Los Alamitos for Thursday 6 September 2018

Nice card for opening day at Los Alamitos with only one half the card claiming races and not one race rated "below average clarity".

Please check our website calendar to see the dates that will not be covered in September and October. There also will be 3 or 4 that will not be covered in November and December which will be decided later.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

2  Exes N Ohs   Baffert three-year old filly wasn't much in her MC62.5K debut bur her a.m. work since couldn't be much more impressive for her 1st at a route and at the lowly MC20K level

3  Take Charge Gal   sprint-sprint-route scenario for this Sadler filly and drops 2nd out after the layoff from MC40K to MC20K.......trainer is 5 for his last 19 with multi level drops and with 9 others hitting the board........not out of the win picture by any means

1  Copper Cowgirl   seems like the best of the rest

 

race 2    average clarity

3  Dre Dan   expensive near 7 digit purchase caught slop in his debut way back on New Years Eve 2016 and has not been seen since.........works for his return (now as a four-year old) to the race wars "scream ready" and the drills are at LA

4  Aced   Eurton 1st time starter appears ready at 1st asking hitting the track every 6 or 7 days going back to 11 July......and the fact he trained out of the gate for his last two preparatory works hints he is "well-meant"

2  Justin's Quest   MSW debut run 5 weeks ago at Del Mar is better than appears in print as he had a short lead on a dull rail and predictably tired in a one mile affair.......and.......the cut back in distance should be a plus as I believe his pedigree is better suited to a sprint

 

race 3    average clarity

5  Hailey Rachele   trainer does well with limited starters and he is decent turf to dirt and that is the case today for this six-year old mare making only her 7th start today.......that and her only race at Lrc was a 6L win and that effort fits well here

2  Sunrise Royale   running lines hint she will appreciate a cut back in distance to the shortest race of her career at 5 1/2F.......that effort fits fairly well so if she can duplicate the it in her 1st on the Lrc surface she should be a major factor in the outcome of this race

1  Alpenhorn   needs to leave the metal monster a whole lot better (refused to break 2 back and then broke 8 slow in his last and lost by 7 3/4) .......1st time blinkers to help make that happen......seems to like the Lrc dirt

 

race 4    average clarity

5  Conqueror   very consistent in dirt sprints and Valdimir Cerin is often at his most dangerous with the sprint - route - sprint maneuver which happens to be the case here......and the race should set up well for him with the 2, 3 & 5 front running types and the one horse being no factor whatsoever

4  Aristocratic   as tough as they come in Peter Miller 1st following a claim and this gelding sure seems sharp right now.......trainer/rider are 34% win with their last 35 over the past two months

2  Lombo   colt has back numbers that are solid and he is training up to snuff but Pender is poor with layoffs of 3 months or more (1 for his last 35).......thus.......3rd selection

 

race 5    average clarity

7  Forestation   believe this colt will benefit greatly from his MSW route turf debut which was at one mile on the turf......and his effort really wasn't that bad as he was bumped and steady at the start and then rank giving away about 7L .......two reassuring dirt works since......and maybe more importantly Kruljac is quite dangerous MSW to MC

3  Kid Koil   exits the same turf route race as out top choice and Kitchingman is even more dangerous stat wise with the MSW to MC move with 3 for his last 9 with 3 others hitting the board......and his dirt race two back is better than it appears

8  Just Hit Play   gelding showed competitiveness in both lifetime races but they are quite a bit short of par.......maybe the blinkers off for this 1st time can help him take back some and improve his stretch run and number

5  Lifesbeengoodsofar

 

race 6    average clarity

6  Magnificent McCool   nice turf route race in his 2nd lifetime start should have him very fit for today's dirt route.....and I like his pedigree to handle a dirt route more than a turf route......hard not seeing this O'Neill colt being a big factor

7  Seven Scents   low percentage trainer in Craig Lewis but he isn't too bad 1st time he sends a given horse "long"......last race wasn't much but his debut was......and his recent near bullet 5F drill is solid and hints of a rebound

1  Dinesen   decent sprint debut at Del Mar in a 5 1/F MSW affair......blinkers on and 1st at a route for start number two........likely will sit closer with the equipment change.......good breeding to handle the two turns

4  Earnest

 

race 7    average clarity

5  Kristie's Heart   mare seems set up for today's race as she raced over her head in her latest off of a long layoff on a racing surface at Dmr she doesn't care for much.......low % trainer in Saavedra but he is decent dropping multiple racing levels like he is here

7  Alpha Pegasus   predictably tired dueling in a solid early quarter at Dmr in her latest.......not that much speed in this affair and she might be able to grab the lead....and when she gets it she gets very brave and thus dangerous

8  Rockantharos   nice rebound in form in her latest and in the past when her trainer drops her she runs decent races........multi-level drop today

3  Nazareth

9  Princess Areni

 

race 8    average clarity

9  Jeweled   Sadler for quite a few years gave little away but these days he has joined the ranks of trainers like Peter Miller who are not afraid to lose a horse.......part of that might be because he has some really good stock right now.........big drop for this filly today

6  Dashin Ashen   away from the game since the 1st of December but training like she is fit and ready fresh off of the bench and she logically drops to a level where she fits........and I like that Roman is up as he has a win and a 3rd in his last two mounts riding for Carlos Lopez

5  Ciao Luna   claimed by Knapp in her last and Knapp is about 20% win 1st out after a claim with his last 50......weak number in this gals last but she doesn't want to run as far as 6 1/2F......so...... the full furlong cut back (3 1 2 0 at today's 5 1/2F distance) should be a plus

8  Lady's War Dress

3  Majestic Authority

7  Sharona Sunset

 

 

Posted on September 6, 2018 at 5:32 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Del Mar for Monday 3 September 2018

OK card to close out the summer Del Mar meeting. Mandatory payoffs today and even without any carryovers it is always interesting proposition. Los Alamitos starts up Thursday. Please check our website tomorrow afternoon as the dates that will not cover for the rest of 2018 will be posted.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    below average clarity

1  I Belong to Becky   dangerous trainer in Hector Palma when he shows numerous works with a 1st time starter and because the drills are not fast and often with only one or like today no gate works there is not much support at the windows

3  Its Five Somewhere   good forward move in his 2nd lifetime start and the effort is hidden some by a wide trip.......two reassuring 5F works since.......decent shot for another (likely necessary) move forward once again

2  Peedie   trainer has done well with limited starters and he appears to have this colt well prepared to handle today's 2 month layoff........when last seen on the 4th of July he ran a decent 3rd in a fairly fast heat of Cal-bred MSW two-year old runners

 

race 2    average clarity

8  Tiger Mom   drops a little and races with 6 lbs less today.......seems to appreciate ample time between starts and gets it today as she last competed 50 days ago......1 for 2 at Dmr on the dirt.......1 for 11 elsewhere

1  Christy Jackson   bad trip in last veering out at the start from his outermost 11 post and then ran wide........earned an adjusted for trouble Santucci fig that is 4L better than par for today's level

2  Chocolate Goddess   takes a multi level drop in class and with plenty of early speed.......question seems to be how healthy this filly is.......tough call for yours truly......the flip a coin type that I dislike so much

7  Ballerina Headline

6  Resky Business

 

race 3    below average clarity

13  Jump the Tracks   trainer and rider both have had one of their better race meets in quite some time.......last two route races for this gelding fit and the cut back to an extended sprint of 7F might be a good thing as when push comes to shove in the late stages his route endurance might be an advantage

11  Powerful Thirst   like his sprint races at Del Mar and the way in which he finished up his latest at 6 1/2F suggests another 1/2 furlong to cover will not be a problem and maybe a plus

12  Ironic Ron   96 to 1 in his MSW debut which was a turf route hints that the 17 August race was a muscle him up endurance building tune-up to be ready for today's MC20K

7  Sterling Temple

4  Bank Walker 

 

race 4    above average clarity

6  Summering  what an impressive turf debut with a solid final time and with some sizzling route turf speed displayed....if she runs as well as I think she will today her next stop might be in the Breeders Cup and as one of the favorites

3  Kathryn's Sky   filly was beaten by our top selection by 6L but she did have some trouble in the race......still she will need quite the move forward in her 2nd lifetime or for our top pick to have a bad day to take down this Stakes race

4  Lady Prancealot   dangerous looking GB invader has been fairly consistent and winds up in the Baltas barn........and Baltas is quite dangerous 1st out after he inherits a given runner

5  Hyde Park Corner

2  Posh Holly

 

race 5    average clarity

4  Miss Sunset   best credentials in the race and very much the controlling speed in the race......and the last 4 times that Smith has been abroad this filly he won all four and by an average of more than four lengths.......that'll do

6  Lake Time   lifetime best was the last time that this mare raced in a dirt sprint......that December race would give her some chance of winning this race....she ran that race off of 40 days rest.........46 days since her last

8  Classy Tune   best on the Del Mar dirt and also seems best at today's 6 panels.....still........ she likely will need her lifetime best this afternoon to take down this affair

1  Phantom Proton

5  Show It N Moe It

 

race 6    average clarity

4  The Big Train   SCRATCHED OUT OF RACE    Miller is deadly the 1st time he races a given horse in a claiming race......that is the case here for this gelding who is fairly consistent but seemingly needs to face softer to win like he is today

8  Mongol G   solid history racing on the grass at 7 1/2F to 1 1/16F as in (4 2 1 1)........owns plenty of early speed and this race lacks the commodity.....and the connections have plenty of incentive to have him ready as he is going after the ship and win additional purse money

2  Trifecta  SCRATCHED OUT OF RACE   last was an improvement and he might be up for more today as a recent 4F drill is the best drill he has put in in some time......dangerous sort

7  Comes the Dream

1  Secreto Primero

 

race 7    average clarity

7  Flagstaff   very powerful sprint races in her last two sprint races and the trainer and rider have been "unconscious" as a combo......1st at a route today but his a.m. prowess hints the two turns will not be a problem

8  Show Me Da Lute   last is a solid fit and it is awfully impressive that he has been able to put in three strong drills since the 8 August version of this alw route race........and then of course you also have the Bob Baffert factor

1  Major Cabbie   when last seen nearly one year ago he won his 2nd lifetime start and 1st at a route by 6+ lengths to graduate.........trainer has had a tough year but he is usually at his best off of long layoffs and his a.m. work hints he is more than ready with this colt today.....and entices Mike Smith to ride

4  Conquest Superstar

9  Cause King

 

race 8    average clarity

5  Colonial Creed   very powerful MSW route turf debut running somewhat wide and doing so up near a strong set of fractions........she was only beaten by our top choice (see his comment) in the 4th race

10 Rayana   nice turf breeding for this Baffert 1st time starter and plenty of furlongs but into his two-year old filly to be ready at 1st asking........tough post but the right guy for the job to deal with it in Van Dyke

6  Miss Bigley   whereas Keith Desormeaux is not very dangerous with dirt debut runners he is with turf debut runners.......and his two-year old filly is working as if she is meant and ready

1  Fairy Tale Bliss

4  Unbridled Huntress

 

race 9    average clarity

3  Roadster   nice smooth running debut to win quite easily..........but more importantly his a.m. work since is extremely impressive even for the lofty standards of Bob Baffert.....and he had Smith have won 4 of their last 6 as a team over the last two months

7  Game Winner   another Baffert 2nd time starter who won his debut in style and is working like a necessary forward move is in the cards

2  Rowayton   solid effort/fig to win his MSW debut back on 21 July at Dmr......away since but he has trained well in preparation for today's Grade 1 race......third choice mainly because whereas Baffert's two horses graduated in 6F races he graduated in a 5F affair and might find lasting 7F a little more challenging

5  Spin Lightning

 

race 10    average clarity

6  Push Through   toss out fig earned in his latest as the race had a ridiculously slow pace making for a "false" final time fig......race 2 back was very strong........much better than par and run with the blinkers off for the 1st time.....believe we will see that effort today

3  Cool Your Jets   lifetime best was run 3 back and it was his only turf race run off of short rest.......17 days since his latest.......trainer has had a decent Del Mar meeting with 4 wins in15 starts

2  Nevermissesabeat   his last won't do but he is likely up for more today 2nd out after a long layoff.......and the fact that Van Dyke takes the mount for the 1st time supports the notion

10  Sir Eddie

8  According to Buddy

5  Highland Show

 

 

 

Posted on September 3, 2018 at 8:34 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Del Mar for Sunday 2 September 2018

Prat and Van Dyke are battling it out for the riders title and I find in pretty cool that they both have five mounts and that they are all in the same races 1, 3, 4, 5, 7. Today's card seems OK. Closing day tomorrow. Los Alamitos starts Thursday.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

5  Edina   crushed her foes in her two-year old MC40K debut by a dozen lengths in a very solid time .......5 works since the 6 July race at Lrc........definitely the one to beat if she handles the Del Mar dirt surface as well as she did Lrc's

4  Palladium   good move forward in her 2nd lifetime start to graduate..........claimed by O'Neill ..........and as good as Doug O. is 1st following a claim she might be up for another move forward and handle today's higher level

7  Lakerball   double barrel action for O'Neill as he also trains our 2nd selection..........and somewhat ironically I assigned him the same number as his other runner........two year old filly might also be up for a forward move as she likely feels good coming off such an easy seemingly stress free 8 1/2 length win

6  Baby Frankie

 

race 2    average clarity

8  No Wine Untasted   two for two lifetime winning her last two races when she has been able to get loose on the lead.......and good speed rider Pedroza who was aboard for those efforts stays up today

9  Girl Drama   Miller has had an unbelievable 32% win meeting at Del Mar and that is close to his win percentage 1st following a claim.........three-year old filly was claimed on 1 August and Miller has been able to get 3 works into her since.....hard not to like/use

2  We Will Re Joyce   three-year old filly has had a consistent spring and summer and her latest effort fits fine at today's level and it is somewhat hidden by a bad trip .........she was just claimed by O'Neill and as mentioned in the 1st race Doug is awfully dangerous 1st out after he picks up a new runner

6  Sea Glass

7  Empress of Lov

 

race 3    average clarity

1  Hey Negrita   tough trips in last two racing endeavors hides a filly who has run two straight races better than par for today's level........rider upgrade especially for a grass race.......and whereas this filly had the outer most post in her last two races she draws the one post today........would love to get the ML.....doubt we get it

2  Mongolian Window   last two races are disguised some......too hot of a turf route pace in last which she was part of........prior to that race she sat dead last in a race with a ridiculously slow pace up front.......that and Miller scratched out of an easier spot a couple of days ago for today's alw race......blinkers on hint they want the lead.......very dangerous

4  A Walk in the Park   nice stalking style and she seems likely to get a nice stalk position likely behind our 2nd selection.......not out of the win picture by any means as our "most likely to get a good trip" pick

7  Pursuing The Dream

5  Miraculously

 

race 4    average clarity

3  Ayacara   believe this Cerin three-year old is ready for a necessary forward move......recent 4F work is improved (and that is somewhat subtle) - 20% win bug boy Figueroa likely choose this youngster over our 3rd pick - Cerin is dynamite 2nd out following a claim.........should be dangerous and at a price

8  Klyemore   claimed by Baltas back on 18 July and the trainer has put a nice series of 5 tightly spaced drills in preparing for his 1st ever on conventional dirt......his pedigree for it is fine......very interesting plenty of potential 2nd selection

7  Desolation Sound   trainer is 4 for 9 at the meeting and his three-year old ran a strong somewhat hidden in its strength one mile race in his last.......with Figueroa jumping ship for our top pick the trainer gets another bug boy to ride to keep the weight off

5  Rinse and Repeat

6  Earnednevergiven

 

race 5    below average clarity

9  Lady Dude   nice drills for this GP invader who winds up in the very capable M. McCarthy barn and they are able to get Prat to ride........filly has plenty of early gas and unless a 1st timer in here has some she appears to be the controlling speed in the race

2  Claudelle   good MSW debut only 3 weeks ago and it is a good sign that she has been able to work well twice since.........that says she came out of her debut in good shape and that she has a big chance at moving forward today

10  Shes All Woman   O'Neill 1st starter went off at odds of 31 to 1 hinting she wasn't all that cranked up for her debut yet she was beaten only 2L for the win and with a wide trip to boot.......dangerous and dangerous at a price

8  Kim K

6  Over Emphasize

 

race 6    average clarity

5  Forloveofcountry    impressive win 1st run at Del Mar and on the turf for this DiVito colt who was very game in the stretch despite some trouble......and his a.m. work since is improved.......very dangerous if he moves forward like I believe he will

1  Hartel   nice sprint turf win to graduate in last......good post and rider in for his 1st attempt at a route.........owns an adequate pedigree for one and would have been top pick if wasn't for a possible Achilles heel for Miller......he is only 12% 1st at route with his last 100......but then again Prat/Miller have won 7 of their last 10 as a team

4  Rijeka   nice win in first endeavor in the good old U S of A since arriving from Ireland........needs to build on the effort and if he does he should be closing late with a pedigree that screams "turf route"

2  Takeo Squared

7  Owning

 

race 7    average clarity

1  Sneaking Out   exits a fast heat for the given level and was only beaten by 1 1/2L for the win.......and today she gets a significant ride upgrade......should be rock solid if this filly is able to hold form

9  Gotta Be Lucky   nice move forward in last for this filly.......and Carla Gaines appears to be snapping out of a slump......that and this filly just worked an improved 4F drill just 6 days ago........all systems go

4  Faithful One   dangerous looking work regiment for this William Morey 1st time starter.......and her last work hints she will fly early as 34:1 Hg is awfully fast on this slow Del Mar dirt surface

7  Summer rose

6  Mz Brown

 

race 8    average clarity

3  River Boyne   very nice three-year old grass runner is at his best at today's 9 furlong turf distance and that might not be the case for many in the race.....good post - hot trainer - hot rider......colt seemingly has an excellent shot of winning his 3rd straight grass race

8  Ride a Comet   nice invader from out east draws the sought after services of Van Dyke.......colt has a good history of shipping and running well.......look for him to be closing fast in the late stages

6  Pubilius Syrus   it has been a long time since Cerin won a Graded race but he might have a shot here with this laid up colt who looks ready to roll off of the 6 1/2 month layoff......the race we want is his effort at Del Mar 3 back on the 26th of Nov.........checked early and ran way too wide and yet still snatched 2nd in a Grade 3.....earned a number that fit's well here

11  Majestic Eagle

7  Andesh

 

race 9    average clarity

2  Gonna Fly Now   last is poor but his race two back is not and it is about 9 lengths better than appears in print........wide on a rail bias......and today we get a monumental rider upgrade compared to who was up on that 14 June race......recent preparatory work regiment is vastly improved........need that effort two back......and we might get it

5  Ninety Nine Proof   22 of 24 on the board lifetime for this seven-year old.......5 for 10 win 2nd out after a claim for Saldana which is the case today........whereas our top choice is mostly a "trip" play this gelding is mostly a "stats" play

7  Bow and Arrow   solid 1st out following the DeLeon claim and the strength of the effort is hidden some by a wide trip......that and in general this gelding is quite consistent on the dirt......as in (10 4 3 0)

3  Tough But Nice

4  Eighty Three

 

race 10    average clarity

8  Omaha Beach   talk about an aggressive tightly spaced work regiment for this Mandella 1st time starter.......the most telltale (as in ready at 1st asking) for a Mandella 1ster in many a moon........and mom has tossed 3 winners from 3 starers and two of them won on the turf

5  Alleva   solid 1st ever on the grass and a route run in her 2nd lifetime start.......3 reassuring drills since the effort......look for him to go after the lead just as he did in his last......if he manages a forward move he will be one tough nut to crack

4  Tanker   stepped up in last and ran decently in a 5F dirt race.....steps up again and out of claiming for the 1st time ever for his 1st on the sod and also his 1st around two turns.......he owns a good pedigree for both......dangerous

2  Lead Star

1  Toshio

AE 12  Absolute Control

6  More Ice

 

 

Posted on September 2, 2018 at 9:17 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Del Mar for Saturday 1 September 2018

Sure like the Saturday race card offered this afternoon. Two more days of racing to go at the Del Mar meeting after today.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

7  Beau Square  gave this Carava filly the "best horse mark" in the 15 August version of the 5F alw race......she broke slowly and ran wide on the turn.....added up to 5 1/2 lengths of trip trouble.....only lost by 1 1/2L for the win.....trainer has been reliable of late.......T C Baze will be out to make amends

10  Great Return   bet hard in her MSW debut and did not disappoint breaking her MSW in an effort that fits just fine at today's higher level........Prat stays put.......hard not to like

4  Navajo Dreamer   better than it appears effort in the 15 August version of this race.......blocked a couple of lengths in the stretch and when she got free she still had some run in her......new jock for today and that jock Stewart Elliot got the best out of this filly in his lone mount on her 3 races back

8  Red Shelby

1  Ladybug

 

race 2    average clarity

7  Lady Ninja   plenty to like here....trainer has been on a roll of late........filly is a perfect 3 for 3 at the distance......and when the connections have put her up for sale on the dirt she is a perfect 2 for 2.......up for a tag today

3  Duranga   Kristin Mulhall just claimed and she is by far at her most dangerous 1st out following claim.......that and Pratt rides thru the change in trainers and that is more significant than it usually is as he is (4 3 0 1) on this filly in dirt sprints

8  Time and Chance   good effort 1st out after the Glatt claim and impressive speed works since.......that and the step up in claiming hint this gal is ready for better......and if she is she fits awfully well in this spot

1  Royal Asscher

4  Moon Kitty

 

race 3    average clarity

8  Causeway Carolyn   last is much stronger than appears in print as the bug boy gave her a bad ride.......see yah apprentice......hello Flavien Prat.........who just happens to be 7 for his last 10 riding for D'Amato......yikes-o-rama

12  Miss Boom Boom   nasty post but Gutierrez has given this mare some nice rides in many of his mounts on her.........1st after the Cerin claim and that is usually a very dangerous proposition for the opposition as in 35% win  with his last 50.........mare is (10 3 4 0) at the distance on the turf to boot

3  War Moccasin   consistent four-year old filly fits fine here and has a good post for Elliot to work with.......the question seems to be if is can she handle the rigors of racing off of only 12 days rest......we shall likely get the answer about 3 pm pacific

4  Ransomed

9  The Spiral Jetter

 

race 4    above average clarity

5  Bellafina   best pace figs......best final time fig......recent best of 62 bullet five furlong work just put in a week ago.......Callaghan does well in these early Graded races for two-year old runners.......Prat stays put......hard not to like

2  Brill    very strong MSW debut and her work tab since reinforces the idea that she is a potential superstar......and Jerry Hollendorfer sure knows how to handle a young filly

4  Mother Mother   another with a winning eye-popping MSW debut......definitely not out of the win picture but Van Dyke took our 2nd choice and it is not easy to say "no" to a Baffert horse that you just won by 6 1/2 lengths on

 

race 5    above average clarity

8  Much Better   tightly spaced works.......3 straight progressively better 5F gate works and then an endurance building 6F drill......once again Mr Baffert has a 1st timer ready to roll at 1st asking......one amazing trainer with young dirt horses.......and with his success the "stock" he gets $$$$$$ only gets better

4  Gum Tree Lane   copious drills put into the D'Amato 1st time starter and his works for the most part got progressively better........rather sure this colt is ready to rock n roll

2  Union Station   useful debut was likely a tune-up because Eoin Harty isn't much with 1st time starters but he is dynamite with 2nd timers to the tune of 24 wins with his last 75

3  Surprise Fashion

6  Lacazette

 

race 6    average clarity

9  Tonahutu   two 2nd's in two U S of A endeavors for this Dan Blacker filly......one at 5F on the turf and one at 1 1/16th on the grass........continues to work like a happy healthy individual and Prat stays put.......hard not to like

7  Wind Tartare   consistent grass filly was just snatched up at the claiming box by Peter Miller and he puts up Van Dyke.....and that folks makes for one very dangerous proposition for the opposition........as in 5 wins with their last 12 as a team

6  Jazaalah   very consistent when competing at today's one mile distance on firm turf.......that and she just put in an improved 5 furlong drill hinting she is ready for a top effort today for a trainer (and rider for that matter) who could use a win

2  Travieza

8  Queen Bee to You

 

race 7    average clarity

4  Curly's Waterfront   solid improvement off of the 4 month layoff and seems likely to move forward as the trainer shows confidence in him as he steps him up a little.......and.......the gelding has a good history of producing better 2nd out after a layoff

8  Johnny Strong   might be a good claim by Belvoir as this colt could have easily made it back to back wins but was compromised in his latest by a brutal trip........broke 4L slow and then ran 4 wide........that and it seems significant that Prat with the meets riding title in his sights elects to ride for a small low % barn

9  Candyman Garret   turf to dirt angle........drops significantly and at a track that he has one win and a 2nd in two lifetime starts........should be in the hunt from the get go

6  Raindance Rules

1  Laditude

 

race 8    average clarity

1  Shadow Sphinx   nicely improved off of the 3+ month break for Baltas........sizzling 4F work since........likely feeling really good.........and ready to move forward for the trainer to move him up so much

10  Raven Creek   three-year old colt does well dealing with solid fractions and holding together........trainer is having one of his best race meetings in a very long time......T C Baze knows this fellow inside and out as he has been up for all of his races

8  Extrordinary Jerry   three-year old when last seen back on the 26th of November made quite the break thru with the best effort of his 4 race career and the strength of the effort is disguised........work tab sure hints O'Neill has him ready fresh off of the bench......maybe because the big Nov effort was the only time he ran on the Dmr turf

12  Secular Nation

4  Prince Earl

 

race 9    above average clarity

8  Magic On Tap   powerful work tab for this Baffert two-year old colt 1st timer.........plenty of endurance put in likely to handle the 6 1/2 furlong sprint distance......should be tough as nails

3  Gray Magician   impressive MSW debut and the strength of the effort is somewhat hidden by a bad trip........ran wide and was checked 2 or 3 lengths in the stretch.........yet.......he still was able to close fast for 3rd

7  Extra Hope   might not have been all that cranked up for his decent MSW debut as he went off at 19 to 1.....if that is the case he might be much more fit this afternoon and make for a dangerous 2nd time starter

4  Truck Salesman

2  Admiral Brown

 

race 10    average clarity

7  Cambodia   back to back G2 wins at Del Mar in 2017 and she has a very good chance at doing it once again in the same Grade 2 races in 2018........seems best at 9F as she is (2 1 0 1) at the distance with a G2 win last year in the 2017 version of this race and in her only other 9F turf race she ran a 1 3/4 beaten lengths 3rd in the Grade 1 BCFMTrf  

9  Valilika   a perfect 5 for 5 with Prat aboard and her figs earned in her last two races with wide trips sure support the idea that she fits in this Grade 2 affair.......and after carry 129 lbs and 124 lbs she will appreciate only 119 lbs on he back today

1  Meal Ticket   another who deserves a shot at "the big time" as she has had quite a spring & summer in 2018......one concern though is that Baze elects to ride our 5th choice instead of her

2  Shopie

6  Cordiality

 

race 11    average clarity (SHF carryover of $61,379.09)

10  Magical Gray   solid 5F turf MSW debut both in pace and final time for this Victor Garcia three-year old filly.......that and the race sure appeared to be a tune-up for her 2nd start on the dirt back in 13 days

4  Giveherdalute   Baffert 1st time starter with 3 gate works to finish up his work regiment........that signals he is likely meant and ready for his MSW debut.......what's new?

2  See That Kat   can't recall a Baltas 1st time starter wound up like this filly who has worked at 5 or 6 day intervals dating back to 18 July.......rather sure Richard has this one very fit and ready

9  Kindred

3  Creative Cause

8  Tivat

 

 

Posted on September 1, 2018 at 7:21 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Del Mar for Friday 31 August 2018

Average to slightly below average race card for today handicapping wise and in quality. Saturday and Sunday on the other hand look very good in both categories.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

2  Buckstopper Kit   just claimed by Callaghan and he sure gets an excellent spot to run his new three-year old gelding.......$40K today and he ran in a $32K (and won running an OK fig/effort) in his latest which was at today's distance...... but what we really want is his strong one mile grass race 4 back

1  Point Guard   improved since the blinkers were put back on two races back........believe Baltas and company are willing to run (and possibly lose) in this 40K affair after graduating in a MC70K because he can get this fellow eligible for a SA50K nw2.......low percentage turf rider in Conner but he gave this gelding a great ride from the 11 post in his last

6  Samdar   back way too quick in his last.......gets ample time between starts today.......race 2 back fits and the effort is disguised in its strength by way too wide of a trip

4  Honeymoonz Over

5  Flip the Coin Jan

 

race 2    average clarity

6  Silken Prince   overcame a very bad start to win his MSW debut at 1st asking.......good move to work him out of the gate twice since and one of those gate works is an eye-popping as in 46:3Hg......and we get quite the rider upgrade.....trainer has had a good year

5  Irish Heatwave   good trip but a poor final time in his debut where he ran 2nd......but the trainer takes his time with his maidens and there was zero support at the windows for this Desormeaux two-year old (22 to 1)........that says this colt should greatly benefit from his debut and make a solid move forward today

1  Listing   no gate drills showing for this 1st timer is a concern but his last two works sure are solid hinting he might fit in this 100K stakes race despite being a debut maiden

8  Policy

3  Oliver

 

race 3    average clarity

4  No Treble   best by far for this 4th time starter was the only time in 3 starts that he got to run off of short rest (22 days)......13 days since his last and he is in for the lowest level so far..........trainer his done very well with his two-year old runners

5  Myhotrodlincoln   both lifetime races look very strong here........work tab since his latest which was run at CD is rather good........new to the scene outfit has done little so far......so are they sick of losing.......or.......hoping to lose this colt who has shown he can run.......we shall find out about 4:30 pacific time

1  Harlequin   Hess is better than average getting MC 1sters ready to run at a high level at 1st asking..........works sure hint this colt is ready especially his last preparatory drill on 47:2H (2nd best of 82)

6  Perfect Dude

7  Mind Trick

 

race 4    average clarity

4  Sense of Glory   gelding has been getting checks regularly but has not won in some time......but.......seemingly out of nowhere he is working vastly better hinting Becerra has tweaked something that has improved him quite a bit

2  On the Key   Wong ships on down and drops his eight year a level and with a solid work regiment showing at GG preparing for this race.......trainer is 31% win & 67% in the money with his last 585.......not too shabby

3  Trapalanda   difficult call here to judge how well this gelding is doing as he drops precipitously in claiming.......on the positive side when Saldana has legged up Quinonez over the last 2 months his runners have been live

11  Baroque

10  Bronzino

 

race 5    average clarity

4  Thalia   sprint - sprint - route maneuver for this D'Amato filly for her 3rd career start.......away since 24 June but she is very well prepared in the a.m. to handle the challenge of her 1st around two turns

8  Into Rissa   just fired her lifetime best and it is noteworthy as it was her 1st on the sod and also her 1st at a route........11th career start today but the outlook looks brighter for her graduation as she might have found what she needs.........as in grass

11  Midnight Crossing   handled the sod in her latest her 2nd lifetime start.....but she likely will still need better this afternoon.........one major league rider upgrade especially for a turf race might provide the "better"

7  Oh Pretty Woman

12  Dashing Debut

 

race 6    average clarity

10  She's a Spy   plenty of furlongs put into this Peter Miller two-year old filly 1st time starter hints she will put in a strong stretch run likely from off of the pace.......red hot rider & trainer combo in Figueroa/Miller

AE 11  Missmachupicchou    had not seeing this O'Neill 1st time starter running a good debut as strong as her work tab is......Bejarano has been struggling some but not when riding for Doug and the boys

7  Tiny Tap   another Peter Miller filly 1st timer who worked many times with our top choice so the same comment applies to her as the 10 horse except for the rider........Asa Espinoza has yet to win with 3 Miller mounts over the last 2 months whereas Figueroa is 37% win over that time with 35 mounts

AE 13  Cat Holic

3  Jellybeankristine

5  Cassie

 

 

race 7    below average clarity

11  Operandi   last might have been nothing more than a spin around the track likely to dirty up this filly to keep the claiming vultures at bay to get away with running at 20K in this Cal-bred 5F turf alw race that she won impressively two races back.......and my assessment is correct she should be tough

4  Judicial   trainer is very strong getting laid up sprinters ready to run......and the works support the notion that this filly is ready fresh off of the bench.........so........ if she can handle her 1st on the grass she will be tough......pedigree for it is decent

1  Batiquitos   lifetime best was the only time this four-year old filly got to race at 5F on the turf and the race was at Del Mar.....so you would think that Bill Spawr (not having so hot of a meeting) would have this youngster ready....sure fits if he does

5  Unusually Stylish

10  Maycee Jo

 

race 8    average clarity

2  Hachiman   D'Amato is getting rather hot and he has a good shot at keeping the ball rolling here if this cot handles his 1st ever on the dirt.......his works on it albeit at Slr suggest ha t he will

3  Aussie Fox   Carla Gaines finally got her 1st win of the meeting and it was with a significant drop down which this gelding is surely taking.......as in M62.5K to MC20K.......1st on the dirt but the works at Del Mar hint the switch in surfaces will not be a problem

8  Alfareed   might be a good claim by Bonde and friends as both lifetime one mile dirt races fit solidly here.....and he has some potential for more as he races as a 1st time gelding today

6  When Jesus Walked

9  Celturian

5  Boogie

 

 

 

 

Posted on August 31, 2018 at 9:48 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections