastly improved individual.........we shall se if that is so about 4 p.m. pacific

6  California Street

 

race 8    average clarity

8  Rockie Causeway   last two races are par like for today's level of racing and like today were run at one mile on the grass.......filly has been away for 8 weeks but in the interim she has managed to work six times..........1st time blinkers and she already has as much speed as anyone in the field.......Rispoli up......hard not to like this Baltas 4th time starter

5  Cheerful Charm   Prat might have jumped off of our top choice to ride this filly who made a nice move forward in her 2nd start but that race was 76 days ago and the works since are OK but not as stout as those of our top pick-a-rue.........like our top pick she should be in the mix from the get go

6  Rose's Crystal   appears the most dangerous of those coming from the rear of the field........retains hot rider Hernandez........and breaks from the 6 post for the 4th straight time.......filly must think she owns the post by now and might be getting very comfortable breaking from it

4  New Heat

7  Slew's Screen Star

 

Posted on October 13, 2020 at 6:30 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections