Santa Anita for Sunday 5 May 2019

OK card to finish off the week of racing. Be back with you next Friday.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

6  Preaching Trainer   won his 3rd lifetime start to graduate with the blinkers taken off despite racing somewhat on a solid pace......should have good position here sitting 1st or 2nd down the back stretch

7  Foster Boi  colt has done little wrong in two lifetime starts including a win on the SA in his MSW debut......1st at a route seems to be the ? mark but he retains Prat to help him stay the distance

3  Unbridled Ethos   impressive layoff win in his 2nd lifetime start in a race down the hill.......good pedigree to handle a turf route........seems like the most likely to snatch the lead

4  Continental Divide

 

race 2    below average clarity

1  Street Image   talk about the "full Monty".......1st time Peter Miller as the trainer.......1st time gelding.........1st time blinkers.......in light......working well........equals top pick-a-rue

2  Conquest Smartee   likes to hang but might not here as he is a late runner in a field that should yield a fast set of fractions.....bug boy Velez is 22% win in sprints

3  Spanish Bay   away since Feb 14th but Mandella has him training as if he is fit and ready to roll......strong race in his last (albeit on an off track) disguised be setting a fast pace on a dull inside

 

race 3    average clarity

1  Synthesis   just popped his lifetime best 1st time running for Papaprodromou.......only beaten by 10L in the SA Derby.......blinkers on today for his 1st on the grass........OK pedigree for the sod........like his chances if he does handle the change in surfaces

5  Gregorian   colt won his debut on the AW like a good thing overseas in Ireland back in December and has been off since.......beat 12 foes and 2nd can back to win......mom has tossed 2 grass winners so he likely will handle the sod......1st time Lasix........should be tough if D'Amato has him ready off the layoff

2  Tikkum   on the improve so he deservedly is stepped up in class today........might have considered higher if Prat didn't elect to ride our 2nd selection......look for Maldonado to send

 

race 4    average clarity

1  Derby Storm   significant move forward 1st time racing at a route in last.......and the strength of the effort is hidden.......way too wide up on the pace.....adjusted number is 4 1/2 lengths better than par for today's level..........8 post in last - 1 post today......likely to get a much better trip

5  Friday's At Shady  sprint-sprint-route maneuver and drops down some......rider is dynamite in routes to the tune of 30% win with his last 30 and does well when teaming up with Bonde

2  Jonathantoquick   strong race two back......not much in layoff run in his last........trainer is much more dangerous "back quick" with a horse........16 days off for this fellow today

 

race 5    average clarity

1  Indoctrination   bad trip in his last kept this gelding from graduating.......all of his lifetime racing endeavors fit well in this spot.......Prat will be out to make amends

3  Ocean Fury  another whose whole career fits at today's lower level........only cost $75K at sale so why not drop to $50K maiden claiming........brother/trainer team are starting to heat things up

7  Aussie Fox   five-year old has plenty of run/energy but usually has a boat load of trouble in his races.......if he figures things out today and holds form he has the potential to crush the field

2  Refractometer

5  Boru

 

race 6    average clarity

2  Arcaro   Baffert 1st time starter is working as if he is 100% ready to roll in his debut......and I like that it is in a 6 1/2 furlong race as he trains and has a pedigree that screams the longer the sprint the better

5  Beleth   decent MSW debut and gets Lasix for the 1st time today.......doubt his last will do the trick but with Lasix and a race under his belt he has the potential to move forward today

1  Sly   good MSW debut on the AW at GG.......solid in the morning since.....draws Mike Smith who has won 9 of his last 16 sprint races and is 2 for 4 over the last 60 days riding for Mandella......not too shabby of stats

 

race 7    average clarity

3  Achira   hot rider and hot trainer team up here with this laid up mare who does her best running at SA on the grass.......Shirreffs often gives his laid up grass runners a race but this gal has run well for him fresh off of the bench in the past a couple of times......and usually with good early speed

6  Meal Ticket  last three turf races run for this Matt Chew five-year old mare fir solidly here.....seems at her best on the SA turf.......should sit close and with a good grass rider at the helm in Van Dyke

7  Flammetta  responds best for Prat (most do) and owns 3 wins in 5 turf races run at SA..........seems the best of those who will be making a late run......dangerous sort

8  Siberian Iris

9  Ippodamia's Girl

 

race 8    average clarity

3  Tough But Nice  got a gift win in his latest as he got away with a pedestrian pace to wire that field.......might feel great coming off of such a stress free lead and his works since the 7 April race support the notion.......that and he is (4 3 0 1) the last four times he has gotten loose on a lead......seemingly only one speed horse to put away in the five horse

1  Platinum Equity   Knapp puts his new shooter (claimed two back) in a race where he can't be claimed hinting that his new addition to the barn is doing well.....and a recent bullet drill sure supports the idea......3 for 6 on the SA dirt........1 for 14 racing anywhere else

2  Kochess   gelding has seen better days but like our 2nd pick he has been placed in a race where he can't get claimed suggesting he doing well......lookout if this Hollendorfer nine-year old is ready to turn the corner

 

race 9    average clarity

9  Desmond   seems like a great spot for a 1st time starter like this well-bred Cal Bred.......mom has tossed 6 winners from 6 starters including a Stakes winner....and three of the six turned out to be good turf horses........rather sure this colt is ready but can Talamo get the job done from a tough post........we shall see about 5 pm pacific time

2  Hit the Seam   horse likes to hang but he might get the lead here and have nobody to hang on as his only two races with the blinkers on like today led to some solid early fractions

1  Golden Birthday   debut was good but his next start was not.......recent bullet drill screams rebound if of course he takes to the turf and a route.....pedigree for both suggests he should

8  Jetovator

10  Unusually Handsome

 

Posted on May 5, 2019 at 8:59 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Santa Anita for Saturday 4 May 2019

Santa Anita has put together a very nice Saturday card. 20 Pick six carryover is now $314K.

Best of luck as always!

 

Kentucky Derby  race 12  at Churchill Downs

16  Game Winner   two straight wide trips in a row and in his latest he was also close to the pace......he has earned  adjusted for position and pace Santucci figs multiple times that can win the Derby if he handles the grueling 10 furlongs......his pedigree for the 10F by my book is as good as anyone in the race.......1st on an off track (most likely) but he also is bred well for that too.......all that and I love the solid very deep track works he put in at SA which should really build up his stamina.......and last but not least he dominated the field to win easy in last years BC Juv which was at Churchill Downs

8  Tacitus   on the improve with each and every start for Bill Mott and company and like our top selection his pedigree screams the longer the better........that and he is battled tested as he was bounced around some in the WoodMen-G2 a couple of times and still drew off in the stretch to win

7  Maximum Security   one crazy undefeated three-year old colt who just gallops regularly to get ready for his races but somehow still runs his eyeballs out come race day.....and he might feel really good coming off some soft stress free on the lead fractions........Maximum Security is one or the most difficult Derby horses to figure especially for someone like myself who studies and uses work patterns to elevate a given horses readiness

5  Improbable   another Baffert colt who only lost his last two races because of wide trips......showed he can handle an off track in his latest in the G1 ArkDerby.........like Roadster I am slightly leery of him getting 10 furlongs with his pedigree........mostly because of dad's side of the equation

10  Cutting Humor  well I liked this colt as a long-shot before Mike Smith got the mount (and found that out just two minutes prior to doing the comments for this fellow) and I like him more with the rider change......it will hurt his price some but not that much.........colt is training great for Pletcher and company and he exits a fast SunDrby-G3........the Sun track is lightning fast in general but 1:46:4 for 9F is still ultra impressive for a three-year old in March.......Smith should work out a nice mid pack trip from a decent post

17  Roadster  Smith choose the scratched Omaha Beach over this Baffert horse so that is not a positive......he does pick up one fine young rider in Geroux and now the colt gets to break from a better post than the 0 for 40 17th post (in the Derby) he had before two scratches.........colt is improving and will likely once again today........but........I am slightly leery of him getting 10 furlongs with his pedigree......thus 6th choice

 

Santa Anita

race 1    average clarity (SHF carryover of $10,821 for this race)

4  Baby Gronk   Bill Spawr four-year old has run too well not to have graduated in 3 races at SA.......running 2nd in all three with very strong times/figs and with gaps of five, five and ten lengths to 3rd......away 11 months but training like he is ready to roll fresh off of the bench just like he did last year off of a long layoff......1st on the turf but owns a good pedigree for it

8  Posterize   significant move forward in his latest both in pace and final time fig........proven on the lawn.......seems like the most likely to grab the front end with only five furlongs of turf to cover

2  Dubnation   good early speed for this D'Amato four-year old should put him in the mix early........and the cut back in distance sure looks like a good thing as he has been flattened out in more conventional sprint distances

1  Juggles

5  Jen Go Unchained

 

race 2    above average clarity

2  Hard Not to Love   trainer John Shirreffs has turned back the clock and is having one terrific SA meeting and he can keep the good times going with this filly who has run two powerful winning races in two lifetime starts......that and in her 2nd lifetime start she showed she can handle the deepened SA surface

4  Sneaking Out   Hollendorfer filly has a nice stalking style and that might come in handy here as the 3 runners inside of him might duke it out on or near the front end.....and like our top choice he showed he can handle a deep SA main track

5  Miss My Rose  filly won like a good thing in her MSW debut overcoming a tardy start and still managing to win going away at the wire by 2 widening lengths.....3 sharp works since......she needs a forward move today and she might be up for it with a race under her belt and some good a.m. work since

 

race 3    below average clarity

2  Maxim Rate   Simon Callaghan has made the most of his 34 starts in 2019 as in 41% win and 62% in the money and with an ROI of +3.49......yikes-o-rama......both lifetime adjusted for trip Santucci figs are better than par for today's Graded 3 level......good post and a Hall of Fame rider up who seems to be snapping out of a small funk

4  Miss Flawless   won her 1st race in her 2nd lifetime start in France off of 12 days rest.....next win came 22 later......3rd win came 2nd out after 2 month layoff and it was run off of 16 days rest.....with that in mind her 1st in the U S of A run after a 4 1/2 month layoff was likely a tune-up to set her up for today's race run off of 28 days rest.......it's not rocket science

6  Hostess   double barrel action from the Callaghan barn as he also trains our top pick.........filly beat our top choice and her barn pal in her last.......and if Prat was still up she might have been made top choice as today's rider in 2 for his last 52 on the sod

 

race 4    average clarity

4  Roaring Fork  SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE  last 3 SA one mile races for this Sean McCarthy four-year old fit here and have led to 2 wins and a 2nd......that and Gryder has options as this gelding is capable of winning on or off of the pace

1  Implicitly  colt is 2 for 2 on fast rated dirt when he has been loose on the lead like his last race........and right now you can't ask for a more reliable fast breaking gate jock up in Edwin Maldonado

5  Camino de Estrella   vet scratch on 13 April but 2 works since and the last of which is rather decent.......that and questionable horses are getting more scrutinized by the vets than they were in the past......so the drop of $9,000 following a win doesn't concern me as much

 

race 5    below average clarity

3  Ellie Arroway   in a race that sure appears wide open it seems like a good spot for a filly who had a sprint dirt tune-up and then put in some good a.m. work both in preparation for today's turf route........that and everything Victor Espinoza rides for Sadler has been live since his return from injury.....believe this filly will show speed today and sit close to the front.....should be a price

11  Miss Bigly   both lifetime races which were on the grass fit solidly in this spot.........filly has been absent since last October but her works indicate she is returning ready to roll.......not an easy post for Kent Desormeaux to deal with but his mount appears to have tactical speed which should enhance his chances of getting on over by turn one

1  Zest   useful dirt sprint debut and 3 endurance drills since.......and she draws a decent post for the bug boy to work out a good trip........that and Clifford Sise has won 3 of his last 10 "1st on the grass"

5  Tagline

7  Catch My Eye

6  Fashion Island

 

race 6    average clarity

2  Cats Blame  better than it appears effort in his latest and returns to the race wars off of 28 days rest......and his last win came 2nd out following a layoff 3 races back......seems well-meant and the extra furlong to work with this afternoon appears to be a plus

3  Royal Trump   last two racing endeavors are better than par for today's level.......can he put together a 3rd one off of the rigors of 3 races in 28 days.......if he does he has as good a shot as anyone of visiting the winners circle

6  Make It a Triple  last two races fit at today's level but what really catches my eye is the vastly improved speed this fellow displayed in his last on the deepened SA main track......Vinnie Brednar might be able to get loose with his biggest speed opponent breaking from a tougher post in which to get the lead

 

race 7    average clarity

7  Lucky Patrick   back to back solid races/figs........one up with the pace setters and one sitting off of the pace setters........and his latest race is arguably the best of his career and it was run on the new deeper SA surface

4  Kidmon   all of this guy's races sprinting on conventional dirt fit well here......not nuts about this gelding dropping again but the owner has a boat load of horses and might care less about losing him as long as he wins

2  Vander Kelen   won for fun the only time this fellow found himself loose on the lead albeit on an off track.......decent opportunity to get loose in this spot

3  Iron Curtain

5  Shaymin

 

race 8    above average clarity

4  Coil Me Home  very consistent sort just ran a very impressive 2nd in the 7 April version of the nw alw race as he broke tardy and then ran wide on a day the rail was slightly biased........that and he should be just off of the lead in this race lacking speed in what should be a soft pace

5  Flagstaff   laid up Sadler five-year old whose younger brother is Game Winner has a decent chance to grab the lead and set some soft fractions.....that is if he his fit enough off of a long layoff.......decent a.m. work suggests that he is

2  Dia de Pago   talented colt also seems ready fresh off of the bench with a prolonged series of tightly spaced every 6 days works (a la Mike Mitchell style)........still he might need more pace than anticipated to get up in time as he likely will be towards the rear of the field in the early stages

6  Oggonis

 

race 9    average clarity

5  Count Alexander   colt runs well fresh and appreciates the SA grass course........believe Franco will sit mid pack (and be no worse than 2 wide on the 1st turn) which likely will be a plus in this affair with quite a bit of speed

3  Ya Gotta Wanna   hard to believe that this five-year old has only run 4 times at the one mile turf distance because he has won 3 on those 8F affairs all of which were at SA.......and he is 0 for 7 at all other turf distances.....should be flying from far back late

7  Majestic Eagle   it took awhile but Drysdale's light bulb finally went on as he is putting the blinkers back on this fellow following 6 straight races without them........previous 4 with them on ? (4 2 2 0)

2  United

8  Starting Bloc

 

race 10    average clarity

6  Scarlet   MSW debut way back in July isn't bad despite being a 12L beaten 4th as the final time was very fast for the level and she had the bit of a wide trip......but more importantly she is training as if she is returning as an improved individual.........R Mandella is hot and he has won with 20 of his last 100 coming off of layoffs greater than 3 months

4  True Mischief   low percentage trainer in Richard Baltas with MSW 1st time starters but this filly is training at Slr too well to ignore......if she takes to the SA surface she should be a player here

7  Hang a Star   pressed a quick set of fractions early and faded as most would as the final time was eye-popping for the now deep SA main track......that and she might not have been all that wound up as she went off at 37 to 1.....reassuring 5F work since her debut......should be a player if she makes a logical move forward

2  So Much Money

9  Road Ranger

 

race 11    average clarity 

(13 AE  Breezy Bee  has a shot if she draws into the field)

4  Lucky Stepper   race lacks speed and because of that this filly has enough to get on over by the 1st turn and likely wind up no worse than 2 wide on the 1st turn......heck she might even be on the lead for Victor Espinoza

8  K P Satellite   Mullins is not so hot with maiden debut runners but this filly has put in many furlongs of work at one week intervals......that and she is up for a tag rather than in a protected MSW race.......both hint she is a "go" in her debut

10  Sapori Girl   on the improve with each and every race and the improvement in her latest which was the 14 April version of this race is disguised by breaking slightly tardy and racing too wide

3  Boldest Vow

2  Beyond Pleasure

 

Posted on May 4, 2019 at 5:43 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Santa Anita for Friday 3 May 2019

For those of you planning on purchasing our special full card selections (14 races) for Churchill Downs on Derby Day Saturday May 4th please don't procrastinate as logistically it makes it easier on yours truly setting up the emails that will be sent at about 6 p.m. central time on Friday night, May 3rd. Thank you.

Decent race card today at Santa Anita today. Saturday's card will be posted no later than 5:30 a.m pacific time to help accommodate those wanting to hit the road very early. 

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

2  Georgie Hypen   gelding won on the AW in his 2nd lifetime start in Ireland off of 22 days rest........he ran 2nd by a nose following a long layoff off of 26 days rest in a race run on grass at SA in the 22 Feb version of this race........today he races off of a 14 day rest following a useful grass at GG run off of a 2 month break........seems well-meant today

4  Alfareed   first ever competing in a turf route but two of his dirt routes are good and 2 of his three grass sprints are better than they appear in print........away since 10 March but training stoutly.......like his chances to run his best turf race today considering how well he ran in dirt routes........one would think he will be better long on the turf as well

6  Mr. Magico   connections might have been a bit too ambitious stepping this fellow up in his latest......back to the 25Knw2 level where he has a fighting chance......race two back fits and is much better than appears in print (shuffled back and bore out on the turn some)

5  Captivate

 

race 2    average clarity

8  Out of Control  best early speed in the field and 1st time with good gate jock Edwin Maldonado on her back who is on the top of his game right now.......last race is much better than it appears on paper.......cut back in distance is a plus

3  Meritocracy   3 of 4 lifetime starts look solid here and his last race is disguised by running wide on a rail bias........hard not seeing this dropping Hess three-year old filly being a major factor in the outcome of this 5 1/2F race

5  Appolina   decent debut for MC50K and now drops to MC25K.......somewhat suspicious drop especially considering this filly was a vet scratch on 12 April......dangerous but likely over bet

7  Fashion Dream

1  Glitter Gulch

 

race 3    average clarity

3  Railman   major improvement in his latest to graduate in style with a 3 1/2L win.......and it seems significant that it was this colt's 1st run on the new deepened Santa Anita racing surface

2  Bully for Eric   on the improve with each and every race at Tup and his latest fig earned is solid.......question seems to be if he can handle a very slow SA surface as well as he handled a lightening fast surface at the Az racetrack

4  Asano   turf route to dirt sprint is often a strong move and that is the case today for this Keith Desormeaux three-year old........that and this youngster's best to date was the lone time he got to sprint on the SA main track when it was rated "fast" (and somewhat deep on 11 Jan.)

 

race 4    above average clarity

7  Truffalino three-year old could have won a G3 in her last which was at today's 9F turf distance if it wasn't for a bad trip (slow break and quite wide on turn two).......and prior to the race this Mandella filly acted up some in the gate.....bullet work since the effort.......has to slip of form not to be flying late here

5  Colonial Creed  continues to train like a happy healthy turf horse for Baltas and friends.......race lacks speed and this filly has some......good opportunity for Victor Espinoza to slow things down and have something left in the stretch to hold off many strong off pace runners in the field

6  Out of Balance  filly has been very consistent at Santa Anita on the turf (4 1 3 0) and likely will sit 2nd or 3rd down the back stretch giving her 1st crack at our 2nd choice turning for home

3  Italia

 

race 5    average clarity

5  Littlebitamedal   last three races that this Art Sherman colt was put up for a tag amounted to a record of (3 2 0 1) and are better than par for today's level.........hard not to like in this spot

3  Italiano   blinkers on after being off for two races and 1st time Maldonado suggest the connections want their four-year-old on the lead.....and this colt seemingly has only one other speed horse to put away in our 3rd choice......two very strong trainer stats for Miyadi are 2nd after a claim and blinkers back on.......both are the case today

1  Bad Boy Leroy   Glatt is very dangerous with laid up sprinters that have some speed like this gelding.......one slight concern is that the last two works for this five-year old are a little dull after being quite strong

 

race 6    average clarity

6  Kiwi's Dream  dangerous N Cal trainer when shipping to S Cal in John Martin.........gelding has a solid history racing at 5F or 5 1/2F on the turf or the synthetic and has plenty of early speed

2  Bucky's Pick   solid forward move on the dirt in his latest both in pace and final time.......and that improvement pace wise can come in handy here in this abbreviated turf sprint of 5 furlongs

4  Ultimate Bango   laid up Blake Heap four-year old gelding appreciates the 5F distance and if he is ready off of a long layoff he should be a major player........Heap is 17%/56% with his last 18 coming off of layoffs that are greater than 3 months.......and it sure is easier to get a given horse ready for a 5F turf race than other longer distances

5  Tap the Wire 

7  R Cha Cha

 

race 7    average clarity

1  Gia Lula   runs awfully well when competing at 6F or less.......and considering her last at 7F is a par like run one would surmise there is significant potential for a big race today at the 5 1/2 furlong distance

3  Hailey Rachele  very consistent when competing at 5 1/2F or less on fast rated dirt......away since Feb but she shows a telltale 5F best of 35 bullet work......seems meant and ready for a trainer in Sam Scolamieri who is solid sending out his stock off of layoffs

6  Mixed Emotions  won her 2nd lifetime start last year dropping into a MC50K following her MSW debut......similar set up in 2019 as she just ran in a protected alw race off of a long layoff and now 3 weeks later Eric Kruljac drops her into a conditioned 16K claiming race.......it's not rocket science

5  Whirling

4  Don'teatmycookies

 

race 8    below average clarity

6  Mo Reserve   new home for this D'Amato colt and it is called "turf".......just fired his lifetime best in his 1st ever on the lawn and the strength of the race is disguised to some degree.......two reassuring works since his 6 April race......seems likely to produce similar or better today

4   T Bones Trick  good MSW debut and he settled (ran smoothly) nicely considering his debut was in a turf route.......plenty of furlongs put in since his 4 April MSW debut........like our top selection he likely has a decent chance to move forward today

9  Proud Pedro   solid U S of A debut for this French invader although his off pace style was very much flattered by a brutal pace up front.......sharp drill since.....yet another poised to move forward today

2  City Rage

7  Grand Meister

 

 

Posted on May 3, 2019 at 4:29 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Santa Anita for Sunday 28 April 2019

For those of you planning on purchasing our special full card selections (14 races usually) for Churchill Downs on Derby Day Saturday May 4th please don't procrastinate as logistically it makes it easier on yours truly setting up the emails that will be sent at about 6 p.m. central time on Friday night, May 3rd. Thank you.

Best of luck as always!!

 

race 1    above average clarity

6  Violette Szabo  quite the layoff run in her latest off of a long hiatus from the game.......faces easier today as the controlling speed in the race.......hard not to like this youngster's chances

1  Ruby Bradley   double barrel action for the D'A as he also conditions our top choice.........late runners chances to beat her barn mate likely will be enhanced if our 3rd choice duels in too fast of a pace with our top choice

4  Miss Ricochet   our top choice who has plenty of early gas has broken slightly tardy in both lifetime starts......if she breaks  worse than "slightly tardy" for her 3rd lifetime start this mares chances of getting the lead and being tough to catch will obviously be better

 

race 2    average clarity

3  Muchos Besos  toss out last two races on the slop......good history for this 10 year on deep fast tracks which we sure have these days at SA.......blinkers on to shake things up and if his work tab is worth a hoot the equipment change sure appears to have woken up this old-timer

5  Dukes   another who likes deep fast tracks and it sure showed in his latest.......drops a couple of claiming levels and makes a significant jock upgrade.......should be tough if he holds form

4  Pioneerof the West   away 2+ months and shows only 4 works since last seen on 23 Feb.......so.........I am a little skeptical about how fit this fellow is at the moment.......but......if he is he will have a shot in this spot

 

race 3    above average clarity

6  Jimmy the Juice   trainer is often at his best dropping multiple levels and that is the case here for this gelding who likely helped fill the race in his latest as he raced way over his head......if that is the case he will be tough in this spot as he won two races back at one level higher than today despite being checked in the stretch

3  Market Sentiment  not much cooking in his latest dropping down in claiming multiple levels.....but time off to recover and his a.m. work is improved.......somewhat hot speed jock up in Maldonado........believe this eight year old mounts a rebound today.......to what degree seems to be the ? mark

1  Papa Turf   dangerous speed in this spot as he seemingly only has our 2nd choice to put away.......and speed has done very well at the 6F since the SA main track was deepened

 

race 4    average clarity

4  Suprema   decent layoff run in latest and Keith Desormeaux sees fit to step up his MC30K to MC50K today off of only 7 days rest........that suggests this filly exited her last in good shape.......we shall see if that is true about 2:30 pacific time this afternoon

2  Gray Lady   dangerous trainer in Clifford Sise with MC 1st time starters who has his new shooter training well at Slr for her debut.........like this youngster's chances if she takes to the SA surface

5  Gotta Be Lucky   only lifetime race at today's 7F is decent......that and she might feel good this afternoon coming off of a turf route........good rider/trainer combo the last 2 months is Van Dyke/Gaines - 2 for their last 5 with two others hitting the board

 

race 5    average clarity

3  Shining Through   on the right end of the learning curve with few reasons not to believe that his progress can't continue today....... and he gets 4 lbs off and retains Prat.......better post to work with today........hard not to like

2  Jasikan   beat 17 of 22 foes in her maiden debut overseas going off at 50 to 1 odds.......went off 8 to 5 in her next and won beating 12 foes......fits fine in this spot in her USA debut if Sadler has her ready off of the 4+ month

1  Rijeka   nice layoff win in his latest as a 1st time gelding........still he will not to need move forward today.......considering this is his 2nd out after a layoff he just might

4  Big Scott Daddy 

 

race 6    below average clarity

3  Fast as Cass  SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE   big race run last year turf to dirt albeit wf dirt.......lifetime best grass race run 9 days ago and the strength of the effort is disguised.......dirt today.......good rider/trainer combo of late......should be a price

2  I Can Do This    two best route races were run off of short rest.......2 weeks rest for today's race and gets the meets leading rider on his back for the 1st time.....should be a major player

6  Oh Man  .four-year old has won two straight loose on the lead and he is the most likely to grab the lead in this spot......just picked up by Miyadi at the "box" and Fuentes rides thru the claim.......dangerous speed type

1  Ground Attack

 

race 7    average clarity

5  Bolo  seven-year old has won twice off of 6 month layoffs.........so can he handle today's 23 month layoff?......1st time gelding today and working well........loves the SA turf........multiple Graded winner in an alw race......why not

2  Hunt   another multiple Graded winner in a cond alw race likely lured by a better purse these days for the level........layoff last was decent......rider change is much more than decent.......hard to split top two

3  Unapologetic   six-year-old seems to be in peak form with 3 of his last 4 races fitting here......trainer is a stellar 9 for 23 at the SA meeting.......not out of the win picture by any means

4  Marckie's Water

1  Tizzarunner

 

race 8    average clarity

2  Cool Bobby  brutal trip in his last way too wide and up on the pace.....very sharp in the a.m. since the race run on March 3rd.......last two preparatory works are strong and very significant as they were worked on the deepened SA surface

3  California Journey   lifetime best in latest (and somewhat disguised) hinting that the deep dirt at SA was to his liking.......rider upgrade......monster purse if he wins with the jacked up purses and the added money for Cal-breds.......seems like a big incentive to have this fellow feeling good for this race

7  Pleasant d'Oro   seemingly working well enough to compete at a high level off of the 1/2 year layoff.......likes to stalk the lead and it appears Prat might get that position here

4  Beaumarchais

 

race 9    below average clarity

3  Great Ma Neri   SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE  all three lifetime 5F grass sprints appear to fit here in this soft looking spot.......good gate horse should be in the mix from the opening bell.....good post

9  Square Peggy   outside posts are doing poorly in these 5F turf races but this filly has speed and might be able to get on over by the turn especially with Maldonado aboard her.......lookout if she does

8  Scathing   trainer likes to "go" 2nd out after a claim.........136 to 1 odds (placed way over her head) in her latest 1st following the Pender claim and with low percentage jock up.......drops in class today to a level she can compete and with the meets leading rider up.......hmmm

4  Chasin Lucas

7  Moonshine Annie

 

 

 

 

 

 

Posted on April 28, 2019 at 10:32 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Santa Anita for Saturday 27 April 2019

For those of you planning on purchasing our special full card selections (14 races usually) for Churchill Downs on Derby Day Saturday May 4th please don't procrastinate as logistically it makes it easier on yours truly setting up the emails that will be sent at about 6 p.m. central time on Friday night, May 3rd. Thank you.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

6  Magic Musketier  four-year old colt has the best late pace in the field and with many in this group that have little "punch" when it counts the most as in the late stretch.......let's call it the last the "last man standing" situation

3  Tequila Joe   gelding was making a move on the 2nd turn when he had to check about 3L thus messing with his momentum......that and he sure draws a better post for Delgadillo to work with at the one mile turf distance (10 post to 4 post)

1  Start a Running   route speed turf runner seemingly has only one other speed horse to cope with in the 5 horse......two reasons he gets the nod over the 5 as it appears that he is training better and whereas the 5 is a need to lead type this gelding has won stalking the lead

2  Dallas Skyline

 

race 2    below average clarity

3  Majestic Diva   good history running off of short rest and her latest racing off of a two month break isn't two shabby........as in better than par for today's higher level.......last race 3 weeks ago.......good history with Tiago Pereira on her back......should be a major factor in the outcome of this race

4  Ciao Luna   in good form right now and gets to run turf to dirt so she might be feeling good......and the fact she put in a good 3F work since her latest which was run only 2 weeks ago supports the notion

5  Empress of Lov  filly has a shot at snatching the front end and never looking back......Ron Ellis is often at his most dangerous 2nd out after a claim and that is the case today for this filly dropping back to level that Ron claimed her for

 

race 3    average clarity

1  Kentan Road   only 5F turf race at SA for this mare is her lifetime best Santucci fig and it is disguised in it's strength........broke tardy and then rushed up to still open up a loose lead.......did quite well to beat 7 of 8 foes.....if this mare breaks well today she should be very tough to wheel in

2  Rocky Policy   even though this mare is yet to win at 5 or 5 1/2 furlongs on the turf (8 0 3 2) she appears to be at her best at the distance(s).......she is capable on or off of the lead.......and she appreciates very firm turf which she should get today

4  Hergame   tough call if this laid up French invader is ready in her U S of A debut but if she is should fit just fine here even with a low percentage turf jock up

5  Time for Ebby

 

race 4    below average clarity

2  El Huerfano   9 for 18 in the exacta when racing on the Santa Anita main track.....and his latest run on the new deep SA dirt was stellar running 2nd despite dueling in way too fast of fractions for how slow the track was playing......that and his last two wins came the two times he ran further than one mile on a fast rated dirt surface

6  Surfing Star   both lifetime route races run on a fast track fit solidly here.......only placed as the second choice because his pedigree to get another furlong isn't the best........but on the other hand Bruce Headley sure has put in copious furlongs of work into this colt to help him handle the 9 furlongs of deep dirt

4  Two Thirty Two  SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE  fell off of form quite badly last summer/fall and wisely was given plenty of time off to set things straight........Baltas sure appears to have his four-year old colt wound up and ready to roll fresh off of the bench with a prolonged tightly spaced series of works........last two wins for this colt came the last two times this he ran in allowance races and the one run last June at today's same alw level is dynamite

 

race 5    average clarity

2  Hardboot   solid lifetime best effort when last seen on opening day at SA in a race run off of a 6 month layoff where this colt was only beaten by 4L in a G2.....4 months off for today's race vs. easier.......rider upgrade.......same turf distance......works are solid........all systems go

3  Tule Fog   sprint turf prep in her latest in a race run off of an extended hiatus from the game........last four times this horse got to race at SA in a one mile grass race led to 2 wins - a 2nd -and a 3/4L beaten fifth........five year old should be in the mix from the get go

4  Brandothebartender   versatile grass runner seems to handle any turf distance including one mile of sod at SA.........that and he gets to run 2nd out following a layoff ......and the 6 1/2F layoff race was very strong and should set him up for his one mile endeavor this afternoon

7  The Hunted

 

race 6    above average clarity

5  True Validity   all three lifetime races run on the SA main track when rated fast fine here......not too shabby at SA on an off track either.......won today's race condition in her latest.......three reassuring works since the better than par race......definitely the one to overcome

4  Time for Kisses  poor trip racing over her head combine to help hide an effort that is better than par when you adjust for 6 or 7 lengths of trip trouble......back in 21 days 2nd out after a long layoff seems like a good set up as she broke her maiden in her 2nd lifetime start off of 24 days rest

2  Rather Nosy   moved forward in her last but it still wasn't good enough to beat our top choice........she did earn a Santucci fig that was only 2L less than our top choice and her a.m. work seems a touch better.......not impossible to turn the table

 

race 7    average clarity

6  Kylemore   2 of 4 races on the dirt since Baltas took over the training duties of this four-year old gelding are solid.....and he seems every bit as good on the grass as on the dirt.......only race he has run at today's 9F turf distance is much better than it appears in print........away 8 weeks but considering how well he is working the break appears to have done him some good....should be in the mix from the get go

9  Twentytwentyvision   likes to stalk the lead and he sure appears to have a chance at doing that for the 3rd time in a row........and you have to like that he won his last two very easily albeit at two claiming levels lower

1  Major Cabbie  stepped on the grass for the first time in his latest and it really woke him up........might have upset the apple cart in the race at 52 to 1 if it wasn't for getting shuffled back in the run down the majestic SA hill grass course.......not sure if this fellow wants to run as far as 9F but it is encouraging that he handled 8F of dirt in Sept. of his 2-year-old year with a 6 1/4L win to break his MSW

3  Lazzam  SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE 

4  Red King

 

race 8    average clarity

8  Paradise Woods   best by far at SA (8 3 2 2 1 on fast rated dirt) including on the new much deeper SA main course as she ran a nice 3rd in her latest on March 30th in a Grade 1........and with a much inferior rider from the one who rides today........impressive drills since last........Mike Smith will have her in the mix from the get go

6  Lemoona   four-year old Baltas filly just ran her best turf race of her career and it was at today's 9F distance.......and she appears to better on the dirt than the turf.......so......if she holds form logic suggests she might be up for her lifetime best performance this afternoon......lookout if that is the case

3  La Force   mare has shown she can fire fresh and she has also shown that she is a smooth running sort which has made her very consistent.......mostly made as our 3rd choice because her two efforts at 9F are not so hot

1  Starr of Quality

5  Withholding Info  SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE 

 

race 9    average clarity

2  Translucent   gelding drops a couple of MC levels and as the best early speed in the field........only race run on a fast SA main track fits solidly here both in pace and final time......and the cut back of 1/16 for today should help this three-year old to hold it together in late stretch.........trainer and rider both could use a win

10  Golden Image   nice forward move in his 3rd lifetime start in a race run off of 11 weeks rest and at today's 5 1/2 furlongs.......9 weeks rest today and good works showing......seems like a player in this spot

9  King Parker   moved forward in his 2nd lifetime start and on the drop down.........so 2nd out after a layoff and on a drop in claiming appears to have him well-meant this afternoon

4  Winding

6  Dieci

 

 

Posted on April 27, 2019 at 7:27 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections