Printer Friendly View Printer Friendly View

Santa Anita for Saturday 3 April 2021

Mandatory payout of the 20 cent pick 6 at Santa Anita today for Derby Day. The pool is estimated to exceed $5,000,000 and starts in race 7. The race card is first class and I hope my handicapping turns out to be the same.

Best of luck as always!!

 

race 1    average clarity

1  Undisturbed   new trainer in Dean Pederson for this filly who has been absent for 13 months........and Dean sure seems to have the trump card for this filly as her a.m. work is vastly improved.........look for Tyler Baze to go after the front end and try and wire the field

2  Cinnte Winnte   Patrick Gallagher is decent with Euro invaders making their 1st start in the USA and this girl's lone start overseas in Ireland appears to  be a solid effort on the turf and at today's one mile distance.......good grass jock in Rispoli and the only two mounts that Umberto has had for the trainer over the last two months were very "live"

8  Crazy Speigty

7  Lookintogeteven

5  Lady Crocker

 

race 2    average clarity

4  Zestful   last two races are quite a bit better than par for today's given level when you adjust for trip......cut back in distance should help his staying power........and he appears to be the most likely leader and with Maldonado up.......that is always a very dangerous proposition for the opposition

1  Pubilius Syrus   (5 4 1 0) since switching to dirt racing and 4 of the races were with today's rider J J Hernandez in the irons......late runner is a smooth running sort who seems to handle dirt in his face very well......six year old should be on the scene late

6  Kershaw

3  King Abner

 

race 3    average clarity

2  I Will Not   very solid figs in his last 4 races albeit on the dirt but his lone USA grass race was a 5 1/2F turf race that also fits well vs. today's competition..........Gutierrez should work out a nice ground saving near the front end of things trip in a race likely to reward those that do

5  Took Charge   average turf pedigree for this Miller invader coming in from the east coast where he was trained by a 19% trainer (Miller for 20/21 is a 20% trainer).....if this colt does handle the green carpet he should be in a great spot as he appears to be the lone speed in the field

7  City Rage

4  Best Chance

 

race 4    average clarity

5  Bobby Bo  three year old colt is training exceptionally well for his MSW debut even be the lofty standards of a Baffert horse......that and Prat gets the call and Flavien has won his last 6 of 8 mounts for the world's best trainer with three year old colts

7  Patron d'Oro   trainer is much better with 2nd time starters than 1st time starters and Koriner sure has gotten his colt to train well since his MSW debut where he showed brilliant speed but tired in the stretch.......believe this three year old with plenty of early gas won't quit so easily today

1  Secret Weapon  SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE

4  Laurel River

 

race 5    average clarity

6  Closing Remarks   difficult to separate our top three picks but this filly seems best on the Santa Anita turf and retains Rispoli who has given this filly good rides in 3 of his 4 races riding her........1st racing as far as 9F but she sure has finished her last two 8F races with vigor

4  Going Global   beat our top selection in her latest race but earned the same Santucci fig.......and today she carries 4 lbs more while our top pick carries the same weight..........but then again Prat is 8 for his last 20 riding for the D'A........so let me repeat that it is difficult to separate our top three picks

2  Quattroelle

5  Royal Address

 

race 6    average clarity

1  Moraz   talk about being on the right end of the learning curve......filly just keeps improving and she likely only has to repeat her latest to be quite formidable here.....and of course her upward trend has a shot of continuing.......trainer has had a chilly meeting but this filly has been a bright spot for him

3  Soothsay   thru the years Mandella has been outstanding with young fillies and he just might have another good one here with this three year old who was impressive in her MSW debut and even more so in the a.m. since......and the fact that the red hot high in demand Prat stays put reinforces the idea this one is ready for today's big step up in class

5  Beautiful Gift

 

race 7    average clarity

7  Rip City   quite the individual as a four year old (6 4 2 0) and all of the efforts were run in one mile grass races..........1st to date racing at 9F of turf.........sire's stats are so so for 9F but the Dam's sire screams the longer the better......that and this gelding should get great up close position in a race that seemingly favors those that do and with Mario Gutierrez up who was aboard for all 6 of the aforementioned 2021 turf races

2  Club Aspen   like on top pick this colt should sit on or near the lead and with one fine jock in John Velasquez who is so tough with speed types route or sprint........four year old has only raced on the turf at 9F and the race is arguably his lifetime best

8  Coast of Roan

3  Storm the Bastille

4  Motown Music

 

race 8    average clarity

7  Medina Spirit   best credentials in this field by far and his works since his 2nd place finish in a Grade 2 have never been better.......as usual this Baffert youngster should be in the mix from the get go........Johnny V coming in for the mount......hard not seeing this colt being anything but tough

9  The Great One   bombed in his latest race but his efforts 2 and 3 back give him some shot at upsetting our top choice........I doubt O'Neill would enter this three year old colt in this prestigious Garde 1 if he didn't believe his colt could mount a rebound

2  Dream Shake

6  Ottothelegend

10  Defunded

 

race 9    average clarity

4  Warren's Showtime  ultra consistent Cal-bred and especially so on the SA turf (10 5 1 4)........fell off slightly in her latest race but her previous 4 one mile grass races are very strong and the one on 27 December is disguised in it's strength by about 5L of trip adjustment......should be a decent price

3  Charmaine's Mia  The D'A is awfully good at getting a turf sprinter to handle a two turn one mile turf race for the 1st time in their career and he sure showed it in this mare's latest winning a Grade 2 at today's one mile turf distance........five year old mare has run her two lifetime best figs since D'Amato took over as the trainer.......Prat wisely stays put.......she is proven running well without Lasix ........plenty to like

1  Dogtag

6  Laura's Light

5  Raymundos Secret

 

race 10    average clarity

5  Becca Taylor   last race run fits well at today's higher level of racing and today we get a monumental jock upgrade to the hottest jock around in Prat.......1st racing as far as 6 1/2F but the way she has been finishing her races suggests the added 1/16 will be a plus

6  Dylan's Wild Cat   needs her race 3 back and her a.m. work of late hints we will see it........one for one with today's jock Gutierrez up........Mario should get position stalking the lead.......6 1/2 furlongs should be a good fit

1  Governor Goteven

4  Maybe I Will

9  Pray for My Owner

 

race 11    below average clarity

4  A New Peace  SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE  tepid top pick is improving with each and every race and if that can continue this afternoon 1st following the Knapp claim she should have a shot at overcoming today's significant step up in class......works since Steve Knapp took over are nicely improved hinting that the trainer has a handle on his new acquisition (Miller to Knapp you say - both stand at 17% win for the SA meeting)

6  Applecross   last two races hide this one's ability as two different low percentage turf jocks sat too far off lackluster fractions in both races.........back to Johnny V who rode her race 3 back.........and her fig earned in the race is about 3 lengths better than par for today's level

9  Nice Ice

12  Quiet Secretary

3  Cassie Belle

 

race 12    average clarity

3  The Chosen Vron   both lifetime races fit and are disguised in their strength.......three year old gelding was inside with pace on two days where the rail was dull which is rather unlucky......racing surface has been fair for quite awhile now and Smith stays put......won his only race at 6 1/2F by 7L and it was his MSW debut........hard not to like with money Mike Smith in the saddle

7  Good With People   believe this colt to be the speed of the speed.........three year old is (5 3 2 0) in sprint races restricted the Cal-breds........J J Hernandez is one nice jock and especially so in dirt sprint races......hard not like

2  Letsgetlucky

4  None Above the Law

11  Mister Bold

Posted on April 3, 2021 at 9:58 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections