Santa Anita for Thursday 8 February 2018

A little extra for your money (purchase) the next two race days as Friday has 9 races and Saturday has 10. I best get busy.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

9  Nothing But Heat   useful educational MSW turf route .......prior to the race she was fractious in the gate (not a good thing very often).......if she settles down and behaves today with her positive turf rider change she has a shot in this spot.......especially with the cut back in distance

6  Wishful   exits the same 20 Jan. race as our top selection......in the race this three-year old filly flashed good early speed and then tired.......1st on Lasix and with a solid 6F work showing........should be in the hunt from the get go in a race where I don't see too many speed challengers

7  An Eddie Surprise   most turf experience in the race and might appreciate the cut back in distance........O'Neill is doing fine right now following a dull start to the SA meeting

1  Pegasus Party

3  Prefect Portrait

4  Dee Way to Go

 

race 2    average clarity

5  Swiss Minister   plenty of speed signed up should play into the hands of this mid pack runner.........5 for 9 at SA on the dirt......and 4 for 8 at today's distance........jock knows this five-year old well as this is his 8th straight call on the gelding

3  Gigantis   following 4 consecutive solid races this Bruce Headley gelding fired a bad race in October........been absent since...... but...... has returned to the race wars with a prolonged good looking work series........proven fresh.......likely a player here

6  Protando   turf to dirt......blinks off.......and back in very short rest of only 12 days......seems slightly better these days on the sod but still dangerous considering all the changes made and how well the trainer has done in 2017/18

 

race 3    average clarity

3  Kentan Road   Joe Talamo can get the jump on the "raw" apprentice who rides the one horse........and if Talamo gets away he might.................go..................all..................the...................way.......way to go Eagles......as for the crazy Philly fans that is another matter

6  Lil Grazen   mid pack runner seems best racing at today's six panels........race two back at 6F and at Santa Anita is very strong.....but can this filly handle the rigors/stress of only 6 days rest.......few can.....but maybe returning so quick off of a grass race will be a little less stressful than if she attempted it off a dirt race

4  Fair Regis   Carnak says:  path to the winner's circle goes like this:  1 and 3 duel hard and the 6 doesn't handle the grueling task of racing off of 6 days......thus Bejarano comes flying by them all late in the race

 

race 4    average clarity

7  Coronado Cool   talk about a consistent mare.......she is (11 1 5 5) on main track surfaces and 4 of those were at SA......and she seems at her best in sprints.....might be a hanger of sorts but it is difficult to tell despite her record that hints she might be

2  Tee Em Eye   last time this mare was able to run with as short of rest as 4 weeks she won for fun at Dmr on the 26th of August in a 16K nw2.......4 weeks rest for today's 16Knw3........same apprentice rider up.....hmmm

1  Divine Spark   last somewhat seems like a fall off in form but really wasn't as she raced way too wide and still finished well......likely has remained in form but she loses the meets leading rider and his bug boy break in the weights........still she has a shot at the circle of joy but she was easy to make our 3rd selection

4  Pomp and Party

3  Sally Simpson

 

race 5    average clarity

6  Glorious Crown  both lifetime races are solid and would be tough here provided this colt can run as well on his 1st ever on the sod.........and his.pedigree to handle the turf is very good

1  Captain Ron   laid up since August and returns with a sporadic work tab which doesn't exactly exude confidence......but she owns the best credentials down the hill and might open up a very dangerous loose lead

4 Kopitar   suspicious looking drop especially since the D'A goes to a seldom used jock who is only 1 for his last 35 riding on the lawn.....but on the other hand the works sure look solid and the cold trainer could use a win.......tough call

5  Secret Bend

7  Harliss

 

race 6    average clarity

6  Black Tie 'n Tails   since Peter Miller took over the training duties of this gelding following a 6 Nov claim every dirt race that this gelding has run fits well here.......so the question is whether or not this is a "claim me please" proposition or the connections just want another win and are willing to give a relatively sound horse away

10  Bargaining   last three racing endeavors fit with his latest quite hidden.....that and the cut back in distance appears to be a plus.....high percentage trainer to boot

3  Stoneys Mr Cruiser   another dropping down and in his case it appears his physical condition isn't as questionable.......trainer Treece has been holding his own these days when he races at the "big track"........good history for his gelding at the distance (5 2 0 2)

7  Mr. Louis

5  Indavidualist

1  Rim Ditch

 

race 7    average clarity

1  Magic Musketier   Desormeaux appears as if he can sit in the garden spot stalking or sitting mid pack fairly close up and saving ground......following two racing endeavors in Stakes races this Hollendorfer colt gets to run in an allowance race for the 1st time since he took over the training duties a couple races back....should be tough facing softer

6  Kylemore   last time this colt saw grass was 3 back in October and he ran a very strong effort/fig racing way too wide on both turns.......Eoin Harty is good 3rd out following a layoff which is the case today.......that and the three-year old gets the most accomplished rider on his back that he has ever had.....trainer means business

8  River Boyne   ironically fig wise his race 2 back where he ran second in a MSW is better than par for today's higher level whereas his 5L MSW breaking win in his latest is not.......but he did win awfully easily so there might be plenty of horse left in the tank for today

3  Move Over

5  Tap Fever

9  Buckstopper Kit

 

race 8    below average clarity

3  Bragging Rights   owns some good early speed provided she exits the metal monster better than she has in her 1st 2 lifetime races......that and the abbreviated sprint distance of 5 1/2 furlongs appears to be a good fit

1  Ocean Bound   7 lbs apprentice rider Franklin Ceballos appears to be a decent rider and he gets a filly with some early speed and the one post which I like these days at 5 1/2 furlongs......that and his filly drops again to enhance her chances of winning.......and she has the right to move forward back in short rest for the 1st time

11  Cinnamon Twist   seems like a suspicious drop from the top to the bottom maiden ranks for this filly who went for 200K in April of 2017.......especially since she has yet to have run on conventional dirt which she owns a good pedigree for......flip a coin type as far as her good health is concerned

5  Starship Treasure

7  Lanacakes

2  Magnificent Q T

 

 

 

Posted on February 8, 2018 at 7:42 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Santa Anita for Saturday 3 February 2018

We seem to have good cards both today and for Super Bowl Sunday. We shall see.

Because of the early post for the Super Bowl our selections will be posted no later than 8 a.m. pacific time on Sunday.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    below average clarity

12  Slick Trick   difficult post to deal with but this filly ran an exceptionally strong turf sprint MSW debut.....she broke slowly and then ran quite wide.....adjusted for trouble fig was 4 1/2 lengths better than par.....bred extremely well for a turf route......3 reassuring works .....hard not seeing her tough if she doesn't get caught 4 wide or worse on the 1st turn

6  Super Good   owns good early turf speed and her best of two lifetime grass races (a 2nd and a 3rd) was her MSW debut......so......fresh off of a three-month layoff might be right up her alley

1  Cooperate   not sure if this invader from France is ready fitness wise off of her 3 month layoff but if she is she should fit in this spot well

4  Heliocentricity

7  Movie Moment

13 AE  Pacific Strike

2  Heaven Escape

 

race 2    average clarity

1  Curly's Rocket   handled today's one post quite nicely in his 2nd lifetime start dueling thru-out and just missed the winners circle by a nose......two sharp 4F drills since......back in short........another forward move seems likely

6  Core Beliefs   solid MSW debut for this Peter Eurton three-year old cold getting bumped 2 or 3 lengths early and showing plenty of life after that.......1st time on Lasix for his 2nd start......and..... with a sharp speed 4F drill since his 13 Jan debut......and thru the years Eurton is much more dangerous with 2nd time starters although not as much so of late

5  Once On Whiskey   prolonged work regiment for this Bob Baffert MSW 1st time starter (Bob also trains our top selection) and with both speed and endurance building works put in......dangerous sort

 

race 3    above average clarity

1  Roy H   not much until 2017 when he became something special ........and his last three of four 6F sprint races (and all at 6F) are "off the charts good".......and considering his trainer is Peter Miller it is highly likely that he will be up for another Grade 1 like big effort......and folks this is a Grade 2

3  Americanize   very solid sprinter who has never missed the board in eight dirt sprint races with 3 wins, 4 seconds and a third.....very nice sprinter in his own right but he will need his best ever and/or an off day from our top choice to take down this race

2  Bobby Abu Dhabi   SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE    just popped his lifetime best and the effort is definitely deserving of a shot in a Graded race.....and Peter Miller loves going 1-2 when he has two entered like he does here

 

race 4    average clarity

7  Tweeting   believe this filly will be up to her effort run on 1 Oct which was run off of a 2 + month layoff.....that race was very strong and hidden by a wide trip.......good works and this time running off of 2 1/2 month layoff.......1st on the hill is a ? mark

1  Tizanillusion   needs ample time between starts and Sadler shows patience and gives it to his five-year old mare.....she is very consistent but does have a small tendency to hang with 2 wins and 7 2nd's in 12 turf races

4  A Little Bit Me   four-year old filly has a very good opportunity of sitting pretty in a ground saving one or two path trip stalking the lead.....dangerous sort from the (heating things up) O'Neill barn

2  Tink's Twirl

3  Mongolian Shopper

8  Salten Sapity

 

race 5    average clarity

4  Lombo   MSW win in his last was impressive running 3 wide up of a solid pace and still managed to win going away.......back quick and yet was able to work a decent 4F.......Prat is up with Desormeaux electing to rider for his bro and Prat will likely go after the lead and try to wire the field

1  Ayacara   Desormeaux lands here on this colt who owns one strong route race/number in 4 route races and it was his only dirt route he ever ran at Santa Anita........very dangerous late runner

7  Peace   both races run at SA are weak figs despite running 1st and 2nd.......his race at Dmr is very strong and would likely win this race........tough call but definitely dangerous

5  Shivermetimbers

2  Pepe Tono

3  Dark Vader

 

race 6    average clarity

3  Mercer Island   layoff drop downs from the Miller barn are often deadly........and drop makes sense as this gelding only earned $6K for Miller and company last year........time to cut into the red ink

4  Southern Thunder   wide journey in his last hides a much improved race.......rider upgrade and a bullet work since his last......all systems go for a lifetime best for Mullins and company four-year old gelding

2  Reverend   solid layoff run and the effort is hidden by a slow start and a 3 wide trip.....somewhat of a suspicious drop but if he is OK and he handles his 1st ever around two turns he should be a major player as well

6  Roosevelt

8  Moonlight Blue

 

race 7    above average clarity

5  Itsinthepost   last 7 races in G2 affairs have led to 4 wins and 2 2nd's and all with T C Baze in the saddle.....that and this six-year-old gelding is 5 for 14 on the SA turf and only 2 for 16 elsewhere.......easy to make top selection

2  Free Rose   rider upgrade today and Talamo won on this Baltas five-year old the only time he rode him......should be prominent from the opening bell.......gelding has a good history running off of relatively short rest.......28 days since his last qualifies for that

6  Flamboyant   another who performs best on the Santa Anita turf........ran 2nd in a G2 4 weeks ago at Santa Anita.......and.....the a.m. preparatory work is subtlety better this time out than it was prior to his last......good jock on a late runner in Van Dyke

4  Isotherm

1  Prince of Arabia  SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE

 

race 8    average clarity

3  Accelerate   very consistent sort and he has fired 3 very solid Graded races since the blinkers were added 4 races back......this appears to be the softest group he has to deal with in very long time......should be tough

9  Top of the Game   loves the SA dirt as he is 4 for 4 on it and 0 for 10 everywhere else....that and the 9 furlong distance appears to fit him well.....dangerous sort especially with regular rider Desormeaux sticking around

2  Mubtaahij   Baffert six-year-old is a rather inconsistent sort but if he brings his "A game" (especially at a distance that seems to suit him) he has a shot in this spot

5  The Lieutenant

1  Pavel

7  Irish Freedom

 

race 9    average clarity

8  Beau Square   decent works prior to his latest led to an OK effort on the hill.......that race was run off of a 7 week break.......works since the race are much more impressive........better in shorter rest.........rather sure she runs better than an OK race today

1  Gone to Town    took to the SA hill in a big way as she graduated in style by 4 widening lengths at the wire.......might feel awfully good for Palma to wheel her back in 19 days for today's race.......seems like a major player

5  Gotham Desire   nice win in her last overcoming a tough trip with 1st time blinkers and 1st time on the turf (and it was on the hill).......3 reassuring drills since.....not out of the win picture here by any means

10  Del Mar Ann

7  Sturdy One

11  Bowie

 

 

Posted on February 3, 2018 at 10:56 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Santa Anita for Friday 2 February 2018

Because of the early post for the Super Bowl our selections will be posted no later than 8 a.m. pacific time on Sunday.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    above average clarity

2  Lucky Student   mare does her best running at SA and at today's 6F distance......appears to have the lead in this spot.....meets leading rider stays up....hard not to like

4  Devil's Beauty   typical Jacobson move in S Cal as in drop multiple levels following a claim.......and it appears his claim is in good form.....very dangerous

1  Tiz Deliteful   filly seldom repeats good back to back efforts but if she does today she has a shot at winding up in the circle of joy for the 1st time since mid summer

3  Forthe Lovof Patty

 

race 2    average clarity

8  Proper Drink   almost always like when a new trainer takes over a given horse and the connections are willing to drop.....away since August but showing a very solid series of works.......and appears to own the most early speed in the race.......gate to wire win might be in the cards

4  Solar Corona   last two races fit and I like that her latest was at 7F as it should help out her ability to finish with some energy cutting back a full furlong.......she does show some signs of liking to hang so it was easy to make her the second selection instead of the top pick

1  Dizzy Diva   new trainer today in Hofmans who is only 1 for his last 35 with 3 month or greater layoffs.......but.....all 4 lifetime races for this filly fit fine here.....so.......maybe........he breaks the mold today

6  Veiled Heat

3  Radio Chatter

 

race 3    average clarity

7  Impetu   nice works prior to his debut and he ran OK in a race down the hill...... but.......running a blistering 1/4 mile did him in.......continues to work like he has talent....takes a small drop......good trainer and rider can get it right the 2nd time around with the help of a little softer competition

5  Optic   both lifetime races are better than they look.....and his pedigree suggests that the grass is better for his chances than the dirt......dangerous brother team at the helm

4  Sellwood   dangerous looking work regiment for this Mullins 1st time starter....both speed and endurance has been put into this colt......hinting.......he is meant and ready to roll at 1st asking.

1  Roaring Fork

6  El Asesino

9  War Link

 

race 4    average clarity

4  Rprettyboyfloyd   there seems to be enough speed in this race to play into the hands of this mid pack runner.......that and O'Neill is awakening and sees fit to drop this gelding one small level......should be tough coming for home

1  El Super   both lifetime wins on the dirt were with today's rider Martin Pedroza in the saddle........Pedroza will likely gun from the rail to get a jump on the 2 and 3 horse who also own good route speed........decent rider trainer combo in Pedroza and Mulhall

3  Kristo   Lorenzo Ruiz is awfully dangerous 1st out following a claim as in 7 for his last 32......Kristo seems at his best at 1 1/16 yet he seldom competes at the distance.......bug boy needs to avoid getting caught wide with two speed types inside of him

 

race 5    average clarity

6  Laynee   very bad trip (broke poorly and ran wide) hides a good 1st ever down the SA hill grass horse.......blinkers on today to help focus....and Bejarano sticks around.....seems tough here if the equipment gets this filly to settle better

3  Batiquitos   plenty of life/ability displayed in all 3 lifetime races including one on the turf....but she has had trouble out of the metal monster....lookout if she gets things right this afternoon

1  Li'l Grazen   last on the dirt is quite good and deserving of a shot in an allowance race....1st on the sod but she is bred decently for it especially on her father's side of the equation.....Roman knows her inside out as this is the sixth straight mount on her

7  Winemenow

4  Promnesia

8  Bella Sierra

 

race 6    average clarity

1  Longden   nice awakening for this Baffert three-year old in his latest in his 3rd lifetime start and 1st in a sprint at the distance of 7F........1st two starts were so so route races but the fact that the world-class trainer still wants this three-year old to go long tells me he has tweaked something for the better and that his youngster should handle two turns this time around

6  Restoring Hope   double barrel action from Baffert as he also trains our top selection........this Baffert colt has really trained well since his 3rd place finish in the 30 December version of this race........rather sure he moves forward today and approaches his sprint debut effort/fig which is better than par

2  Mo Over   SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE    par like endeavor in a one mile grass race 4 weeks ago.......and a par like effort in his 6F sprint dirt debut on 25 November.......so.......he showed he can handle the two turns and he showed he can run well on the dirt.......that and his pedigree screams "long on the dirt"

4  Jimmy Chilla

9  Heartfullofstars

3  Art's Table

 

race 7    average clarity

9  Hank the Tank   all of his 5 lifetime races on main track surfaces fit here and his latest was the 31 December version of this race where he did well to run 3rd in a fast heat (for the level) ......he broke slightly tardy and then ran 3 wide up on a decent pace.......rightfully tired.......should get good position stalking the lead

6  Kenny Benny   3 wide duel for this William Morey five-year old and he still managed to win.......trainer is "white-hot" (9 for 15 at the SA meeting) right now with many of his horses popping "top" efforts.........don't stop now Bill

4  Rick's Dream   consistent sort exits the same fast heat as our top choice but with a decent trip........the extra 1/2 furlong to work with today appears to be a plus and might be a major factor in his ability to take down this race

7  We Go Now

3  Cal Cal Li Gowchis

5  Flash Henry

 

race 8    average clarity

10  Little Bit Lovely   latest race run at one mile on the grass is very strong and more than good enough to handle the step up of one level......cut back in turf distance is usually a positive especially for a multiple winner down the SA hill which this mare happens to be.......all that and two very reassuring sharp drills since her last

1  Wonderful Lie   seems sharp right now and back to Roman after being absent for a race .....and although he is still learning the ins and outs of the grass he has looked good on this Hollendorfer mare on the grass......and he won from the one post in a race down the hill two races back

9  Time for Ebby   one of two grass races that this mare has run fits fine and that one was run at five furlongs........the one run down the hill does not......deserves another chance on the unusual configuration?.....why not

7  Peach Cove

4  Adios Cali

5  Miss Boom Boom

 

 

Posted on February 2, 2018 at 8:31 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Santa Anita for Thursday 1 February 2018

Not the easiest of race cards to handicap. But the good news is that both Friday and Saturday made more sense.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

2  Capes Hot Rocket   drop seems very logical and what a good spot to be a horse with some early gas as there isn't much of the commodity in here and inside speed has been awfully good at SA the last week or so

5  Sawbuck   somewhat of a suspicious drop (quite the opposite of our top choice) but then again this bad claim was made over 13 months ago so why not drop to the lowly MC20K level......that and it seems like a good sign that this Sadler colt has worked twice (and not too badly) since his 5 January race

4  Luck Staxx   Paul Aguirre five-year old maiden has raced only once and it was way back in December of 2016.....he ran only so so......he returns as a 1st time gelding and his last 3 preparatory worked are rather good......dangerous sort with the ultimate equipment change

6  Tiz the Ticket

8  Spokane Eagle

 

race 2    below average clarity

3  Antioch   solid 1st out following the claim by Piccioni and the strength of the effort (his 1st at a route) is disguised by a wide trip ......very sharp 2 works since.....low percentage trainer but he seems to have a good handle on his new shooter

2  Surfside Sunset   nice sprint debut way back on 3 December 2016 and the race is better than appears in print......not too hot of a trip in his next as well which was his 1st going "long" .......away since the 16 Jan. 2017 race but his work regiment hints he is ready fresh just as he was in his debut.....we shall see

1  Momma's Baby Boy   best finisher in this 5 horse field and he should be able to save ground in the rear......and when the real running starts it should be easy for him to negotiate traffic with only having to deal with 4 horses in front of him......such a deal

 

race 3    below average clarity

5  Airfoil    if this consistent eight year old holds form 1st out after the Miller claim he should be a tough here even with the step up of multiple levels........and it sure seems significant that Prat sees fit to ride thru the claim

1  Madelyn's Wild Max   after running 4 races in less than 2 months time Vallejo smartly gave this fellow a break .....works during the break hint he is returning ready and with the potential for better......should sit last or 2nd to last and come motoring late

2  Next Speaker   Bejarano likely will get the wood with the 1 and the 3 horse being slower than his horse........and the more time you spend glued to the wood the last few weeks the better the outcome

 

race 4    below average clarity

1  Elwood J   lifetime best and a solid fit here was the only time this gelding raced down the hill on "fm" turf........and it was also the only time today's rider (Bejarano) was aboard.......away since August but his work regiment says ready

3  Rate for Me   useful layoff run in latest and it was also his 1st on the SA hill......last time he ran 2nd out after a layoff he won in a solid move forward....that race was run off of 35 days rest.......32 days since his last.....hmmmm

6  Taima the Hawk   consistent sort down the Santa Anita hill grass course .......a little short fig wise here but nothing that a good ride/trip can't overcome....nice "hill" rider in Van Dyke to provide one

8  Exotic Ghost

4  Green With Eddie

7  My Man Chuckles

 

race 5    average clarity

1  Red Carpet Cat   very bad trip (rank 4L & wide 4.5L) hides the energy/effort this gelding provided in his latest in a race down the hill......Van Dyke will be out to make amends and do so on a surface (conventional dirt) that this gelding appears to prefer

5  Well Measured   lowest level that this 7-year-old has raced since Carava claimed him.......and why not as the 25K level is still 5K more than Carava and friends claimed him for........and it is a very good sign that the "high in demand" Eclipse award-winning apprentice accepts the mount for the 1st time

6  Rocket Heat   diminishing sort but he has significant early speed and if the track doesn't change today having the lead is an awfully good thing to posses

4  True Valor

8  Classico

 

race 6    average clarity

2  C. C. Zipp   Hollendorfer is solid with 3 relevant training categories that apply here......3rd out after a layoff......turf to dirt......and 1st time in claiming.....all that and this five-year old mare might be loose on the lead and with the meets leading rider up

7  Little Nati   needs a rebound to her effort two races back.....only time she was risked for a tag she won and won rather easily.....7 lbs bug boy Franklin Cebellas has hit the board a respectable 2 times with 3 mounts so far at the meetings albeit without a win.......maybe he gets one here

6  Princess Dorian   trainer has gotten some solid forward moves out of a few of his claims the 1st time he runs them following a claim.......lookout if he works some magic with this filly who owns some nice back numbers

1  Chay Up and Away

3  Reckless Charm

9  Road Test

 

race 7    average clarity

9  Pistol Packin Rose   O'Neill is starting to heat things up so the consistency that this filly has shown on the sod becomes even more significant.....that and her preparatory works to handle a 43 day break is quite impressive hinting she is ready for a top effort

7  The Tulip  five-year old mare sat too far back in a race with a lackluster pace in her 1st endeavor in the good old U S of A following 10 races in Ireland.....another furlong of turf to cover today should be right up her alley.......that and you have to appreciate her trainers 24 for his last 73 2nd out following a layoff...... which is the case here

5  Pantsonfire   on the improve this fall and winter.......would have rated higher if the jock wasn't struggling so much attempting to break into the tough S Cal rider colony

2  Bombilate

11AE  Causeforcommotion

10  Antonina

8  Night Time Inc

 

race 8    average clarity

3  Lucky Lula   only cost 6K at sale so why not drop into maiden claiming for the 1st time....especially off of a long layoff and the doubt that it often brings for those thinking about placing a claim.......should be in the hunt from the get go and in an affair that doesn't have much speed signed up........trainer/rider have won 2 of their last 3 and with the other hitting the board

6  Impecunious   both lifetime races when not wearing blinkers like today fit well........nice 100:3H 5F 16 of 110 to work since her last.......should be a player

9  Dee Way to Go   moved forward in her 2nd lifetime start last summer.........so 2nd out after a long layoff should be a good thing.........rider upgrade and with his 5 lbs weight break.....such a deal

4  Irish Lassie

5  Proudly Elegant

2  My Scarlett

 

 

 

Posted on February 1, 2018 at 8:51 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Santa Anita for Sunday 28 January 2018

Seems like a decent race card today. Be back with you on Thursday.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

5  Classic Atlantic   very solid MSW debut which like today was down the SA hill.......set a decent set of fractions and faded late to 2nd with a gap on 2 lengths to 3rd in a 12 horse field.......and Glatt might not have had her fully cranked as she went off a lofty 21 to 1.........if that is true a solid forward move seems likely

3  Sensible Myth  SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE  two 2nd place finishes both in MSW grass sprints to start her career and her 2nd out is the better of the two and it was run down the hill.......effort was very similar to our top picks effort which was run 4 days later......2nd choice mainly because I don't see as much upside for this filly as I do for our top selection

9  Onassis   good grass pedigree for this Miller 1st time starter who is working like she might be ready to compete at a high level.......rider is struggling in his attempt to break into the S Cal racing scene.......he more capable than he has been showing and best get his act together soon

4  Travieza

2  Spiel

8  Vinaka

 

race 2    average clarity

4  Madaras   seems like quite the pick-up by the Truman barn of a Florida colt who is on the improve......that and Truman appears to have him all wound up and ready to roll with 4 tightly spaced drills at SA since arriving in S Cal

6  Lucky Romano   all but one of the five races with the blinkers on are very strong at today's given level......in fact if they weren't taking the blinkers off and making a switch in riders (that is not a positive one) he would have been top choice

5  Zippy Groom   rider upgrade and with added plus of 5 lbs off.....the only time Roman was up this gelding won for fun with a big late kick in a one mile affair.......that late kick also showed up in her latest at 6F.......extra 1/2 furlong and with less weight should be a big plus

 

race 3    average clarity

2  Her Again   very consistent sort is dropping one notch and doing so for the hottest trainer at Santa Anita in Bill Morey (9 for 14) .......1st ever at 6 1/2 furlongs but the way that she has been closing at 6F hints that the extra 1/2 furlong to work with will be to her liking

5  Pica   eight year old mare has won her last 3 of 5 when racing on SA on the main track........and Truman almost always gives Bejarano live mounts when he rides him......like last time Bejarano should have her in the mix from the opening bell

4  Be a Lady   not really that fast early but might be fast enough in this spot lacking speed to open up a lead which would likely enhance her chances of getting the 6 1/2 furlong distance where she often gets flat .....bug boy and his 5 lbs helps too

3  Scathing

 

race 4    average clarity

5  Perfectly Majestic   tailed off last summer and seemingly needed a break that his connections wisely gave him........six-year-old has a good history down the SA hill (5 1 2 2) and in one of those efforts (4 March 2017) he earned an adjusted for trouble fig that was a Breeders Cup like number.......works hint he is ready fresh......as does the fact Hess uses his pal Kent Desormeaux

4  The Critical Way   four-year old won his latest which was his 1st on the SA hill and also his 1st on the grass......Nakatani sure appears that he will be able sit in nice stalk position behind our 3rd choice...........trainer Mick Ruiz has won 4 of his last 8 non-Graded Stakes with two others hitting the board

1  Fly to Mars   Peter Miller four-year old is a perfect 2 for 2 on the SA hill grass course and sure appears to be the controlling speed in the race.......if Roman can slow things down this gelding has as good a shot as anyone to wind up in the winners circle

 

race 5    average clarity

5  Allie's Love    both lifetime races are better than par for today's lower level  when you adjust for position and pace.....and the last is rather hidden as this filly veered at the start and then ran up to one fast quarter.......then she ended up wide on the turn......I gave it 8.5L of adjustment....she was beaten by 11L in a MSW.....MC 30K today.......rider upgrade......all systems go

1  Turing Machine   MSW debut run 3 back fits a ton here..........but...........bit of a dichotomy here as Ben Cecil is dismal MSW to maiden claiming........but.....very good off of layoffs of 45 to 90......both are the case here........something has to give

8  Angels N Devildogs   takes that ever dangerous drop from MSW racing to maiden claiming.........owns some decent early speed and might have as good a shot as anyone in the field of grabbing the front end

4  Mariana's Girl

2  Tiny Tina

9  Spacerika  SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE 

 

race 6    average clarity

8  Foxy Fresh   layoff run in her last run off of a 13 month hiatus is much better than appears as she was wide up on a solid pace and rightfully tired........drops for her 2nd out following the layoff and with a solid reassuring 5F work put in 5 days ago......sure fits if she logically benefitted from her last and gets a little better trip

5  Ramona Lover   might be the speed of the speed and so far when she has been able to get to the lead she is (3 1 1 1).....that and G. Franco/ E Kruljac have teamed up to win two of their last three and with the other hitting the board

9  Majestic Diva   only lifetime win came turf to dirt and not only was it a 6 1/2 length win but it was her best career fig and by quite a bit.......turf in last.....dirt today.....and with 2 works put in since her 6 Jan. race.....hmmmm

4  Ransomed

3  Candy Boss

1  Diamond Proof

 

race 7    average clarity

6  Toinette   solid MSW dirt debut for this Neil Drysdale three-year old filly in a race run 2 months ago......copious works since.......decent grass pedigree.......Drysdale is better with 2nd time starters and more than capable "1st time on the sod"......she should be motoring late

3  Ladybug   Eclipse award-winning apprentice rider is slowly improving on the turf which has beenh is "Achilles heel" to some degree......three year old filly ran a par like race down the hill in her latest which was run 33 days ago....like that she has worked twice since.....same or better seems likely this afternoon

9  Rockin Ready   D"Amato 1ster has put in numerous works and she owns a very nice grass pedigree.....that and when Talamo has gotten the call on the D'A's stock the last couple of months they have been very live for the most part .......rather sure this filly is meant and ready

1  Stradella Road

5  Beyond Ambition

7  Fool's Paradise

 

race 8    below average clarity

3  Yuvesti   Sadler filly might have spent too much time racing on the turf as she stepped on the Lrc dirt in her last an ran a decent effort....she likely will need a little more today but the way in which she has trained since the 1 December race hints she has taken to the dirt in a big way

6  Conquest Flatterme   last is vastly better than appears in print as this mare had to duel 3 wide and do so coping with a hot pace.......Cerin must like what he sees in the a.m. since as he steps her up into an alw race and enters for 40K to not blow the condition......should be in the hunt from the get go....and go off a handsome price

1  Wedding Blush  SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE  six-year-old mare was just claimed by Hollendorfer at GG where she has been firing some her best races ever when competing on the AW......and she might be better on conventional dirt.....if she is lookout here

2  Bar Scene

7  Phantom Proton

8  What What What

 

race 9    average clarity

6  Pali High   SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE two straight bad trips in a row following a near miss 2nd in his MSW.........better grass rider up today.....like the quicker works put into him to help him adapt to a sprint down the hill following 3 lifetime turf routes to start his career

13 AE  Jungle Warfare   SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE very strong 1st ever down the SA hill in his last....and likely feeling great as he ran just 3 weeks ago yet has worked nicely 2 times since.....better grass rider up today......sorry Mike Smith fans

1  Bartlett Hall   first time racing as a gelding and just what you want to see as in vastly better workouts.......rather sure this three-year old will fire a significantly better race....to what degree is the ? mark

2  Concur

3  Fibonacci

5  Epical

7  Samdar

Posted on January 28, 2018 at 9:09 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections