Del Mar for Sunday 30 August 2020

Do not miss out on our full card (likely 14 races) special pub. for Kentucky Derby day on 5 September. Please sign up as soon as possible as logistically speaking it helps us out. As usual the selections will be sent to your email at about 4 p.m. pacific.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    above average clarity

4  Rantanen   young promising trainer is in his 1st career slump and that might be the catalyst for dropping his two year old colt into claiming for the 1st time.....that and I doubt that Prat and his agent would take the youngster for the 1st time if his relative health wasn't in decent shape

5  Freerunning   gate to wire threat with a good speed rider up

2  Mandrew

7  Grit City Kid

 

race 2    average clarity

6  Midnight Garden   five year old mare can get loose in this spot but she can win without the lead so J J Hernandez has options........owner/trainer combo of Wygod/Sise have had one nice summer as a team

5  Operatic   very consistent late runner needs to learn what it means to win again.......2nd time Prat might help the cause

7  Atina

2  Take a Leap

 

race 3    average clarity

4  Heels Up   Baffert's MSW 1st time starter appears to like the Del Mar surface as her a.m. work is night and day better since switching her training from LA.......last preparatory drill is an eye popping 58:4 Hg

5  Gravitron   turf to dirt for her 2nd start and her pedigree is better for the dirt......Hollendorfer has been firing at a better rate than his (9 1 3 2) indicates

1  Moomlight d'Oro

7  Fracing Fast

 

race 4    below average clarity

1  Miss Fraulein   1st on the grass today and with a decent enough work on it 10 days ago........good trainer with turf sprinters in Peter Miller........three year old filly broke on top and opened a clear lead the two times she started from the one post both of which were dirt sprints

3  With This Vow   graduated in her 2nd lifetime start off of 27 days rest........2nd out after a break today (21 days rest).......good grass pedigree

4  Brittle and Yoo

6  Queensbeccaandjane

8  Sugar Pickle

 

race 5    average clarity

5  With Due Cause   last was OK considering today's lower level but what we want is his effort 2 back which was run run at today's 5 1/2F distance.......both mounts that J J Hernandez got from Mike Harrington over the last couple of months were live ones and one of them was a win

6  Colt Fiction   solid better than par for today's given level........can he repeat it is the ? mark as this five year has only been able race twice (1 July 18 and 7 August 20)

3  Jungle Roar

10  Spud

2  Starship Chewbacca

 

race 6    average clarity

6  Bud Knight   when Powell has legged up top turf jocks this gelding is (4 1 3 0).........latest race which was the 2 August version of the turf race is solid and disguised in its strength some........gelding gets 3 lbs off today........Rispoli wisely remains up.......hard not to like

1  Rip City   ultra impressive when last seen on New Years Day 2020........a ton if he is up for similar today off of an extended hiatus from the game

5  Tallien

3  Montana Moon

8  City Rage

 

race 7    average clarity

2  Uncaptured Hero   seems like an alarming drop to some degree but this gelding's lone race at Del Mar was a win and easily his lifetime best........so why not drop to 32Knw2 to win and at the same time get eligible for the nw2 starter races.......Prat up supports the notion this gelding is healthy enough

3  Nesbit   works sure suggest this Sherman gelding is meant and ready fresh off of the bench........and he gets in light with 2 lbs off for entering for 28K and 7 more with the bug boy in the saddle

7  Terrible Ted

1  Natural History

8  Etterbay Ucklay

 

race 8    average clarity

6  Most Sandisfactory   sprint-route-sprint scenario.......turf to dirt.......and most importantly 2nd out following a claim where O'Neill is 32% win with his last 44........draws leading rider Rispoli to boot

3  Poise to Strike   last likely wouldn't do but his effort two back would......needs a rebound

12  Air Jockey

11  U. S. Ranger

10  Hoop Dream

 

race 9    average clarity

8  Thanks Mr. Eidson   very big race 2nd time turf 2 races back.......colt raced 3 wide and did so a length off of a nasty set of fractions........sharp preparatory works.......likely will stalk our 2nd selection.......like his chances if that is the position he sits in

6  Brickyard Ride   colt has opened up a clear lead in all 6 races since the blinkers were put on.........rider upgrade.......races at the shortest distance of his career which seems like a positive

3  Devil Made Me Doit

2  Nero

1  Seven Scents

 

race 10    average clarity

3  Governor Goteven   small barn with a nice Cal-bred who won a Cal-bred $100K Stakes like today in her 2nd lifetime start by 3 1/2L earning a nice fig.......she also won her debut.......sharp 4F recent work hints she should fire another solid race

5  Will Take a Kiss   nice forward move to graduate with the addition of blinkers........and improved a.m. work since........should be tough for Mike Harrington and company

2  Do You Hear That

1  Mucha Woman

 

race 11    below average clarity

3  Wind and Hope   solid move forward in her 2nd lifetime start and for the 1st time in her career she gets to race off of short rest........significant jock upgrade especially so for a grass race.......trainer is having a stellar Del Mar meeting

6  Acoustic Shadow   better than it appears MSW debut in Jan in Florida.......decent a.m. preparation.......Powell is better than average with horses racing off of extended layoffs........seems ready and likely at a handsome price

7  Frose

1  Ya Beauty

2  Miss Audrey Pray

9  Viazar

 

Posted on August 30, 2020 at 9:00 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Del Mar for Sunday 23 August 2020

Kentucky Derby Day is 13 days away. Purchase is available and for a very limited time save $5 on our special publication for racing's big day at Churchill Downs. As usual your selections will be sent to your email starting around 6 p.m. on Friday the day before Derby Day.

So so card to end the week. Be back with you next Friday

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

5  Dehydration  three year old filly is 3 for 4 since the blinkers were removed and the one blemish was likely brought on by a stumbling start........1st out after the Hess claim and with the claim we get a rider upgrade.......such a deal

1  High On Gin   last was dull but her two efforts 2 and 3 back fit fine considering today's lower level.......not sure if we will see a rebound but if she musters one she will have a big shot to take down this race

4  Miss Important

 

race 2    average clarity

7  Querelle   Peter Miller's four year old filly shows up every time when competing in abbreviated turf sprints as in 2 wins and 3 seconds from 5 starts........that and her two wins were when she started from the outside (post 4 of 5 - post 9 of 10).......post 7 of 8 today

8  Watch Me Burn   seemingly owns the best early speed in the race and she retains a good speed rider in J J Hernandez who sure is holding his own versus the top riders in S Cal (hope he stays).........filly is coming off of her lifetime best grass race and it was the only time she has been on the Del Mar turf and at today's 5F

5  Lucky Peridot

4  Great Return

2  Holly Hundy   

 

race 3    average clarity

2  As Time Goes By   three year old Baffert filly is training like she has a bright future and she sure owns a strong pedigree......dad's a Triple Crown winner and mom has tossed 7 winners from 8 starters two of which were Stakes winners.........Baffert is unreal with MSW 1st time starters as in 38% win with his last 200

7  Classy Ruler   best sprinting and her best of her two sprints was run at Del Mar and it was this girl's MSW debut where she ran sub 1:10 as a two year old.......so with that in mind she should be quite dangerous racing fresh off of a 3+ month layoff for John Shirreffs and company

4  Flat Out Joy

5  La V. 

 

race 4    average clarity

3  Into Victory   all three of her lifetime grass races fit solidly with the MSW to MC20K drop if of course she can run as well on the Del Mar dirt.........her pedigree by my book is better for the dirt than the grass........and her recent a.m. at Del Mar supports the notion

12  AE Dolci   both lifetime dirt races fit solidly here at today's much lower level.......trainer is 31% the 1st time he races a given runner for a tag

11  AE  True Mischief   par like effort for this filly in her latest in the 2 Aug version of this race.........she appears to have enough route speed to clear all or most by the back stretch........and if she does I like her chances

6  Gotta Be Lucky

7  Cameo Shores

4  Midnight Jamboree

 

race 5    average clarity

8  Muchly   latest race for this Callaghan filly might do the trick but what we want is her effort put in 2 or 3 races back........1st ever at the distance of 1 1/16 but when examining her running lines in appears as if it will be a good fit........rider upgrade.....sorry Van Dyke fans

4  Gypsy Spirit   Prat should work out a great trip utilizing the tactical speed that this filly owns.......he should be able to save ground and might even find himself loose on the lead......would have been top pick if wasn't for this girl's overall record (22 1 5 6) which isn't exactly encouraging as far as her desire to win goes

5  Sicilla

7  Gallovie

1  Hollywood Girl

 

race 6    below average clarity

4  Outlaw   latest race should hide this one's ability as he dueled in decent fractions and did so on a rail that was not a good place to be (especially for speed) on 24 July at Del Mar.......he has run quite well on the Dmr dirt in the past and his a.m. work since the July race is night and day better.......and look who wants the gelding for the 1st time - Flavien Prat

1  Awhitesportscoat   six year old ran a adjusted for trouble par like effort for today's much higher level and that is somewhat disguised by a bad start and a wide trip......and one of the trainer's stronger stats in 2nd out after a layoff which is the case today

2  More Honor

3  Mayan Warrior

9  Vander Kelen

 

 

race 7    below average clarity

5  Southern King   vaulted forward two races back to his lifetime best 1st time racing with blinkers.........regressed badly in his next start.......NY bred needs a rebound and if he provides one he should be tough to handle racing in a claiming race for the 1st time........and Miller is not afraid to lose a horse by way of a claim to win a race

8  Hootie   last won't likely do the trick but his race 2 back would.......claimed by O'Neill in his latest and he gets Rispoli to ride thru the claim.......and Umberto is 3 for 6 riding this six year old

2  French Getaway

4  Holy Ghost

6  Worthy Turk

 

race 8    below average clarity

5  Ensleys Dream   tepid top pick has put in numerous works and some of them are rather good.......mom has tossed 7 winners from 8 starters......Brian Koriner wins his fair share with MSW 1st time starters

1  Squared Shady   Jeff Bonde is only 6% win with MSW 1st time starters but he gets Smith to accept the mount........and the a.m. work is decent and weekly hinting this filly is in good shape physically speaking

9  Smoothlikebuttah

3  Dylans Wild Cat

2  Needless to Say

 

race 9    average clarity

4  Mo Forza   returns off of a long layoff with the blinkers taken off and a prolonged good looking work tab that hints he will handle his 1st career layoff well.........and if that is the case he stands out here in this Grade 2 that didn't come up very tough

7  Royal Ship   not sure how well one of the top turf horses in Brazil fits at today's level but he sure trains as if he has acclimated extremely well to Del Mar.......rather sure he is fully fit and ready.......so.......we will see how fits vs USA competition today

3  Galilean

2  Bombard

10  Kiwi's Dream

 

race 10    average clarity

9  Express Train   away since September but very strong works for the likes of Shirreffs as he doesn't often push them hard in the a.m.........race two back at Del Mar is off the charts good.........one of the top two year old route figs produced in 2019........colt can sprint as well as route as he showed in his MSW debut.......hard not to like

11  Julius   (4 3 0 1) and the 3rd place finish was vs Midcourt where he was less than 2L behind the multiple Graded Stakes winner......rider has had only two mounts for Miller at this meeting and they were both wins on this consistent gelding who loves the Dmr main track

2  Jamming Eddie

5  Appreciated

8  Drop the Chalupa

 

race 11    below  average clarity

13 AE  K P D Day   SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE  Mullins is an average trainer these days but not with 2nd time turf runners where he is ever so dangerous........that and top turf jock Rispoli sticks with the gelding who showed life on the grass in the always difficult route turf debut

5  Jack Sprout   made up 6L after sitting dead last in a 5F turf race 4 weeks ago......2nd out after a layoff and this colt owns a decent pedigree for a route.......blinkers go on today and with decent recent a.m. work......dangerous sort

2  Summer Fun   Gaines is 20% win 3rd following a layoff which is the case today........jock upgrade and her latest grass race was not bad......not out of the win picture by any means

10  Huge Bigly

8  Tembo

6  Notre Dame

Posted on August 21, 2020 at 8:49 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Del Mar for Saturday 22 August 2020

Kentucky Derby Day is 2 weeks away. Purchase is available and for a very limited time save $5 on our special publication for racing's big day at Churchill Downs. As usual your selections will be sent to your email starting around 6 p.m. on Friday the day before Derby Day.

Enjoy this fabulous day of racing at Del Mar. The card sure looks awfully good to me. Hope I help you make you some money.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    above average clarity

2  Princess Noor  Baffert 1st time starter was bought for 1 1/3 million as a two year old and so the best trainer with young horses on the planet has his potential star training like she should be one tough customer in her debut

7  Flash Magic   another Baffert 1ster all wound up and seemingly ready to give her best in her debut into the wonderful world that is thoroughbred racing

1  Frosted Blue   very strong work tab at Lrc prior to her MSW debut did not carryover to the Del Mar surface as this filly ran just OK in her debut........that race and two decent works since on the Dmr track might have her tuned-up for the ocean-side racetrack this time around

6  Peachtree Road

 

race 2    average clarity

7  Unchain Her Heart   two solid races to start this girl's career last summer as a two year old......likely injured in her 3rd which was dull.......a dozen works put in in preparation for her return to the race wars and the last two which were put in at Del Mar hint she is peaking at the right time......she should be in the mix from the get go with a good speed jock up

2  Li'l Grazen   solid race/number in her latest........for the fifth straight race she is up for the optional tag of $20K........rather amazing she hasn't been claimed.......last is very good and if she repeats it she should have been top choice.....but.....she has regressed in the past following top efforts

6  Anna Fantastic   very strong MSW debut at SA in June to graduate overcoming a wide track up close to the pace........little shot to strut her stuff in start number two as she pressed a decent pace from the inside which was not the place to be at Dmr on 27 July.........dangerous sort and at a  price

5  Wandering Patrol  SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE 

 

race 3    average clarity

7  Choas Theory   this "capper" has always liked high priced claims that enter in a Stakes race their next start especially for a trainer of Sadler's ability.......gelding has handled 3 different grass courses well so he likely will take to the Del Mar turf especially since he just worked a bullet on it

1  Sparky Ville   last was decent but what this gelding needs is his effort put forth 3 races back in May.......and if he gives it he has a much better turf rider up today in M Smith than the struggling rider that was up on the 23 May effort

8  Mikes Tiznow   speed of the speed is always quite dangerous in these abbreviated 5F turf sprints and this fellow is one quick out of the gate five year old.......and Richardo Gonzalez knows this gelding well and has amassed a record of (6 4 2 0) riding him

3  Baja Sur

5  Mesut

 

race 4    average clarity

2  Secret Keeper   2 for 2 to start her career and her last race is par like for today's Grade 3 level.......1st at a route but she owns a strong pedigree for one and her trainer C. Sise is 5 for his last 20 "1st time long"........three year old filly might get ignored at the windows some

3  Harvest Moon   on the improve with each and every start and my guess is she moves forward again as Prat stays put.........and.......... her trainer is very stout at developing young runners........filly is shooting for a perfect 3 for 3 in dirt routes today

6  Provocation   solid works that might have this filly ready for her best (which she will need) in her 3rd lifetime start and 1st to date in a route.........her pedigree for a distance endeavor is strong

5  Aurelia Garland

 

race 5    average clarity

8  Lane Way  solid 1st on the sod in this colt's latest in a race run off of works that were not anything special.........since the 19 June race the works are numerous and very impressive.......rather sure this colt fires his best to date today......Prat wisely sticks around

4  Comradery   Irish invader likely needed his first adventure in the USA as he had little support at the windows.........that and he races 2nd time Lasix for Sadler today and the crafty trainer in 32% win & 63% in the money with his last 19 with the move.......retains Hernandez who gets a much better post to work with than he had in this colt's last race

10  Absolute Unit   sprint-sprint-route maneuver led to a solid 2nd place finish last winter at SA.......same sprint-sprint-route scenario today........leading grass rider Rispoli wisely stays put.....Eurton/Rispoli combo are 5 for their last 10

1  Fire Polish

5  War Path

 

race 6    above average clarity

7  Fratelli   lone race at Del Mar which was his MC debut was very solid winning by 8 1/2 lengths and earning a "real" number that is 4L better than par for today's higher level........2nd out was at SA and it was par for today's level.......toss 3rd start out as he ran predictably dull on the grass with a pedigree that hinted he might........Del Mar dirt today

10  Square Deal   trainer's stats are alarmingly good the 1st time he puts a given runner in a claiming race which is the case today.........Simon Callaghan in 42% win and 74% in the money with his last 19 making the move........very dangerous as this gelding owns some big back numbers

2  Baby Gronk   seems best on the Del Mar dirt and at 6F (7 1 3 2 1 at 6F)......that and his very best was run last summer at Del Mar in late July off of 52 days rest.......63 days since his last race........hmmm

4  All I Can Say

9  Taco Waco

 

race 7    above average clarity

1  United   gelding's two 12 furlong grass races are fabulous nearly upsetting the apple-cart at 51 to 1 in the ever so tough B C Turf and running nearly as well in the other in a G2 at Del Mar where he nearly overcame a wide trip losing by only a neck to win.......should get a nice ground saving stalk position this go around........1st at 11F but his 12F prowess bodes well for his chances competing at 11F

7  Red King   the D'A does awfully well in marathon races and he is red hot........six year old really took to Rispoli on his back for the 1st time to win the 14F turf affair by more than 4L.......works since are improved hinting he might be up to his lifetime best today.......hard to ask for more than that

5  Ward 'n Jerry   Puype's seven year old is (3 2 0 1) racing at 11F or 12F on the turf......still this gelding will need his lifetime best to date to have any chance of beating our top pick if he runs his race

9  Oscar Dominquez

10  Originaire

 

race 8    average clarity

3  Potantico   latest race which was run in the 25 July version of this one mile nw2 alw race fits and today we get one positive change in riders.....that and the a.m. work for this gelding is much more impressive for today's race than it was prior to his last race......hard not to like

4  Take the One O One  five year old has a decent shot at getting loose on the lead..........last two wins came the last two times this guy raced turf to dirt.......turf in latest.......dirt today........shooting for a perfect 3 for 3 on the Del Mar main track today

6  Extra Hope   very strong work regiment for this Mandella colt........the kind of a.m. preparation you do not do and then give your colt a "gimme"......very dangerous fresh off of the bench four year old

1  Unbroken Star

8  Kershaw

 

race 9    average clarity

8  Neige Blanche   French invader draws the attention of Prat who should have plenty of filly to work with come stretch time as the three year old has raced at 10F or greater her whole (6 race) career........that and her last race was run was only 2 1/2 months ago

4  Warren's Showtime   heck of a nice Cal Bred three year old filly gets a monumental rider upgrade (Velez has been up for all her races) from one that is 0 for 45 to Mike Smith........how many lengths is that worth?........my algorithm work says 4.......LOL......hey don't laugh too hard as I was a nuclear weapons electronics specialist in the army in West Germany before the wall came down

10  Laura's Light   filly should sit in a nice stalk position which has led to 4 of her 5 lifetime wins in the past........jock sure fits this filly as in 4 wins and a second in five mounts on her

3  Miss Extra   Richard Mandella late runner

9  Parkour  Richard Mandella front runner

 

race 10    average clarity

5  Maximum Security  a stumbled start and a disqualification or this top rated in the USA colt would be a perfect 11 for 11........that and he sure is acting as if he is feeling great as he has been able to put in 14 furlongs of powerful works since his Grade 2 win at Del Mar run on 25 July........somewhat lucky to win his last but most horses do better at Del Mar the 2nd run over the oval

1  Midcourt   actually ran about a length better Santucci fig vs. our top pick in his last........but whereas I think our top pick moves forward I believe this guy will run another strong race but not any better than his last........and he carries 2 lbs more whereas our top choice carries 3 lbs less

3  Mirinaque   won a prestigious dirt Grade 1 in Argentina in his maiden run by 1 1/2L and with a gap of 13L to 3rd.........that race was run 9 Nov 19.........then he ran 2nd 4 months later beating 15 of 16 foes in another of the top races run in ARG...........proven fresh and 1st time racing on Lasix........the wild card in the race

 

race 11    average clarity

4  Shadow Sphinx   Prat is 3 for 4 on this gelding who is quite versatile as he is capable of producing significant speed and at the same time he can win from far off of the pace setters as well.......top jock with options.......have to like that

7  Three Ay Em   2 wins - a 2nd and a 3rd in 4 turf routes leading up to his last where he had a wide trip and checked a length and ran 5th because of it.........but somewhat ironically he earned his best lifetime Santucci fig.........Mike Smith will be out to make amends

8  Southern King  SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE   last was poor and/or he didn't want anything to do with the 11F distance.........either way if he is up to his race two back which was his 1st with the blinkers on he will have a big shot of taking down this nw alw affair

3  Ostini

10  Desmond Doss

5  Salvator Mundi

 

 

Posted on August 20, 2020 at 3:09 pm by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Del Mar for Friday 21 August 2020

Kentucky Derby Day is 15 days from now. Purchase is available and for a very limited time save $5 on our special publication for racing's big day at Churchill Downs. As usual your selections will be sent to your email starting around 6 p.m. on Friday the day before Derby Day.

Tremendous card tomorrow at Del Mar for Pacific Coast Classic day.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

5  Hurley   trainer is quite strong 2nd out after a claim and 2nd out after a layoff both of which are the case this afternoon.......that and I like the step up of one claiming level which hints this filly exited her layoff run in good shape.......extra 1/16 of ground to cover appears to be a plus

7  Quinne   major league rider upgrade......combine that with the significant cut back turf distance and we have a mare who looks awfully tough with the drop down in class

3  Kittyhawk Lass  SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE  race lacks speed so sharp grass jock Rispoli likely will send this filly hard.......might sit pretty in one of the 1st three positions in what should be a very slow pace

4  Lexingto Grace

 

race 2    average clarity

7  Drippin Sauce   2 of this gelding's 3 races run on the Dmr dirt are solid numbers for today's level of racing which includes his latest run at 7F........and the 1/2 furlong less to cover today appears to be a plus

3  Natural History   invader is eligible for the extra money available to out-of-towners........last two races run at CD fit well in this spot........1st time gelding today so there is some potential for "better" today.......seems somewhat significant that this is Victor Espinoza's lone mount on the card

1  Tizhotndusty   nice effort turf to dirt two back........turf in last and dirt today........and improved a.m. work.....might be sitting on lifetime best

5  Promise Nothing

4  Hidden Promise

 

race 3    average clarity

2  Murad Khan   positive jock change especially for a grass race.......gelding just ran his lifetime best and that is rather hidden because of a bad trip and a 3rd place finish........seven year old loves the Del Mar turf course (4 2 0 2) and so O'Neill will likely pull out all stops with him today as this might be the last opportuntity to run at Dmr until late fall

3  Big Score   best overall credentials in the race with about 75% of his races better than par considering today's lower level of racing.........last run off of a layoff is solid and like our top choice disguised in it's strength........switch in jocks today to Prat.......that combined with a 2nd out following a prolonged break should make for a tough cookie this afternoon

5  Jasikan  (5 3 0 1) in one mile races.........likely needed his last......Rispoli stays put which is usually a very good thing in a grass race and especially so when he is on a horse who started their career overseas like this colt who hails from Ireland

 

race 4    average clarity

8  Little Miss Ellie   filly has run too well to lose in her two lifetime starts which were also at the Cal Bred MC50K level........not the best of trips in both races.......should be very tough if she holds form and Cedillo gives her an OK trip

2  Jan Jan Can   solid move forward in this girl's 2nd lifetime start and the strength of the improvement is hidden some.......rider upgrade today and she might improve again........a major player if that scenario comes to fruition

6  Get'em Tiger   only conventional dirt race for this Quinn Howey runner is decent.....sprint-route-sprint maneuver today which is a strong move by the trainer as in 6 for his last 13

10  Magnolia's Hope

7  She's Our Arch

 

race 5    average clarity

(NOTE:  AE 11 Dennis Celery has a shot if he draws into the field) SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE 

1  Scooby   colt was able to run 3rd in his debut which was in a 100K dirt Stakes race despite breaking a little tardy and racing wide.......Prat stays put likely realizing that he is the one to overcome if he can give this two year old a better trip and he takes to the surface and distance change.....OK pedigree for the sod

9  Big Talker   two year old route turf experience is surely a plus and his MSW debut is better than it looks as Mike Smith sat dead last in a race with a pedestrian pace.......mom has tossed 4 turf winners from 5 starters (two were Stakes winners) and she has a chance to make it 5 for 5 with this colt

2  Warren's Candy Man   good new sire and mom has tossed one winner from one starter who was a Stakes winner and also a turf winner........trainer hasn't hit the board with his last nine 1st timers debuting on the turf but that might change today

6  Big Fish

3  Teton Valley

 

race 6    below average clarity

7  King Parker   9 straight races with Velez up (0 for 43 and counting).......better recent a.m. work and Prat up who has won 2 of his last 4 riding for Lewis.........hmmmm

11  Fire When Ready   Hess is dangerous both 2nd out after a claim and dropping multiple levels......both are the case here........gelding is 2 for 5 at 6F and 2 for 14 at other distances

14 AE  Midnight Destiny  SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE 

1  Papa Turf

2  Black Storm

10  Adens Dream

 

race 7    average clarity

3  Hudson River Park   all three lifetime dirt races for this fresh off of the O'Neill claim runner fit solidly at the MC20K level........10% win trainer in 2020 but Doug is more than 2 1/2 times that 1st following a claim........hard not to put on top

9  World Affairs   both lifetime dirt races fit......nice reassuring work since his last which was the 27 July version of this race......decent rider/trainer combo in Cedillo & Glatt

1  Sharp Speaker   improving of late and he might be up for another positive move forward.......dangerous if progress continues this afternoon

11 AE  Next Revolt

4  Kazansky

6  Tiger's Song

 

race 8    below average clarity

6  Hotitude   ignoring her lone turf race as it was a route run off of a layoff and likely was a gimme as she went off 33 to 1.......that and she just worked a solid bullet 4F turf drill........Mulhall is having a good meeting at Dmr with limited starters and a good portion of that success is with today's rider J J Hernandez up

4  Leggs Galore   nice maiden breaking win in her latest which was run 2 weeks ago and also at today's 5F turf distance.........that race fits well at today's higher level but Cedillo does not ride back instead he is on our 5th choice........perplexing move or would have made her top pick

11  Liberalism   dangerous speed if he takes to his 1st on the turf.......pedigree for it is decent......top turf jock sticks around

9  Smiling Annie

2  Shylock Eddie

 

race 9    average clarity

2  Into Chocolate   (5 3 2 0) in her last 5 races when not wearing blinkers.........Clifford Sise has been firing on all cylinders at Del Mar and has had quite the rebound 2020.....2 of the last 3 races run for this filly fit well here (one at Bel and one at Dmr) and the effort at Dmr is disguised by a wide trip moving into a fast 3/4's for a 6 1/2F affair

1  Gingham   strange career for a Baffert runner as this three year old filly started her career with 8 straight route races......her latest and her lifetime best was in a sprint of 6 1/2F and she broke from the one post.........very aggressive a.m. work.......hard not to like

5  Sneaking Out   filly has been in the exacta 9 of 11 lifetime and overall has the best credentials in this G3 affair.......so why 3rd pick?.......she seems slightly dull in the morning since switching her morning work from LA to Dmr

8  Unique factor

6  Amuse

 

race 10    above average clarity

1  Rockie Causeway   solid improvement in this girl's 2nd lifetime start and considering that Prat stays up for a 3rd straight race she likely will continue her progress today........and she earned an adjust for trouble Santucci fig that is one length better than par for the given level.........and unless you are a touring golf pro one under is a good thing

4  Eddie's Sister   very good turf pedigree for this filly who showed speed in both of her lifetime sprints.......filly should go after the lead and try to never look back......trainer can do no wrong all of sudden

2  Nina En Fuego   should benefit from her debut which was the 1 August version of this race........and........the fact that leading grass rider Umberto Rispoli stays put supports the notion

6  Rose's Crystal

10  Cassie Belle

 

 

 

 

 

Posted on August 20, 2020 at 2:16 pm by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Del Mar for Saturday 15 August 2020

Kentucky Derby Day is only 3 weeks away. For a limited time save $5 on our special publication for racing's big day at Churchill Downs. As usual your selections will be sent to your email starting around 6 p.m. on Friday the day before Derby Day.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

4  Canadian Ginger   to borrow from a classic stock market saying, "the trend is your friend" and this filly is trending up race after race.........that and the trainer's go to guy over the last months is Mario Gutierrez.......like in her latest race (where she graduated with an easy 3 3/4L win) she should get a nice stalk position

7  Pasito   eased in his last but she was not a voided claim so in all likely with the scrutiny she would be under she is OK physically.........and she returns off of only 20 days rest and with a decent 5F work since the race.........race 2 back fits......responds when she is in the mix early......so.....1st time Maldonado seems like a wise move

2  Bella Renella  Scratched out of the race solid race 2 back racing off of 9 days rest.......then 41 days later she was dead on the board and ran like it........that race was only 7 days ago......hmmm

3  Sweet Honor

 

race 2    average clarity

1  Seiche   you don't see too many Baffert MSW three year old 1st timers that start their career as late as mid August but that is the case for this youngster.........and the wait might have been worth it as he is training "lights out" for his debut

2  Direct Line   red hot rider/trainer combo in Rispoli and Eurton as in 5 for their last 8 over the last two months........with that in mind it even makes the strong work regiment for this Eurton more eye opening.........rather sure this gelding is well-meant and ready to roll in his debut

4  Disco Ball   filly caught good fields in both lifetime starts.......her a.m. prowess since her latest on 27 June has been stellar.......she should be in the mix from the get go and tough to put away

6  Midnight Mystery   double barrel action from the Baffert barn as he also conditions our top pick...........four year old likely needs a forward move to take down this race or for our top two choices to falter

 

race 3    average clarity

2  Port Saint Joe   lone turf sprint which was run 6 races back on 4 Jan. is this gelding's lifetime best........in that race this guy did not where blinkers.......he has better speed with them on so I expect he will sit close to the front in an affair that shapes up to favor those that do.......should be a price

6  Graziano   some very flashy speedy drills at LA hint that this Simon Callaghan 1st time starter has some early gas......and as mentioned above this affair shapes up favorably those that do........owns a better than average pedigree to handle the sod

8  Tilte Towers   nice layoff race (and 1st the grass) 21 days ago in the 25 July version of this abbreviated turf sprint of 5F..........and the effort is somewhat hidden by a slow start and a nasty bump........dangerous player if he exits the metal monster better which he did do in his MSW debut on the dirt

5  Much More Halo

3  Cem Sultan

 

race 4    average clarity

1  Ronamo   ultra consistent sort on conventional dirt had hanger tendencies until her last two races which are quite strong........2nd out with the D'A as the trainer and historically speaking that has been one of the trainer's stronger the stats

4  Mongolian Legend   last two times this four year old went off a decent price he ran very solid races......believe he will go off higher than his 5 to 1 ML........he should be in the mix from the get go

5  Alvaaro   might be muscled up coming off of his 1st grass race which was at a distance of 1 1/16.........and added to that it should also help his "staying power" because of the cut back in distance

6  Convex

 

race 5    below average clarity

1  Eagle in the Sky   tepid top selection..........sprint-sprint-route scenario for this colt who has better route pedigree than most Cal-breds........and her breeding for the lawn seems adequate.....trainer Michael McCarthy is having a decent meeting and is solid in most of the relevant trainer categories that apply here

4  Caisson   colt should have an endurance advantage coming of decent one mile turf MSW debut.........and Richard Mandella is somewhat better with 2nd time starters than 1st time starters and one of his stronger starts is 2nd time route

7  Papale   low percentage trainer with 1st time starters in Glatt but the works (especially the two put in at 5F) and the pedigree for the sod that this two year old owns make him a little dangerous

3  Zoffa

 

race 6    average clarity

9 Lemon Drop Shot   two year old made his MC debut at Pln and he ran a decent time for the given level of racing......two reassuring works since......1st time Prat and over the last 2 months he won the lone mount he had from the Wong barn

1  Father O'Flaherty   decent debut 3 weeks ago in the 25 July version of this MC50K Cal-bred two year old race.......not sure if this colt will build on his debut run as he was "well-meant" in the race according to the odds he went off at.......but then again he might not have to do much more than his debut

6  C'Mon Jenna   hard to split our 2nd and 3rd picks as they were only separated by a neck on 25 July and earned the same Santucci fig

7  Cozy Bear

4  Rousing Summer

 

race 7    average clarity

5  Doc Tommy    OK works prior to his layoff last which was in the 24 July version of this nw alw 5F grass race for Cal-breds.......works since are much better than OK.......expecting much more from this Sadler colt today........like the move back to J J Hernandez who has done well on this youngster the two mounts that he has had on him

10 AE  Jamming Eddy  Scratched out of the race  very bad trip (very wide pressing a solid pace) for this Miller four year old and yet he only lost by a neck..........back quickly and switches to the grass.......he seems best on the Del Mar turf......retains Prat......a ton if he doesn't regress from such an incredible effort on 2 August

3  Hit the Seam   five year old gelding's consistent speed is impressive........it has been 10 races since he didn't have the lead or go eye to eye on the front end........hot rider/trainer combo in Gutierrez and Freeman

1  Foster Boi

2  Undeniable Proof

8  Zipper Mischief

 

race 8    average clarity

4  Illumination   big bucks purchase is training for Baffert and company as if she will yield some dividends today........filly finished off her a.m. preparation with four straight gate works which is usually a good sign that Bob means business.......Cedillo is 4 for 7 and with 3 others hitting the board for the world class trainer

5  Forest Caraway   Peter Miller two year old filly is also working as if she is ready to rock and roll at 1st asking........mom has tossed 4 winners from 5 starters and two of them were Stakes winners......good rider/trainer combo

3  Isn't She Lovely   a 3rd MSW 1ster who finished up her work regiment seemingly "peaking" at the right time........filly has some hints of early speed......Mike Smith up

1  Kalypso

9  Mandragora Seeker

 

race 9    average clarity

4  Mucho Unusual   strong figs and she sure has been facing tougher fields.......last time she ran in a Cal-bred Stakes she won by 3L and it was her 1st ever on the sod.........two reassuring works since returning from Kentucky..........Prat up for Yakteen who is heating things up

5  Pulpit Rider   seems at her very best racing at Del Mar at today's one mile turf distance........one of the trainer's better stats thru the years is 3rd out following a layoff........that is the case today for this five year old mare

2  Cordiality   top turf jock Rispoli has options as this mare is capable on or off the lead........seven year old won the 2018 version of this race

7  Kitty Boom Boom  

 

race 10    average clarity

6  Pyron   1st out after the Glatt claim which was made in Kentucky is a dangerous proposition for the opposition especially with the extra moola at stake for out of town horses........colt is 2 for 4 at today's dirt distance......stout rider/trainer combo in Prat & Glatt

3  It's Tiz Time   exits a very fast heat of nw alw horses which earned him a Santucci fig that is awfully strong for today's softer level.........hard not to like

1  Zimba Warrior   might be a good claim by Dollase and company of a colt who seems at his best when sprinting on conventional dirt........but.......he might not be that well meant in this spot (a protected from claiming race) because the trainer usually fires a strong effort 2nd after a claim not 1st

8  Lil Sydney

5  Tobacco Road

 

race 11    below average clarity

6  Mithqaal   six year old gelding should get a nice stalk position saving ground in a race that seems to favor those who will near the front in the early stages.......Wong is solid dropping a given claimer and that is what he is doing here

4  Contagion   ran 2nd in a weak 25K 3 weeks ago 1st out following the claim by Andrew Lerner.........trainer is cold but the rider is not especially on the lawn where he is dominating the jockey colony........somethings gotta give

9  Never Easy   with the claim by Knapp comes a rider upgrade especially for a turf race......and Steve Knapp is often at his most dangerous 1st following a claim or a private acquisition

7  Acker

2  Ocean Fury

8  More Over

 

 

Posted on August 15, 2020 at 7:17 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections