Santa Anita for Friday 15 February 2019

Super High Five carryover of $8,849 for race three.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

4  Gold Arrow   this Hollendorfer filly was our top choice in her MSW debut and she ran too well to lose.......broke poorly and ran too wide.......she did well to grab a 1 1/2 length 2nd.......bred to love a route.........Rosario will be out to make amends

5  Scattering Mink   ran 1/2 length behind our top selection showing plenty of life following a slightly tardy start........very impressive 59:1 H work since........solid route pedigree........trainer is having a strong SA meeting to date and R Mandella has a shot to add to his 24% win total here

2  Waze Ready  Leonard Powell four-year old is proven on a sloppy track where the top two are not........but I am a bit leery that her two solid main track races were run turf to dirt and that is not the case today.......so......placed as our 3rd pick

 

race 2    average clarity

2  Friday's At Shady   colt lost about 10 lengths in his MC20K debut and still nearly won (broke 4 slow and ran wide on a slight rail bias)........same horse with a better trip should make this colt tough to overcome if he handles a track with some moisture in it (most likely)

1  Contagion   total lack of speed in the race and this colt might have as much as anyone if he can break well from a difficult post......like our top choice he also had a tough trip in his debut (ran 3 1/4 behind our top choice)........he earned 7 1/2 lengths of trip trouble but at least he broke well

4  Hard to Come Home   new apprentice rider looks good so far and might have enough gas to grab the lead.......and with the 7 lbs weight break he might be tough to wheel in

 

race 3    average clarity

(selections are for off the turf)

5  Princess Lea   2 for 2 on an off track and likely entered with today's forecast in mind hoping the race would be yanked off the grass.........big fig in last

1  Atina   strong race on an off track in Argentina winning easy at 6 to 1..........nice turf race at SA 19 days ago.......Drysdale likes what he sees so he gets his mare out of the claiming ranks........upside potential

2  Madaket   would have been top pick if this race stayed on the grass.......only lifetime dirt race which was run in her debut isn't as bad as it appears in print........pedigree for an off track is average at best

3  Foxtail

 

race 4    average clarity

3  Purdue   lifetime best and a solid fit here was run in her 2nd lifetime start........so........2nd out after a long layoff likely will lead to another strong race.......jock upgrade and with a weight break.......hard not to like

1  Sweetener   nice wake-up in her latest off of a 3 month break.......the catalyst for it appears to be "1st time blinkers"..........last can do the trick and if she moves forward maybe she should have been made top pick-a-rue

4  Crackling Bread   very consistent sort and she just put in a solid 4F drill since her 25 Jan race........but........she sure appears to be a hanger........on the other hand with the blinkers go on today she might have enough speed to grab the lead and not have anyone to hang on

5  Factorize

 

race 5    average clarity

(selections are for off the turf)

4  Enlisting   101 to 1 and then 64 to 1 to start her career in two lifetime MSW grass races suggests that was to muscle her up and be fully ready for her 1st in a MC......and the rider change from a jock who has struggled in S Cal to Mr Prat supports the notion that today is a full-blown "go go go"........OK dirt pedigree

3  Lil Respect   another totally dead on the board in her turf MSW debut where visually it also appears to be nothing more that a tune-up......she might be muscled up and ready for today's route........another with an OK dirt pedigree

7  American Falls   just fired lifetime best in her latest which was her 1st to date on an off track (rated good).......still she likely needs more today and might provide it as the only time she raced off of short rest like today she moved forward

1  Lily Con

9  Sapori Girl

 

race 6    average clarity

3  R Cha Cha   connections might not be doing the Cha Cha but they likely will be doing a rain dance as this gelding moves up on an off track......not only shows better final time figs but also shows better early speed........(5 2 2 1) since blinkers went on........such a deal

6  Beantown Boys   moves up on off tracks (and decent on fast tracks) and he just won the route version of this 25K claiming race only 12 days ago.......mostly a route horse but he showed he can handle a one turn sprint with a big effort two races back at Lrc......the only negative I see is if he can handle such short race especially off of a 1 1/16th race

2  Conquest Cobra   strong move forward in latest and the strength of the move is disguised by racing 3 wide but doing so on a rail bias......like his chances if the track is rated fast or close to it as so far he has only raced so so on off tracks

5  Conqueror

 

race 7    below average clarity

(selections are for off the turf)

8  Shylock Eddie   Aaron Gryder for the most part has been given live mounts from Brian Koriner and I think he gets another here as the two speed drills since this girl's latest are vastly improved hinting her trainer has tweaked something for the better.....we shall see

9  Chasin Lucas   seems like a good time for 1st time blinkers as this Glatt filly already has some early speed and with the addition of the blinkers she might have even more and in a race that doesn't have that much

5  Great Ma Neri   lead should go to this filly or our 2nd selection and if the track is good or muddy she likely has a better shot of getting it

6  Donut Girl

4  Judicial

 

race 8    below average clarity

5  Lindante   both lifetime off track races run on the SA surface fit solidly in this spot......that and I like the sprint to route move for this Gary Stute eight year old

6  I'll Wrap It Up   sprint-sprint-route scenario for this Miyadi gelding who has handled off tracks in the past.......7 lbs apprentice Jose Leon hopefully has some "off track" riding experience

4  Crystal Dome   looks like a bad claim bad hopefully there is some "horse left" and if there is this gelding should fit with today's 2 claiming level drop......latest which was on an off track is better than it appears in print

2  Zestful

 

 

 

Posted on February 15, 2019 at 8:21 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Santa Anita for Thursday 14 February 2019

Plenty of rain once again so the selections in race one are for off the turf.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

(selections are for off the turf)

2  Spanish Bay   takes that ever magical drop from MSW racing to MC.......solid work preparation on the SA dirt for today's layoff run......good pedigree to handle an off track

6  Aced   colt appears to have slipped some but not enough not to handle a drop into mid priced maiden claiming from the MSW ranks.......decent 3 work series since his latest which was run on the last day of 2018.......and it sure seems like a good sign that Rosario stays with the Eurton colt

5  Molaf   vastly improved 4F drill put into this colt by William Morey only 6 days ago.....that hints that this colt might be up to his debut race which was 3 races back.......if he is he fits just fine this afternoon if of course he handles the off going........pedigree says he should

4  Pervasive Cat

1  The Daddy Factor

 

race 2    average clarity

2  Big Base   fairly new sire Smiling Tiger is 38% win with "mudders".......that and Hollendorfer sure has this filly primed for such a low level.......like her chances if she does handle the off going

5  Awesome Amanda   four-year old filly ran a decent layoff race on a "good" rated track at SA two weeks ago........she should fit fine here is she makes a logical forward move.......trainer could use a win.......might get it here

6  Whata Flirt   nicely improved since O'Neill yanked the blinkers off this youngster's nose......four year old filly has shown she can handle an off track with 2 near wins in two starts on one.....switch to Gryder today and Aaron is riding as well as he has in S Cal in a very long time

 

race 3    average clarity

5  Platinum Equity   romped in a very sloppy track in his latest and that likely is what he will see today........and he is versatile as he has won on or off of the pace.......sure like the placement as the barn is being very realistic with his abilities

2  Twirling Tiger   very strong race 3 back which was also on an off track......trainer is doing surprising well at the big S Cal circuit and Treece is solid 1st after a claim.......and it seems like a very good sign that T C Baze rides thru the claim

6  Little Scotty   SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE  no shot in latest as Scotty set a brutal pace and did it on a dull inside........predictably tired badly.........not crazy about his pedigree to handle the off going but if he does lookout as he should get very loose on the lead

 

race 4    average clarity

8  Duranga   last two races are much better than par and I believe she is up to another strong effort is she handles her first ever on an off track......pedigree for it is better than average

1  Midnight Lilly   Hector Palma has been quite dangerous with multiple level drop downs........like the switch back to Pereira as all four times that he rode this mare produced efforts/numbers that fit very well at today's lower level

5  Cia Luna   the off going seems OK for this filly and she might have some upside as she sure improved in her 1st ever at a route and/or 1st ever without wearing blinkers.......dangerous sort

7  Sought More Pep

2  Sharp Holiday

 

race 5    average clarity

6  Goodtingscominpink  SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE   both lifetime races fit at today's slightly higher MC level.......that and the fact that Cerin is often at his most dangerous 1st out following a claim you could surmise this filly will fire her best to date providing she handles the off going

7  Boolicious   both lifetime dirt race aren't bad and if this filly handles her first on an off track she seems poised for her best today as her 4F drill since her last on 19 Jan. is improved and that is rather subtle

3  Meritocracy   SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE    all three lifetime races fit well here and one of them was on an off track.......so why is she 3rd pick you say.........because her jock is in a slump

2  Bluegrass Betty

4  Twirling Diamond

 

race 6    below average clarity

3  Don't Stalk Me   since the blinkers were put on this four-year old he has a record of (7 4 2 1) and he is a perfect 3 for 3 at SA.........and at "the distance" for his lifetime he is (5 4 0 1).......that'l do

1  Allaboutaction   good gate horse and that includes two races where he had to break from the one post.........he should sit on or near the lead which is usually a good thing on a sloppy track.......that and he is (7 5 2 0) on the SA dirt......1st on an off track but bred well to handle one

7  Annie's Candy   drops back to the ($40K) level where Hollendorfer claimed this six-year-old for.......vastly improved a.m. work since his last........rebound seems imminent he handles his 1st in the goo

2  Jan's Reserve

9  Distinctive B

 

race 7    average clarity

1  Kate's Princess   2 of 4 lifetime races fit well here and if her recent couple of works are worth a hoot that is good news because her works indicate that she will fire her best to date this afternoon

3  Time for Suzie   good Cal sire when it comes to producing runners that handle off tracks......that and she just worked what looks like the best work she has ever put in and did it on an off track......seems very dangerous on an off track........and likely dangerous at a handsome price

7  Data Storm Kitty   seems best on the dirt where she has done nothing wrong in two lifetime races on it one of which was her MSW at SA........not out of the win picture whatsoever if she handles her first to date on the goo

6  Diosa

8  Miss Fia

 

race 8    average clarity

4  Grit and Curiosity  Miller has three 1st time starters entered in this MSW affair and this one appears to be training the best of the three........and he owns a pedigree that suggests an off track will not be a hindrance to his chances

6  Stretford End   three very stout MSW races earning numbers in all three that most of the time would lead to a diploma.......only placed as 2nd selection because dad is only 1 for his 1st 22 with "mudders"

11  Charmer John   brilliant work tab for this MSW 1st time starter from the Glatt barn.....in fact his works are impressive enough that if he didn't have to start from the far outside in a 5 1/2 furlong race I would have placed him higher

5  Duchamp

1  High Five  SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE  

 

 

 

Posted on February 14, 2019 at 5:39 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Santa Anita for Saturday 9 February 2019

Very nice race card this afternoon.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

6  Miss Voluptuous   trainer has only hit the once (a 3rd) in 15 starts at the new SA meeting but he might get off the snide here with this filly who beat open company on the AW to graduate at GG.....and her debut on the grass is good enough as the trainer is known for not being ready with 1sters

4  Rolling Shadow   mare is nothing special but this seems to be a mediocre group and she appears very well prepared for her 1st race in 2 months........yet to hit the board in 3 starts on the SA turf (3 1 0 2 elsewhere) but she has possible excuses in all three races........not a sprinter - acted up at gate - wide trip too far of a slow pace

7  Sapphire Kid   improved recent a.m. work hints at better in the afternoon today.......Matt Chew might have tweaked something for the better......... and....... as stated above this appears to be a mediocre group

5  Radish

 

race 2    average clarity

1  Bam Bams Lil River   2 for 2 at today's 5 1/2 furlong distance and 0 for 2 at longer distances missing the board both times........both of the 5 1/2F races were at Lrc......so was it the Lrc surface or the abbreviated sprint distance.......we likely will find out today

3  Reachreachreach   significant step up class wise today but she exits a strong MC20K for three-year old fillies in her latest......same distance and rider.......same mid pack position likely.......trainer has been having a good meeting and has teamed up with the bug boy Figueroa for 6 wins in 16 starts over the last two months

5  Hot Rod Gal   all three lifetime sprint races fit decently here and like our top choice she seems at her best in 5 1/2 furlong affairs where she has a win and a second (by a neck) in 2 starts at the distance

 

race 3   average clarity

6  Tigerbeach   consistent sort and his lifetime best was run the only time this Morey four-year old ran in a one mile turf race at Santa Anita....... trainer is hot......hard not to like

2  Tough It Out   useful dirt race in latest.......race two back where Sadler claimed fits very well........two recent reassuring drills since his last run on 18 January......hot trainer/owner team of late.......should be a player

9  Kristi's Copilot   blinkers off likely to try to slow this seven-year old down early as he flattens out late in most of his grass races......Rosario sticks with the Baltas gelding

3  Ky. Colonel

1  Orchestral

 

race 4    average clarity

7  Royal Trump   significant improvement 1st time running for O'Neill in his latest in a 6 1/2F affair........right there at the 5 1/2 furlong mark of most of his sprint races at 6f - 6 1/2F 7F.................and the last time that he got to run at today's 5 1/2F he won quite easily

4  Treasure Hunter   seems best at SA and he has handled short rest well in the past.....latest which was the 1st out following the Palma claim is par like for today's level.......and Palma wins about one-quarter of the time 2nd out after a claim.......solid rider/trainer combo to boot

2  Market Sentiment   since Knapp took over the training duties of this six-year-old 4 races back only one race fits.......and it was the only time that this fellow saw a fast rated dirt for his new barn........back in only 7 days rest is a small concern as is some light rain (?)  in the forecast

6  Buckys Pick

 

race 5    above average clarity

3  Bellafina   already owns two Grade 1 wins and two Grade 2 wins .......and appears at her best at Santa Anita......and she is capable of winning with or without the lead giving her regular rider Pratt options

2  Enaya Alrabb   nearly pulled off a Grade 1 shocker in her last going off at 30 to 1 in only a six horse field.......works since the 8 Dec race at Lrc have never been better.......Mike Smith sticks around

1  Calf Moon Bay   on the improve with each and every start and if the trend continues today in a big way maybe this Hollendorfer filly can sit back off of what should be a lively pace and pass as many tired fillies as she can

 

race 6    above average clarity

2  We Will Re Joyce   Peter Miller filly ran over her head in her last in a race that appears better than it is in print......she dueled on a dull rail and only was beaten by 5 1/2 lengths......that number earned when adjusted for her difficult position makes her the one to beat

8  Eskenforadrink   good speed in this spot and the last two days speed has done very well on the main track........and we get a rider upgrade......such a deal

7  Todos Santos   drop should really help....... but....... what we want to see is a good start because when this mare gets out of the gate fairly well she fits solidly at the 10K level or lower (8K here)........come on Brandon Boulanger

5  Cioppino Pasadino

6  Forthenineteen

 

race 7    average clarity

4  Desert Stone   earned a very strong adjusted for trouble figure in his latest with multiple points of trouble......I gave him an adjusted fig about 2 1/2 length better than our 3rd choice in the race and also he had a better number 3 back where they also faced each other........trainer is firing on all cylinders of late.....hard not to like

6  Blackjackcat   1st time Hollendorfer and 1st time Mike Smith.....that and Smith looks like he can find himself on a loose lead........he should be one tough guy to get by if allowed to slow things down

1  River Boyne   6 for 6 on the Santa Anita grass and 3 for 4 at today's one mile distance.......but as mentioned above our top choice "out-ran him" a couple of times and/or our 2nd choice has a shot to steal the race......still with that said he should be one tough cookie come stretch time

 

race 8    above average clarity

6  Much Better   last is very solid considering today's lower level.......and the works since the race are stellar likely because of the change of equipment to "blinkers on"..........and Bob Baffert is 7 for his last 22 1st time blinkers

7  Principe Carlo   colt has won his last 3 dirt sprints dating back to last Fall......and his latest is quite impressive as he was caught 3 wide pressing a solid set of fractions and still was able to win be daylight........6 1/2 furlongs appears to be a plus

4  Mr Paytience   our 2nd choice beat this colt in his latest but O'Neill sees fit to take the blinkers off today and the trainer has been making all the right moves at the new SA meeting

5  Asano

 

race 9    average clarity

5  Platinum Warrior   jockey Shane Foley gave this colt a nice ride in his latest and he has won a Grade 3 aboard him in Ireland and at today's 10F distance......and overall 10F appears to be a good mini-marathon distance for this four-year old

7  Dabster   Baffert five-year old has rattled off 4 straight strong dirt races and he did so on four different racing surfaces.......so.........that and a solid pedigree for the turf suggest he has a very good chance of taking to his 1st ever endeavor on the sod.......and if he does he appears to be the controlling speed in the race

4  Epical   Cassidy four-year old has only raced further than 9F once in 9 lifetime starts .........that race was only one furlong longer than today's 10F and it was by far his best effort/fig of his career.......very dangerous up and coming sort

8  Beach View

3  Chicago Style

 

race 10    below average clarity

9  Honeymoonz Over   four-year old has never missed hitting the board at SA on the dirt in 7 lifetime starts on it.......that and his last two races are very solid in this spot......Prat very wisely sticks around

1  Tanners Pride   believe it is a smart move by Koriner to put a couple of quick 4F speed works into his gelding as he does well when he has contact to the front end even when he has to go eye to eye........trainer/rider are 3 for their last 5 and with another hitting the board

2  Zippy Groom   good to see Rosario back aboard after being absent for a race.......plenty of speed in this affair should flatter the late run of this four year old......dangerous sort especially if the track isn't as speed favoring today than it has been the last two cards

8  Shifty Dancer

5  Saratoga Morning

 

race 11    average clarity

5  Scarlet Heat   Dan Blacker got off of the snide this week with a turf horse and with today's rider up and might double his win total here with this filly who was pounded at the windows in her debut and ran fairly decent but not as well as the 2 to 1 favoritism suggested........but......her two works since the debut are vastly improved hinting the grass (as it so often does) muscled her up........Rosario wisely sticks around

3  Dr Wysong     filly has been absent since a decent MSW dirt debut 3rd which was run at Dmr.......average turf pedigree but an above average turf trainer and rider in D'Amato and Prat........should be a player if this three-year old does take to the green carpet

10  Spanish Channel   barely beaten by our top choice in her MSW debut and today we get a significant rider upgrade especially so for a grass race......in fact I would have placed higher if posts 9 thru 14 in hill races wasn't 2 for 37 and 0 for 14 with post 10

9  Shanghai Barbie

8  Lucky Lately

Posted on February 9, 2019 at 8:05 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Santa Anita for Friday 8 February 2019

So so card today as you can tell by the "clarity ratings" but Saturday's is very nice with 6 grass races carded and three of them are Graded affairs.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

4  Lead Star   trainer Keith Desormeaux is having one heck of a SA meeting (33 9 5 5) and has been especially tough when legging up his brother Kent.........three year old colt is 2 for 3 at Santa in 3 route dirt races.......1st dirt sprint at SA is a ? mark but not much of one the way the trainer has been producing this year at SA

1  Runningwscissors   colt has run well off of short rest in past.......returns off of a 2nd place finish at the 25K level in a race run just 13 days ago at SA........small drop to 20K today.......1st at 7F is a ? mark

5  Gleybar   another who has yet to run at the somewhat specialized extended sprint distance of 7F so like our top two picks 7F is a ? mark.........not much effort/fig wise in latest.......but.......his race two back is strong and a fit effort/number wise at today's level

 

race 2    average clarity

4  Mybluebell   blinkers on in latest was a bust........they are off today and this Hess filly drops into claiming for the 1st time.......and gets a rider upgrade.......filly has yet to hit the board in 6 turf starts but her efforts/figs earned in her 4 USA races look fairly good at today's softer level

2  Wind Tartare   very bad trip in the 10 Jan. version of this race earning a Santucci Fig that is a length better than par........rider upgrade and a better post.......would have been top selection if I wasn't slightly leery of her ability to run off of relatively short rest

5  Mongolian Window   little shot in latest as she stalked and then pressed a nasty set of fractions for the given day.......switch to the top bug boy but he gave this filly a bad trip the only time he rode her (lost to our top choice in the 20 July race) or would have considered higher

3  Subic Bay

 

race 3   average clarity

2  Mistressofthenight   SCRATCHED OUT  here is our comment prior to her last racing endeavor, "after dropping this mare way down in claiming to 8K Baltas sees fit to move this gal up 4 claiming levels to 20K.......that hints she came out of the race in good shape and that a significant rebound can occur this afternoon".......well she ran a good race and might have won with a better trip.......bullet work since and drops one notch.......Rosario wisely stays put

6  Majestic Diva   on the improve and trainer Bernstein sees fit to step up his five-year old mare once again......she went off at very generous odds in her latest........might be overlooked some again

4  Award it   drops to 16K one notch below the 20K level that Cerin claimed this mare for........the drop makes sense as she has hardly earned her keep and can wipe out the red ink today racing at a distance where she is 3 for 4

 

race 4    below average clarity

8  Storming Lady   both lifetime grass races down the majestic SA hill fit fairly well in this spot......and she was just claimed by Alfredo Marquez who put a good-looking 5F gate work into her.......seems well prepared today to handle the MC50K to MSW class hike

2  Magical Gray   filly has consistently run well in her grass races but has yet to graduate.......she runs off of her 1st break since she debuted on 19 August.......not sure how she will respond off of the 2 1/2 month hiatus from the game but if she is fully fit she has as a good a shot of winning this race as anyone

4  Smoovie   both lifetime races on the SA hill are better than they appear in print and fit fine if Gutierrez manages to give her a better trip.......work tab hints she is ready.......her results seem up to the rider who is in a mini-slump

3  Persepolis

7  Ficanas

 

race 5    average clarity

4  Lieutenant Dan   not too many MSW breaking wins for young Cal-breds run in 109:2 like this 8L winner ran in his 2nd lifetime start and 1st at SA..........1st at a route but his pedigree to handle one for a Cal-bred is not great but seems decent enough........Miyadi is an impressive 21% win coming off a maiden win

2  Occam's Razor   went off 1 to 2 in his MSW debut way back in June and came home a winner.........away since but likely will be bet hard again off of a prolonged work regiment which includes a stellar 58:3H

1  Forestation   race 2 back produced 4 next out winners which includes this colt who ran a one mile time that is better than par for today's level.......and remember the top two picks have never seen anything close to a route distance wise

 

race 6    below average clarity

1  Offshore   SCRATCHED OUT  on the improve with every start since Baltas took over the training duties of this gelding 3 races back.....last fits very well at today's higher level.....Rosario lands on the other Baltas runner (our 2nd pick) which seems peculiar but not enough to put this fellow anywhere but on top.......Pratt will do

4  Ice Katt   last win for this five-year old came the last time he ran off a long layoff like today.....and the fact Rosario lands on him instead of our top choice (which he won for fun on) supports the notion he is ready to roll

3  Wildshire Dude   monster dirt race in latest and he sure appears better on the dirt than the turf to yours truly........but if I am wrong about that and he displays the energy/effort that he produced in his last he should have been the top pick-a-rue

8  Falcone

6  Encumbered

 

race 7    below average clarity

6  Spokane Eagle   last race might do the trick which was the 1st out following the Miller claim for only 20K.......gets in very light for today's significant rise in class........Peter Miller magic might be in the cards once again

2  Ax Man   very unusual 7 race record.......best this Baffert gelding has been able to do in 4 Graded races is two distant 3rd's in two Grade 3's.......in his 3 non-Graded races he has won all 3 by 6 3/4 lengths or more.......and of course this is not a Graded race

5  Shivermetimbers   might feel really good coming off of a turf tightener in latest.......and his only race at today's 7F distance was run as a two-year old and is better than it appears.......that and Mike Smith sticks around

 

race 8    average clarity

2  Sea of Liberty   exits a fairly fast MC50K on the grass where this gelding earned a fig that is par like for the three-year old state-bred MSW level......and you have to like the confidence that Sadler shows to step him up......and Rosario wisely sticks around......better post today......hard not to like

10  Mobou   solid one mile grass races in open MSW affairs in his last two........mostly placed as 2nd choice as Smith has a somewhat difficult post to cope with.......on the other hand this colt might have enough early gas to clear all or most by  turn one

1  Posterize   very solid MSW debut but his 2nd lifetime start isn't so hot.......1st on the sod and at a route today with an average pedigree for both.......he needs the energy he showed in his debut and if he gives it and takes to a turf route he has a good post in which to get the job done........and.......just might be the one to beat

5  Brix

4  Scrappy Deville

 

 

Posted on February 8, 2019 at 8:31 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Santa Anita for Thursday 7 February 2019

Here's hoping that the Baltas/Prat combination have a very nice day as a team as they are our top selection in races 3, 5 and 6.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

7  Push Through   needs ample time between starts to fire his best and Freeman shows patience and gives it to his gelding this time around.......recent impressive 6F drill at Slr supports the notion.....seems more than ready for a strong race

8  Huddle   lead type only (so far) has an abundance of early speed and seemingly has to put away only one horse (our 2nd selection) to get loose on the lead......away since July but Sadler has put in copious furlongs of work into his colt.......hinting.......this is not a tune-up

4  Lil Milo   quite the awakening 1st on the grass in his latest in a race down the SA hill......not crazy about his pedigree to get the one mile distance but if he does he has a decent shot of being a major factor in the outcome of this race

5  Luke's On Fire

1  Acclimate

 

race 2    average clarity

1  Victor's Show   2 of 3 lifetime sprint races fit well here and his latest race run on 20 Jan. is disguised by a bad trip where he broke slightly tardy and ran wide on a day the rail was golden.......reassuring 4F work since.......Bejarano wisely stays put

3  Brioso   running off of two route grass races should help his endurance in this extended sprint of 7F.......that and he cuts his MC level in half......small potatoes trainer at the helm but he is able to get Rosario to ride hinting that this four-year old is doing well

6  Rak City   1 of 3 lifetime races at 7F fits and fits in a big way........and the 9 June 18 race was the only time this gelding ran at SA on a fast rated 7F race......decent rider/trainer combo to boot

 

race 3   average clarity

7  See That Kat   both lifetime races on the grass fit well at today's MC50K and the drop out of MSW racing doesn't concern me much as she was up for MC62,500 in November.......Prat wisely sticks around and he has teamed up with Baltas over the last two months with good success.......as in 33% win with 21 starts

5  Daybreak   will have to come from very far back but he moves up on a grass with give to it and we should get that today.........good off the pace turf rider in Bejarano

2  Roses and Candy   owns the best easy gas in the field and has a pedigree that should appreciate a turf course with some give to it which likely will be the case today.......jock has done well with limited rides as in 3 for 13

3  Boldest Vow

6  Etching

 

race 4    average clarity

5  Sass Machine   just popped her lifetime best and it was her 1st ever in a route race.......and today we get a rider upgrade and the Morey/Desormeaux combo have won 2 of their last 3 with the other hitting the board......hard not to like

4  Vegas Strong Baby   another who just fired her best and it was her 1st ever on conventional dirt.......Baltas must really want the weight off going to the bug boy as Prat rode in the aforementioned route race and he doesn't have a mount in the race........and bug boy has won 3 of his last 7 for Mr. Baltas

3  Noble Contessa   wide trip disguises a solid effort especially considering today's lower level......trainer has become a force in the S Cal race scene about might keep things rolling with this thee year old filly

 

race 5    above average clarity

3  The Hunted   on the right end of the learning curve and today this Baltas four-year old gets one heck of a rider upgrade....that and Prat should get a very nice trip stalking a couple of speed horses while saving ground.........seems like the best horse and with the best anticipated trip........that'l do

7  Avalanche   fits well at today's level and his only win came on a yielding turf.......still he might need more pace than anticipated to get up in time from his far back early position

5  Oscar Dominquez   last 4 races when up for sale at 50K or less have led to two wins & two 2nds......up for 40K today........Miller puts them where the belong

9  Trojan Spirit

4  King Caymus

 

race 6    above average clarity

2  Secret Spice   by far at her best on the Santa Anita dirt and her latest at SA led to one monster effort.........and Baltas gives his filly plenty of recovery time to keep her from regressing

4  Mo See Cal   (3 2 1 0) at the distance and like our top selection her latest is very strong for today's level.......and back to Van Dyke (after being absent for a couple of races) who won by 10 lengths on this filly the lone time he rode her

1  Starr of Quality   5 for 10 at Santa Anita on the dirt - (13 5 3 4) at the distance on the dirt - rider/trainer are 5 for their last 11 with 3 others in the money over the last 60 days.........a trifecta of impressive stats to consider

5  Just a Smidge

 

race 7    below average clarity

1  June Two Four   new 10 lbs apprentice might be on the right horse here as the only time this gelding raced route to route off of short rest (12 days) he won by a dozen lengths and ran his best ever by far.......route in last and route today.......and you guessed it - short rest - as in 12 days.......how about one more 12 as in another dozen length win

5  Builder   dangerous route speed and that might be especially so with the cut back in distance for today.....trainer is still looking for his 1st win for the meeting and might get it here

8  All I Can Say   gelding definitely has the ability/numbers to win at today's lower level but he tends to find trouble or races wide and he draws the other most post......he likely needs a clever rider from his new jockey or a track with an outside condition

6  Count Hu

3  Roaring Fork

 

race 8    average clarity

5  Leader of Men   12 for 35 win with the MSW to MC move for Simon Callaghan......and 71% in the money........good overseas rider is still looking for his 1st win at the meeting but most of the runners he has been aboard for Callaghan have been live

3  Blame It On Kitty   nice move forward in 2nd lifetime start running approximately par for the level on a grass course rated "good".......good or softer today

1  Lil Sydney   not much support at the windows for this Glatt colt in his turf sprint MC debut which was down the SA hill grass course.......ran evenly .........gets a switch to the meets top gun........blinkers on and a decent post.......might have always been pointed for this race

7  Frozen Money

10  Seven Oxen

 

 

Posted on February 7, 2019 at 8:40 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections