Del Mar for Saturday 10 November 2018

Hope to keep the ball rolling after a nice opening day at Del Mar. 

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    below average clarity

6  Bahamian  might be a good claim by Cerin as this gelding's race 2 back at today's 5F distance (and run on the Dmr turf) is par like for the MSW level..........then in his next start at SA (in a race down the hill) his effort was also decent and disguised by a tough trip........he was wide on the turn on the grass then he and bore out crossing the dirt a couple of lengths.......solid improved a.m. work since the claim hints Cerin has a good handle on his new addition to the barn

3  Sir Eddie   shows up every time when sprinting on the turf.....but so far he seems to have little clue at what it means to hold a lead and win.......maybe the blinkers coming off might change things but then again the trainer is 0 for his last 9 (and only 2 even hit the board) with "blinkers off"

2  Shanghai Billy   nice MSW debut two races back on the dirt......clunker in 2nd lifetime start......likely hurt in the race as he has been away since......returns as a first time gelding and with a strong work tab that suggests he is ready once again "fresh" like he was in his debut.......1st on the sod is a question mark with only a so so pedigree for it

1  Persuasive Cat

9  Spanish Bay

 

race 2    below average clarity

6  Ciao Luna   by far at her best and very consistent when competing at today's 5 1/2 furlong distance......proven on the Del Mar dirt........good trainer/rider combo in Knapp and Franco......rather sure this three-year old fires a good effort

4  We Will Rejoice   7 for 10 at "today's distance"......would have been top pick if she didn't have a record of (4 0 0 1) at Del Mar on the dirt.......still don't count her out of the win picture in this spot

2  Easter Dream   1 for 10 on the synthetic........won her only race on conventional dirt at Otp by a widening at the wire 3 lengths......1st out following the Vallejo claim and the trainer has won 9 for his last 28 with the move........dangerous sort

1  Bragging Rights

 

race 3    average clarity

7  Sedamar   strong better than par Santucci fig in her 2nd lifetime start in the 18 August version of this one mile Cal-bred one mile grass race.......new jock today and an underrated one in Ruben Fuentes following a wide trip from a good starting post from M Garcia.......highly likely to be a major factor in the outcome of this race as this appears to be a soft group

4  Stylin Ocean    decent first on the grass in her 2nd lifetime start finishing behind our top pick by a couple of lengths.........the effort appears to have really muscled her up as she just worked an eye-popping 59:1 best of 40 bullet drill at SA.......expecting a forward move today........to what degree seems to be the is the ? mark

2  Don'tbeboisterous   strong improvement in her second lifetime start and the effort is hidden some by a slow start and a bit of a wide trip........1st at a route and the turf......like her pedigree to handle the sod but not as crazy about her ability to take to a route

10  Apache Princess

3  Boolicious

 

race 4    average clarity

6  Super Touch   very consistent when Diodoro has put him up for a tag.........strong bullet 5F preparatory work at Tup just 6 days ago......gelding has handled Dmr decently in the past

4  London Legacy   SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE  double barrel action from the Diodoro barn as he also trains our top selection........six year old gelding has had a very strong 2018 (10 6 2 2) on the dirt........seems well placed to succeed........Maldonado up so that hints the connections want this fellow on or close to the lead

2  Fire to the Wire   seems like they old gimme/go for this gelding.......raced over his head in his last in a protected race........back up for 16K today which was the claiming level that Lerner claimed him for two races back........like our 2nd choice he should be in the mix from the get go

3  Stringent

 

race 5    average clarity

1  My Sweet Baboo   very solid effort/fig in the 3 September version of this MSW race and it was this youngster's debut.......connections were able to get Prat (who is terrific with two year old developing grass horses) to ride her debut and he is also up today........better post for Flavien to work with this afternoon.......graduation day has a decent shot at occurring today

9  Colonial Creed   ignore hill race in his latest as he blew the turn badly crossing the dirt.........monster effort in the same 3 September race as our top selection..........earned a Santucci fig that 2 1/2L better than our top pick.......only made the 2nd choice because the top choice seemingly has more upside potential

7  Flying Blue   decent pair of one mile grass races to start career.....but......she will likely need her best to date if either of our top two picks repeat their 3 September race

6  Mercy Mercy

3  Fashion Island

 

race 6    average clarity

5  Carrie's Success   very strong vastly improved 4F work put in 8 days ago........lone lifetime win came turf to dirt in her 3rd lifetime start.......3rd out following a long layoff today and once again races turf o dirt........hmmmm

7  Lucky Val   both lifetime sprint races are better than par efforts for today's given level......and her latest was run off of 95 days rest........79 days rest today.........once very dangerous Kathy Walsh is win-less for 2018 albeit with only 12 starters......she might get the elusive victory today

2  Sea Glass   possible back to back excuses........might not have liked the off track in her last and she had a very bad trip 2 back.....prior two races which were her 1st two with the blinkers on fit fine here.........dangerous sort

6  Majestic Authority

1  Dressed in Prada

 

race 7    average clarity

2  Prince Earl   seems likely to get a nice ground saving mid pack position at least thru turn one......like his chances if that is his position as there is enough early speed to play into his hands.........as in flatter his late kick

1  Afleet Ascent   hard trying sort shows up almost every time..........looking for his effort run 3 back which was at Del Mar and at today's one mile turf distance.........nasty post in that race (post 12)......1 post today......Desormeaux has options as his mount showed he can run a strong effort without the lead in that race 3 back

5  Extrordinary Jerry   seems best at one mile on the tur..f.....gets a jock upgrade......last race run at Del Mar was at today's turf distance and is quite a bit better than it appears in print.......some shot at the winners circle but easy to make 3rd pick-a-rue

3  Choo Choo

 

race 8    average clarity

5  Shivermetimbers   at her best at Del Mar (3 2 0 1) and the two wins were with today's rider Mike Smith aboard.......ironically her 3rd place race at Dmr where she was beaten by 7 1/2 lengths is by far her career best earning an adjusted Santucci fig (11 lengths of adjustment) that was equivalent to a G1 effort

7  Captain Scotty   not much dirt speed signed up so this sprinter trying long for the 1st time has a good spot to snatch the front end of things which should enhance his chances of being tough in his 1st two turn endeavor....and then there is the Peter Miller factor

3  Ike Walker   best at Del Mar on the dirt and by a wide margin.......and also seems best at today's one mile distance.......dangerous "horse for course" type here

4  Pepe Tono

 

race 9    average clarity (SHF carryover here)

2  Out of Balance   nice 17 to 1 MSW turf sprint debut down the majestic SA hill grass course and it seems like a good sign that she is able to return in 22 days for today's one mile grass race which she was likely was pointed for all along........excellent pedigree to handle the one mile of turf......good post should help the bug boy work out an OK trip

10  Tapwater   very strong dirt debut in a MSW race run on July 22nd......off since but returns with a work regiment that says she is ready fresh........very solid distance/turf pedigree........nasty post but the right guy to overcome it in Prat

9  Encanta   solid race down the hill in her last answers the can she handle the turf question.........now she needs to answer the route question........pedigree for a route is decent.....and she has the classic sprint-sprint-route scenario for today's race.......like our 2nd choice the post is no bargain

6  Bizwhacks

1  Ask the Customer

5  Samandah

 

Posted on November 10, 2018 at 7:46 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Del Mar for Friday 9 November 2018

Opening day card at Del Mar starts a period where there are 8 days of racing in the next 10 days.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    below average clarity

3  My Farmer   Hollendorfer likely claimed this gelding with Del Mar in mind as his new four-year old has won 2 of 3 and was 3rd in the other......solid improved drill put in on 4 November......like the fact Jerry sees fit to put him up 2 levels

1  Dedicated to You   trainer finished the SA on the upswing following a long slump.......last appears to be a gimme of sorts......if that is so lookout today at a level this Washington-bred should handle

6  Twirling Tiger   claim back by Charles Treece appears to be on a rebound of sorts and might be at his best in route races which he hasn't seen in quite some time......good sign that Tyler Baze rides thru the claim

7  Clear the Mine

 

race 2    below average clarity

3  Trappiza   on the improve since the blinkers became part of her arsenal........ran better than appears in print in her latest as the heat she participated in was a fast one for the FMC20K level and she was caught four wide........same 7F to cover today.......also the same (somewhat underrated) jock up

1  Eskenforadrink    lifetime best was run on the Dmr dirt off of 23 days rest.......22 days since her last which was run at a route........that route mile should give her the endurance to be tough today running at one furlong less

4  Sweet Congrats   can't win at the lowest MC level on the turf so the connections are willing to race at the lowest dirt level available.........not sure how much ability she has on the dirt........we likely will find out today

2  Heloise

 

race 3    average clarity

7  X S Gold   toss out last her 1st on the dirt as her pedigree is not good for it........race two back run on the Del Mar grass is strong......race prior to that (also at Dmr) she broke thru the gate and like so many that do she did not run so well.......and in her only other Dmr turf race she won for fun........all that and a bullet 5F drill put in 8 days ago

8  Majorie E   improved since going on Lasix........last is OK but what we want is her very strong winning effort two races back........Prat and his agent are believers as they stick with the filly for a 4th straight race

4  Tenthousandreasons   very fast 12.5K claimer supported by the 6 1/4L win.......the number earned fits well at today's higher alw level if of course she can run as well on the grass in her 1st ever on it......pedigree for it is OK

2  Super Patriot

5  Sapphire Kid

 

race 4    average clarity

3  Easy Shot   small move forward in his 2nd lifetime start earning a par like effort for today's slightly lower level........improved a.m. work since.......he is the only runner in the field who has raced on the Dmr surface and he has been on it twice........same as his last or better seems likely this afternoon

1  Trojan Magic   Bob Baffert 1st time starter is out working anyone in this field and bug boy Espinoza has been getting live mounts from the Hall of Fame trainer of late.......as in 3 wins from the last 4 mounts

2  Manhattan Up   decent MC75K debut which should fit on the step up to MC100K if he logically benefits from his 1st start...........Franco wisely sticks around to see if he will

 

race 5    above average clarity

3  Mongolian Window   blinkers off today and the only two races with them off (3 & 4 back) when Miller was the trainer are quite good and disguised in their strength........that and Miller has tightened his filly up with 26 furlongs of work over only a 24 day time span........should be a price and that is never easy to get with a Peter M runner these days

2  Foxtail   Sadler four-year old filly has only raced off of short rest once and when she did (two races back) she fired her lifetime best and by a wide margin.......short rest today and a better turf jock up today than who rode that (strong better than par) race two back.......such a deal

5  Lil Bit Dangerous   not much in latest but gets a rider upgrade and her race two back would have some shot at taking down this race......trainer James Cassidy has a sub par 2018 and seems due to heat things up

6  Take a Leap

4  Lucky Knickers

 

race 6    below average clarity

7  Big Barrel   solid move forward in his latest and for the 1st time gets to race off of a relatively short time interval of 26 days........decent rider/trainer combo in Quinonez and Powell.......1st on the Del Mar surface is a small ? mark

5  Dubnation   plenty of furlongs put into this D'Amato 1st time starter hinting this race is not a "tune-up".......that and mom has tossed 4 winners from 5 starters and two of those winners were Stakes winners........and the only two times that the D'A has legged up bug boy Figueroa over the last two months has led to two visits to the circle of joy........hmmm

6  Clyde's Pride   might be a sprint tune-up to prepare for what he is proven at as in a turf route........but 1st time Hollendorfer and plenty of a.m. work put in.........is Jerry trying to make him a dirt horse or is this a tightener.......we shall see

2  Red Envelope

 

race 7    above average clarity

7  Way to Versailles   1st time Peter Miller in her last and she fired her lifetime best........retains top turf jock Flavien Prat.........four year old filly should sit in a nice stalk of lead position in what likely will be a reasonable set of fractions

6  Quebec   beat our top selection by a nose in her last and like our top pick earned a lifetime best number......3 very reassuring solid works since.......proven on the Del Mar sod........not out of the win picture by any means

10  Sweet Charity   very consistent five-year old mare on the grass who missed a check for the 1st time in her latest but it was because of a bad trip (bumped at the start and then ran wide).......she has been away since that race which was run 9 months ago but she has shown she can fire strong efforts fresh off of the bench

11  Last Promise Kept

4  Excellent Sunset

 

race 8    average clarity

4  Queen Carmelita   bad trip (with 1st time blinkers) in a fast heat of two-year old filly MC30K runners hides an effort that is par like for the given level.......strong rider/trainer combo the last 5 races with two wins and a 3rd.......reassuring 4F work since her 18 Oct race.......should be tough with a better trip if she handles her 1st at Dmr

5  Norwegian   like our top selection this Norski moved forward and beat our top pick in her latest with the blinkers put on for the 1st time.......despite her strong connections she was placed 2nd instead of first because she doesn't show a work since her 18 Oct race

2  Tiz a Master   1st time starter appears to be training as if she is meant and ready to roll to compete at a high level at the lowly MC30K two-year old level.......and if she has early speed the 5 1/2 furlongs with the apprentice up should enhance her chances of being a debut winner

1  Kate's Princess

8  Equal Measure

 

Posted on November 9, 2018 at 6:01 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Santa Anita for Sunday 4 November 2018

Congrats to John Sadler for getting the monkey off of his back and do it in the B C Classic. Very impressive how dignified he was all week with the press interviews about his lack of BC success.

Del Mar opens this Friday for its Fall meeting which seems to be getting better every year. We will be ready!

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    above average clarity

8  Tanker   Cerin is waking up and the last two times he rode Talamo over the last couple of months his horses were very live.......drop makes sense as this gelding only went for 30K.....blinkers on and a very sharp recent 3 work series......all systems go

1  Magic Bro   sprint-sprint-route maneuver and for a two-year old that is bred to run all day long on mom's side of the equation.......and she is also bred to handle the sod......should be a big price

4  Carbon Zero   exits a very fast heat where beaten by 18L wasn't too bad of an effort considering today's lower level........away sine the 22 August dirt route but training better than he did prior to that race........jock upgrade.........bred OK for the lawn

7  Thin Line

11  Samurai Jack      SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE

 

race 2    above average clarity

2  Serve Me A Double   broke a little tardy and then wide on a rail bias day at SA on 20 October hiding the strength of his latest........OK pedigree to handle his 1st dirt route......should be on or near the lead from the get go.......trainer has had a solid meeting and might add to his 19% win total here

7  Rak City   solid race the lone time this gelding got to run turf to dirt like he is doing this afternoon........and like our top choice he can get good up close position early

1  Spend It   very consistent but likes to hang thus 10 for 21 on the board but still a maiden.......should be motoring late.......not impossible but obviously more likely to run 2nd or 3rd than 1st

6  Blaze of Glory

5  Odyssey Explorer

 

race 3    average clarity

3  Princess Leia   the 1 1/16 distance should be a plus for her and for many in here the extra 1/16th will hurt their chances........that and she just worked one of her better drills in some time and it is subtle

6  Princess Kendra   very consistent when Fuentes has been on her back and gets to face easier today.......two small negatives made her our 2nd selection:  extra 1/2 furlong will hurt a little.......trainer who is having a good year has been a little chilly lately

2  Ipray   3 of her last 5 races all of which were at one mile fit fine here.......and like our top pick the extra 1/16th to travel appears to be a positive for her

 

race 4    average clarity

1  Vasilika   (7 6 1 0) on the SA sod and the only loss came on a course rated good.........6 for 6 with top jock Prat up and he has a decent post to work with......that and there is plenty of early speed in this race to flatter her already dynamite late run

7  Lull   rider upgrade to Rosario who is riding terrific right now and it showed at the Breeders Cup and he can add to his fab. weekend with this invader who might get 1st crack at our 3rd selection who should be on the lead......very dangerous Clement shipper

8  Fahan Mura   if Smith, Stevens and Rosario don't go hard early so as not to burn themselves out this very sharp filly might wire the field as she has done in 6 of her last 8 races ........all since the change in trainers to Cerin

3  Cambodia

 

race 5    below average clarity

3  Mayan Warrior   exits a fast heat where he had about 4L of trip trouble (bobbled rather badly and was climbing down the back stretch some) and earned a Santucci fig that was about 3L better than par for today's lower level

6  Mo Dinero   gets the "The Full Monty" here as he drops - runs 1st time as a gelding - and also gets the blinkers on for the 1st time......recent works suggest it has made him a better runner......we shall see

11  Diamond Blitz   overall record for Keith Desormeaux with MC 1st time starters is poor but he has been better with MSW 1st timers of late.......and......the morning work put in by this two-year old is too good to ignore

1  Irish Polo

2  Runningwscissors

8  Violent Behavior

 

race 6    average clarity

3  Perfectly Majestic   vastly improved in his latest 1st time racing in the Miller barn (what's new?) and the strength of the race is disguised by a slightly tardy start and wide trip.......that and about one half of his races down the SA hill fit fine and that was without Mr Miller training.......so logically speaking you would think he would be up to one of those top efforts or more today

1  Tiz a Billy   best by far racing on the majestic SA hill grass course and he has a decent shot at getting what he needs as in a loose lead

9  My Man Chuckles   2 for 2 in races down the hill since Baltas took over the training duties......that and this gelding is usually at his best with ample time between starts and gets it today........and the fact Rosario wants the mount supports the idea he is ready for a strong race

10  Castle

2  Placido

 

race 7    above average clarity

11  For the Hustle  looks loose in this race just as he was in his latest.......and........if he runs to his recent works he should be extremely difficult to real in with a decent speed rider up in Maldonado and 1/2 furlong less to cover

8  Pastorelli   nice wake up in his 2nd lifetime start.......away since that 23 August race but has put in 7 works since......and once again Baltas gets Rosario to ride........move forward seems likely.....combine that with a one notch MC drop and you have a major player in this sot

6  Powerful Thirst

10  Supreme Giant

1  Flynn   SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE

14  Conversate

 

race 8    below average clarity

3  Majestic Eagle   three-year old likes the 9F distance and is 1 for 1 with Mike Smith up........and.......as the year goes on Drysdale just keeps getting more prolific and the 30th of Oct 6F work for this colt (vastly improved from what he has been working) hints he might up his win % once again here

4  Kazan   sharp in the a.m. and a better post to work with for Garcia (10 post at one mile in his last) who had this gelding too wide in his latest or he could have won a Grade 2 at Dmr.......should be flying late

8  River Boyne    hard to ignore a perfect 4 for 4 on the SA grass and Prat being up for all 4.....but careful as his 3 races at he has run at 9F are a little short number wise and it showed running 3rd at even money with a good trip in the aforementioned Grade 2 at Dmr

1  Have At It

2  Prime Earl

 

race 9    average clarity

4  Pleasant d'Oro   break out race in latest and it was his 1st ever dirt route at SA.....and his 5F drill at SA since hints he has never been better.......Prat and his agent see fit to stick with the Callaghan colt

1  Violent Ridge   much better a.m. work in preparation for today's race than before his last few racing endeavors........that and he sure is best on the SA main track with 2 wins and 2 2nd's in 4 starts.....rather sure this price shot is going to make a good account of himself

3  Jungle Warfare   sprint-sprint-route maneuver from Hollendorfer here........and this fellow ran his eyeballs out to salvage 3rd as he caught very wide up on the pace........this race is loaded and he definitely appears to be one of the horses to reckon with

2  Lord Guinness

8  Kylemore   (Baltas & Rosario again - how did they fare in the 6th & 7th ?)

 

race 10    below average clarity

9  Knight's Cross   improving and his improvement doesn't show on paper..........training better and look who shows up on his back today........Prat who is so very good with two-year old developing grass horses

3  Weekly Call   decent 1st on the lawn in his last and retains Bejarano who sure is coming on strong amazingly with a shot to take down the SA riding title.......and a good part of his success has been with trainer Doug O'Neill........good post.....tactical speed.....should get a good trip

5  Speakerofthehouse   might have surprised the barn a bit as he ran awfully well considering he went off at 75 to 1..........might not have been all that cranked up......if that is true lookout today in his 2nd start

2  Neptune's Storm

10  Northwestern

4  Farquhar

 

 

Posted on November 4, 2018 at 8:59 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Santa Anita for Saturday 3 November 2018

Rather "cheap" card for a Saturday which I am not too crazy about but Sunday's card is full of quality making for nice way for Santa Anita to close out the fall meeting.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 11  at Churchill Downs the Breeders' Cup Classic

6  McKinzie   Baffert colt showed his merit in his very first racing endeavor with a brilliant 7F 1:22:70 and did on a surface that was rated 3 slow (by yours truly) for the day and he did pressing a solid pace while being caught a little wide.........since then he has done little wrong including a solid layoff win in the G1 PaDrby at Prx.....and since the race he has worked two bullet 6F works the 2nd of which on the 21st of Oct was an eye-popping 1:11:1 on a fairly deep/slow surface.....and it is very reassuring that Mike Smith lands here.......if this fellow in sitting on his best to date he will be one tough cookie and seemingly has a shot even if he isn't

14  Accelerate   probably will go off at higher odds than most people think as the word is out at how poorly Sadler has done in the Breeders Cup......hard to have better (very proven) race horse to get Salder his big BC winner.......what  has Sadler done with his others 2018 BC runners so far might be the question

11  Mind Your Biscuits   very impressive 1st ever on the CD surface in a 9F affair albeit vs much softer competition.........his pedigree suggested that he would not handle the distance.......and so it still hints he won't care much for 10F offered today....but maybe not as he sure finished up strong at 9F

7  West Coast    the other Baffert runner has been settling for minor awards of late and might not be at his best at 10F.......still he is talented and if he is up to his best to date he might have a shot at the top prize

Long-shot selection:   1 Thunder Snow   well proven on the dirt including a crushing win in the Dubai World Cup........3rd out after a break might have him at a peak........but he does have a tough post to deal with

Long-shot selection:   2  Roaring Lion   world-class trainer in John Gosden has won this race before and here he sends a sharp colt who is bred OK for the dirt and has won on soft and firm turf and the AW hinting he might be an athletic sort.......if he can handle dirt in his face he might upset the apple cart   

 

race 1    average clarity

2  Lil Milo   Alfredo Marquez is quietly having quite the year as compared to past years.......sure like that Bejarano sticks with this three-year old following a useful debut.....works since the debut are improved hinting we will see more today

8  Bless His Heart   blinkers on to help this gelding's focus and help him last the 6F which when examining his running lines has not been easy for him....but this is a soft group so if the equipment change helps he should be a factor in the outcome of this MC50K affair

1  All I Can Say   best efforts/figs in the field but for a horse who appears to have some health issues I'm not too crazy about him racing off of 6 days rest in his last and now wheeling back in 16 days rest....but if he is able to handle the stress he is definitely rated too low

7  Astonishing Tweet

5  Levi's Saint James

 

race 2    average clarity

8  Staythirstymyamigo   I like the 6F Breeze that Freeman put into his two-year old filly as her endurance has been a little short......speed is not.......believe she once again will be in the mix from the start but this time much tougher when push comes to shove in the stretch

4  Disco Tale   similarly to our top pick this youngster needs more endurance and her one mile grass race in her latest might provide........that and trainer Hector Palma is decent route to sprint

6  Cash for Cass   no action on the board whatsoever in her MSW debut hints the race was a gimme to drop and go with plenty of doubt in the minds of the claiming vultures......already showed some speed in her debut and now adds blinkers......likely will attempt to take them gate to wire

1  La Dolfina

2  Ma Belle   SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE

 

race 3    below average clarity

4  Nine Point Nine   good time to drop following a dull race and with ample time to recover as in 45 days .........lone win in her last two years (total of 11 races) came the only time she was up for a tag and........6 1/2F on the turf for $50K then........5F on the turf for $40K now

10  Helen's Tiger   consistent turf sprinter and she appears best at today's 5F distance.....would have bee top choice if it wasn't for such a difficult post for a mid pack runner

8  Tizanillusion   mare consistently tries hard  and seems best at 5F on the sod.....and she gets a rider upgrade this afternoon......not out of the win picture by any means.....pun intended

6  Happiness  SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE

7  A Little Bit Me

 

race 4    average clarity

4  Junior Gilliam   solid improvement in his latest back on a surface he appreciates (12 4 5 1)........plenty of speed in the race should flatter his late running style.......sharp works for today........rider upgrade for today

1  Microrithms   Baffert four-year old has been away since July of 2017 following two strong races both of which fit solidly here.......appears ready to roll fresh but he is one of five speed horses in this affair.......can he put the others away or is he capable of rating.......we will find out today

5  Aristocrat   like our top selection he is at his best at SA (7 2 4 1)........another who likes to duke it out on the lead but that might change today as the blinkers come off hinting Miller wants him off the pace today......dangerous if that is the case and he is capable of it

3  Best Two Minutes

 

race 5    below average clarity

9  Ride to the Wire   Ben Cecil is quietly having a nice year with limited starters and might add to his 17% win total with this three year old colt.........hard trying sort seems to be in need of a drop and gets it today

7  Earnednevergiven   blinkers come off today for this gelding and it appears Machowsky made a good move as his recent a.m. work is improved.......also he races turf route to dirt sprint which should help his endurance this afternoon

3  Facts Matter   somewhat of a suspicious drop for this Hollendorfer three-year old but if his 1st time gelding is still he relatively good he might be rated too low

8  Heartfullofstars

2  Hoss Cartwright

 

race 6    below average clarity

3  Moon Kitty   tepid top selection ran his eyeballs out to grab a 1/2 beaten length 3rd as he was caught 4 wide up on the pace and did not cash it in whatsoever........(5 0 0 0) on the turf to date but her lone race at 5f on the grass is solid and also disguised like his last race......should be a price

2  Easy Grader   Eddie Truman's five-year old mare has preformed very well in the past off of long layoffs and likely is ready fresh once again for Gary Stevens to accept the mount

4  Family Girl   ignoring her lone lifetime grass race because it appears that she is not a route horse as she lacks the endurance as she also ran poorly at 7F on the dirt as well.........last race on a good track is better than appears in print......stout rider/trainer comb........another who is dangerous at a price

6  Tyfosha

5  Dis Smart Cat

 

race 7    below average clarity

8  Anothertwistafate   very strong work regiment at GG in preparation for today's MSW debut at SA........colt was bought 5 months ago and didn't come cheap.........Blaine Wright is decent with debut runners and entices a solid N Cal jock in Juan Hernandez to ride

12  Stretford End   very strong MSW debut running a strong final time and showing plenty of early speed........placed 2nd mostly because he loses Pratt who is riding at CD and has to deal with the outer-most 12 post

3  Taos   no support at the windows in his MSW debut which was run 2 1/2 months ago......works prior to his debut hinted he needed the race as did the lack of betting on him........works are dynamite now with 1st time blinkers .....rider is struggling and it would sure be nice if he cut into his slump here with this long-shot

11  Count Di Luna

2  Railman

 

race 8    average clarity

2  Storm the Hill   by far at her best on the SA grass (4 for 6 & 0 for 15 anywhere else) and 2 of her wins came down the hill........D'Amato has her very sharp in the a.m. as he realizes her prowess on the SA grass and it will be quite some time until his filly can race at SA again

1  Out of The Flames   decent races down the hill but she does lose the services with Prat who is riding at the BC.......but Martin Garcia is getting his mojo back and might be able to work out a nice mid pack ground saving trip

7  Trevieza   consistent efforts down the hill and might have considered on top if she din't lose Bejarano to our top choice......I like the GG rider Hernandez on the grass but he lacks in experience in races down the hill which is often quite necessary

6  Painting Corners

5  Rubilinda

 

race 9    average clarity

11  Gemini Journey   3 of her last 4 fit very solidly here and her latest 1st time racing for Treece is disguised in it's strength........and the trainer is willing to drop here to win

2  Hero for Hire   last is better than it appears as this filly was caught wide up on the pace ....and like our top selection her connections are willing to drop to enhance her chances of visiting the circle of joy.

7  Miz Tianjin   just claimed by Pender and he smartly steps his new shooter up a level as her last was decent and she is 3 for 5 at SA on the dirt lifetime..........trainer is 18% win first following a claim

3  Kristie's Heart

1  She Began Again

 

race 10    average clarity

8  Cruel Intention   1 to 5 in his MSW debut and he ran like one........never really pushed hard in the race so my guess is he will have plenty in the tank for today enhancing his chances of going 2 for 2 for Baffert and company

7  Listing   way too ambitious in his 2nd start following a Cal-bred 100K Stakes debut win.......back where he belongs.......has a shot if Baffert's horse doesn't run as well as I think he will

4  Galilean   like our 2nd selection this colt broke his maiden in a 100K Stakes race in his case in open company......trainer has had a solid SA meeting and might add to his win total here

6  Whooping Jay

3  Our Silver Oak  SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE

 

race 11    below average clarity

11  Opus Won   new to the scene jock Angel Cruz teamed up for nice win with Baltas overcoming a wide trip from a tough post like today......filly vs. the boys but she is out working the guys by a quite a bit and might also own the best turf pedigree in the field

6  Peedie   1st on the sod but he has a decent grass pedigree and is working sharply.....and he should get a nice ground saving near or on the front end trip with the speed that he has........ if of course he takes to the green carpet like I think he will

8  Offshore Affair   colt has hit the board in his last three all dirt sprints........and he has an adequate pedigree for the grass......if this was 4 or 5 years ago I might have placed him as top choice but it has been some time since Carla Gaines was someone you had to deal with (fear) on a regular basis

2  Nice Haircut

9  Irish Heatwave

 

Posted on November 2, 2018 at 4:45 pm by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Santa Anita for Friday 2 November 2018

Don't miss out on purchasing the Breeders Cup at Churchill Downs on November 2nd and 3rd. (Breeders Cup races only. 5 two-year old races on Friday and 9 three and up races on Saturday) New format this year will have full comments for the top 3 choices and then in the larger fields 3 long-shots will be given with shorter comments.

Final weekend of Santa Anita and then on to Del Mar!

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity  

1  Adjorned   gelding has done little wrong is 3 lifetime races and doing so on 3 different surfaces (turf - synthetic - conventional dirt).......solid MSW breaking one mile turf win at GG.......good grass trainer and rider in Wright and Hernandez

2  Icy Street   moved forward the only two times this four-year old colt raced 2nd out after a break.......that is the case today and his last is better than appears in print as he raced way too wide

4  Cimpl Man   Cerin might have made a good claim of a six-year-old who appears to be on a rebound of sorts.......and the veteran trainer is 34% & 61% in the money with his last 41 1st out following a claim......dangerous sort

6  Avalanche

3  Fabozzi

 

race 2    average clarity

9  Z Z Tiger   seems like the speed of the speed in this abbreviated dirt sprint of only 5F........no action on the board in her last hinting the race might have been a bit of a gimme so as to safely get away with today's drop and not lose their filly by way of claim

6  Desired Edge   cut back in distance appears to be a plus as she makes a nice turn move but then cashes it in racing at 5 1/2 & 6 furlongs.......nice 4F preparatory drill one week ago is reassuring

1  Mi Pajarito   away since April but Periban is 4 for his last 14 with runners coming off of more than 3 month layoffs.....like the rider change to the hot bug boy and his 5 lbs weight break

8  Charming Alexis

2  Social Etiquette

 

race 3    average clarity

3  Halo Darlin   3 of her 4 lifetime races down the SA hill grass course fit solidly in this spot.......that and she finishes well and not many do in this field........jock needs a win and might get it here

5  Ashley's Charms   two of five lifetime grass races fit here and with many of S Cal's top riders at the BC she has the only top echelon jock in this race on her back in Bejarano.........should be a player if she is fit and ready off of the long layoff

2  Pulpitinthesky   last two dirt numbers fit and both races were compromised bad tough trips........only race on the grass was a route (no action on the board) and a possibly a gimme as she dropped from MSW to MC20K in her next start and won

9  Spectacular Move

7  No Wine Wasted

 

race 4    average clarity

3  Superhotamolly   on the improve with each and every start........cut back in distance appears to be a plus.......as does the switch in apprentice riders (12% to 22% win)......trainer is waking-up........hard not to like

8  Spicy Curry   like the endurance building route in her last as her 3 lifetime sprints are about 3L short of par (adjusted) ..........she might not flatten out as bad today as she has in those 3 lifetime sprints.......dangerous and dangerous at a price

6  Athleisure   moved forward in her latest and she might be up for another forward move today (hard to tell)........and with the cut back in distance she might finish with more competitiveness in the late stages of the race

2  Garcia Belle

9  Derby Royalty

 

race 5    average clarity

1  Miss Unusual   appears to be the best speed in the race if of course she handles the turf better than she did in her lone race on it which was on the hill........some dislike the hill so I'm giving her another chance to handle the sod.......adequate route pedigree.........should be going after a wire to wire attempt

10  Copper Fever   all three of her lifetime turf route races fit solidly here.......mostly placed as 2nd choice as the bug boy (like so many bug boys) is not nearly as good on the grass as he is on the dirt......that and he has a tough post to deal with

2  Quinnie   decent with ample time between starts and gets it......also gets the best grass rider in the race and with a good post.......still........ she will need a little more than she has shown of late

3  Peachy

7  Married by Now

 

race 6    average clarity

4  Vegas Strong Baby   debut at CD fits well here as does her last which was her 3rd start.......believe her other race was a dirty her up MSW gimme to get away with the drop and at the same time get herself eligible for today's protected race......that and it appears that the bug boy took this girl over a 6L debut winner from the Jerry Hollendorfer barn

2  Bam Bams Lil River   as mentioned above this girl won her debut by a widening 6L win but her rider landed on our top choice........still considering how hot Hollendorfer is this filly was not an easy decision to make as our 2nd choice instead of our top choice

1  Six Pack Ga   dangerous speed and she has broken well from the 1 post in her last two races.........with the switch to 1st time Pedroza look for her to show the best early gas of her career.......and take note that the only time she was on a loose lead she won for fun

6  Plan B

 

race 7    average clarity

4  Alert Bay   seven-year old gelding is (8 5 2 1) at the distance and a portion of that success is at SA........he does awfully well when he sits 2nd, 3rd or 4th in the early stages and he sure appears to own one of those positions in this race......very hard not seeing him get a good trip and thus be very tough when push comes to shove in the late stages of this affair

1  Kenjisstrom   should sit 1st or 2nd down the back-stretch in a race that appears to favor those who have some speed.......best at one mile on the grass which he has not seen in quite some time

6  Chicago Style   training awfully well at Fai (highly regarded) and can he ever fly late......and he best today if this race sets up in favor of those sitting near the front like I think it will

5  Colonist

2  He Will

 

race 8    average clarity

9  Mucho Unusual   ran 2nd in a Stakes race to start his career.....and then in his next start he broke his MSW by 8 1/4L .......strong drills since the race..........7 furlongs appears to be a plus and won't be for many in here........should be tough

7  Creative Instinct   another who has done little wrong in two lifetime races including a win vs. our top selection........but he likely will need a forward move to beat him again as the fig I have for our top choice is about 3L better than what he has run in either lifetime race.......but then again Miller can do no wrong

2  Start the Show   dangerous invader who just won a 100K Stakes out east 1st time wearing blinkers......and he winds up in the Richard Baltas barn who is quite dangerous when he picks up a new horse from any east coast track.......Del in this case

1  Give Me a Hint

5  Hotitude

 

race 9    average clarity

10  American Currency   voided claim in 2 of his 4 lifetime starts suggesting he has some serious physical problems.......plenty of time off (11 months) to recover and Morey and company drop him multiple levels realizing that his physical problems will likely resurface soon.......the kind you can consider wagering on but you wouldn't want to claim

9  Isee It in Hiseyes   woke up in his latest back at SA and at a distance he appreciates.......same 5 1/2 furlongs today and his last opportunity to run at SA until late in December........connections seem likely to have him feeling good

7  From the Distance   three-year old can really fly but needs to break better than he has been lately......if he does he has shot to wire the field......good gate jock remains up for today and gets a better post in which to break from than he did in his latest

2  Kopitar

12  Latitude

 

race 10    average clarity

2  Smiling Annie   bet hard in her MSW debut but she had a tough start and then a wide trip after that.......toss it out.......since then she has worked like she has some talent......switches to the turf for her 2nd start which she has a very good pedigree to handle.......rider/trainer won both races on the hill that were carded on last Saturday

5  Into Rissa   both lifetime grass races are better than they appear on paper.......like the jock change to Bejarano as Raffy is getting his mojo back and he is awfully good with late running turfers like this filly

8  Paprika   consistent sprinter on the turf or the dirt gets back to the grass where she has been a rather smooth runner as opposed to the dirt where she has found trouble.......with Prat out-of-town Desormeaux gets the mount.........the Hall of Fame jock is heating things up following a small slump

7  Smoothie

9  Drop the Mic

 

 

Posted on November 1, 2018 at 1:32 pm by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections