Breeders Cup at Santa Anita for Friday 1 November 2019

Breeders Cup Day 1

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    above average clarity

5  Campaign   very strong races/figs in his three 12 furlong races on the dirt......and his pedigree suggests (as does his running lines) that he is just getting started at 12F and that 14F is made to order........good rider/trainer combo in Sadler and Rosario

1  Itsinthepost   only lifetime dirt race was a 2nd place finish behind our top pick by 1 1/4 at the wire.......he stalked in the race and maybe moved a little early.......look for Van Dyke to sit back off of things more today to have something left for the stretch

4  Zestful   from a 7L win back in Feb in a $8K claimer to a 6L win in a $100K Stakes race in mid September 9 races later........should be loose as he normally is and if allowed to slow things down to a crawl he might be tough to wheel in

 

race 2    average clarity

4  Opus Won   looking for his 12 May race run off of 5 months rest where she pressed a very hot pace and still managed to come home a winner to graduate.......so with a big work tab showing and racing off of 3 months rest today she might be up for a repeat effort......and she draws a good speed rider in Johnny V.

8  Zuzanna   there is the potential of a hot pace in this nw alw race and if that is what occurs it can play into the hands of this off pace mare from the Hess barn

1  Rayana   very solid two year old MSW debut to graduate in a race run 14 months ago and at today's one mile turf distance......not much cooking in her only race in 2019 running a so so sprint in June..........but training sharply for race number 3 and Baffert is able to get Rosario.......needs to avoid a speed duel with our top selection one way or another

9  Heathers Grey

5  Rockin Ready

 

race 3    below average clarity

4  Warren's Showtime   turf to dirt and a full furlong cut back in distance........and for a trainer in Craig Lewis who has had his fair share of bad racing luck and has still managed a 17% win percent for 2019.......Velez has been on the filly for all four of her lifetime races and for the most part handled her well

12  Smiling Shirlee   not crazy about the post but we do get one significant rider upgrade........my guess is Rosario will take back and do his best to get get this filly over to the inside and save as much ground as he can........work tab has never been better for this Bonde mare which is likely one of the reasons the connections lured Rosario to accept the mount

11  Been Studying Her   another with a difficult post but this filly has plenty of tactical speed for Mike Smith to utilize and work out a decent trip

2  Almost a Factor

5  Stradari

8  Bulletproof One

 

race 4    average clarity

7  Chipper   very impressive MSW debut running 2nd to our 2nd selection but doing so with a tough trip (broke a little slow - boxed/blocked 2 lengths and bumped in the stretch some.......solid reassuring work since....pedigree to handle the extended sprint distance of 7F is very good.....trainer is finishing up the Fall SA with a flourish

2  Cali Dude  like our top selection this gelding had a strong MSW debut in which he was able to graduate at 1st asking despite dueling in par like pace........and it is a much more difficult task to win at 6 1/2 furlongs in your debut than say 6 & 6 1/2F........not easy to separate top two

11  Square Deal   gelding on paper might look the best but in actuality his top effort in five races isn't as good (but close) as the 2 & & 7 ran in their only lifetime race........that and the post he starts from is no picnic........still a dangerous but easy to make our 3rd pick-a-rue

8  Great Ulysses

4  Dapper

 

race 5    BC Juvenile Turf Sprint 

9  Four Wheel Drive   absolutely two dynamite sprint turf times in both lifetime races which were validated by 3 length wins.......trainer's forte is with young turf sprinters.......I could see this colt getting caught 3 wide on the turn and still winning.......Irad Ortiz wisely sticks around

2  Band Practice   two year old filly won 3 straight turf races in a row overseas including a win vs. the boys in her latest......all three races had some big gaps to either 2nd and/or 2nd and 3rd.......that and she has a decent post and has some early gas

7  Kimari   Wesley Ward trains our top choice and also this filly who has done nothing wrong in 4 lifetime starts including overcoming a slow start and still managing to circled the field and get up to win vs. the boys

6  Alligator Alley

10  A'Ali

 

race 6    BC Juvenile Turf

4  Decorated Invader   on the improve with each and every race all of which were in turf routes.......only two year old in the race to win a Grade 1......good rider - good trainer who knows how to ship west and win - good post - 1st time on Lasix and with stout a.m. preparation showing........hard not to like that many positives

7  Andesite   Brad Cox colt won his debut like a good thing and then shipped to Saratoga for a Grade 3 where he sat too far off a no pace affair which led to him having little chance to make up ground in the stretch......then he ran 2nd by a head in a solid Belmont 1 1/16 turf race.......a.m. work since his last is improved hinting he will fire his lifetime best today......1st time Rosario

3  Peace Achieved   colt has some early turf route speed and the two runners lined up inside of him do not.....so he should be on the wood on turn one in up close position........strong best to date work on 18 Oct hints he likely is up for his best yet

2  Structor

12  Arizona

5  Vitalogy

 

race 7    BC Juvenile Fillies

6  Bast   only two year old filly two have won two Grade one races and the 2nd one was at SA where she earned a number that is par like for today's level.......and she did it running a bit wide on the day the rail was the place to hang-out......Baffert with a home court advantage with a two year old.......tough to beat that

7  Wicker Whisper   expensive Asmussen filly won both her lifetime starts by a combined 9 lengths.....her number earned in her latest a Grade 1 win at Belmont is every bit as good or better than our top choice......but it was in a one turn mile.....if she handles the two turns and the SA surface she should be equally matched our with our top selection

4  British Idiom   like our 2nd choice she is coming off of a Grade 1 route win which was at Kee and she also won both her races by wide margins in her case a combined 10 lengths.......trainer Brad Cox is awfully dangerous on the big race days and the Breeders Cup obviously is one of them........not out of the win picture by any means......pun intended

1  Donne Veloce

2  Two Sixty

 

race 8    BC Juvenile Fillies Turf

4  Abscond   tepid top pick in a race difficult to decipher won her first turf route like a good thing and it was in a Grade 1 at Woodbine.......and she owns some early speed in a race that doesn't have that much signed up......good post to utilize it and she retains outstanding grass rider Irad Ortiz.....should get a good trip and many in this large field will not

2  Croughavouke   brutal trip in latest losing about 6 lengths to trip and still closed fast to snatch 2nd.......see ya Van Dyke and hello Prat.......good post and an underrated turf conditioner in Jeff Mullins.......should go off one big price

5  Daahyeh   two year old filly trained by a young up and coming trainer out of GB has done little won in 5 lifetime grass races in GB and Ire (5 3 2 0).......four of her five races were Graded affairs.......she definitely fits well today if she handles her 1st around two turns

7  Crystalle

9  Albigna

12  Sweet Melania

 

race 9    BC Juvenile

6  Eight Rings  both lifetime wins are very solid efforts/figs that peg him as a BC caliper two year old champion but he is quirky as witnessed by his start 2 back where he ducked in sharply and dumped his rider......my guess is Velasquez/Baffert will want him on or near the lead as outside of our 2nd choice the race sure lacks speed for a two year old Grade 1 route.........seems like a ton if he behaves

1  Dennis' Moment  most promising two year old that I can ever remember Dale Romans having.......like our top selection he has shown that he more than belongs in this prestigious race and he a very deserving co favorite........work tab is brilliant

4  Storm the Court   wide trip on an inside day saw him finishing 8 lengths behind Eight Rings......he earned an adjusted for trouble Santucci fig that is 4L less than Baffert's horse.......works since the race hint he's moving forward today......connections will likely have their fingers crossed that the 1 & the 6 end up dueling on the lead

5  Scabbard

2  Wrecking Crew

 

race 10    average clarity

11  Justinian   Baffert youngster broke a little slow and still managed to cut out some solid fractions to graduate in his 2nd start and as our top pick.....if he has held his form and gets a better trip he sure deserves to be our top pick once again

2  Candy Cornall   lone race run at the somewhat specialized distance of 7F is his best effort/number of his career.......bug boy Diaz is really starting to ride well and now seems worth his 5 lbs break......trainer Shirreffs has been on fire......very dangerous contender

8  Threefiveindia   a good portion of this gelding's dirt career fits solidly at today's level of racing......and 1st out following a claim by Miller is a very dangerous thing especially when he puts this new addition up for the same tag he took him for.......hard not to respect

1  Rogallo 

4  Eagle Song

7  Secret Courier

 

 

 

Posted on October 31, 2019 at 7:25 pm by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Santa Anita for Sunday 27 October 2019

OK card this afternoon. Only 5 days until the Breeders Cup!

TAKE NOTE: As listed on our website there is not a publication available for Thursday card at Santa Anita in order to prepare for the Breeders Cup. And closing day on Sunday 3 Nov. will have limited comments.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

2  Fuega  trainer Belvoir has snapped out of the doldrums in a big way and over the years is often at his most dangerous 2nd out after a claim which is the case here.......and he got a rather decent improved effort out of his newbie 1st out after the claim

1  Incredibly Lucky   exits a fairly fast heat in her latest and she did beat out top choice by 3 1/2L in the race.....but......she sure likes to flatten out late when racing further than 6F or would have been top pick

5  Vegas Strong Baby   like this filly better in route races but she has been facing somewhat better and draws Prat who got the best lifetime race out of this three year in his only mount on her (3 races back)

 

race 2    average clarity

2  Prance   broke a little tardy and ran wide after that earning an adjusted for trouble Santucci fig that is 2 1/2 lengths better than par for today's level.......outer ten post in last - 2 post today making Bejarano's job much easier......reassuring improved a.m. work........9F is a small ? mark

3  Dulverton Darling   very similar to our top pick as this filly also earned a strong Santucci fig in the same race with a wide trip.......and.......she showed she can get the 9F 4 races back

5  Sunriser   needs her race two back and likely more than that......trainer is heating up though so maybe she will provide it......but easy to put as our 3rd selection

 

race 3    below average clarity

5  Auberge   new sire Palace has been dismal so far but a well worked Bob Baffert MSW 1st time starter might help make his stats a little better........connections got a good look at what they were getting as she was purchased as a two year old in May and didn't come cheap

3  Magestic Gigi   very fast in both lifetime races (broke slow in MSW debut and rushed) for the 1st quarter so blinkers off to slow her down some seems like a good move........filly earned a slightly better than par fig in her latest.......and unless you are a touring pro golfer that is a good thing

4  Cosmic Cowgirl   having a MSW 1st time starter ready to roll at a high level isn't really Baltas's thing but it is once in awhile.........works are solid and Prat accepts the mount......danger city here

 

race 4    average clarity

7  Media Blitz   quite the MSW turf route debut nearly overcoming a bad start and a wide trip to only lose by a nose........trainer is hot.......Van Dyke will be out to make amends

1  Liar Liar   nice layoff run in his last his 2nd lifetime start and 1st in the U S of A.........and like our top selection he didn't get the best of trips........another jock in Bejarano will be out to get things right this time around

2  K P All Systems   whereas our top two selections were out of the fast heat of MSW runners (1:34:3 vs 1:35:4) this colt was not.........but he had a brutal trip........and like a scratched record their is another jock in Smith who can do better

6  Handsome Michael

8  Governance

 

race 5    average clarity

1  Message   4 lifetime races for this three year old filly trained by Bob Baffert.......the two run at Dmr are dismal and her other two races elsewhere or not........her top effort was the only time she was able to compete on the SA surface......capable of firing a solid race on or off of the pace.......such a deal

7  Persepolis   hello dirt.......after two lifetime endeavors on the sod that weren't anything special this Mandella four year old ran a big race over at Lrc on the dirt and did so off of a layoff.........four reassuring works since the 19 September race......so the ? mark seems to be if she will run as well on the SA dirt.......works hint that she will......Prat wisely sticks around to find out

3  Rather Nosy   very consistent sort on any surface and she appears at her very best on the Santa Anita dirt......seems like the most dangerous late runner in the field

6  Uno Trouble Maker

2  Creative Instinct

 

race 6    average clarity

3  Forever Juanito   seems sharp right not and so does his trainer.......seems to be the most likely to get the rail on turn one with two slower early horses to his inside.......good rider/trainer combo in Fuentes and Garcia

7  Winning Element   outside post but he owns some early speed in a race that lacks it so I doubt if will be a hindrance......and like our top selection the rider/trainer (Raffy/Dougy) have made for quite the combo......gelding is (3 1 2 0) since the O'Neill claim

1  Perfectly Majestic   SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE  somewhat of a suspicious drop even considering the long layoff but often Miller is not afraid to drop a a given horse......and if this gelding is in good health he will be very tough in this spot

4  Full of Luck

 

race 7    below average clarity

3  Leading Score   Baffert five year old appears to be controlling speed in this race and gets 1st time Pratt.......gelding is (3 2 1 0) at the distance and he had the lead in all three races.....hard not to like

2  Midcourt   really like the way John Shirreffs runners have been firing........four year old has two wins and a 2nd in his 3 lifetime route races......and he runs well fresh so 10 1/2 weeks since his latest should not be a hindrance

5  Two Thirty Two   consistent late runner and seems at his best racing on the SA main track......mostly placed as our 3rd pick because he picks up 6 lbs whereas the 3 carries the same weight as his last and the 2 gets one lbs off

 

race 8    average clarity

1  Miss Hot Legs   good breaking filly is consistent and appears at her very best on the SA sod......like the change in jocks as Espinoza is in a slump........Cedillo should have this Callaghan three year old in the mix from the opening bell

5  Stealthediamonds   filly has done little wrong since Wong took over the training duties 3 races back.......and like our top pick this filly will likely be in the thick of things from the get go

3  Queen of the Track   brutal trip in the same race that our top two picks exit.........see ya Fuentes and hello Bejarano........and like last time she should go off a handsome price

7  Anonymously

8  Reflect

 

 

Posted on October 27, 2019 at 9:52 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Santa Anita for Saturday 26 October 2019

Very nice card this afternoon. Only 6 days until the Breeders Cup.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    above average clarity

4  Platinum Equity   four year old has been a "machine" in 2019 (10 7 1 1) and unless he goes south today or hates the extra furlong to travel he sure has efforts that fit extremely well at the Alw12500s level

2  Meistermind   significant improvement in his latest 1st after the Glatt claim.......gelding should have an endurance advantage coming off a 10F race and cutting back to 9F......blinkers go on likely to get him to sit closer early

1  Implicitly   seems like a different horse loose on the lead which he has a shot at being in this 5 horse field........but it won't be a picnic holding off our top top choices

 

race 2    average clarity

3  Mona Luna   Maldonado should get excellent position saving ground on or near the lead......works are improved since this gelding's latest........drops multiple MC levels........Bruce Headley has woken up some at the new meeting.........hard not to like

1  Malibu Magic   gelding has always worked well but not been too hot in the p.m. until lately where he ran back to back decent efforts which were hurt some by some trip trouble......start number 17 might be the charm if he gets enough early pace up front to aid his late running style

6  Zorich   seems to be declining some but drops a couple of levels which should help his cause.......and if he rebounds to his effort 3 back he should have been made our top selection

5  Sharpshottingeorge

4  Ivorian

 

race 3    average clarity

5  Undisturbed   a little short of par in her 2nd lifetime start which was her 1st in a turf route but she appears to be a smooth controllable grass runner........better post this time around (8 post in last) and all of a sudden Jack Carava is doing very little wrong......and when he rides Cedillo his horse's for the most part have been very live

3  M Is for Magic   Prat lands here instead of our top selection who he rode in her in last......Drysdale filly ran a solid 5F turf sprint which should set her up nicely for her 1st grass race around two turns.......mainly placed 2nd because she is unproven in a turf route whereas our top pick showed she can handle the added distance

4  A G Indy   significant improvement in this youngster's 2nd lifetime start switching from a dirt sprint to a turf route........good post and tactical speed......seems as likely as anyone to get a good trip.......trainer had a three-bagger on Thursday.......two year old filly is not out of the win picture by any means.......pun intended

9  Convincingly

2  Magically Honored

 

race 4    average clarity

2  Thunder Code   two year old colt had a good MSW debut and followed that up with an ultra impressive 2nd start.........dueled in one fast set of fractions for a baby and still ran a final time that would win most MSW two year old affairs but he ran into a monster........he ran 2nd with a gap of 7L to 3rd and 3rd came back to win and......jock sure needs a win

8  Thousand Words   million dollar purchase and working as if he can return some dividends in his MSW debut for Baffert and company......one of the reasons that he is not rated higher (a Baffert 1ster after-all) is that so far mom has not had a winner from 2 starters

1  Divine Armor   very stout prolonged work regiment with quite a few works of merit for this Sadler 1st time starter who sure appears well-meant and ready to roll in his introduction into the wonderful world that is Thoroughbred racing

5  Frair's Road

6  Rushie

 

race 5    average clarity

1  Colosi   two consecutive very difficult posts to deal with predictably led to wide trips.......good post today and gets a rider upgrade.......and drops into claiming for the 1st time.......and he seems at his most dangerous racing at one mile on the grass at SA

2  Canadian Game   solid layoff race in this gelding's last so Carava smartly moves his four year up a level.......trainer was woken up from the doldrums in a big way and he changes riders to the guy who has been a good part of his recent success in Abel Cedillo......hard not to like

5  Hartel   Miller three year old has dangerous speed in this spot especially considering he is in a claiming race for the 1st time.......Martin Garcia will try to kick clear and if he does......................he.............................might...........................go........................all.........................the.............................way

6  Mutineer

 

race 6    average clarity

7  Brazilian Summer  SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE gelding just ran a race that fits fine in this spot and it seems noteworthy that it was his 1st to date in a route and in a 1 1/16 route race at that........cut back in distance should help his staying power.......very reassuring decent back to back 4F works since his 4 October race

3  Tiz a Slayer   nearly upset the apple-cart in his 2nd lifetime start going off at 63 to 1 and only losing by 1/2 a length..........three year old has been away since 16 August but training in the interim like he will fire another strong effort.......one horse trainer is fairly competent

2  My Journey   last was this fellow's 1st on the dirt and it was a useful 7F effort where he cut out a fairly fast quarter and half and then faded to 3rd......1st with blinkers today and 1st in a dirt route.........Bejarano will be shooting for a loose lead and try to wire......seems dangerous

6  Mike Operator

4  Spectator's Dream

 

race 7    average clarity

3  Hidden Message   Callaghan filly sure popped a very strong better than par effort for today's G3 level with a 2nd place finish in a G1 that has turned out to be a very key race..........that race was her 1st in the USA and her first using Lasix.........good post and S Cal's best grass rider in Prat stays put.......three year old should make a very good account of herself this afternoon

5  Keeper Ofthe Stars   Jonathan Wong filly has shown she can handle solid fractions and not quit........with that in mind the cut back in distance seemingly becomes an even stronger positive than it normally is.......trainer is (8 0 1 0) so far at the meet but he sure has a good handle on the filly who continues to train brilliantly on the AW up north

7  Great Sister Diane   dangerous shipper from GP broke the 140 flat barrier in her latest overcoming the outer-most 14 post to win a non Graded Stakes......number earned fits a G3........trainer does well with shippers and the rider/trainer (Sanchez/Crichton) have won 7 of their last 17 as a combo

6  Solent

1  Apache Princess  SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE

 

race 8    above average clarity

7  Stretford End   all four lifetime sprints on fast rated dirt fit solidly here and three of them are better than appear in print........trainer's hot and the bug boy Diaz is as well......colt definitely appears the one to overcome

5  Aggressivity   best lifetime race for this laid up Ellis four year old was his lone dirt race at SA without blinkers.......they come off for today and he returns as a 1st time gelding........and his a.m. work hints Ron has a better handle on this fellow than he has in the past........Jose Valdivia is back and he might make a small splash here

2  Soldier Boy   Baze should get a good position with this colt with good early speed and improving running lines........mostly placed as our 3rd choice as the extra 1/2 furlong to travel might not be up his alley

4  Lord Adare  SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE

 

race 9    below average clarity

4  Takethediamondlane   big drills prior to her MSW debut and she did not disappoint......she ran a race that is par for today's higher level......switches to the turf for her 2nd start owning a decent pedigree for it.........filly has been absent since her 8 August debut but she is training as if that might be a positive.......Gryder wisely stays put

1  Majorie E   like the way this four year old finished in her only turf sprint which was at 5F.......another 1/2 furlong to cover today and a rider upgrade from a 0 for his last 39 on the turf rider to Prat.....how many lengths is that worth?

2  Violette Szabo   lone turf race was better than it appears.......filly will likely sit much closer today and likely save some ground.......might go off at a handsome price

8  D's Lovely Sophia

7  Square Peggy

 

 

Posted on October 26, 2019 at 7:07 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Santa Anita for Friday 25 October 2019

So so Friday race card at Santa Anita. Make sure you check out our calendar for next week when the Breeders Cup comes to The Great Race Place.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

3  Dukes Up   very consistent sort especially at Santa Anita (13 5 4 2) and he seems best running off of short rest following a small break.........that is today's scenario for this Mark Glatt six year old

5  Cabin John   decent opportunity to stalk the lead and that position has led to his last 3 wins (races 2-5-9 back).........trainer Dean Pederson has quietly had a decent 2019 albeit with limited starters

2  Kylemore   sure appears as if he will be loose on the lead......will he hold together is the ? mark as he was a vet scratch on 11 October and has only shown one dull work since......tough call

 

race 2    average clarity

1  Elgofranco   Ben Cecil MSW 1st time starter owns a solid pedigree for the turf for a Cal-bred........trainer does pop now and then with a 1ster and does fairly well on the grass.........filly shows both speed and endurance building works dating all the way back to early June.......that sure hints this is not a tune-up.......we shall see about 1:30 pacific

4  Sofi's Gold   best of those that have raced but do note her race times were on the weak side as was the strength of the fields.......but on the other hand she might appreciate her 1st on the grass which she has a good pedigree for........and.......trainer Carla Gaines is a stellar 22% 1st on the turf

6  Flying Business   decent chance that her MSW debut on 15 August was nothing more than a tune-up on the dirt to give her some racing experience........switches to the grass today for her 2nd start and with an interesting (but mostly unproven) pedigree for it

 

race 3    below average clarity

3  Golden Melodie   like so many trainers Craig Lewis is often at his most dangerous with the MSW to MC move.......that and his two year old filly gets to race turf to dirt today which in general is one of the more reliable moves in racing

4  White Velvet   showed some life in her MC50K debut which was at 5 1/2 furlongs......another furlong to cover today sure should be a plus for her with a pedigree that screams "the longer the better".......and........trainer Hector Palma has been on a roll of late

6  Tacocat   Keith Desormeaux has snapped out of the doldrums the last few weeks or so and might keep the good times coming with this filly dropping into MC for the 1st time

 

race 4    average clarity

6  Appreciated   might be at his best sprinting with the blinkers on which is the case today for the 1st time in 5 races......and he also races as a first time gelding.........away for two months but he sure is working as if the ultimate equipment change has done him some good......trainer has had a rebound year and is often at his most dangerous with runners returning off of 45 to 90 days rest

4  Zipper Mischief   solid sprint races at 5F and it appears the extra 1/16 to travel will be a plus especially coming off of decent one mile race on the sod.......regular rider Delgadillo (who won 3 yesterday) has done a nice job handling this colt sticks around for the 4th straight race

5  I Belong to Becky   horrendous trip in latest hides a forward move......claimed in the race by Miller and I like that he puts this gelding in a turf sprint........she owns a good turf sprint pedigree.......only grass race was a route......as in toss it out

 

race 5    average clarity

1  Master Recovery   SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE  as mentioned above trainer Palma has been firing on all cylinders of late and he might add to his purse money won with this 1st time starter who sure is working well for a MC30K debut runner.......he shows hints of speed and gets the bug boy up.......believe Jorge Velez will go after the lead and try not to look back

5  I Dub Thee   MSW debut is better that it looks in print........nowheresville in his 2nd lifetime start which might have been by design to get away with today's drop into maiden claiming........recent improved 4F work supports the notion........also does the fact that G Franco sticks with the Sherlock two year old

8  Nietzsche   likely in need of two things to get this gelding home a winner........needs his debut effort and not his latest........and needs a clever trip from a difficult post

2  Nonno's Polaris

6  Spider Rico 

 

race 6    below average clarity

1  Of Good Report   trainer has won close to one third of his last fifty "1st out following a claim" runners........and Cerin must like what he sees from his new shooter as he steps him up multiple claiming levels.......and.........with a good looking prolonged work regiment put in

2  Volubile   one for one at today's 9F turf distance in a race run 2 back........just fired his lifetime best in a one mile grass race which was run only 12 days ago at SA......fits very well today if he can handle the rigors of returning off of less than 2 weeks rest

8  Harmon   has something to prove when not racing on the GG AW as he sure is dynamite on the synthetic surface (4 2 1 1).......he does draw Prat to ride and his pedigree suggests 9F should be a plus for him

3  Soberano

6  Swamp Souffle

 

race 7    average clarity

4  Hard Not to Love   only race to date at 6F was stellar and it was her MSW debut........she dueled in fast pace and did so very wide.......and yet.......she still won by 4 1/4........fresh today and gets Mike Smith (only mount on the card) for the 1st time......trainer was two for two last week and is ever so dangerous when teaming up for money Mike Smith........filly should be in the mix from the get go and tough throughout

2  Show It N Moe It   three of the five runners in the field are speed types which should help out this mid pace off pace runner.......she is at her best on the SA dirt and she just put in her best drill since June hinting she will rebound from her somewhat dull effort in her latest

5  Anuket   rider and trainer (Diaz/Baffert) are 6 for their last 13 as a team.........filly is 2 for 2 sprinting at SA winning by 4 1/4 & 7 1/4........not easy to put as our 3rd pick but she has two speed horses who appear just as fast inside of her and might get caught 3 wide on the turn..........still she has a ton of talent and is Baffert trained

 

race 8    average clarity

5  An American Jet   6 1/2 furlongs is a good fit for this colt and won't be for many in the race........last two races are par like and since his latest race run 3 weeks ago he put in a 3F drill.......Gary Sherlock is looking for his 1st win at the SA meeting and might snatch it here

7  Dubnation   four year old will likely find himself staking the 3 horse who lacks endurance.....if that scenario comes to fruition this gelding should be in the drivers seat turning for home......trainer/rider have won 2 of their last 5 teaming up and with the other three hitting the board

10  Norski   somewhat suspicious drop for this consistent three year old.........but then again Hector Palma has been firing on all cylinders of late......sure fits solidly if his physical condition hasn't declined

4  Git On Your Pulpit

1  Fortnite Dance

 

 

 

Posted on October 25, 2019 at 8:06 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Santa Anita for Thursday 24 October 2019

Seems like a decent Thursday race card to start the 2nd to last week of the Santa Anita Fall meeting. Make sure you check out our calendar for next week when the Breeders Cup comes to The Great Race Place.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

4  Jamminwithbrandon   the only time this gelding was put up for a tag (40K) since Cerin took over the training duties of this fellow 6 races back led to his lone win.......the effort was easily his lifetime best.......the number earned stands out here......in for 35K today versus softer.......hmmm

3  I Can Do This   jock might have selected this gelding over the 5 horse who he just won on........five year old comes off of his lifetime best and has put in back to back 5 furlong works that strongly suggests he has held form and maybe even improved.........should sit on or close to the front which he sure seems to prefer.......dangerous/sharp

5  Royal Insider   lead should go to this three year old or our 2nd pick.......with Cedillo riding the 3 horse Pratt lands here.......and Flavien won 6 of the 16 races carded this weekend

 

race 2    below average clarity

3  Lady Sunset   last two races run look good in this spot........very stout rider/trainer combo over the last couple of mounts......3 reassuring drills since her 2nd place finish at Lrc.........should sit on or near the lead saving some ground with the 2 runners inside of her lacking early speed

2  Billy'sgotasingle   trainer is awfully good of getting the most out of a given horse utilizing the sprint-route-sprint maneuver which is the case today with this MC30K..........that and of late when Cerin legs up bug boy Diaz his runners are most often "live"

1 Trouville   MC50K debut last sure appeared to be a gimme to tighten up and drop and go go go in her 2nd lifetime start......and with a switch in jocks to Prat.......and the rider & trainer are 3 for 6 over the last couple of months......seems dangerous

 

race 3    average clarity

5  Velvet Queen   brutal paces set in her last two one mile grass races led to her predictably tiring in both.......in her only other one mile grass race which was run as a two year old in a Grade 3 she broke slow and ran very wide doing very well to finish fourth beaten by less than 4L for the win.........in for $50K today so with the threat of being claimed my guess is Baltas will be all out with his filly today.......Prat stays put supporting the notion

4  Khairiya   SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE  three year old filly is a solid (7 3 2 1) when she has been up for a tag........clunker in latest but strong a.m. work since.........lone grass win came the only time this girl has competed at one mile on the sod.......rebound city seems likely this afternoon

3  Italia   last one standing might be possible in this spot loaded with speed........should sit far back and if the fractions are sub 22:4 and 46 flat she might come flying late

 

race 4    average clarity

2  Fast Cotton   seems best racing at today's 6F distance or 6 1/2F........O'Neill is dynamite 2nd out following a claim and especially when he races at the same level or slightly below the claiming price he snatched a given horse for.....taken for 12.5K and in for 10K today..........trainer is extremely hot.........dangerous sort to say the least

1  Autumn Day   trainer is solid in three categories relevant for this new addition to his barn........1st start with trainer - shippers - dropping multiple levels........that and this gelding seems at his best at today's 6F distance (3 for 6)

8  Short of Ez   needs a clever ride not to get caught wide on the turn but it helps that this gelding can run on or off of the pace and still win........that we get a switch to Prat.......trainer & rider have won with 2 of their last 3 as a team and the other was able to hit the board.........not out of the win picture by any means

5  Boy Howdy

4  Puriano

 

race 5    average clarity

5  Awesome Heights   he should be a tough cookie to wheel in as the best early speed in the field who now adds blinkers and gets 5 lbs off with 1st time Velez........who is........one nice apprentice rider including on the turf which is rare for a bug boy........gelding breaks well about 80 percent of the time........hard not to like

2  Italiano  trainer woke up out of a mini-slump last week winning 3 of 6.........colt/jockey had an impossible task in their last having to deal with the 12 post in a 5 1/2F turf race like today (posts 7 thru 12 have won only 2 of 45 races at 5 & 5 1/2F on the grass).......good time to drop off a bad looking race on paper......trainer is in go mode........danger city here

8  Getaloadofthis   tough post for sure (see above) but this race doesn't have much speed and this four year appears to have the 2nd most and is capable of winning without the lead......likely will stalk our top choice......might even lead.......1st time Prat.......such a deal

7  Grab the Munny

 

race 6    average clarity

6  Colonel Power   too fast of a 1st quarter did this speed horse in in her latest endeavor.......two solid very reassuring works since the 21 Sept race at Lrc........cut back in distance is a plus.......needs to avoid a suicidal speed duel with our 4th choice

3  Sybil's Kitty   Baltas three year old filly has been laid up since May........she showed little in her two lifetime races......she didn't work very well last Spring but she is this time around.......banking on a totally different runner in her return to the race wars this afternoon

7  Quite a Starlett   if the 5 and the 6 lock horns early this Stute three year old filly might sit a a very nice stalk position.......filly has been absent since her debut which was on May 19th but she ran well in her debut so she has shown she is capable "fresh"

5  My S V R

 

race 7    above average clarity

1  Boa Nova   owns an abundance of early speed in a race that lacks it especially for a turf sprint.......Maldonado stays up and he makes a living off of being a good gate jock who loves to ride on the lead

5  Stop the Violence   most likely to grab the stalk position in this 5 1/2 turf sprint.......like the rider change especially considering the 5 lbs off for bug boy Velez........dangerous sort

2  Ultimate Bango   seems like the best off those coming from off of the pace........four year old gelding will likely get a mid pack ground saving trip but he will need more pace than anticipated to get up in time by the wire

 

race 8    above average clarity

1  Dr. Bagley   gelding should get a great trip on or near the lead in a race that lacks speed and in the capable hands of Flavien Prat to guide him along.........that and Mullins is often at his best "2nd time route" with a given horse which is the case here

7  Dawood   turf to dirt......rider upgrade especially considering the jock is (2 1 1 0) on the Baltas gelding......takes a logical drop down........improved a.m. work......should be flying late.

6  Big Impression   another late runner who appears well meant in this spot.....both lifetime races run at one mile on the dirt fit and one of them was at SA......not impossible to upset but easy to make as our 3rd selection

8  Big Barrel

2  Chieftain's Lad

 

 

 

Posted on October 24, 2019 at 5:57 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections