Santa Anita for Sunday 9 April 2017

OK card to finish off the race week. One extra day off this week. See you on Friday. Next special pub is next Saturday and is now on sale at a cost of $22.95. Click on blue banner to see the details.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

6  Irish Dame   connections took forever to drop out of MSW racing and it led to an easy win........hey.....it feels good to win........so ......now they are willing to race for 5K less........same distance and rider in Prat.......decent shot at back to back wins for this filly

1  Very Hot   filly raced versus way too tough 1st out after the claim........back where belongs and with two sharp drills.......Dollase has won 2 of his last 4 2nd race following a claim

3  Rcatcanscat   just claimed by Hollendorfer and that alone makes this filly dangerous.......but I am somewhat concerned about the extended sprint distance of 7F for this youngster or would have rated higher

 

race 2    average clarity

1  Sidepocket Run   eight year old mare is by far at her best at Santa Anita........very solid work regiment in preparation for today's layoff run......like the step up of one claiming notch.....suggests this lady is feeling good

5  Princess Tiznow   Brocklebank has broken out of the doldrums in a big way of late........his new filly has 2 wins and a 2nd in 3 lifetime dirt route races......sure like that Joe Talamo rides thru the claim

6  Ipray   solid history at SA only missing the board twice in 11 starts.......red hot rider/trainer combo in Prat/Hollendorfer.......would have rated higher if I wasn't somewhat concerned about this mare's tendency to flatten out late past one mile

 

race 3    average clarity

7  Blabimir   bit of a goofball to date so being gelded sure makes sense......a ton and one half if he is up to his best.....but why drop to $25K after being gelded when the connections wouldn't drop before......toss a coin - as in wins if he is OK - up the track once again if he isn't

6  Causa   2 for 3 sprinting on the SA dirt.......colt seemed to respond to the aggressive riding of Maldonado......Eurton is much better than average at getting back to back wins out of a horse

2  Who Cares   yet to hit the board on a fast track but seemingly drops enough to have a shot at changing that here......should lag back early and come on strong in the late stages........Sutherland is riding better than her record indictaes

1  We Go Now

 

race 4    average clarity

5  Tiz Jolie   tough trips in last two races somewhat disguises a five year old who sure is firing efforts that can take down a 10K with a better journey........1st run following the claim goes to T C Baze who has done a nice job riding for smaller barns like Mike Rheinford's

6  Eddie's Turn   right track as in (3 2 1 0) on the SA dirt.....but he has something to prove holding it together running at 7F........voided claim in last but plenty of time off to recover......and when Bejarano rides for Truman his horse's are almost always live

3  Rough Passage   owns dangerous route speed and with a rider who doesn't give in too easily in Pedroza.....speed was better yesterday after two days where it was not

 

race 5    average clarity

5  Bona Fide Image   blinkers on in last and it sure helped this girl's focus........and she appreciates more then 4 weeks time between starts and gets it........trainer has had one impressive meeting at Santa Anita

4  Just Be Held   last was quite good and likely was set up by what looks like 2 straight "gimmies" so as not to get claimed on the drop.......might get claimed today so Miyadi and friends will have her ready once again......gets Prat to ride for the 1st time.....should be a major player here

3  American Rhiannon   latest effort/number matches up with our top two selections but she has something to prove racing past 5 1/2 furlongs......not at all impossible but easy to make 3rd pick-a-rue

7  Little Lottie

 

race 6    average clarity

1  Haveiture Way   trainer is much better with 2nd time starters.......significant rider upgrade.......cut back of 1/2 furlong appears to be a plus......should be in the mix from the get go

8  Rocketann   trainer has struggled trying to break into the S Cal circuit but might get a win here with this three-year old filly who sure improved in her last with the blinkers removed......2 reassuring works since.......should be closing late

5  Sneak Play   bet fairly hard in her lone lifetime start which was way back in May of 2016........only ran so so.......working as she is ready to roll fresh off of the bench.....trainer is weak with 1st timers and stout with 2nd timers.......as in 8 for his last 25

4 Yalla

 

race 7    average clarity

3  Betty Draper   solid 1st in the USA nearly winning a race down the hill outright but was moved up to 1st by way of a DQ ..........she ran well in routes in France versus males and in key races......sure seems quite tough in this spot

8  Sweet Charity   another French import who has taken to the firm SA grass course.......four-year old filly has been quite consistent only missing the board once in 9 lifetime starts and the "miss" was a 4th place finish

1  Salsita   seems much better suited to 8F than the 10F she competed at in her last......3 for 6 at today's distance.........2 for 11 at other distances......solid rider/trainer combo in Baze/Mullins

2  Lily Kai

 

race 8    average clarity

3  Big Energy   flashed significant early speed the last two times this fellow sprinted....and the latest is hidden by a slow start and a rush.........lone win came the only time this gelding got a loose lead........connections will be looking for that loose led here

6  Carulli   cut back in distance is a plus as is his likely position with should be stalking the lead.....gelding usually fires a decent race running off of 2 to 4 weeks rest.......22 days since his last

2  Adrosa Sky   might feel good and with plenty of endurance for a sprint on the dirt racing off of a turf route......trainer has had a good week....might add to it here

1  True Ranger

 

race 9    above average clarity

6  Life's Blessings   impressive in both lifetime starts and sure is working as if she is up to her lifetime best today.....thus Baffert sees fit to put her in a non Graded Stakes race......Prat smartly sticks around

4  Selcourt   pounded in her debut and did not disappoint nearly winning by double digits......seems like the best early speed in the field so she likely will get loose on the lead but if not she showed she has no problem stalking

3  Union Strike   trainer finally got his 1st win of the year yesterday......back to sprinting which appears what this Mick Ruis three-year old filly needs.....not impossible but easy to place as the 3rd selection

2  Mistressofthenight

 

race 10    average clarity

5  Lady Preacher   trainer is solid with the sprint - sprint - route manuever which is the case here......and he changes riders not only for a significant jockey upgrade (especially for the turf) but it is the only mount of the day for Desormeaux and it comes in the last race......hmmm

9  Zaffinah     nice move forward in 2nd lifetime race in the U S of A since arriving from Germany.......that race fits fine here and I like the change in riders to Bejarano as Espinoza sure is in a slump on the grass.....only 2 for his last 34 and that is with many decent mounts

8  Red Shelby   poor trip hides a good run down the SA hill in her MSW debut for Peter Miller and company.........switches jocks to his go to rider.......OK pedigree to handle the two turns...... decent chance to be a major factor in the outcome of this race

3  Diamonds Only

4  Goseeccal

1  Trappiza

 

 

 

 

Posted on April 9, 2017 at 10:29 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Santa Anita for Saturday 8 April 2017

Hope you enjoy one of S Cal top race days every year in Santa Anita Derby Saturday! Next special pub is now on sale at a cost of $22.95. 

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

(if off the turf:  1-8-3-6)

3  Doc Curlin   stepped on the majestic SA hill for the 1st time and sure liked the scenery as he fired his lifetime best........repeat of the effort makes him the one to overcome in this race......and he has the right to improve 2nd out after a layoff

8  Roy H   has run well "fresh" in the past and Peter Miller has him cranked up like he will once again today.......extremely impressive 58 Hg drill at Slr just 6 days ago to finish off his preparation for his return

2  Daddy D T   Sadler five-year old has had difficulty running back to back good efforts and his latest fits decently in this spot.......not out of the win picture if he can break the mold today

1  Kristi's Copilot

 

race 2    below average clarity

2  Champagne Girl   showing hints in the a.m. that R Mandella might have this filly ready to roll in her MSW debut.......mom has tossed 6 winners from 6 starters including a Stakes winner.....not too shabby

6  Queen Laila  solid sprint breeding for this 1st time starter from the Callaghan barn who is training as if he is meant and ready ...........works hint that he owns some good early speed

4  Southern Mischief   not much support at the windows for a Baffert 1st time starter hints the race was needed and that much more is likely today .......and the fact that Smith stays put supports the notion

3  Hot Blooded Girl

 

race 3    average clarity

8  Cascade Kid   SCRATCHED    

2  Cats Blame   not much at a route in his 2nd lifetime endeavor.......his MSW debut was quite the opposite as he ran 2rd despite a wide trip pressing and then stalking a hot pace.......trainer could use something good to happen.....maybe it is here

1  Who's Hot   dueled and cashed it in in his 2nd lifetime start.......but he showed life in his debut after rearing and getting away about 9 or 10 lengths slow......earned an adjusted for trouble fig that was better than par for the MSW level......needs a rebound and of course a decent trip

3  Kona Dreams

Long-shot consideration:   4  Buckys Pick   trained quite well prior to his MSW debut but only ran so so......continues to train as if he has talent.......deserves another shot especially at a price

 

race 4    average clarity

8  Miss Sunset   two for two on fast rated sprints where she crushed her competition in both races......seems likely to be in the mix from the get go with a speed rider in Maldonado who has his mojo back these days

7  Starr Quality   claimed by Miller 2 back and the hot trainer sure improved his new shooter.......and since the race he has gotten his new filly to train markedly better........believe she is sitting on the race of her life and should finish up well coming off of a series of route races

4  You're Late   obvious 64 to 1 gimme in her last off of the layoff.....and the works since the tune-up are stout.....not a gimme today

2  Radish

 

race 5    average clarity

5  Pretty Girl   very impressive stretch run in her latest from the back of the pack despite a soft pace up front.......in her only other turf race in the USA she beat 1/2 of the field with a bad trip in one tough Grade 1 at AP........decent record at the distance (3 2 0 1)......should be tough

6  Harmonize   very consistent grass runner (including running off of layoffs) for Bill Mott who does quite well shipping into S Cal.......and the rider Junior Alvarado knows this filly inside out as he rides her all the time.....hard not see this filly being a factor in the outcome of this race

4  Lady Valeur   seems likely to get a nice ground saving trip thru at least the 1st turn sitting about 3rd or 4th not too far behind the leaders.......and that is a dangerous proposition when Pratt is the rider

8  Mokat

Long-shot consideration:   1  Juno   single digit trainer these days in Drysdale but he is still very dangerous the 1st time he takes over a given runner........five year old mare has good turf route speed and a dangerous front end grass rider in Desormeaux.......wire to wire attempt

 

race 6    above average clarity

4  Abel Tasman   new trainer today in Bob  Baffert and a new rider in Mike Smith......you think that might help a three-year old......last 2 races are exceptionally strong effort/fig wise......as is only getting beat by the nation's best three-year old filly by 2 1/4L.......solid a.m. work.......should be one tough customer

2  It Tiz Well   on the improve with each and every race and if the progression continues today she has a decent chance to wind up in the circle of joy this afternoon

6  Majestic Quality   Keith Desormeaux often brings his youngster's around slowly and that is the case for this young filly.......needs a lively pace up front to be a factor down the stretch and has a decent shot of getting it here.......brother Kent sticks around

3  Paradise Woods

 

race 7    average clarity

9  Mining Diamonds   displayed average talent for an allowance horse last year........but......returns off of a 10 month layoff with strong works that hint she has grown up a lot and or Miller has tweaked something for the better.....we shall see

6  Avicii   last win came two back where a hot pace sets things up for her mid pack style.......decent chance that she gets another hot pace today......1st for Hollendorfer following the claim.....good sign Prat rides thru the claim

5  Shy Carmelita   very consistent in fast track sprint races........won her MSW debut so running off of an extended hiatus from the game seems doable

2  Dis Smart Cat

 

race 8    average clarity

3  Battle of Midway   impressive 1st at a route in latest running the overland route and still managing to win a salty alw race.......does lose Prat to our 2nd choice but gets Nakatani who has won his last 4 of 5 mounts for Hollendorfer over the last two months.......and just what you want to see prior to the SA Derby as in the best a.m. work of his career

9  Iliad   another caught wide (once again Pratt - what's with that) and up on the pace........did well to stick around for 2nd......should be a major player in the outcome of this race if he holds his form

2  Reach the World   didn't progress in his last but maybe Baffert was totally focused on today's big race and didn't have him as cranked up as he might be today........that and the young colt has a smooth way of going ......and .......Mr Money Mike Smith stays up

7  Kimbear  

Long-shot consideration:  11  Irish Freedom   brutal trip in last hides an OK route off of the long layoff........Baffert/Bejarano ........strong works .......2nd out after a layoff.........20 to 1 in the morning line........might want to use some

 

race 9    above average clarity

1  Sircat Sally   undefeated in 4 lifetime starts including 2 in grass routes........and she is capable on the lead or stalking the lead giving Smith options......a no brainer to put on top despite having a pedigree where 9F might be stretching it some

4  Beau Recall   SCRATCHED

8  Emphatically   been awhile since Proctor has been out west but he is today and with a good-looking filly who is progressing nicely........and she draws the attention of Prat and his agent.......Mr Proctor is close to 25% win with his last 500 shippers......that is a powerful stat considering the sampling

5  Princess Roy

 

race 10    average clarity

9  Elwood J   on the right end of the learning curve and king Jerry is very dangerous turf to dirt with short rest......last grass race is solid both in pace and final time......back to meets leading rider in Prat

8  California Diamond   don't want to jinx anyone and especially the young colt but what an "iron horse" he has been......this is his 11th lifetime start (already) for the three-year old and so far he has 5 wins and 5 2nd's in 10 races.....hard not to see being a major factor in the outcome of this race

4  Mr. Hinx   2 for 2 in sprints.......0 for 2 in routes both 4th place finishes........and Miyadi is often at his most dangerous with the sprint-route-sprint maneuver which is the case today

6  Green With Eddie

 

race 11    average clarity

9  Calle Kingpin   last 4 starts starting on 18 Dec have been good race - bad race - good race - bad race........we are on the positive end of the oscillator and the recent drills (and with first time blinkers to boot) hint we will see that positive end on the oscillator this afternoon......and if we do....... combined with the drop into claiming.....lookout

2  Odyssey Explorer   seems like an overdo drop into a maiden claiming race for this Hector Palma runner.......and the connections aren't messing around as they make a significant rider upgrade especially for  a turf race .......should be a major player (finally) if he has held form

1  Cafe Flavor   troubled trip in lone lifetime race which was a MSW turf route in November of 2015.........returns in a maiden claimer and with a hot rider/trainer combo in Stevens and Gallagher.....the fact he didn't return in a protected race hints this is not a tune-up......we shall see

3  Go Ghetto

5  South American

6  Fregosi

 

 

Posted on April 8, 2017 at 9:33 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Santa Anita for Friday 7 April 2017

As they always do Santa Anita has carded a fabulous line-up for Santa Derby day tomorrow. Next special pub is now on sale at a cost of $22.95. 

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

4  Vending Machine   obvious up the track gimme in a protected race to drop and go up for a 50K tag this afternoon with some trepidation put into the minds of those considering a claim.....1 for 1 on the sod.......one of the better rider/trainer combo's in the nation

7  Mizzen Me   Kent Desormeaux might have passed on 2 others in this race to ride his bro's horse.......ran a decent (and somewhat hidden) one mile grass race 4 back following a turf sprint......turf sprint in last........8 furlongs of turf today......sure appears to be "meant"

2  Kenzou's Rhythm   good history running in dirt routes (4 2 1 0 1)........so if this three-year old gelding takes to the turf at least we know that endurance won't be a problem........and he does have a decent pedigree for the green carpet

6  Interrogator

 

race 2    average clarity

4  Veronica Bay   fits well if she is up to her "A game"......and she sure appears to have a decent shot at doing just that as her recent work series is the best she has shown in many a moon

2  Individual Design   good history both at the distance and at SA (16 5 3 3) & (11 3 3 2).........seems likely to get a good trip starting from the 2 post......trainer had strong go of it last week

7  Autumn Twilight   obviously Pender and company made a disappointing claim as this mare was taken for 16K and now shows up for 6K.....but she does draw Maldonado and she does her best running on the front end......seems loose but can she hold it together physically.....toss a coin type

5  Warren's Tricia R.

 

race 3    average clarity

5  Tony Blackjack    ran a significant adjusted for trouble fig/effort in his latest as he broke very poorly and then ran too wide........still managed 2nd beating 9 others.....1st at a route and he owns a pedigree that should take to one.......and his trainer is dynamite 1st a route

3  Catfish Hunter   solid move forward in his 2nd lifetime start and 1st on the grass and a route.......showed he can run on the SA dirt in his debut.......might feel awfully good this afternoon getting to run off of a kinder surface in the turf

2  Incredible Luck   big awakening in his last especially considering he hadn't raced since August of 2015.........that race which was also at one mile on the grass fits fine if he can duplicate the effort

 

race 4    average clarity

2  Surfin' Safari   lone lifetime race was on 2 Nov 2014 where this now six-year-old mare ran a 110:2 and beat 9 of 11 foes.......returns logically in a claimer......and I like that it is in a mid priced maiden claimer as opposed to a bottom maiden claimer .........and she shows a solid work tab......trainer is (2 1 01) for the meeting and she is good off of extended layoffs

1  Gypsy Treasure   works hint this Sal Gonzalez 1st timer is ready to roll at 1st asking........and draws bug boy Solis who is starting to ride quite well and appears well worth his 7 lbs weight allowance

5  Smitten Kitten   very bad trip in her maiden debut disguises an effort that is not as bad as it appears in print.......see ya bug boy.....helloooooo......Beajarno

4  Right to the Point

 

race 5    average clarity

1  Table for Three   lifetime best and a good fit in this spot was the only time this filly ran in a turf route.......in that race run 3 back this D'Amato three-year old filly was coming off of a sprint.....sprint race in last - route today......and nice a.m. preparartion.......should be a major player

2  Starlite Style   quite a few lifetime grass race fit well and she is working as if she is up for another........but.....she does like to hang.......3 straight 2nd place finishes and with Bejarano in the irons

8  Gee Street   last might have been a sprint tune-up......and if it was expect much more this afternoon 1st at a route which is right in the Richard Baltas wheelhouse.......and a red-hot trainer/rider combo in Baltas/Nakatani support the notion

3  Shaula

 

race 6    below average clarity

2  Red Stitch   very good SA meeting for Mulhall and she has a chance to add to her win total here with this laid up filly who has been away since 21 July......drops for return which hints she is trying to steal a race without being claimed before she shows too much......we shall see

1  To B. Ava   seems best at today's 6F distance......and speaking of "best" she is coming off her top effort to date and takes a small drop......not out of this by any means especially if our top choice isn't as fit and ready as I think

6  Sid the Squid   good history in sprints when rated fast (5 1 2 1 1).........tough trip in latest hides an OK effort......likely feels good coming out of the race for Sherman to step this filly up

 

race 7    average clarity

2  Golden Light    last fits OK......big hidden race 2 back.....seems likely to get a good ground saving near the front trip........if she gets that and rebounds to her energy/effort she displayed two back......she.....will......be ......tough

6  All That Heat   like our top selection this girl's last fits OK........but her best was run 4 races back in June of 2016........that race was run off of 4 weeks rest.......5 weeks rest since her last will do.....Prat sticks with the Glatt runner......so like our top choice if she fires her top effort........she........will.....be......tough

1  Jenny U Want It   sure appears to appreciate the new turf that SA put down last summer......she is a little short on figs but often makes up for it with her easy to handle smooth way of going

3  Gemini Journey

 

race 8    average clarity

3  Afendi   Baltas is very dangerous 1st time with blinkers especially in a route race.......takes a significant drop in maiden claiming......and his buddy Bejarano sticks round

7  Woodstock Memory   seems quite sharp right now and I firmly believe that 1/16th less to run today is a plus.....very dangerous if this four-year old can hold form

2  Picture Tube   sure fits on the drop provided he hasn't fallen off form since his latest......connections have been overly reluctant to drop.....so why today.....tough call how this fellow is feeling but if he is OK he will be a major player in the outcome of this race

1  Run Like Rhett

6  Son of the South

9  Royal Rebel

Posted on April 7, 2017 at 10:22 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Santa Anita for Friday 31 March 2017

Don't forget that we have a special publication for purchase for tomorrow for Florida Derby Day. We cover the 9 Stakes races carded for the day six of which are Graded races. Click on the banner for Gulfstream Park to find out more details.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    above average clarity

6  Dream Police   what a spot for Baltas and company to drop from 25Knw2 to 12.5Knw2 as he catches one extremely weak group of horses......and this gelding seems at his best at today's one mile distance

5  Hot Paris Night    fell off some in his latest likely because it appears as if 1 1/16th miles is a little too far for him to handle......cut back to one mile where he graduated two races back should help his chances

3  Unbridled Rocket   seems to be in decent form but he sure appears to be a hanger.....but he might have enough early gas in this spot to get the lead......and when a "hanger" gets the lead with nothing in front of them they become much more dangerous

 

race 2    average clarity

7  Well Caught  basically her whole career fits at today's level.......but...... here is what a wrote on Saturday about a horse I liked that was  also ridden by Brice Blanc, "rider seldom seems to be in tune with my handicapping (everyone seems to have a rider that seldom comes thru for them and Blanc is my guy).......hope that isn't the case here"......unfortunately it was.......maybe today breaks the ice

2  Blondy's Reward   talk about a mare not paying her way as she has only earned $4.5K in 2016/17.......so drop makes sense.......and she sure is training as if she is up for a top effort today.........fits fine here is that is the case

1  So Golden   nothing special but either is her competition......Cassidy has quietly had a good SA meeting and might keep the ball rolling here

6  Sharp Holiday

 

race 3    average clarity

3  Smokey Image   started his career with 6 straight wins.....then he slipped off of form and only managed one 3rd place finish in his next 5 races......seems like he might be returning as good as new off of the 8 month layoff as his works are solid and Mike Smith is up for his lone mount on the card

1  El Huerfano   last 4 racing endeavors all fit well at today's level and Miller sees fit to put up his main man in Arroyo who has won 13 of his last 25 over the last 2 months for the conditioner........mostly a route horse but he ran extremely well at 7F coping with a nasty pace and still managing to lose by only a length.....so......6 1/2F seems OK

4  Cat Burglar   plenty of furlongs put into this laid up Bob Baffert seven-year old.......should be plenty fit to come running late especially if our top two choices press each other early

 

race 4    average clarity

3  Sheza Chattykat   Baltas is deadly when he drops a given horse from MSW racing to maiden claiming and shows decent a.m work........both are the case here.........hot rider Bejarano wisely sticks around

5  Runnin for Tuiton   Bonde 1st time starter is training as if he is meant and ready to roll at 1st asking.......Bonde is stout with MSW 1st timers....but.....only average with maiden claiming 1st timers......but this is a $100K MC so it is more like a MSW race and few ever get claimed at such a lofty price for a maiden claimer

1  Arch of Troy   trainer Mark Tsagalakis only starts a couple a year but is almost always dangerous and difficult to judge as far as their a.m. preparation is concerned

4  Settle Down Eileen

 

race 5    average clarity

5  Top Fortitude   both races since Philip Oviedo took over are sub 116 flat 6 1/2F affairs and fit solidly here....and his works indicate he might be up for a 3rd.......7 furlongs seemingly is a plus for him and likely won't be for many in this field

1  Bolita Boys   Hollendorfer has been firing on all cylinders lately and seems to have another runner poised for an effort deserving of the winners circle.......only race at 7 panels is good yet disguised by a poor trip........working like a happy healthy middle-aged fellow

4  Ultimate Luck   not impossible to end up on the lead in this race without much early speed and the last time this five-year old found the front end early he wired the field in a one mile dirt race at SA.......and his only race at 7F was a decent 2nd

7  Chris and Dave

 

race 6    average clarity

4  That's a Lady   most of this field wants to go to the front which sure can set things up for this late running filly from the Sadler barn......believe that T C Baze who sure isn't afraid to ride the wood should be able to get there on at least the 1st turn........if that scenario develops this four-year old should be closing late

3  All Squared   last sure appears to be a sprint tune-up of sorts......if that is the case she might be poised for an effort similar to her very stout route dirt race that she ran at SA in late May of 2016........the one to beat if she is

1  Generous Pour   just fired her lifetime best which was run 1st out following the Craig Dollase claim.......she was only beaten by 3/4 of a length for the win despite a very wide trip......tough 10 post that day......1 post today......such a deal

6  Plastered

 

race 7    average clarity

2  Burnaroundtheedges   like the cut back in distance as this six year old doesn't want to run as far as 10 furlongs and yet he really didn't embarrass himself.....and like our top choice in race 6 it seems as is Mr Baze can save ground at least thru turn one and that my friends is more than 1/2 the battle in most grass races

5  Anatolian Heat   lone lifetime win came turf sprint to turf route in a race run last June.......turf sprint in last - turf route today one week later.........hottest rider/trainer combo around.....hard not to like

6  Alsatian   Drysdale is one tough cat to figure these days but one thing seems clear and that is when he convinces Prat and his agent to take one of his horses they are well meant.......needless to say Mr Prat is up here

7  Grecian Fire

Long-shot consideration:   3  Accountability   on the right end of the learning curve and his preparatory work since his last hints he will move forward again.......1st on the grass and at a route are the question marks.......new sire Acclamation has plenty of potential to end up being a good sire of grass runners

 

race 8    average clarity

5  Quiet No More   sat dead last in her debut at GG in a MSW race that had a ridiculously slow pace (not good).......blinkers on for his 2nd start and his works are markedly better.......that and the fact that she takes that magical drop from MSW to mdn20K makes her easy to make her top pick-a-rue

6  Joeffie   low percentage conditioner trains this filly who has been getting minor rewards in her last 3 races with two 3rd's and a 4th.......but it appears Dunham has tweaked something for the better as her a.m. work at Slr is vastly improved especially for this low-level of racing......definitely fits if she runs to her works

8  Agent Nine T Nine    like this filly did in her lone route race which was run 2 back she will go after the lead and try to hang on with her 7 lbs weight break (bug bot up) which should help her accomplish the task

7  Miss Jordana

4  Eskenforandreya

1  Silver Apples

 

Posted on March 31, 2017 at 6:45 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
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Santa Anita for Thursday 30 March 2017

Don't forget that we have a special publication for purchase next Saturday for Florida Derby Day. We cover the 9 Stakes races carded for the day 6 of which are Graded races. Click on the banner for Gulfstream Park to find out more details.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

6  Night's Watch   on the right end of the learning curve.......back to Mr. Prat........seems highly likely that he will be on or close to the front into turn one.......sure appears to be a major factor in the outcome of this race

5  General Mach Four   better than it appears 5 1/2 length win to break his maiden at 1st asking running wide and on a day the rail was slightly biased.......good route pedigree.....and ........he gets a rider upgrade

1  Magical More   nice forward move in his latest (and the improvement is somewhat disguised) enough for his connections to put this fellow in a Alw40000s when he is still a maiden.......OK route pedigree

 

race 2    below average clarity

10  Lady Espionage   took to the Santa Anita hill turf course quite well running 2nd despite sitting too far off of a slow pace and getting caught wide........and I sure like that Nakatani sticks around for a 3rd straight race

1  Rum Cake   works appear dangerous for this O'Neill 1ster as does his pedigree to handle the sod.......mom has tossed 6 winners from 6 starters and 3 of them were able to win on the grass

3  Rebarules Again   dangerous looking speed as this filly opened up a loose lead while setting a solid pace ........she tired very late to run 3rd.....nice works series since.....retains Prat........might not tire late today

AE   12  Starlite Style

6  Varsovienne

 

race 3    average clarity

4  Annie's Candy   might be a good claim by Eddie Truman of a gelding who has never been sharper.....won his latest in 108:1 despite running wide fairly close to a very hot set of fractions........gets enough time off to recover........seems like the one to beat if his new trainer has a handle on his new shooter

5  Seattle Serenade   first two lifetime races were eye-popping.......went bad in his 3rd lifetime start having to be vanned off the track 55 weeks ago........been away since but his work regiment screams ready off of the extended hiatus........if that is true.....lookout

6  Distinctiv Passion   seems to be speed of the speed here but at what cost........not impossible but I found it easy to make as our 3rd selection

 

race 4    average clarity

1  Scatching   very consistent in two turn races on main track surfaces (4 1 3 0).........filly already appears to have the best early speed and now adds blinkers......should be a factor from the opening bell

7  Latino Mo   very good when racing off of short rest......back in 7 days ran 2nd......back in 12 days and won.....back in 13 days today......like our top choice she should in the hunt from the get go

2  Icona   blood lines hint that she should handle a route of ground.......filly has started her four race career with:  a good race - a bad race - a good race - a bad race............what's in store for her 5th career endeavor?

5  Sassy Ashley   

 

race 5    average clarity

7  Freedies Dream   3 for 4 lifetime on firm rated turf at today's distance of 1 1/8th miles .....solid rider/trainer combo over the last 4 months or so.......strong race on the dirt two back which was run off of 22 days rest.......runs off of 19 days rest today

2  Image of Joplin   Spawr is having a very strong meeting at The Great Race Place and might keep the ball rolling here with this six-year-old who he just claimed.......the sharp conditioner is often at his best when he gives a recent claim plenty of time between starts and puts in some solid a.m. work........that is the case here

4  Abbey Vale   the D'A is ever so dangerous when he drops a given runner multiple levels and that is the case with this seven-year old..........with that in mind his layoff last appears to be a gimme to drop and go go go..........and go at a turf distance he appreciates ( 2 1 1 0)

8  Rprettyboyfloyd

 

race 6    average clarity

8  Starship Samurai   laid up since mid April of last year but training as if he is ready and drops a couple of MC levels......and the fact that he returns at the bottom level maiden claiming (risking being claim) level suggests this is not a tune-up......and this fellow owns better early speed than it appears in print

7  Champions Dinner   returned to the race wars for his 3rd lifetime start off of a 363 day layoff and showed that the long break did him a world of good......the effort fits well here and today he gets a rider upgrade......dangerous sort for sure

4  Zachian   nice maiden debut running 3rd behind our 2nd selection.......reassuring work since......2nd time starter is not out of win picture by any means

2  Wondering Ways

 

race 7    above average clarity

4  Sawyer's Hill   last race fits just fine and his effort 2 back is even better and disguised by a wide trip close to the pacesetters.......trainer Kristine Mulhall is quietly having a very good meeting at SA

2  Moonlight Drive    colt appreciates ample time between starts and gets it today.......he is also very consistent........combine that with the Baffert & Bejarano factor and you have a grass horse who is highly likely to be a major factor in the outcome of this race

3  Ohio   2 for 2 in the States when racing in allowance races like today......and both of those races were run at Santa Anita at today's one mile distance on the turf.......such a deal

7  Lieutenant Colonel

 

race 8    average clarity

3  No Spin Zone   looking for her effort run two back where she ran wide and still ran par for today's slightly lower maiden claiming level......her running lines suggest that 6 1/2 furlongs is more distance then she wants to cover........so........back to 5 1/2F which was the distance of her race 2 back might be the catalyst to reproduce that solid race two back

4  Passion for Papa   wide trip on a slightly rail biased day on 21 Oct. 2017 somewhat hides an effort that is better than it appears in print........that effort was his maiden debut and she has been laid up since........returns with a work tab that hints she is ready fresh once again

10  Run Scott Run   5 1/2 furlongs appears to be a plus.......switch in riders is a plus........blinkers off appears to be a plus......a trifecta of reasons to consider using this filly at the windows

11  American Rhiannon

1  Fellina

6  Magical Lucy

 

Posted on March 29, 2017 at 3:32 pm by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections