Santa Anita for Sunday 24 February 2019

Difficult sequence of races (4 thru 7) as you can tell from the clarity ratings. Be back with you on Thursday.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    above average clarity

4  Justin's Quest   seemingly on the improve with every start and his latest is exceptionally strong for the MSW level.......sure like the ample time off following such big run........same track and distance........should be as tough as nails if he gets anywhere close to the 31 December race again

5  Victory Element   par like races in all three lifetime starts......will need better than par here if he wants to beat our top selection........recent works hint he will move forward and run better than par......to what degree seems to be the ? mark

1  Caribbean   needs race 3 back and then some......trainer has had his best S Cal meeting in many a moon

 

race 2    average clarity

1  Nations Hope   solid wake-up in last especially pace wise.....was the catalyst for it the off track or not......if it wasn't he should be in the mix from the get go and tough thru-out

4  Sooner Better   toss out last as this colt appeared to dislike the off going.......race two back is better than it looks in print.......rider upgrade especially so when Arias is on a Keith Desormeaux runner.......as is "live baby live"

6  Midnight Roamer   94 to 1 in his MSW debut says tune-up city........we likely will see what that three-year old is made of today

3  Mulzoff

 

race 3    average clarity

4  Gypsy Blu   seems like an excellent claim for $20K by Glatt especially considering he has a protected spot to race in and yet it is a few lengths easier than her last level where she won......and we also get a rider upgrade.........sharp works.......all systems go

1  Madaket Sunset   she has run well on and off of the pace in 2 lifetime races on the SA hill grass course.......that versatility gives Bejarano options.....such a deal

2  Operandi   well proven on the Santa Anita hill (6 2 2 1).........mostly placed as 3rd choice because I'M not crazy about the fact she has only worked twice since her 12 Jan race.......and gets a very negative rider switch especially for a grass race (23% win on the lawn as compared to 6% win on the lawn)

 

race 4    below average clarity

6  Uno Trouble Maker   tepid top pick can really fly early but others in here can as well so it is nice that she has shown that she can win without the lead (2nd lifetime start on 29 Dec 17)........trainer Bill Spawr is white-hot and a good portion of his recent success is with today's rider Tiago Pereira up

1  No Wine Untasted   4 for 5 win when he opens up a loose lead.......as mentioned above there is more than one speed horse in this race.......and like our top pick his trainer is also on fire with his limited starters at the SA meeting

5  Baby Ice   connections likely will have their fingers crossed that the 1 and the 6 go at it hard early and do each other in.........that sure would enhance their chances with this mare who can stalk

 

race 5    below average clarity

6  Kitty Boom Boom   useful dirt sprint debut and now gets to run on a surface that should be to her liking.......seems pointed for today's turf route.......and the fact that Smith shows up for only one mount on the card only supports the notion

3  Ruby Bradley   ran a Z pattern (fell back and then closed) in her debut which was down the hill......like our top pick she might have been out to muscle up and be ready for her 2nd lifetime race......bred decently for a one mile turf race.......we shall see

5  Stylin Ocean   route-sprint-route scenario for this filly who is proven in grass routes although she has yet to hit the board in 3 grass routes.........but......she might have a very soft group to face today especially if I am all wet about the top two picks improving today

4  Lucky Lately

 

race 6    below average clarity

1  He Will   strong hidden move forward in latest in a 9F turf affair.......cuts back in distance and switches to the main track where he is 2 for 5 on the SA dirt.........drop makes sense as he is now 7 and has not earned his keep in 2018/19........and Hollendorfer is not messing around as he gets Rosario to ride

5  Avanti Bello   claimed back by Cerin and the only race run for this fellow with Cerin as the trainer (16 Nov 18) is solid.......and it is a good sign that Prat rides thru the claim

2  Sheer Flattery   hopefully bug boy Espinoza sends this fellow hard early as he does awfully well when he has contact to the front end.......we shall see

3  Secret Touch 

 

race 7    below average clarity

4  Tequila Joe   very good history for this gelding 2nd out following a layoff.......and that is the case for this afternoon's race.......no support at the windows whatsoever in his latest in a protected race......drops into a 40K claimer......full throttle today

5  Magic Musketier   last time this colt saw the grass was 4 races back in October where he ran one impressive race..........big rush down the back stretch and blocked badly in the home stretch........amazing effort to only get beat by one length.........like our top pick he also drops.......and draws Mr Rosario for the 1st time.........hard not to like

7  Cimpl Man   at his best at today's one mile turf distance.......trainer has struggled in 2018/19 but he might have made a good claim here and he is willing to put him up for the same tag he claimed this gelding for......good to see Desormeaux ride thru the claim

2  Incredible Luck

 

race 8    above average clarity

3  S Y Sky   five-year old mare is capable on or off of the pace and she sure is consistent.......basically she needs to run one of her softer lifetime races not to be a major factor in this small Stakes race

1  Show It N Moe It   best racing at 6 1/2 furlongs but like our top choice she shows up in a big way for most of her races......she did run one very strong race at 6F and she is best at SA........ jock knows her inside out having been up for most of her lifetime starts

4  Barbara Beatrice   late running filly is not impossible here if the 1 - 2 - 3 all go after the front end and set a decent pace.......she should save ground thru out and pounce on the leaders in the stretch if that is what occurs

 

race 9    average clarity

2  Aussie Fox   brutal trip in latest (7.5L of trip adjustment) earning an adjusted for trouble Santucci fig that is 3 1/2L better than par for today's racing level........that and he was claimed in the race by the red-hot Jeff Mullins.......and Jeff is able to coax Rosario to ride.......should be tough

5  Holy Ghost  away since May and shows up in a new barn......Cerin appears to have a very good handle on his new shooter as the a.m. work is solid........that and this four-year old has never raced lower.......seems like a major player

7  Super Terrific   not much doing in 3 lifetime races which were run in the winter of 2018......away since 9 March but returns with works that indicate that he is a much improved individual.......and he takes that magical drop from MSW to MC......dangerous for sure

8  Armed Wall

1  Combat Zone

 

 

 

 

Posted on February 24, 2019 at 9:28 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Santa Anita for Friday 22 February 2019

Average card at best this afternoon.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

3  Stormy Liberal   4 for 4 at the 5 & 5 1/2 furlong turf distance......and two of those races were the BC turf sprint......one at CD & one at Dmr......and today's jock was up four three of the four abbreviated turf sprint races.......that'l do

4  Eddie Haskell   by far at his best at 5F on the sod (8 5 1 2)........(6 0 0 3) at other turf sprint distances........still he will need plenty to go right to out finish our top selection........leading rider Rosario being aboard might help that happen

2  Tough Sunday   1 for 1 at the 5F turf distance and the race was off of a prolonged layoff like today.......new trainer for today in D'Amato who is quite dangerous taking over a new horse........especially so racing off of a layoff

 

race 2    average clarity

4  Li'l Grazen   SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE  just fired her lifetime best with the switch to the Peter Miller barn.......two reassuring 4F works since the 18 Jan race where she was victorious despite about 4 lengths of trip trouble (shuffled back 1 length and ran 3 wide on the turn)........Rosario wisely stays put

5  Lady Ninja   runs at her best with contact to the front end and she has a decent shot at getting that here as the race lacks speed and she just put in a speed building quick 4F drill at Slr.......and back to Prat (after being absent for a race) who rode her to a 4L win at the 25K level

3  Time for Ebby   needs better but the cut back in distance might help her get there as she is rather dismal sprinting past 6F

 

race 3    average clarity

4  Cooney   very dangerous trainer in Bill Morey when he ships in from GG off of a dull race.......should fit well at today's claiming level restricted to three-year old runners........1st on the dirt but he seems awfully solid in this spot if he takes to it

1  Two Fifty Two   SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE  tough when he is able to get the early lead and he has as good a shot at getting it as anyone in the race.......good trainer/rider combo to O'Neill and apprentice rider Figueroa

5  Lead Star   fits well number wise at the 20K claiming level.......mostly placed as the 3rd choice because the race shape doesn't seem to favor his off pace racing style

 

race 4    below average clarity

6  Chay Up and Away   trainer is often at his best off of long layoffs and 13 months off for this mare sure qualifies for that........and this mare ran well in her maiden debut and you don't get any more fresh than that........and she won her only lifetime race at SA.....should be a price

4  Tiz Toffee   good history 2nd out after breaks and that is the case today........very reassuring solid 4F work put in just 5 days ago........hard not to like

3  Lovely Raquel   lone win came the only time that this mare was up for sale.......and like today the race was run off of a prolong layoff.......should be motoring hard late

1  Dannie Joe

 

race 5    average clarity

10  Special Purpose   willing to toss out her latest racing endeavor as she sat dead last in a race with very slow fractions for a race down hill.........race two back is solid and might be good enough to win this despite a post down the hill that is 0 for 16........that and we get the magic of Flavien Prat

7  Animosity   seems very noteworthy that the only time this filly raced down the hill was in her MSW debut and she won.....and Gallagher seldom wins with debut runners.......and the jock who rode that day struggled in S Cal.......leading rider Rosario up today

1  Spy Ring   by far at her best in grass sprints (7 1 3 1) and it seems that her connections understand that now......decent shot she moves forward 2nd out after the layoff as her a.m. work looks solid since her return to the race wars on January 20th

5  Batiquitos

6  Space Talk

 

race 6    average clarity

2  Samandah   takes that ever magical drop from MSW racing to low-level MC........and she appears to be the controlling speed in the race and with 1st time Rosario........trainer Papaprodromou is having a better meeting then his overall record indicates

4  Hat Trick   William Morey is rather decent with the sprint-sprint-route maneuver so to some degree I am overlooking her pedigree to handle a route which for me is below average

7  Thanks   filly set way too fast a pace in latest and predictably tired to finish a distance 4th.......Roman needs to slow things down like he did two back.....if he does her chances of visiting the circle of joy should be enhanced

1  Discrete Stevie B

 

race 7    average clarity

1  Ostini   appears as if he will be able to get loose like he did in his latest which led to his graduation from the MSW ranks......and he might be feeling awfully good today coming off a reasonable paced loose (likely stress free) race

3  Jet Set Ruler   showed plenty of life following a slow break from the gate.......and considering it was his 1st race in 3 1/2 months more seems likely this afternoon.......like his chances if he gets a better exit from the metal monster this afternoon

2  Cool Green   lifetime best was run the last time this fellow competed at SA in a one mile grass race......and it was at today's same level of racing.......sharp recent bullet work and for a trainer that doesn't push them too hard in the a.m........and Keith Desormeaux is having a strong SA meeting

7  Push Thru

 

race 8    above average clarity

4  Super Duper Cooper   significant awakening in his race 2 back which was a 16nw3 affair........it was so strong that Mike McCarthy saw fit to step up his gelding way up into an allowance race.......he improved again but couldn't do better than 4th because of a very wide trip........cut back to 35K nw3 makes sense as does getting the meets top gun to ride.........hard not to like

2  Fersguson   needs ample time between starts and gets it today........very dangerous when he grabs the lead and he has a decent shot at getting it here......trainer has only 7 wins in 2018/19 but at least two of them are with this horse

1  Hey Sequoia   trainer has had a break-out year over the last 12 months but mostly on the grass .....but this colt draws Prat and he does own an out-of-town route race at Emd that seemingly fits fine here

3  Treasure Hunter

 

race 9    average clarity

7  Camino de Estrella   trainer Tim Yakteen had a solid day last Monday and might keep the good times rolling here with this horse who was only beaten by 2 1/4 lengths in his last at a level a couple of notches tougher.......that race was at one mile on the grass and today's 9F of sod might suite him better looking at his running lines........switch to Rosario who happens to have won his last 3 of 4 mounts for the trainer

3  Georgie Hyphen   70 to 1 in his last hints the race was nothing more than a public work-out.......and with Machowski no looking training look who snatches up the four-year old.......Mr. Peter Miller.........gelding won his 2nd out in Ireland.......that makes his 2nd start in the good old U S of A rather interesting

8  Hot American   most proven in the field that the distance of 9 furlongs will not be a determent........seems better with the blinkers off and following four straight races with them on they are off for today..........trainer Ryan Hanson is quietly having a good SA meeting

6  Mr. Maggio

2  Top Gallant

 

 

Posted on February 22, 2019 at 6:36 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Santa Anita for Monday 18 February 2019

OK card to finish off the last day of racing for this extended week. Be with you next Friday. Hope that you have some nice days off

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    below average clarity

6  Sapori Girl   36 to 1 in her MSW turf debut has endurance building gimme/tune-up written all over it to muscle up and drop into today's MC........filly should have some kick let when push comes to shove in the late stages of this race down the hill

7  Field Bet   trainer is an eye-popping 6 for 6 in the exacta with his last six 2nd out MC runners.........but this gals a.m. work hints she is a full-blown "go" for her MC debut

10 Gallantlystreaming  might be a welcome back gift from Sadler to Victor Espinoza who is returning after being hurt and sidelined since last summer......two of this fillies three lifetime turf races fit well at today's lower level and one of them was down the hill

8  Persephone

11 AE  Seaside Dancer

4  Si'mon Li'mon

 

race 2    average clarity

8  For the Hustle   decent history racing at 6 1/2 & 7 furlongs on fast racing surfaces.......I am putting a line thru this gelding's last 3 races (gimme 3 back - off track 2 back - disliked two turns in latest) .......previous 3 races fit including a 7F race at SA......seems like the speed of the speed especially with Maldonado up

6  Giddymeister   Rosario (my pick from day one to win the SA riding title) won four yesterday and might keep the good times rolling with this four-year old who gets blinkers off today.......so my guess is the connections want Rosario to take back early which this fellow seems to appreciate

2  Implicitly   might have really gotten muscled up off of his grass race in latest as his works since are vastly improved........trainer is cold but has a shot at getting some of his mojo back here

4  Hollywood Square

3  Typhoon Harry

 

race 3    average clarity

1  Confidently   lifetime best was her only race on the grass and that 9F race fits well here........Rosario will likely hustle her early some as this race lacks speed........and Shirreffs is having his best S Cal race meet in many a moon

3  Decorating   filly seems as talented as anyone in this field but she might need a little more pace than anticipated to get up in time in this one mile grass race with the rail out 20 feet

2  Curlin's Journey  filly should save ground thru turn one and sit on or near the front early which in this race seems to favor those that do..........would have rated her chances higher if she hadn't been away since May.......but her a.m. hints she's fit.......we shall see as the trainer struggles in S Cal

 

race 4    above average clarity

4  Galilean   Hollendorfer colt has to blow a gasket not to be extremely tough here......and his work tab hints that would be unlikely

3  Irish Heatwave   sprint-sprint-route scenario and turf to dirt.......and we get a significant jock upgrade........trainer is having a very nice SA meeting.......not impossible to win but plenty has to go right

2  Whopping Jay   rebounded nicely in his latest and his strong 47:1H 3/118 since hint he can build on the race......1st at a route with an OK pedigree for one

 

race 5    average clarity

4  Kookie Gal   Miller & Prat at the helm.......that and this filly should have an endurance advantage in this spot as all four of her career races are routes and only the 3 outside horses have seen a route......hard not to like

2  Mucho Unusual   Yakteen has had this filly ready the two times he placed her in Stakes races running 2nd in both.........1st at a route and 1st on the grass with OK breeding for both

9  Apache Princess   consistent and very nice three-year Cal-bred filly just won a Grade 3 in race taken off the grass and moved to the main track........mostly placed as our 3rd choice because her only two turn turf race is a little "short" of what it usually takes to win this level.......but than again it was only one route race

8  Lakerball

1  Lippy

 

race 6    average clarity

3  Oh Man   turf to dirt and drops.........seems better on the turf than the dirt......seems like the most likely to grab the lead........Baltas has been winning his fair share

6  Buck Duane   hidden city here.......likely disliked running in route races in his last two........race 3 back predictably faltered as he raced off of only 5 days rest.........solid improved 5F work since his last.......and it has been a very long time since this Knapp four-year old worked as far as 5F.......should be a price

7  Ayacara   not may favorite trainer in Cerin with horses that are in a downward spiral like this gelding......but......his last two works are two good to ignore

5  Rolls Royce Deal

8  Curly's Mark

 

race 7    average clarity

2  Trevieza   need her race 4 back (which is quite strong here) which was run one mile turf to 6 1/2 furlong turf off of 28 days.......one mile grass race 24 days ago........6 1/2F turf here.......it's not rocket science

4  Oleksandra   2 for 2 on the SA hill and retains Pratt.......her latest race is her best to date in the USA as she was able to win despite a 4 wide trip........better post for stout grass jock Prat to deal with today

8  Cordiality   exits a key $200K State-bred Stakes race where she was somewhat compromised by a 3 wide trip........Miller puts her up for the same $62,500 tag he claimed her for two races back......not out of the win picture whatsoever here

5  Amuse

7  Kelly's Humor

 

race 8    average clarity

1  Priness Jada   trainer can show very little in the a.m. and still come out firing with a MC 1st time starter......and many that do "fire" do it with only one gate work or no gate work......but they all have prolonged work tabs like this filly has........should be a price

9  Out of Control   trainer has been terrific the last 2 months or so with MC 1st time starters all of which we liked to various degrees........tough post at this abbreviated 5F sprint distance or I would have rated top choice

4  Floss N Dab   Miller wins his fair share of MC 1st time starters and this filly only cost 20K so starting for 20K seems OK......like her back to back gate works only 5 days apart......she likely has early speed for Miller to place her in an abbreviated 5 furlong sprint race

2  Imminent

10  Miss Omnipotent

 

race 9    average clarity

6  North County Guy   2 of his last 3 races on the hill are par like for today's level........sprint-sprint route scenario and for a trainer who is dynamite the 1st time he sends a given grass horse "long".........gelding should be on or near the lead saving ground.......Rosario stays put......hard not to like

5  United   laid up since his last in July at WO.......winds up in the Mandella barn and with an aggressive work regiment that suggests he is meant and ready for his new connections........and the fact Prat and his agent want the mount supports the notion

2  Cupid's Claw   par like race in his last which was the 25 Jan version of this one mile grass alw race..........same post and rider for today.......and Talamo gave him a nice trip from the 2 post in his last.......not out of the win picture by any means.......pun intended

3  Sellwood

9  Jungle Warfare

11 AE  Extordinary Jerry

 

Posted on February 18, 2019 at 9:21 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Santa Anita for Sunday 17 February 2019

Great to hear from many of the smaller players who hit the 1st race pick 5 yesterday. As long as I am in a bragging mood I have to remind everyone that nobody else that I know of bothers to give selections for on or off of the turf on the questionable days which we have had many of lately. It basically led to 3 hours more work today with 5 grass races carded. Be back with you tomorrow.

 Best of luck as always!

 

race 1  average clarity (Selections are for on the turf)

1  Blitzkrieg   solid works since the O'Neill claim and the claim might be at the appropriate time as this gelding just fired his lifetime best......and it was also down the hill on a good rated turf with is likely the rating for today's turf

2  Chosen Vessel

8  Cats Blame

5  Chill

7  More Honor

(Selections are for off the turf: 3-7-8-4-2 with average clarity)

 

race 2    average clarity

4  Princess Kendra   Very dangerous 1st out following a claim in Doug O'Neill........rather consistent and if the track is "off" she likely will handle it as she won her lone time she ran on one

5  Sturdy One

2  Cinnamon Toast

 

race 3  below average clarity (Selections are for on the turf)

6  Shut It Up   SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE  tepid top choice has handled the grass well in both lifetime starts and just graduated on the hill in her last......that and today's rider gave her smooth rides in both of her races

2  Lady Lucy

3  Gallovie

(Selections are for off the turf: 2-6-1 with average clarity )

 

race 4    average clarity

3  Nice Work   a deadly combo right now in Rosario and Sadler......colt is on the improved with each and every race with few reasons not to believe that his progress can't continue today

1  Oracle of Omaha

4  Owning

 

race 5  average clarity (Selections are for on the turf)

3  New Karma   rather sure his latest was a gimme to drop and go 2nd out after a two month break..........good history racing at abbreviated dirt sprint distances.....so since she ran just fine in a one mile grass race one might surmise she will be better in a turf sprint of only 5 furlongs

2  Billy the Hott   

6  Anatolian Heat

4  Incensed

8  Rocky Rogue

(Selections are for off the turf: 4-1-3-2-5 with below average clarity)

 

race 6    average clarity

5  Translucent   flashed solid early speed in his debut way back in September........since that race Mulhall has put copious works into her three-year with many of them quite solid........that and the step up in maiden claiming hints that this gelding has improved over the 5 month break........should be in the hunt from the get go

6  John's Intuition   

1  He Be Mojo Risin

3  Wild Bean 

 

race 7  average clarity (Selections are for on the turf)

3  Keep Quiet   big run first time with Peter Miller as the trainer winning the 20 Jan. version of this race.......and like last time Prat should be able to work out another good stalking position behind a very suspect leader in the 7 horse........hard not to like

2  Fight On

5  Pincheck

11  Maestro Dearte

4  Lazzam

(Selections are for off the turf: 2-7-8-9-13A with average clarity)

 

race 8    above average clarity

3  Bitter Ring Home   four-year old gelding seems like a ton and one-half if he holds form and handles an off track if that is what we get.........he has an abundance of route speed especially considering such a low level......Prat should be in control of things from the get go

8  Normandy Beach

2  Bartlett Hall

4  Causeididitmyway

1  Santa Fe Blaze

 

race 9  average clarity (Selections are for on the turf)

5  Rinse and Repeat   by my book the top rider/trainer/owner combination these days is Rosario/Sadler/Hronis Racing.........nice better than par race in his last which was his 1st ever down the hill and at the same race condition (25Knw2) as today.......two reassuring drills since the claim......rider upgrade.........plenty to like

6  According to Buddy

3  Kris' Wild Kat

8  Foley

1  Union Rebel

(Selections are for off the turf: 3-5-8-2 with below average clarity)

 

 

Posted on February 17, 2019 at 9:53 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Santa Anita for Saturday 16 February 2019

Sunshine is back and that is good news for this decent looking card today.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

6  Flat Out   39 to 1 in a 6 horse field for a Ellis 1st timer hints his filly was not that tight for her debut.........she likely will be today and she showed that she has some early speed.......she should be prominent from the get go

3  Hard Not to Love   John Shirreffs is having a solid SA meeting and might keep the ball rolling here with this expensive 1st time starter who is working as is she is meant and ready.......mom has tossed two winners from two starters and both were Stakes winners

2  Over Emphasize   away since early September but working as if she is more than ready for her return to the race wars........connections liked what they saw prior to her MSW debut at SA last May as they made her favorite in a race vs. the boys........dangerous sort

 

race 2    average clarity

5  Halo Darlin   blocked many lengths in her latest run only one week ago or could have battled for the top prize......believe she will handle the very short turn around as she likely left something on the table in her latest being blocked and all.......the fact Rosario jumps aboard supports the notion

1  War Moccasin   strong closer might really fly down the stretch today if new bug boy Diaz and his 7 lbs off find some room on the 2nd turn and/or the stretch

7  Believe Indeed   double barrel action from Pender as he also trains our top choice........six year old shows up for battle at a high rate as in 17 of 34 in the exacta when racing on the grass

2  Miss Boom Boom

 

race 3    average clarity

3  Swamp Souffle   good history for this three-year old when he has competed on fast rated dirt without the blinkers which should be the case today.........he is proven at today's distance........and drops to a level he should be tough

5  Palladium   another dropping who shows up when competing on rated fast dirt........rider upgrade today and especially so for a late runner like this colt........like out top selection he should benefit from dropping to a slightly easier level

1  Ack   O'Neill who also trains our 2nd choice will likely sent this colt after the lead which in this spot with no clear front-runner can help his chances........and his barn mate's as well as he comes from out of it

 

race 4    average clarity

5  Storms River   solid effort off of a 9 week break and the strength of the effort is better than it appears in print.......and he sure acts as if he will appreciate the extra furlong to deal with today........and trainer John Sadler has been firing on all cylinders for the most part

9  Montana Moon   owns a ton of early route turf speed and has a rider up (and an upgrade in jocks) in Desormeaux who is very good with loose leads in two turn turf races......very dangerous front runner

7  Parsimony   sprint-sprint-route maneuver for today likely has this colt very ready for the challenge of his 1st two turn turf race........and the connections didn't shell out $400K to own a sprinter

8  Mo Mississippi

10  Harmon

 

race 5    average clarity

6  Play Money   Hofmans has had a good meeting with his 1st time starters and he appears to have this colt all cranked up and ready to roll with an impressive prolonged work regiment.......both endurance and speed has been put into this colt

7  Prodigal  Son   very dangerous 2nd time starter from the O'Neill barn as the a.m. work since his three-year old debut are improved......that and the trainer has been popping with Cal-breds making their 2nd lifetime start at a very high rate the last 1/3 year or so.........should be in the mix from the get go

4  Starring John Wain   moved forward in his latest and the move is disguised but a bad trip........that and for Hollendorfer to move him back into a MSW race after 3 straight races at the MC level hint he must have exited his last in great shape

2  Curry   SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE

 

race 6    average clarity

1  Mercy Mercy   pedigree suggests that 8 furlongs is a better fit than 9 furlongs and her latest at 9F isn't bad.......so the cut back to 8F today should be a plus as she should have the best finishing power of her young career.......and a good turf rider with late runners on the grass in Bejarano

4  Unicorn   good turf sprint debut and a very dangerous trainer in Richard Baltas the 1st time he sends a given turf horse "long"........that and the a.m. work since his 30 December debut hints this filly is doing well

2  Emrata   filly flashed a ton of early speed in her latest hinting that she will attempt to wire the field in her 1st on the grass and at a route.......and she owns a good pedigree to handle both......dangerous sort from the Miller barn

8  Posit

6  Happy Tune

 

race 7    average clarity

1  Heloise   latest is a very strong better than par effort for today's level.......trainer Cerin is a dismal 1 for his last 25 with a maidens winning their last race but he can make that a much more respectable 2 for 26 here

3  Mousey Mousey   laid up since mid November but training well enough to be ready fresh.......seems to need the lead to be at her most dangerous and she appears to have a good spot to get

5  Gia Lula  par like numbers for today's racing level in her last three racing endeavors........took her 13 races to graduate but she might make it two straight in the win column today

6  Whirling

2  Copper Cowgirl

 

race 8    average clarity

7  Belvoir Bay   Miller's six-year-old mare just won a race in the slop earning a par like fig for today's level.....and today she gets to race on what she loves as in race down the SA turf course......4 wins in 5 starts down it and she was 3rd in the race she didn't win.......hard not to put on top

8  A Little Bit Me   nicely improved following the Baltas claim in her latest.......still she likely will need to build on her last which was her lifetime best or get a great trip to take down our top choice

9  Painting Corners   like this mare's speed on the hill a lot.....but if the rider listed is really up her chances might be compromised as many of his jockey stats make me leery

4  Compelled   SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE

3  Tesora

 

race 9    average clarity

4  Dream Tree   SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE  not sure what happened in her last but prior to her bad race she was a perfect 5 for 5 and her lifetime best was the only time Mike Smith was up.......he is up today.......and the works suggest she is going to rebound in a big way

1  Paradise Woods   five-year old mare has put in some sizzling works for her new trainer John Shirreffs........and she is at her best by far racing on the SA surface.........Shirreffs may have the trump card for this gal

3  Marley's Freedom   fabulous sprinter (as witnessed by her 4 to 5 odds in the BCF sprint) but she is 2 for 7 at SA and 5 for 7 elsewhere.......and he is 1 for 5 at 7F........still she is one tough cookie for a 3rd pick

6  Escape Clause

 

race 10    average clarity

8  Secret Courier   exits a key MSW race down the hill where he amassed about 7 or 8 lengths of trip trouble and lost by 11L........1st time blinkers for his 2nd start and drops MSW to MC........trainer has been unconscious with 2nd time starters as in 12 for his last 33

1  Kichiro   makes that ever dangerous MSW to MC move for 2nd lifetime start especially so when the trainer is D'Amato with a grass horse.......should be a player in this affair

5  Palaleo   drop should help especially coming off of a strong 6.5F MC80K on the dirt.......if he handles the hill he should be in the mix from the get go.......so so pedigree for the green carpet or would have rated higher

6  Surprise Fashion

10  River God   SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE

Posted on February 16, 2019 at 9:14 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections