Santa Anita for Sunday 12 January 2020

OK card to finish the week. Be back with you on Friday for 4 straight days of racing.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1   above average clarity

5  Sold It   jock Gutierrez will be out to make amends to O'Neill/Reddam (his meal ticket) for his poor ride (wide thru-out) in his last on this four year old filly.......works prior to her wide trip were very good but the trip cost her about 5L and she was only beaten by 3L in a Stakes race.......doubt he gets sloppy and is wide on turn 1 today

1  Sedamar   ultra consistent on the lawn (9 3 2 4).....does just fine with ample time between starts which is the case today.......she should get a nice ground saving mid pack trip like she did in her latest with today's jock up

3  Wicked Old Fashion   hard to split our three choices......another highly consistent turf runner (18 10 4 1) who is capable on or off of the pace.......hard not seeing this mare being part of things in late stretch

 

race 2    average clarity

2  Subtle Ride   slow start in her maiden debut and that compromised her chances quite a bit as there were some glacier fractions being sent up front......vastly improved 4F gate work since.......believe moves forward today and hopefully with a better start......trainer is above average 1st at a route and second lifetime start

1  Sabinos Pride   trainer is at his best by far in MC races (26% win with last 72)......inside speed has done very well so far in these one mile dirt races and this filly should be on or near the front here.......bug boy is decent with route speed

6  Keepinmypromise   interesting that Prat lands here for this girl's 3rd out after a layoff run........he rode her before albeit on the turf and wants the mount back........seems dangerous

 

race 3    average clarity

3  Smiling Annie   5 1/2F turf distance has not been kind to speed types so this mare who is capable off of the pace might be in the drivers seat as there is quite a bit of speed signed up.......and the seat is occupied by Mr Rosario

4  Violette Szabo   another capable of coming from off of the pace and with a top jock aboard......and Prat takes over making for a significant rider upgrade.......strong vastly improved blazing 5F drill since this girl's last and her last run off a layoff isn't too shabby

8  Grinningeartoear   both lifetime races when this filly did not "bled" fit fine here and one of them was on the sod at 5 1/2F at SA......not out of the win picture by any means.......pun intended

6  Stormin Ranger

2  Square Peggy

 

race 4    average clarity

2  Big Barrel   like that Saavedra puts Velez back up following his claim of this gelding........Velez (and his 5 lbs weight break) has been a good fit on this five year old......last 3 route races all fit for this fellow........trainer is a respectable 3 for his last 18 "1st following a claim.......good post......should sit close to the front end of things

1  Bitter Ring Home   vet scratch on 15 December but sure has worked very well since the scratch.....believe this five year gelding will stalk our 3rd selection who might dislike his 1st around two turns

3  Imagineiamfastetst   good name for a horse that tries a route today and might have enough speed to open up a lead..............lifetime best was at 7F..........good route pedigree on mom's side of the equation.......dangerous sort

 

race 5    average clarity

6  Blackout   Miller is hardly ever afraid to lose a given horse so the drop in claiming tag for the 2nd consecutive time doesn't concern me much......that and Prat stays with the seven year old........bad trip in last hides a forward move......good history on the SA turf

3  Tigerbeach   five year old inavder from GG has won the last two of three when placed in a claiming race.......off pace runner in turf sprints might appreciate the 5 1/2F at SA as it has been tough on early speed

8  Via Egnatia   like the cut back in distance and the rider change......been away since 9 November but in the interim Baltas appears to be trying to turn this fellow into a grass sprinter.......we will find out if he has accomplished the task at about 2:30 pacific time

1  Portando   

4  Erotic

 

race 6    average clarity

1  Catoca  two strong stats for Mullins are blinkers back on and 2nd out following a claim.....both are the case today.......good post and Prat stays put.........and the stout rider has options as his mount is capable on or off of the pace

2  Noble Contessa   filly so far is a lead type only so Rosario will likely put the pedal to the medal from the get go........inside dirt route speed has done awfully well at this meeting so far

5  Cyrielle   monster race two back and then likely bounced badly in her next start......Bill Spawr gives her plenty of time to recover......very dangerous if she has

 

race 7    above average clarity

5  Going to Vegas   by far the most impressive race for this filly was her only race on the turf.......and the strength of the race is disguised by a bad trip-a-rue........9 post for the turf race and a less accomplished turf rider than today's jock.......hard not seeing this filly running a solid race unless she doesn't like the SA turf as much as she did the Dmr grass

7  Go Blue Nation   another filly who ran her best to date in her lone grass race........and the strength of the race was also disguised by a bad trip.........and she gets quite the rider upgrade especially for a race on the sod

2  Dipping In   showed life in both of her lifetime grass races..........good post to work with for jock.......should be motoring in the late stages of the race

1  Lucia's Design

3  I Give Up

 

race 8    average clarity

4  Mother Mother   filly is 2 for 2 when not competing in Graded races and they are her only two lifetime wins........and her Graded runs following her wins were very good Grade 1 races running 2nd and 3rd.........so it doesn't bather me that Baffert is thinking "small"

5  Lady Ninja   monster efforts racing at SA at today's 6 1/2 panels......that and you have to like the move back to Prat as he has won the last 4 times he has ridden this Baltas six year old mare......runs well with ample time between starts and gets it

2  Flor de La Mar   2 for 2 in fast track sprints and 0 for 5 everywhere else......and this filly owns multiple races that are better than they look in print.......believe this gal is well meant today and dangerous

 

race 9    above average clarity

6  Tropical Terror   best figs in the race and likely to trip out well as he has some speed and so far the horses lined up inside of him do not........Cedillo stays put..........trainer needs a win and might get one here

4  Margot's Bot   decent MSW debut where he could have been a lot closer at the wire if he wasn't unsettled/rank in the early stages.........that and the conditioner is an impressive 20% win with his last 25 ''2nd career start"........like our top selection hard not to like

3  Rocks and Salt   no shot to strut his stuff in his MSW debut as he sat back in a pace-less affair......then in his 2nd start he steadied on the backside or might have battled for win.......Prat who rode in his debut is back up after being absent for his last.......hmmm

10  Canyon Crest

5  Perfect Affection

 

 

 

 

Posted on January 12, 2020 at 9:47 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Santa Anita for Saturday 11 January 2020

Might be feast or famine this afternoon as we have only one ML favorite as our top choice and she is 5 to 2 in the morning line.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

5  You'reright Again   trainer had a "break out year" in 2019 and could be sitting on his 1st win of 2020 with this three year old gelding.........since the blinkers were put on this youngster he is (4 1 2 1) when getting the lead.........3 solid preparatory speed works put in........rider upgrade......owns the best Santucci pace figs in the field

1  Mainframe Judy   2nd best early speed in the race is dangerous if he can overcome the difficult one post at 6 1/2 furlong at SA.........three year old is a good gate horse so maybe he can.......Miller/Fuentes are 2 for their last 5 over the last 2 months

2  Baltimore Beecho   lifetime best for this colt who is still a maiden was the only time he ran from off of the pace......but.......that might not be the plan as speed jock Maldoanado is named for the 1st time......we shall see

 

race 2    average clarity

7  Win Often   both lifetime races look awfully good vs. today's competition and one of them was at SA and it was also his debut.......that and this Pederson filly has run well on and off of the pace.......that versatility should enhance the chances of jockey A. Espinoza (who rode her well in both lifetime races) of getting the job done

5  French Rose   trainer is dangerous turf to dirt and draws Prat to make for a significant rider upgrade......that and this filly sure seems to be training the best of her life.....and.......for a trainer in Desormeaux who doesn't push them too hard in the a.m.

3  Vegan   SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE filly should appreciate getting back to the SA dirt where she has done most of her best running........and her lifetime top effort/fig was the only time she raced at today's 6F distance at SA

4  Mandy

1  Way too Sweet

 

race 3    average clarity

1  Storm the Hill   talk about horses for courses.......this D'Amato six year old is (8 5 0 3) on the SA turf and (19 0 2 4) on all other grass.......that and she owns the best credentials in the race.......but she's no lock as 5 1/2F might be a little too short for her......although she sure has shown much more early speed in her turf routes of late

3  Jolie Olimpica   Brazil racing isn't much these days but this filly has crunched her competition in all three of her lifetime races including a Grade 1 vs. males in her last......been away since June but is working well enough and shows up in a Hall of Fame barn......hard too know how well she fits......we shall find out about 1:30 pacific time

4  An Eddie Surprise   way short number wise but if the 1 doesn't handle the abbreviated turf distance and the 3 doesn't adapt to her new environment too well this gal seems next in line to win

 

race 4    average clarity

1  Mahi Mahi   1st time gelding for this Wong three year old and the surgery might have helped a little as this guy's recent a.m. work is somewhat improved.....inside speed has done very well in the one mile dirt races and this three year old has some.....and with a 5 lbs weight break with the bug boy remaining aboard

3  Champagne's On Ice   double barrel action from the Jonathan Wong barn as he also trains our top selection.......last three races all fit fine here and one of them was run on the SA dirt........also there is significant rider upgrade........good post to boot

7  Itsthattime   nice move forward in his latest where he could have graduated if not getting blocked a couple of lengths in the stretch......trained well prior to his latest and continues to train well since........dangerous sort from the Bonde barn off to a good start

9  Mr. Unusual

5  Constitutionaffair

 

race 5    average clarity

1  Mosienko   Hess got this three year old filly eligible for this race by putting her up for the 50K tag..........she likely is doing well since the race or he would likely have put her up for the 40K tag today hoping to lose her.........filly should be in the mix from the get go and with a distance turf race under her belt she should finish better this time around

5  Teachers Big Dream   owns the best route speed in the field and might get loose and lonely and brave on the front end......that and I believe her not to be a lead type only so she would still be a factor if she doesn't get it

8  Sugar Pickel   three year filly won her MC50K debut at 16 to 1 hinting she surprised her connections somewhat........if that is so she likely wasn't fully cranked up for her debut.......1st at a route and the turf but I sure like her pedigree for both........it looks like Cedillo jumped ship for our top pick.......but with that move this girl gets Prat on her back.....not too shabby of a deal

2  Secret Square

3  Too Much Heaven

 

race 6    below average clarity

1  Silken Prince   very impressive layoff run considering the soft work tab (went off at 64 to 1 odds)......works since the effort are stout.......still should be a price somewhere around the 8 to 1 ML

8  High Five   last race seems funky......toss out race two back as this colt appeared to dislike the two turns and/or the off track.........impressive tightly spaced works since his "funky" race.......can stalk our 5th pick and maybe even grab the lead

4  Policy   not the best of trips in his last two races.....fast near bullet 4F work just put in 6 days ago........most of the attention will go to Glatt's other horse our 5th choice......like our top two picks this gelding should also be a nice price

3  Mutineer

7  Gate Speed

 

race 7    below average clarity

6  Don't Unzipp Me   bad trip on the AW at GG or would have graduated at st asking........1st on the lawn but mom was one terrific grass sprinter and she has already tossed two turf winners.......this filly might make it three for three in that department today

4  Nu Pi Lambda   toss this girl's last as she acted up badly prior to the race.........both grass sprint races prior to 3rd lifetime start are solid front running races........hard not to like despite that there hasn't been any front running winners in turf sprints so far at the new SA meeting

1  Sweet Devil   good a.m. work for this McCarthy MSW 1st time starter.....and her daddy is off to a strong start as far as producing good grass runners so far to the tune of 19% wins

11  She's So Special

5  Munn She's Pretty

 

race 8    average clarity

6  Horologist   it took a Grade 1 race at Prx to break this gal's dirt route racing winning streak and she race 3rd in the Grade 1 beating 8 of 10 foes.......good to see Joe Bravo ship in as he is a perfect 3 for 3 in routes on this four year old......and.......it supports the notion that that this filly is ready to roll off of a 3 month layoff

7  Spiced Perfection  SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE  very consistent five year old Cal-bred mare and that includes on the SA main track where she has won 1 of her 2 Grade 1 wins.......stout jock and rider at the helm........difficult to split the top two

3  Queen Bee To You   don't count this Andrew Lerner mare out as she seemingly his never been sharper.......and her a.m. prowess since her latest a 3 1/2L Grade 3 win at Lrc (1st Graded race win for the up and coming young trainer) hints that she might run similar or even better today

1  Der Lu

4  Message

 

race 9    average clarity

4  Nocherylikemychery   trainer is often at his best 3rd out after layoffs which is the case here for his three year old filly.......lifetime best and hidden by 8L of trip adjustment was this youngster's lone turf race which was at today's distance........believe the bug boy will send her early enhancing her chances to be no worse than 2 wide on the 1st turn.......like her chances if that is what transpires

6  Too Much Smoke   excellent turf pedigree for this 2nd start maiden and her pedigree to handle the two turns is decent for a Cal-bred.........3 gate works since her disappointing dirt debut.......believe she has a shot at being night and day better today

11  Miss Ryleigh   double barrel action from Miller as he also trains our 2nd selection.......Miller and company privately purchased this filly following a strong race at GG on the AW where this Boat Trip filly had boat load of trouble.......turf pedigree is a ? mark and the post is no picnic or would have rated higher

2  Sassyserb

12  Elgofranco

 

 

 

Posted on January 11, 2020 at 9:09 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Santa Anita for Friday 10 January 2020

Rather strange oddity that Glatt/Maldonado happen to be our top pick in races 5 thru 7.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

1  Malibu Cat   Glatt filly has been away from the game for 11 months but she returns with a strong prolonged work regiment that hints she is ready to rock and roll in her 3rd lifetime start.......1st start she went off at 45 to 1 so it was a total gimme.......2nd start the race was taken off the turf and run on an off track where she flashed speed and stopped......we will ignore that race as well

7  Raneem   no action on the board in her layoff run hints that layoff effort was nothing more than a tune-up........her lone lifetime race off of short rest (21 days) was run dirt to turf and is decent........dirt to turf again this time racing off of 12 days rest........seems dangerous

2  Dance Costume   don't see too much showing in the mornings for this Tim Yakteen filly but mom has tossed three grass winners from four starters.........and.........Rosario and his agent want the mount

 

race 2    average clarity

2  Busy Paynter   three of her last four races look solid here and one of them was at Santa Anita........needs contact to the front end or the lead and she appears to have the most early gas in the field.......last two times this girl dropped down she won and won quite easily

1  Cimarron   last three fast rated tracks are par or better for today's lower racing level.......away since 18 October but she does well with ample time off between starts.......solid a.m. work......should make a good account of herself

5  All Tea All Shade   blinkers go back on today.......race 3 back where this filly last wore blinkers might get the job done here.......and the race was at today's 6 1/2 furlong distance.........when was the last meeting anywhere Bejarano started out 0 for 17.......solid rider is likely very hungry

3  Incredibly Lucky

 

race 3    average clarity

2  Velvet Queen   appears to need the lead to win and she sure appears loose in this spot as her early speed seems to be enhanced since the blinkers were added two back.........she has continued to train awfully well and Baltas is off to a hot start at the new SA meeting.......decent shot to make it 3 straight with the blinkers on

4  Amatara   dull one mile race at Lrc in latest but the race was run on an off track.......lifetime best and better than par for today's higher level was run 2 back at today's one mile distance on the SA dirt.........red hot rider/trainer combo in Gutierrez/Baltas - 4 for their last 7 over 60 days.........very dangerous

1  Persepolis   dull effort 1st at a route in her latest as the heavy odds on favorite......maybe she didn't care for the Del Mar surface as opposed to disliking the two turns.......we likely will find out today as she ran well on the SA surface.......Prat remains up and he knows this filly well as her regular rider........hope this isn't an omen - Persepolis is in Iran - sire of this mare is War Front - dam is sired by Smart Strike

 

race 4    average clarity

8  Big Hoof Dynamite   lifetime best (and by quite a bit) was run turf mile to dirt mile and on the drop down........turf mile today and drops but this time competes in a dirt sprint........no big deal.......Prat (making for a big rider upgrade) and his agent must really like the colt as they accept the mount from a small win-less barn.......trainer might get off the snide today

5  Benny Chang   positive rider change to Rosario who by my book is the best rider in the jock's room..........and when the world class rider teams up with Miller like he is here he is especially dangerous........latest at Lrc fits.....1st at SA is a ? mark

3  Connection   MSW to MC is such a dangerous move one must always take note but the connections sure are "giving up" on their $260K purchase awfully quickly......that and they put up a very low percentage jock.......so.........easy to make as 3rd pick-a-rue

2  Palace Prince

 

race 5    average clarity

6  Nikkileaks   filly has decent early speed in this spot and now adds blinkers.......and draws speed jock Maldonado for the 1st time.......moved forward in her last and believe she will again today in her 3rd lifetime start

1  Kleen Karma   no flashy works showing for this Lewis 1st time starter.......but......the trainer sure has put copious drills into this Cal-bred........as the saying goes there are many ways to skin a cat

5  Rickie Nine Toe's   very suspicious drop (claim bait?) in her 2nd lifetime start considering how well she ran in her debut......blinkers on today.......needs a rebound in her 3rd start and 2nd out after the claim as her 2nd start would likely not be good enough.......and that start was only 13 days ago

7  Smart Girl

 

race 6    average clarity

6  Classy Atlantic   in need of a drop in class and gets one........also gets a good spot to utilize her speed as the race sure lacks it for an abbreviated turf sprint of 5 1/2 furlongs.......that and she is capable of preforming decently without the lead if she doesn't get it

4  Drift Away   last might have been nothing more then a dirt tune-up for this mare who has made her living on the sod........Prat stays put supporting the idea of a tune-up on the dirt........race two back which was at 5 1/2F on the sod is solid and disguised in its strength by about 5L of trip trouble

1  She's a Dime   1st on the turf and 1st out in 13 1/2 months........works are good......pedigree for the lawn is good........O'Neill is getting rather dangerous in these abbreviated turf sprints at SA

 

race 7    average clarity

5  Royal Trump   five year old gelding should get a nice stalking trip with the 1 horse as her target........five year old is (7 4 1 1) since Glatt took over the training duties......and here's the real kicker - this fellow is (4 2 2 0) racing at SA on the dirt at 6 1/2 furlongs.......yikes

1  McKale   appears to be lone speed so if this gelding can handle the "gap" that exists at 6 1/2 furlongs at SA this five year old might be loose and lonely on the lead and tough to wheel in

3  Oiseau de Guerre   might feel very good as this M McCarthy six year old scratched out of Grade 2 5 1/2 furlong turf race on New Years Day for this race........and he draws Rosario......1st on the dirt but his pedigree suggests he should handle it

 

race 8    below average clarity

5  She's Devoted   Baltas three year old filly is out working anyone in this field by a wide margin.......and the fact that Rosario lands on her supports the idea this girl is meant and ready for her debut into the wonderful world that is Thoroughbred racing

3  Warren's Empress    somewhat obscure grass breeding but I like it.........plenty of a.m. put in......like the tight 5 day interval for her last two preparatory works

6  Sara Crewe   so so so far on main track track surfaces.......turf pedigree is decent.......recent a.m. work is more than decent.......trainer is dynamite the 1st time he takes over the training duties of a given horse like he is today

2  Bella Vita

4  Bella D

 

 

 

Posted on January 10, 2020 at 9:38 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Santa Anita for Sunday 5 January 2020

OK card for today.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    below average clarity

6  Lincoln City   last race is OK but his race two back is very solid and disguised greatly in it's strength........sprint-sprint-scenario for this grass runner trying a route for the 1st time.......not too bad of a move histrionically speaking for Kruljac....... sure like the rider change.......ML would be nice to get

3  Commanding Chief   all three lifetime grass races fit fine vs today's competition......,.been away 8 weeks but his a.m. work hints he is ready to roll.......and Rosario accepting the mount for the 1st time supports that notion

5  Border Town   not easy to improve a Chad Brown turf runner but if Richard Mandella can manage to get this guy's MSW debut effort/energy out of his new acquisition this colt has a shot at the winners circle........prolonged work tab in preparation for his 1st race in over 3 months suggests he might

2  Da Kine

4  Go Daddy Go

 

race 2    average clarity

6  Grandpa Louie   decent races in all three fast track sprint races one of which was run at SA.......like the move to blinkers off to slow this gelding down so as to finish better.........especially since he is trying to get 6 1/2 furlongs today........red hot rider/trainer combo at the helm

3  A Man's Man   showed life in his MSW after a slow start......but more importantly Koriner is prolific with 2nd time starters to the tune of 31 percent win with his last 39 (and 62% in the money)

1  Afternoon Heat   might not have cared for the off going in his latest.....race two back which was his 1st out following the Knapp claim is easily his lifetime best and better than par for today's MSW level........mostly placed 3rd because of a difficult post at 6 1/2F to deal with.......and.......running lines suggest he might flatten out at the 6 1/2F distance........on a positive note he gets a jock upgrade........not easy to split our 3 selections

 

race 3    average clarity

2  Foster Boi   four year old won his MSW debut quite easily in a 6 1/2F turf race down the SA hill.......away since June but returns as as a 1st time gelding for lifetime start number 5 and with some strong a.m. work showing........many of his drills hint his early speed is now better.......that bodes well for his chances of making it 2 for 2 lifetime in grass sprints

1  General Interest   (3 2 1 0) vs Cal-bred competition.........(4 0 0 0) vs open company.......connections are risking him for 20K this afternoon to get to face Cal-breds once again........that suggests he is well meant today because the barn might lose him by way of the claiming box.......and look who grabs the mount - leading jock Rosario

5  Hit the Seam   five year old has rebounded off of dull efforts multiple times in the past......dull race in latest......likely will see better today

7  Desmond

 

race 4    average clarity   

3  Storie Blue   good route MSW debut 2nd in a route race at Dmr...... followed that up with a very solid running time at Lrc in another  two turn race......if she runs as well in her 1st race at SA she will be tough to overcome.......unreal rider/trainer combo in Van Dyke and Baffert.......as in 50% win with their last 30........yikes

5  Classy Ruler   exits a fast heat where this youngster ran 2nd in his MSW debut........trainer is dynamite 1st time at a route.......and the connections didn't shell out $700K to have themselves a nice sprinter

4  Cosmic Cowgirl   disappointed as the favorite in his last where he lost to our top choice......but he does get a significant jock upgrade.......Baltas is 30% win with his last 140 beaten favorites......not impossible but easy to make as our 3rd pick-a-rue

 

race 5    average clarity

1  Will Dancer   lifetime best was the only time this four year old competed on a fast rated track when wearing blinkers.......and the race was at today's one mile distance albeit in a one turn mile at Aqu.........Truman gelding seems likely to sit in a nice stalk position behind a couple of speed types.......dropping to the lowest MC level of his career

7  Hypersonic   Metz runner seemed to be in need of some rest and gets it.......lifetime best (run 3 back at CD and with today's rider Baze up) is awfully solid here and was run one furlong further than today's race.......so it might not be that difficult a task to have this guy ready enough to get the one mile distance off of the layoff.....should be in the mix from the get go

8  Fort Dodge   plotter has a chance to be the last one standing at the wire as there is a decent chance of some lively fractions being set in this affair

2  Cross Town

6  Moana Luna

 

race 6    average clarity

7  Holly Hundy   (3 2 0 1) in abbreviated turf sprints at SA........very aggressive 4 works series in preparation for today's race......Rosario can get a very nice mid pack or stalk position likely saving ground as the runners lined up inside of this filly are either much faster or slower than she is......such a deal

4  Storming Lady   might have won the 14 Oct version of this race at SA if not for getting blocked and bumped in the stretch........like the rider change and also what appears to be improved a.m. work.......Marquez filly should be motoring late

1  Kim K   filly has never been on the grass but Peter Miller is awfully good at getting the most out of his "1st time on the sod" runners in turf sprints........good post and rider..........filly is (4 2 1 0) in one turn dirt races........dangerous sort

3  Tonahutu

2  Creative Instinct

 

race 7    above average clarity

7  Bast   lifetime best by my book was her lone race at today's 7 furlong distance......you don't see too many Grade 1 races won by 9 lengths at the distance of 7F.......one note of caution - not too crazy about Baffert entering two others in here as far too often the "other" Baffert horse wins

2  Golden Principal   nice debut win for this Ballert baby and with Van Dyke riding our top choice Mike Smith takes the mount.......solid endurance building 6F gate work put into this three year old should have her ready to improve and handle the addition furlong to cover

1  Auberge   worked lights out prior to her 27 Oct MSW debut where she crushed her MSW foes.......working "lights out" once again for Baffert and company.......would have made 2nd choice if it wasn't for her difficult post to deal with at the SA 7F distance

 

race 8    average clarity

4  Hootie   lifetime best and a race that would clobber today's competition was run 3 back and disguised by a slightly tardy start and a one hot pace which he pressed.....drop sure makes sense as this gelding has hardly earned his keep in 2018 & 19

9  Factorial   1st time running as a gelding and drops hinting the operation didn't do much for this six year old.......that and the fact he is now six and this is only his 13th start suggests the barn is dropping to win as opposed hoping to lose him......and my guess is even if he wins the won't be disappointed to see he go

2  Mystery Messenger   gelding seems likely to get a good trip from his good post draw and with a jock upgrade to boot.......last race sure looks like nothing more then a spin around the Lrc track to set up today's drop down putting some doubt into the minds of claiming vultures lurking above

5  Go for a Ride

7  Canadian Game

 

Posted on January 5, 2020 at 8:18 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Santa Anita for Saturday 4 January 2020

Race card seems decent and so does Sunday's card. 

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    below average clarity

7  Lucky Long Legs   tepid top choice woke up with the blinkers on in her last (could have won with a good start) but for the 3rd time in a row she broke tardy........so........it is nice to see Maldonado stick around as when it comes to getting out of the metal monster quickly few are better

3  Elgofranco   Ben Cecil filly beat our top choice by 1 1/2 lengths in her last and might appreciate 7 weeks off as Cecil runners are quite dangerous with ample time between starts.......hard not to like

5  Lets Get Wild   OK debut and Eric Kruljac is better with 2nd time starters than 1st.........good to see a nice 5F drill since her 13 Dec debut.......highly likely to move forward today if she takes to the SA surface........to what degree seems to be the question mark

1  Bluegrass Sky

2  On Mars

 

race 2    average clarity

4  Phast Pharoah   significant rider upgrade especially for a grass race........nice wake up with the blinkers on in his latest on a track  rated good at Lrc........works since the race are solid.......world class rider is on the controlling speed.......hard to not like that

1  Absolute Unit   not so hot in his 2nd lifetime endeavor but it was on an off track........debut is good and disguised by dueling on a slightly dull rail at Dmr on 9 Nov........1st on the grass but mom has tossed a couple of decent grass winners.........Prat remains up........and is he due to have a big day (1 for 15 to start the meet)

3  Keno'd   easily the most dangerous of the 1st time starters signed up for this race.......pedigree for the grass is decent and his last preparatory drill for today's race is a solid 5F gate work just one week ago......might be peaking at the right time

7  Liam's Pride

5  Malibu Morning

 

race 3    average clarity

4  My Journey   five year old gelding is training awfully well for a MC20K putting in 8 works since his last race which was run in late Oct.........and with quite a few of the works are rather stout.........gelding should be on or near the lead from the get go

3  Mike Operator   like our top selection this gelding should be in the mix from the get go as well.......and like our top pick in race number two he gets quite the jock upgrade to Mr. Rosario......hard not to like

2  Royal Ranger   decent debut effort at the MC40K level but I am somewhat suspicious of the drop to MC20K especially since he shows only one work showing since his debut which was 5 weeks ago........but take note that if his physical condition is still OK he fits fine

5  Silver Fury

1  Strong Ruler

 

race 4    average clarity

5  Abusive Gary   2 of his 4 lifetime races fit fine for today's Cal-bred MSW level and one of them was his lone grass race to date and at today's one mile distance.......and the strength of that race is disguised........much improved recent a.m. work........switch in jocks to Maldonado.......so look for this fellow to go after the lead

4  Kakistocrazy   good turf sprint MSW debut  and improved a.m. work since.........Gaines is fairly decent 1st time at a route.......Van Dyke wisely stays put

7  Bud Knight   3 of 5 races run at today's one mile turf distance fit OK in this spot.......that includes his latest race where he might have found the winners circle if not for being blocked badly on the turn and the stretch

1  Big City Bane

3  Sea of Liberty

 

race 5    average clarity

6  Taishan   very impressive final time to break his maiden in his latest especially considering he got caught a bit wide pressing a stout set of fractions for the given day........the adjusted for trip/pace Santucci fig worked out to be a number that would fit in a Grade 1 little lone a Grade 3

1  Authenic   Baffert colt ran a very strong race to graduate at 1st asking.......and has trained very nicely since the 9 Nov race........and the connections didn't shell out $350,000 to own a nice sprinter........very dangerous considering how great Baffert is with 3 year old colts

4  Azul Coast   double barrel action from Baffert as he also trains our 2nd selection........nice MSW debut win at Lrc in a one mile affair.......likely needs more today and Van Dyke lands on the other Baffert runner......but he ends up with a rider upgrade to Rosario........such a deal

 

race 6    below average clarity

5  Slew South    on the improve with each and every start all of which were on the sod.....and her latest forward move is disguised by a brutal trip given by Talamo (albeit from a nasty post) where he broke poorly and ran ridiculously wide.......8L of trip adjustment and only lost by 4L......back to Velez and his 5 lbs weight break who rode this filly nicely 2 back.....should be a handsome number

6  Sothalis   two so so sprint dirt races to begin career........but she is working since her 2 September race like a vastly improved individual........maybe the D'A has figured her out.......1st on the grass and a route but she is bred OK for both.......looking for Maldonado to go after the lead or close to it

7  Y Not Sizzle   filly has been in a slump and needs to rebound to her spring and summer form.......recent works and a change in jocks to Rispoli hint she might mount one.....the new to the scene Italian rider has hit the board in the three mounts that he has gotten from Mullins

9  Magistrate

2  Oh Pretty Woman

 

race 7    average clarity

1  Proverb   last three races all fit well in this nw alw spot......and his latest was the best of all despite not winning the 20 Oct version of this race and that is somewhat hidden.......latest endeavor was run of off 4 months rest.........2 1/2 months rest today.......Baltas is rather hot......Abel Cedillo wisely remains up

4  Meistermind   nicely improved since the Mark Glatt claimed 3 races back.......still if our top choice runs the effort that I think he will this five year old will need better today......maybe the rider upgrade can provide it as the new Italian jock sure looks like a good addition to the jock colony so far

2  Street Class   decent improvement in latest in a race that is better than it appears in print as he had a short lead on a somewhat dull rail........he did decently to hang on for 3rd......and today he gets a jock upgrade to leading rider Rosario

 

race 8    average clarity

3  Cleopatra's Strike   handles the 9F turf distance well and sure appreciates the SA turf course........nice Grade 2 win 2 races back which was run 2nd out following a layoff......same scenario today........hard not to put on top

1  Desert Stone   last two firm rated turf races were good efforts for this Baltas runner........away since May but this now five year old has run well fresh in the past........should be motoring late

5  North County Guy   five year old gelding got away with a loose lead setting very slow fractions to win an 11F affair on the grass.......that race was likely stress-free and has improved her endurance.....if that is true then lookout here as she likely feels good and she might get loose and lonely on the lead again

 

race 9    below average clarity

3  Hot Sean   the only two times that Baffert put this gelding up for a tag he ran very well......up for a tag today and it is the lowest tag of his career likely in order to face easier.......definitely the one to beat if he is fit and ready off of the 5 month break

8  Order and Law   lifetime best best and hidden by 5 or 6 lengths of trip adjustment was his lone lifetime race on the SA dirt and the race was only 1/2 furlong further than today's 6 1/2F.........should be flying late and at a nice price

6  Sigalert   Sadler is good with very long layoffs.......and this colt has some decent ability and he won his MSW debut suggesting that today's race run off of a 15 month break is doable

1  Soldier Boy

4  Truck Salesman

 

race 10    average clarity

2  Queen of the Track   hidden move forward in her latest dueling in a brutal set of fractions and only getting beat by 3L for the win......8 works since the 27 Oct race which turned out to be a key one.......and look who accepts the mount.....the meets leading and by my book best jock on the grounds in Joel Rosario

5  Anonymously   filly should get a nice stalk or mid pack trip and likely will save ground........switch to Cedillo whose only mount for Cerin over the last two months was a winner.......very dangerous 2nd selection

3  An Eddie Surprise   better pedigree to handle a turf sprint than a turf route and she is a decent route turf horse........she will be running hard late especially if a few in here try challenge our top pick early

1  Hello Bubbles

4  Swing Thoughts

 

 

Posted on January 4, 2020 at 8:47 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections