Santa Anita for Sunday 12 March 2017

Seems like a average card to decipher. Let's call it a 5.5 of the 1 to 10 scale of things. Don't forget that there are only a few day's left to save money on our special pub for Florida Derby Day in 3 weeks. 

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

1  Backintheacademy   seven-year old mare has had a steady diet of a rider who failed to impress in S Cal.......so a switch to a decent jock should help as should a race shape that favors those up close early......and this lady should be able to sit 1st or 2nd

4  Margie's Minute   last 6 races when today's rider Pratt was up led to a record of (6 2 3 1)...........drop makes sense as Bell took this filly for today's 20K claiming price 11 months ago

2  Midnight Candy   seems at his best on fast rated conventional dirt and especially at Santa Anita.....well rested and ready for action.....not out of this by any means

 

race 2    average clarity

6  Lucky Dolly  not much in latest but races 2 and 3 back fit.....and her race 4 back is exceptionally strong and disguised by a very rough journey.....Molly Pearson has done very well with limited starters and has placed (risked losing) her stock where they can win

1  Velvet Jones   last 3 sprints races are better than par.......proven fresh and this filly is fresh today and with a series of works that hint Belvoir isn't messing around as he might lose this girl today on the drop

5  Rcatcanscat   best at six furlongs and drops a notch.....not much of a number in her last despite running 2nd .......but that was at a route.......sprint today

 

race 3    above average clarity

2  Honor and Courage   SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE

4  Palmer's Way   SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE

5  West Coast   solid final time figure in his debut which was at a route........fits here and has a shot at the circle of joy but easy to place as our 3rd selection

 

race 4    average clarity

8  Glacier   very impressive bad trip grass race run 2 back with a struggling rider.........Bejarano takes over today......same effort with a better trip today and.......he.......will......be........tough

6  Kitten's Royal   useful MSW turf route debut and the strength of the tune-up is disguised by a wide trip.......3 works since and a significant rider upgrade......mom has tossed two turf winners form 3 starters......might make that 3 turf winners from 3 starters after today

9  Fortune of War   tough trip in his U S of A debut for this Kruljac GB invader........two 5F works put in since.......loses Prat but Nakatani will do just fine

11  Farley

Long-shot consideration:  5  General Kitten   sat way too far back in his MSW debut which was also at one mile on the sod.....but........he showed life making up a ton of ground.........1st time Lasix.........1st time blinkers........seems likely to show much more today.....mom has tossed 3 grass winners with 5 to start.......4 of five after today would be nice

 

race 5    average clarity

6  Harbored Affair   heck of a good work regiment for a filly state-bred maiden claiming 1st time starter......Hollendorfer sure appears to mean business with copious gate works and plenty of endurance put into his four-year old filly

5  Jill Madden    filly has shown she fits at the MC Cal-bred level.......and today Myadi enters her for $40K to get 2 lbs off and he puts up the 7 lbs bug boy for.......sharp recent drill.......9 lbs off.......hard not to see as a major player here

8  Bobbie Lincoln   Ron Ellis has been much better with maiden claiming 1st time starters the last year or so and he appears to have this four-year old filly cranked up and ready to roll in her debut

3  Cant Catch Camille

 

race 6    below average clarity

9  Desert General   T C Baze sticks around with the equipment change to blinkers off for today....maybe the veteran rider suggested the change.....lone route race is way better than appears as this maiden had to cope win an unsustainable set of fractions

1  Johann's Command  rated in last and ran his lifetime best.......that versatility makes him more dangerous now........good post to work out a good trip.......seems like a major factor in the outcome of this race if he holds form

5  Jackson Teller   sprint-sprint-route scenario and back in short rest......also.....draws the attention of Prat and his agent........seems pointed for this race to some degree.......we shall see

10  Woodstock Memory

 

race 7    average clarity

1  Pretty Girl   easy to ignore her poor number in her last as she has a weak pedigree to handle the slop.....only other race in the USA was versus way better than she faces today and she beat 1/2 of the 14 horse field having to deal with a horrible post as in outer-most post 14.......jock upgrade and way better post for today

5  Sweet Chanty   very consistent grass filly who worst finish was 4th in 8 career races.......1st time Prat today and gets another furlong to run than her last.......both should produce more from her

3  Goodtearforroses   two for two since Baltas took over and both wins were with Nakatani riding......would have rated higher if it wasn't for the fact that she has missed the board in all three of her 9F grass races (7 4 0 1) at other distances on the sod

6  Kenriya

 

race 8    average clarity

9  Percy's Bluff   shooting for his 7th straight win and the GG shipper from the Hollendorfer barn draws the attention of the meetings leading rider in Pratt.......five year old almost always fires good efforts off of short rest and 21 days since his last qualifies for that.......127 lbs is a load but he has won twice with 125 lbs

10  Wildfire Kid  seems like a good spot 1st out after the claim for Diodoro and company.........gelding is  dynamite at abbreviated sprint distances like today (9 5 3 0)......should be in the mix from the get go

1  Success Rate   decent post and he has been a really good fit for jock Santiago Gonzalez (4 3 0 1)........seems to have lucked out some as for as his assigned weight is concerned

2  Nextdoorneighbor

Long-shot consideration:   6  Changing Karma   needs a solid forward move and might be ready to provide one......won his last versus easier but did so off of some dull a.m. work.....now the works are quite a bit better and gets weight off.......rather sure this seven-year old is moving forward today.....how much is the question mark

 

race 9    below average clarity

3  Beach View   nice finish to run 2nd in the 9 Feb version of this race.......able to work 4 times since.....might be feeling good.....last fits and a move forward might be in the cards 2nd out after a layoff

6  Mission Drive   seems likely to get decent position sitting about 3rd, 4th of 5th and saving ground for Nakatani who has looked good on the grass since his return to S Cal.......and the mini marathon distance is a good fit this 5 yr old

13  Bedeviled   colt has preformed very well on the dirt until his latest........and he sure seems better on the turf......so logic suggests he might be up for his best ever on the sod.....if so maybe he can overcome one nasty post

4  Klondike Creek   

2  Terzetto

5  Mexican Grove

 

 

 

Posted on March 12, 2017 at 10:10 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Santa Anita for Saturday 11 March 2017

One marvelous card put together this afternoon by the racing office at Santa Anita and on a beautiful warm day. Life is good!

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

5  Hook 'Em Kurt   Ellis is starting to heat things up........last effort for this five-year old is a fit here and he appears to have come out of the race in good shape as he returns off of short rest and he put in a strong 4F work since his last.......seems up for even more today

6  St. Reno   competitive in all 4 lifetime races.........very strong efforts 2 and 3 back dealing with nasty fractions and he still was able to battle and nearly win.......last wasn't as good as he finally got a reasonable pace to cope with and once again ran 2nd......needs a small rebound.......if he gets it he should be tough

4  Classic Ruler   three-year old versus older but he gets in at 110 with the bug boy up and his competition has to deal with 126 lbs........if the apprentice tries to go with our 2nd choice his mount will cash it in....... if he elects to stalk it might be a different story

 

race 2    average clarity

8  Hi Heat Boy   seems like a great spot for a MSW 1st time starter as those that have run have shown very little......like this youngster's pedigree to handle the grass and he is training as if he is ready......very good grass trainer in D'Amato

4  Burnie's On Board   only one in four lifetime grass races is decent........can he find that effort off of 1/2 year hiatus from the game......trainer has won an uninspiring but not terrible 10 off his last 100 with 90+ day layoffs

9  Mizter Kool Cat   four-year old was bet hard in his MSW debut back on 11 December but had a wide trip following a slight tardy start......in the race he showed a touch of speed and that is rather disguised......and he just worked a fast 3F gate work......and look who is up.......a speed rider in Maldonado.........mom has tossed two grass winners........might sit in one of the top 3 spots early saving ground

10  Dr. Troutman

Long-shot consideration:  5  Marvelous Kaos   no endurance put into this colt in the a.m. prior to his MSW in June of last year.....and one weak jock was given the mount........went of 47 to 1 and ran to his odds........been away since and returns with an endurance building solid work regiment and a good rider.......bred fairly well for a grass sprint.......should be a handsome price

 

race 3    average clarity 

8  Infobedad   big wake up two races back winning by 26 lengths on a mud floated track with 1st time blinkers.....then in his last he dueled in an unsustainable set of fractions in a 9F grass race......sharp a.m. since........rebound city

6  Ain't Misbehavin'   by far at his best competing on the SA main track when the surface is rated fast (15 6 2 1).......and today's rider Kent Desormeaux has been an awfully good fit........and his recent works are quite a bit improved.....rather sure he has held form

3  Freddies Dream   might be a good claim by Carava and he is usually rather 'live" when he legs up Prat the leading rider to date at the SA meeting

2  Above Board

 

race 4    average clarity

5  True Testament   latest is better than it looks in print and the cut back in distance of one furlong appears to be just what the doctor ordered.......and one dynamite east coast jock in JJ Castellano is up

6  Paradise Woods   bet hard in her MSW debut and ran a solid 2nd.........continues to train as if she is a good one.......Prat and his agent apparently think so as they stick with the young filly

8  Faypien   expensive purchase is training well but might have caught a difficult spot in which to debut.......and her jock Garcia is struggling.....not impossible but easy to make 3rd choice

10  Sheza Chatykat

 

race 5    average clarity

5  Gormley   2 of his last 3 races are quite a bit better than par for today's Grade 2 level and his preparatory work for today's race suggest it will be 3 of his last 4 after this race

 4  Mastery   a perfect 3 for 3 and his last which was his 1st at a route is extremely impressive both in final time and pace.......Baffert trained and Mike Smith aboard once again........very hard to split top two horses

2  Vending Machine   needs to move forward significantly to compete well versus our top two but he has never trained better for one of the hottest trainers around in Peter Miller

6 Iliad 

 

race 6    average clarity

1  Madame Stripes   decent race down the SA hill off of a long layoff in her 1st in the good old U S of A and 1st on the turf......quite the jock upgrade for her 2nd USA race.....runs well off of ample time off and gets it....one mile on the sod should be a good fit

2  Award It   copious furlongs put into this Mandella runner suggets the Hall of Trainer is bringing him back fully ready........one win and one 2nd with the blinkers on racing in the grass at today's one mile distance

4  Shehastheritestuff    seems likely to get a nice ground saving mid pack trip for Gary Stevens which has suited this four year old filly well in the past

6  Ceeme Run Wild

 

race 7    average clarity

11  American Pastime   very strong work tab for this Hess MSW 1st time starter especially considering the veteran traniner doesn't often push them very hard work wise......and his buddy Desormeaux is aboard

1  Twisted Road   work regiment for this Richard Mandella MSW 1st time starter has meant and ready written all over it.....like our top selection I'm rather sure this colt can run some and he is ready to display that today

8  Buckys Pick   feel like a broken record as here is a another 1st timer working as if he is ready to rock n roll in his debut into the wonderful world that is thoroughbred racing

12  Cascade Kid

 

race 8    above average clarity

5  Masochistic   3 for 3 at the distance and catches a field where he sure appears to be lone speed.....hard to see as anything but tough in this spot.....unless......coming down off of steroids (busted for them in his last) does him in

3  Kobe's Back   powerful late runner is constantly compromised by poor starts leaving the metal monster.......his late pace figs are off of the charts but he sure seems "slow pace" compromised here

4  Silent Bird   up and coming Glatt five-year old has won 5 straight and deserves a shot at the big time.......seems likely to snatch the stalk position behind our top selection and try to run him down in the stretch

1  Denman's Call

 

race 9    average clarity

3  Bolo   by far at his best at one mile on the sod.........should sit in a nice position stalking the lead and likely saving saving ground thru at least the 1st turn........Gaines could use a big win for a confidence boast and might get it today

4  Dortmund   not sure how much this fellow will take to the grass but if he runs as well on the sod has he does on the dirt the others in the field will be competing for 2nd......might be a big day for Sherman and Espinoza.......gee.......when have we seen that before

5  Ring Weekend   ice-cold trainer in S Cal lately but he is too good to stay that way........consistent sort needs pace to close into and likely will get that commodity today.....not out of this if he does

1  Bal a Bali

 

race 10    average clarity

3  Shaman Ghost   vastly improved since going on Lasix three races back with a 1st, 2nd and 3rd in three prestigious Grade 1 affairs.......those races were at 9 furlongs and it sure appears like another furlong of ground to cover will be to his advantage

1  Midnight Storm   needs the front end to run his best and sure appears to have it easily here......would have been top pick-a-rue if he didn't have something to prove on fast rated dirt where he has only 1 win in 5 races (and he is 2 for 2 on off tracks & 7 for 13 on the turf)

8  Hi Happy   beat 13 foes in a tough Grade 1 in Argentina in his lone lifetime race on dirt........1st time on Lasix today and some good works showing.....10 furlongs fits fine........might sit in the stalk position......not impossible and likely at a handsome price

2  Gangster

 

race 11   average clarity

5  Sircat Sally   filly crushed her competition in all three lifetime races and her last was at today's one mile turf distance where she showed she is capable of winning without the lead.....continues to train like a happy healthy individual all set to make if 4 for 4 lifetime

2  Go On Mary   just popped her best ever 1st time running on the grass in a race down the hill......two turns of sod is a question mark but you have to respect the fact JJ Castellano wants the mount.......and the rider change makes for one significant rider upgrade

1  Miss Square   better filly since Mullins saw fit to blinkers on this girl......three year old finally gets a good post in a one mile grass race as she has drawn the 8 - 11 - 9 posts to date........needs a very clean trip to win this and T C Baze might be able to provide one

11  Miss Sunset

10  Beau Recall

8  La Force

Posted on March 11, 2017 at 7:20 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Santa Anita for Friday 10 March 2017

Not much quality for today's card but an interesting one. All that missing quality and with large fields for the most part have been saved for Saturday. 

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    above average clarity

5  Pistol Packin Rose   solid route numbers in last two races especially for a three-year old filly in Jan/Fed and one major significant jockey upgrade......solid preparatory work as well....should be tough despite being only three

8  Summertimemischief   efforts/figs earned when racing on fast rated dirt fit well in this spot.......but she has to give away 6 lbs to our top selection or she would have been our top pick-a-rue

4  Blame the Weather   1st time lasix for this afternoon.....and takes that ever significant drop out of MSW racing to low-level maiden claiming for her 2nd lifetime start......only cost 7K at sale so drop totally makes sense

1  Curlin Curlina

 

race 2    above average clarity

4  You Missed It   consistent sort sure has been facing extremely tough individuals and she has not embarrassed herself whatsoever........away since early September but she has shown she can run fresh in the past........works are up to snuff........should be tough if she takes to the hill

5  Upfront   lone race was last August where this 2nd time starter was used up badly in a one mile grass race pressing a brutal 1st quarter which would do in just about any two-year filly in August.......likely has matured since and retains Prat.......should be in the hunt from the get go with the best grass jock with young horses on the west coast in Prat

9  Stormin Babe   on the right end of the learning curve...... seems likely to move forward 2nd out following the layoff which is a strong stat for Michael McCarthy......like our top pick she should make a good account of herself if she handles the unusual turf hill configuration

1  Of Note

 

race 3    average clarity

3  Papaslilprincess   3 for 10 at the distance on the main track.......0 for 23 at other distances on main track surfaces.......improved recent work since her latest and her latest which already fits......that work hints she might be up for even better today

1  Individual Design   another who appreciates the one mile distance offered here.........seems like a decent claim by Brocklebank of a mare seemingly on the rebound.......rider has been hot

4  Private Terrace   like last time this mare might be able to snatch the front end and with 1/16 less to travel she might................go..................all.......................the.....................way

5  Veronica Bay

 

race 4    below average clarity

3  We Go Now   tepid top pick seems better when he takes back some and has a target to run at......like his chances if that is the tactic that T C Baze takes here

1  R Cha Cha   last might have been a dirty up his form spin around the track in a protected race to drop into claiming and put some doubt into the minds of the claiming vultures.....lookout if this is the case

7  Causa   only lifetime sprint dirt race without blinkers on the main track is a solid fit here.....that race which was his debut would likely take down this affair

5  Popular Kid

 

race 5    average clarity

3  Illuminant   laid up since May when she won a Grade 1 race........doubt this is a gimme as she has won her last three non Stakes races by 3 1/2 lengths or more one of which was a 6 3/4L win down the hill......5th straight race with Prat up

6  Paquita Coqueta  hasn't missed the board in a long time and owns an overall record of (22 11 4 3) overall on the sod........ sure appears to own the best early speed and gets Stevens who has the only USA win for this mare

4  Miss Double d'Oro   strong 30 to 1 2nd in a Grade 3 down the hill when last seen on Nov 5th.......mare appears to appreciate ample time between starts and her trainer shows patience and gives it to her........these kind sure are reliable as you seldom have to be concerned that the race is a tune-up (gimme)

5  Prize Exihibit

 

race 6    above average clarity

4  Gentrified   last race run at SA sure fits (2 back) and the preparatory work for today is better as is the rider .......believe this colt is sitting on a top effort this afternoon

7  Wilbon   trainer Scott Hansen is rather decent at getting MC 1st timers ready at 1st asking and the works that he has put into this colt hint this youngster is meant and ready......mom has tossed 2 winners from 2 starters

1  Quiet Dude   just popped her lifetime best in her 1st ever at the somewhat specialized distance of 7F........trainer has been fairly hot of late.......might keep the ball rolling here

6  Never Double Dip

 

race 7    average clarity

8  Princess Karen   toss out her last as she caught a monster and a half in Unique Belle who for me might be the best three old in the nation and that includes the boys.........faces much softer today and gets Smith back who rode the "Belle"......should be in the mix from the get go

3  Life's Blessings   did not disappoint as the heavy favorite in her debut winning by 4 1/4 lengths back on August 27th.......away since but seems wound up off of a series of tightly spaced work intervals......seems ready to rock and roll once again

9  Venezuelan   won for fun (3 1/2L) despite a wide trip and losing the whip..........brutal trip two back or would have won that race by even more .......way too wide and checked on the turn and did it all close to the pace

5  Hot in the City

 

race 8    average clarity

6  Pearle de Vere   reliable mare racing on the majestic SA hill grass course.......and speaking of reliable how is this stat for Miller/Arroyo as a team over the last two months.......61% win and 83% in the money......should be tough

9  Dissension   seemingly a public work-out in latest at a route on the turf.......back to a turf sprint down the SA hill and her last three run on the unique configuration on firm turf (2 back - 6 back - 7 back) all fit fine here

7  Wealthy Shipman   somewhat suspicious drop but Bejarano could have ridden a few others in the field but stays with this Baltas runner who is a perfect 2 for 2 down the hill

4  Algorhythmic

11  Where's the D

8  Revenue Virginius

 

Posted on March 10, 2017 at 9:11 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Santa Anita for Thursday 9 March 2017

Seems like a decent card this afternoon on a beautiful day at Santa Anita. Let's call it a 7 on the 1 to 10 scale of things.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    above average clarity

5  Tiz No Bluff   Ellis shows signs of awakening from the doldrums and might snatch his 2nd win of the meeting with this five-year old who ran a very solid race in his latest and did so off of 5 1/2 months rest......eight weeks rest this go around and working as if he is up for similar today

3  Moonlight Blue   can't be claimed off of the extended hiatus so you would think his connections will have him ready to roll racing at the same level as his latest (MC50K) which was solid and was his 1st at a route

1  Afendi   not much in his MSW debut back on Jan. 8th......so.......Baltas drops into mid-priced maiden claiming with little threat of being claimed even with a work series that hints he has improved.......and maybe has improved "big league" LOL

 

race 2    average clarity

4  Wanstead Gardens   last win came off of a 7 month layoff and the race was at 9F in a condition allowance race like this one........races off of a 3 1/2 month break this time and once again at 9F.......very impressive 7F drill 2 weeks ago nearly breaking the 1:24 flat barrier...........seems more than ready and the fact that choosy Mike Smith accepts the mount supports the notion

6  Prospect Park   seems to be rebounding in form and his recent a.m. work hints he might have more to give......and the race shape sure appears to be in his favor with his tactical speed in an affair void of speed.....seems likely to sit 1st or 2nd early saving ground

1  Big John B   might be too far back in this seemingly pace-less race but if he isn't lookout as he likely will be motoring late......not at all impossible put easy to make as our 3rd selection

5  Conquest Daddyo

 

race 3    average clarity

1  Tiz Sirius   Baffert colt has plenty of early speed and that is somewhat hidden.......might open up a clear lead and never look back with only five furlongs to hold things together

2  Solar Zone   breaks a little tardy about 50% of the time but if he doesn't today he seems likely to be in an envious stalking position........or....... if something goes amiss with our top pick he might grab the lead

5  Champions Diner   takes that ever dangerous drop from MSW racing to the bottom MC level..........would have rated higher if this sprint was a furlong further as he lacks speed and that likely will hurt his chances in a 5F affair with little speed signed up

 

race 4    average clarity

2  Oopper Wallah   1st ever running in a claiming race.......hoping to be claimed?.......or........hungry for a win?.......believe the latter applies as the recent works are solid and if he doesn't win and isn't claimed at least he gets eligible for the 40K starter allowance level.......and I doubt Gary Stevens wants any calls that are not "live" at the moment

5  A. P. Zone   Molly Pearson has done well with limited starters at the meeting with 3 wins in 10 starts.......for the most part the capable trainer has placed her horses where they can win and that is the case here......and like our top selection this colt will become eligible for the 40K starter allowance level if he doesn't win

3  Loud Stalker   on the right end of the learning curve and his recent a.m. work is quite a bit better indicating that he appears ready to fire his best to date.....not out of this if he does

 

race 5    average clarity

6  Poshsky   3 for 7 on the grass at one mile.......2 for 16 at other turf distances.......last is very strong albeit in a race run on the main track on the off going.......but I believe it is meaningful as his other career off track was nothing special........seems like a good claim.......jock upgrade

5  Rye Patch   both grass races since O'Neill claimed 3 races ago are very strong for today's lower level......placed as 2nd choice because he seems to need the front end and so does the horse to his inside........pace should be nasty unless one of the two elect to experiment and take back some

1  Moving

7  Conquest Superstar

 

race 6    above average clarity

4  Carlsbad Mountain   trainer shows signs of breaking out of a slump and he drops this gelding multiple levels as he has yet to win since he was claimed last August........last was a brutal journey for this elder statesman (3 wide duel with a solid pace - impossible to deal with).......should get a much better trip here with a better post and a smaller field

3  Over Achiever   5 for 12 on conventional dirt........1 for 12 on other surfaces......last is solid and very deserving of a step up of one level of claiming.......and leading rider Pratt smartly sticks around

5  Runasaurus   woke-up in his latest with 1st time blinkers.....claimed by O'Neill and he shows confidence in his new shooter putting him in at 2 levels higher in claiming.......but......he still is easy to make as our 3rd pick as our top two selections produced adjusted for trouble/pace Santucci figs that are about 5L better

 

race 7    average clarity

2  Reach the World   both lifetime endeavors fit fine at today's higher level.......and the way in which this colt is training for Baffert and company he seems likely to put in an effort that is more than "just fine' for today's nw alw level

7  Battle of Midway   sprint-sprint-route scenario for this Hollendorfer 3rd time starter who sure owns a pedigree that should appreciate a two turn race......both lifetime sprints are good.........and he draws the meetings leading rider for the 1st time

5  Mr. Hinx   trainer has been rather hot the last couple of weeks and he is hard not to consider as most of his stock have been running much better than anticipated.....turf in last and two decent drills since.....might be muscled up

6  Soglio

 

race 8    average clarity

9  My Aunt Tillie   major rider upgrade for today to Prat and that is a good thing as he has a post where he needs to use this fillies tactical speed to clear all or most in this race that lacks early speed.......should be in the mix from the get go and if this filly gets as easy a pace as I anticipate she should be tough from start to finish

2  Starlite Style   likely sitting on a top effort running 2nd out after a layoff and running off a solid turf sprint race down the hill.......good a.m. work since her latest.....Bejarano sticks around......poised for a very competitive race and might be the one to beat if she overcomes her tendency to hang

4  Hawk's Journey   sprint-sprint-route scenario which is the case here was also the case last April 15th and it led to this girl's lifetime best.......and the effort is somewhat hidden.......dangerous sort

8  Moonless Sky

7  Tahitian Lagoon

5  Silver Apples

 

Posted on March 8, 2017 at 4:27 pm by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Santa Anita for Sunday 5 March 2017

My apologies for cutting back on some of the comments but it looks like rain is headed straight for Arcadia unless it breaks up before arriving. I felt as though I had to give selections for the races being taken off of the turf. Thus, I needed some extra handicapping time to do so. Be back with you on Thursday.

Best of Luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

4  Senator Robert   four-year old ran a solid 2nd in his latest and the effort is disguised by a bad trip......broke slow - rushed - blocked some in stretch.....two reassuring works since......step up of a level shows confidence in him by Bonde and company

1  My Secret Affair   wants the lead to win and he has quite a bit of early gas and with fresh legs I belive he will show it......and leading jock Prat wants the mount

5  Madelyn's Wild Max   might feel really good for Glatt to step this guy up 3 levels.....and Glatt scratched him out of a lower level claiming race the other day for this affair

 

race 2    average clarity

(if the races are taken off of the turf  7-1-8-5-6) 

7  Chris and Dave  race lacks speed and this guy might have as much as anyone in the field.....and he has a rider in Pedroza who can really hustle a given horse early when the situation warrants it.......should be tough

8  Fritz Johnsen   2 for 2 on the lawn with Desormeaux but Kent is on our 3rd pick......Arroyo will do as he has had a very nice week teaming up with Miller......"Fritz" should get a good trip as his tactical speed will place him near the front in this affair void of speed

9  Brandothebartender   gelding likes ample time between starts and Heap shows patience and gives it to his four-year old.....always like these kind as you can usually count on them being fully fit and ready

2  Champagne Charley

 

race 3    average clarity

4  Pretty N Cool   solid races when competing "fresh"......away since September and worked brilliantly for Baffert and company.......seems likely to run a top effort once again

5  Constellation   very consistent ( 8 5 1 1 1) and proven "fresh"........and retains Prat who just won a Grade 1 with this filly on opening day

3  Sensitivity   another who handles layoffs.....(4 3 1 0) at 6F at SA.......4 for 4 when loose on the lead......that won't be an easy task here but not impossible

 

race 4    average clarity

6  Harrovian   Prat owes Callaghan a better ride as he was way too wide in his last in the 10 Fen version of this race......he earned an adjusted for trouble Santucci fig that is about 3L better than par

4  Competing   solid move forward in his 2nd lifetime start and 1st for Baffert as the trainer.......1st at a route but bred OK to handle one......should be on or near the lead which should help struggling jock Garcia work out a decent trip

5  Hard Arch   not crazy about only three works showing since his 1 Jan race especially considering this is his 1st at a route........but then again when Cerin uses Desormeaux his horse are usually very "live"

 

race 5    average clarity

6  Caray   solid wake-up in his last and two reassuring works since........jockey Israel Ocampo is riding quite well better than I anticipated as I am rather familiar with the rider and thought the S Cal riding colony would be too tough for him......Baltas youngster should be in the mix from the opening bell

5  Crafty Cowboy   dangerous looking work regiment for this Palma maiden claiming 1st timer.........works suggest he has early speed and so does his pedigree

3  Rainbow Squall   appears to have been run into shape and his recent drills hint he might be up for his lifetime best.....not out of this by any means

1  Magical More

 

race 6    average clarity

(if the races are taken off of the turf  6-3-2-4-1) 

4  Domestic Vintage   three-year old versus older but I like the cut back in distance.......race two back is strong and run off of 4 weeks rest.........4 weeks rest today........3 lbs off........seems likely to make a good account of himself

5  Onzaway   by far at her best at the one mile turf distance.......4 yr old filly gets to face a field where four of her nine foes are 3 yr old runners......filly has had tough trips with outside posts but good trips with better posts.....5 post qualifies for "better post"

3  Storm the Hill   seldom do I have two 3 yr old runners in my top 3 selections in early 3 and up route races but I do here......1st time Miller with decent works showing for this GP invader.....hard to ignore

2  Yellow Bonnet

 

race 7    average clarity

2  Geologist   Cerin is having a good meeting at SA and he is awfully good when using the sprint - sprint - route manuever......and I like that his last race was a turf sprint and a good effort

6  Informality   quite the forward move in his last run on the 2nd of Feb.......he was able to work 3 times since and his last work-out hints he is feeling good......last might do the trick and he might be up for a forward move.....if so...... he could easily have been top selection

3  Sense of Glory   blinkers on for today and turf to dirt scenario.....two strong training categories for Ron Ellis

 

race 8    above average clarity

5  Boy Howdy   toss out latest run in August as this Spawr runner appeared to dislike a route and has been away since .......previous 3 races were sprints and all three of those sprints are better than appear in print......1 for 1 at 6F and the race was his MSW debut........big recent 5F work......trainer is hot.......youngster is proven fresh

4  A New Trend   graduated in his 3rd lifetime start.....so.....3rd out after a break might lead to another win especially with one sharp bullet drill put in just 6 days ago

2  Junior Gilliam  handles the AW or conventional dirt and sure seems to fit Mr. Prat quite well with a win and 2nd by a nose in two mounts on him

 

race 9    average clarity  

(if the races are taken off of the turf  4-8-9-2-6-7) 

2  Space Cadet   nothing special about either off his grass races but his recent vastly improved 5F work suggests Baltas has tweaked something for the better.......good post and rider......needs about 2 or 3 lengths of improvement and she might be up to it

3  Well Caught   one of the best trainer stats that I know of for Gallagher is 2nd out following a layoff......that is the case today for this four-year old.......and this young ladies latest isn't too shabby......good post......good rider......hard not to like

8  Golden Light   consistent sort needs to avoid getting caught 3 wide or worse on turn one as he has sometimes in the past when drawing outside posts at one mile on the grass.......like his chances if the jock gets that accomplished

7  Born to Be Winner

9  Room On the Broom

6  Hayley's Comment

 

 

Posted on March 5, 2017 at 10:47 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections