Santa Anita for Saturday 27 April 2019

For those of you planning on purchasing our special full card selections (14 races usually) for Churchill Downs on Derby Day Saturday May 4th please don't procrastinate as logistically it makes it easier on yours truly setting up the emails that will be sent at about 6 p.m. central time on Friday night, May 3rd. Thank you.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

6  Magic Musketier  four-year old colt has the best late pace in the field and with many in this group that have little "punch" when it counts the most as in the late stretch.......let's call it the last the "last man standing" situation

3  Tequila Joe   gelding was making a move on the 2nd turn when he had to check about 3L thus messing with his momentum......that and he sure draws a better post for Delgadillo to work with at the one mile turf distance (10 post to 4 post)

1  Start a Running   route speed turf runner seemingly has only one other speed horse to cope with in the 5 horse......two reasons he gets the nod over the 5 as it appears that he is training better and whereas the 5 is a need to lead type this gelding has won stalking the lead

2  Dallas Skyline

 

race 2    below average clarity

3  Majestic Diva   good history running off of short rest and her latest racing off of a two month break isn't two shabby........as in better than par for today's higher level.......last race 3 weeks ago.......good history with Tiago Pereira on her back......should be a major factor in the outcome of this race

4  Ciao Luna   in good form right now and gets to run turf to dirt so she might be feeling good......and the fact she put in a good 3F work since her latest which was run only 2 weeks ago supports the notion

5  Empress of Lov  filly has a shot at snatching the front end and never looking back......Ron Ellis is often at his most dangerous 2nd out after a claim and that is the case today for this filly dropping back to level that Ron claimed her for

 

race 3    average clarity

1  Kentan Road   only 5F turf race at SA for this mare is her lifetime best Santucci fig and it is disguised in it's strength........broke tardy and then rushed up to still open up a loose lead.......did quite well to beat 7 of 8 foes.....if this mare breaks well today she should be very tough to wheel in

2  Rocky Policy   even though this mare is yet to win at 5 or 5 1/2 furlongs on the turf (8 0 3 2) she appears to be at her best at the distance(s).......she is capable on or off of the lead.......and she appreciates very firm turf which she should get today

4  Hergame   tough call if this laid up French invader is ready in her U S of A debut but if she is should fit just fine here even with a low percentage turf jock up

5  Time for Ebby

 

race 4    below average clarity

2  El Huerfano   9 for 18 in the exacta when racing on the Santa Anita main track.....and his latest run on the new deep SA dirt was stellar running 2nd despite dueling in way too fast of fractions for how slow the track was playing......that and his last two wins came the two times he ran further than one mile on a fast rated dirt surface

6  Surfing Star   both lifetime route races run on a fast track fit solidly here.......only placed as the second choice because his pedigree to get another furlong isn't the best........but on the other hand Bruce Headley sure has put in copious furlongs of work into this colt to help him handle the 9 furlongs of deep dirt

4  Two Thirty Two  SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE  fell off of form quite badly last summer/fall and wisely was given plenty of time off to set things straight........Baltas sure appears to have his four-year old colt wound up and ready to roll fresh off of the bench with a prolonged tightly spaced series of works........last two wins for this colt came the last two times this he ran in allowance races and the one run last June at today's same alw level is dynamite

 

race 5    average clarity

2  Hardboot   solid lifetime best effort when last seen on opening day at SA in a race run off of a 6 month layoff where this colt was only beaten by 4L in a G2.....4 months off for today's race vs. easier.......rider upgrade.......same turf distance......works are solid........all systems go

3  Tule Fog   sprint turf prep in her latest in a race run off of an extended hiatus from the game........last four times this horse got to race at SA in a one mile grass race led to 2 wins - a 2nd -and a 3/4L beaten fifth........five year old should be in the mix from the get go

4  Brandothebartender   versatile grass runner seems to handle any turf distance including one mile of sod at SA.........that and he gets to run 2nd out following a layoff ......and the 6 1/2F layoff race was very strong and should set him up for his one mile endeavor this afternoon

7  The Hunted

 

race 6    above average clarity

5  True Validity   all three lifetime races run on the SA main track when rated fast fine here......not too shabby at SA on an off track either.......won today's race condition in her latest.......three reassuring works since the better than par race......definitely the one to overcome

4  Time for Kisses  poor trip racing over her head combine to help hide an effort that is better than par when you adjust for 6 or 7 lengths of trip trouble......back in 21 days 2nd out after a long layoff seems like a good set up as she broke her maiden in her 2nd lifetime start off of 24 days rest

2  Rather Nosy   moved forward in her last but it still wasn't good enough to beat our top choice........she did earn a Santucci fig that was only 2L less than our top choice and her a.m. work seems a touch better.......not impossible to turn the table

 

race 7    average clarity

6  Kylemore   2 of 4 races on the dirt since Baltas took over the training duties of this four-year old gelding are solid.....and he seems every bit as good on the grass as on the dirt.......only race he has run at today's 9F turf distance is much better than it appears in print........away 8 weeks but considering how well he is working the break appears to have done him some good....should be in the mix from the get go

9  Twentytwentyvision   likes to stalk the lead and he sure appears to have a chance at doing that for the 3rd time in a row........and you have to like that he won his last two very easily albeit at two claiming levels lower

1  Major Cabbie  stepped on the grass for the first time in his latest and it really woke him up........might have upset the apple cart in the race at 52 to 1 if it wasn't for getting shuffled back in the run down the majestic SA hill grass course.......not sure if this fellow wants to run as far as 9F but it is encouraging that he handled 8F of dirt in Sept. of his 2-year-old year with a 6 1/4L win to break his MSW

3  Lazzam  SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE 

4  Red King

 

race 8    average clarity

8  Paradise Woods   best by far at SA (8 3 2 2 1 on fast rated dirt) including on the new much deeper SA main course as she ran a nice 3rd in her latest on March 30th in a Grade 1........and with a much inferior rider from the one who rides today........impressive drills since last........Mike Smith will have her in the mix from the get go

6  Lemoona   four-year old Baltas filly just ran her best turf race of her career and it was at today's 9F distance.......and she appears to better on the dirt than the turf.......so......if she holds form logic suggests she might be up for her lifetime best performance this afternoon......lookout if that is the case

3  La Force   mare has shown she can fire fresh and she has also shown that she is a smooth running sort which has made her very consistent.......mostly made as our 3rd choice because her two efforts at 9F are not so hot

1  Starr of Quality

5  Withholding Info  SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE 

 

race 9    average clarity

2  Translucent   gelding drops a couple of MC levels and as the best early speed in the field........only race run on a fast SA main track fits solidly here both in pace and final time......and the cut back of 1/16 for today should help this three-year old to hold it together in late stretch.........trainer and rider both could use a win

10  Golden Image   nice forward move in his 3rd lifetime start in a race run off of 11 weeks rest and at today's 5 1/2 furlongs.......9 weeks rest today and good works showing......seems like a player in this spot

9  King Parker   moved forward in his 2nd lifetime start and on the drop down.........so 2nd out after a layoff and on a drop in claiming appears to have him well-meant this afternoon

4  Winding

6  Dieci

 

 

Posted on April 27, 2019 at 7:27 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Santa Anita for Friday 26 April 2019

Kentucky Derby Day and our full card selections for Churchill Downs on their big day is now available for purchase. As usual our publication will by sent to your email the evening before Derby Day.

Not much of a race card this afternoon but both Saturday and Sunday look good.

Best of luck as always!!

 

race 1    average clarity

5  Thanks   SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE  all three lifetime dirt routes are decent and yielded at least one next out winner.......and her latest race is disguised by a somewhat wide trip up on the pace......weight off today and seemingly as the best early speed in the field.........sharp a.m. work......hard not to like

3  Brite Rivers   filly might be a low-level distance freak as she has a poor route pedigree and a trainer who isn't exactly on the who's who list of stout route trainers........both lifetime routes for this filly look good here.......and a very reassuring work tab to boot

2  Shanghai Barbie   only race that fits for this filly was the lone time she raced on the dirt with the blinkers on and was on lasix..........lasix-blinkers-dirt today

6  Zillinda

 

race 2    below average clarity

2  Ruby Trust  low % trainer but his history in claiming races with laid up runners of 3 months or more is much better than his overall win %........that and 2 of this girl's 4 turf races at SA are par like for today's lower level and one of them was at today's one mile distance.......pretty weak grass rider up but he did give this filly a decent grass ride down the hill when last seen in January

6  Trappiza   two decent races for bug boy Diaz the only two times he rode this Pender five-year old mare and one on them was the 28 Feb. version of this one mile 25K nw2 grass race

5   Greater Glory   last likely wouldn't get the job done but her race two back might with a better trip.......in that race she was shuffled back early and the had a wide trip from there.......did well to finish only 4 1/2L behind the winner

 

race 3    below average clarity

2  Mind Trick   believe this O'Neill three-year old was well-meant in his last which was in a turf route but he didn't care for the grass and/or the two turns.......like his pedigree for the dirt more than his pedigree for the turf.........only dirt race was his MC debut and is par like for today's lower level......and he had a jockey up that did poorly in S Cal .......Prat's up today

1  Bullion   sprint-route-sprint & turf to dirt & MSW to MC.......and......no action on the board in his latest hinting Hollendorfer pointed him for today's race......if that is the case lookout today

5  Union Ride  tightly spaced prolonged work tab for this Palma 1st time starter likely has him fit enough to handle the challenge of getting 7 furlongs in his career debut......that and his last 3 works which were put in after SA deepened its racing surface are improved suggesting this gelding liked the change

 

race 4    below average clarity

5  Pointed   just fired his lifetime best and what seems noteworthy is the fact that it was the only time this colt ran a one mile grass race with the blinkers on.......that and the colt has a good history running back off of short rest like today

2  Factorial   away since Oct 2018 and it was only his 2nd race since Dec 2017 but he sure is training for Richard Baltas as if he is fully ready fresh off of the bench......and the fact that Prat and his agent accept the mount supports the notion.......should be in the mix from the get go with the rail in a favorable position for speed

6  Springs Eternal   Richard Mandella's 1st time starter sure has a good spot to debut in if he is ready to roll as this is an extremely soft looking group of MSW runners........Mandella is a very solid 17% win with his last 36 runners debuting on the lawn......plenty of foundation put into this colt to help him get the distance

 

race 5    average clarity

6  Etterbay Ucklay   Ron Ellis 1st time starter has plenty of furlongs put in to give him some endurance and he finished off his work regiment with a strong 5F gate drill last week.......and Ellis is a stout 5 for his last 12 with MC 1st time starters

4  Don'tteasethetiger   one of the more dangerous trainer stats for Brian Kornier is today's move which is dropping a Cal-bred from MSW racing to maiden state-bred 50K claiming..........and then there is the incentive of a $42K purse staring at the owners......... solid preparatory works

5  Tak'in the Red Eye   four-year old gelding gets to race off of short rest for the 1st time in his career in his 3rd lifetime start........and his work since his April 4th race is the best five furlong work he has put in to date hinting he exited his latest in good shape and will likely fire his lifetime best today

7  Sea Journey   

8  King Charlie

 

race 6    below average clarity

3  Storming Lady   trainer Alfredo Marquez is solid in most of the relevant trainer categories that apply here......both lifetime sprint races for this filly are par like despite being beaten by 10 & 11 lengths........that and this filly should be in the hunt from the get go with plenty of endurance when push comes to shove with the cut back in distance

2  Darpa   four consecutive gate works to finish off a nice endurance building work regiment over at LA for this Sadler 1st time starter.......and with the tremendous 2019 that Sadler is having so far it is easy to see this filly ready at to roll at a high level at 1st asking

4  Noble Girl   MC 1ster only went for $10K at sale in 2017 but she is training as if she might be quite the bargain........mom has tossed 2 winners from 2 starters and one of them was a Stakes winner......and new sire Revolutionary is off to a good start......small potatoes trainer Joshua Litt is "capable"

 

race 7    average clarity   

2  Gliding By   sure like the turf route to turf sprint move combined with running 2nd out following a 2 month break......that and this mare should be in the mix from the get go in this affair that sure lacks early speed for a 5F turf race.......rider upgrade to Prat who owns a win % on the grass that is about 3X better than the previous rider

6  Littlefirefighter   bit of a dichotomy for this laid up first time in the R Mandella barn east coast invader.......Mandella is 20% win with layoffs of 3 months or more but he is 0 for his last 20 "1st time with trainer"......very stout work tab hints that we should ignore his "1st time with trainer" stat especially considering how well the trainer has being doing at the SA meeting

3  Ficanas   bad breaking filly just ran an extremely strong race down the SA hill......she broke 2 slow out of the gate and then ran 4 wide and she still managed to win going away at the wire for a 2 3/4L win in a nw alw race.......that adjusted for trouble fig was better than par for today's higher alw level.....still she likely will need to break better like she did two back to get up in time in a 5F grass race

 

race 8    average clarity

5  Fast Cotton   four-year old gelding appreciates ample time between starts and gets it and with a solid work regiment since his last racing endeavor which was on the 1st of March........only race at 6F with the blinkers on for this gelding was his lifetime best and with today's rider Aaron Gryder up

3  Hey Sequoia  on the improve with each and every race since Marquez claimed 5 races back in Nov 2018........last effort might do the trick for this colt and if his progress continues this afternoon he should be rather tough

7  Giddymeister   solid move forward for this four-year old in his last race with 1st time Maldonado.......rider has an earned reputation as solid speed rider and he is at the peak of his game with speed types these days

9  For the Hustle

8  Smuggler Union

 

 

 

Posted on April 26, 2019 at 9:09 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Santa Anita for Sunday 21 April 2019

Kentucky Derby Day and our full card selections for Churchill Downs is only two weeks away. In a few days you will see our discounted price which will be available for three days only at a $5 savings.

OK card for what so far has been a decent week. Be back with you on Friday which is the next day of racing at SA in case you haven't heard.

Best of luck as always!!

 

race 1    average clarity

2  Incredibly Lucky   bet hard in the 31 March version of this race at one furlong less and ran a close par like for the level 2nd.......back in 3 weeks and with a reassuring 4F drill showing......Spawr has had a great meet winning at a 28% clip and one of his main guys in Pereira stays put

6  Smiling Rose   works look awfully good for this George Papaprodromou 1st time starter and the trainer is having a very nice 2019 with a 17% win percentage

4  Vella   MC debut is better than it appears as this filly ran 3 wide on a day there was a slight rail bias........she did well to only get beaten by 4 1/2 for the win.......solid near bullet drill since her debut.......blinkers on........jock sure could use a win

 

race 2    average clarity

5  Toothless Wonder  likely owns the best early speed in the race and that is somewhat hidden......wide race in his latest (with 1st time blinkers) setting a solid 2nd quarter and still held for a close third.........colt earned an adjusted for pace and position Santucci fig that is 4 1/2 lengths better than par for today's lower level

1  Owning   wide on a good rail day hurt this gelding's chances in his latest.....races 2 & 3 back are both better than par and at run at today's 6F........back to the 25K that Carava took this youngster for......should be a major player

2  I Belong to Becky   best at 6f at SA on a fast track.......gets that today......the last time this three-year old was in a claiming race he won for fun......dangerous sort from the Palma barn

 

race 3    average clarity

7  Tequila Sunrise   7F to travel should be a plus for this filly and it won't be for many in this 7 horse field........Baltas four year old has been absent since Oct but working like she is very ready........and her whole career fits here

1  Sweetener   lone race with the blinkers on racing on fast dirt fits well here.........that and she has never worked better hinting she is really taking to the now very slow SA dirt

3  Chasing Moments    two decent MSW races way back in 2017 on the synthetic at WO........filly has been laid up since Feb of 2018 but drops and seems to be working well enough to compete at the MC30K level.....would like her chances more if this sprint race wasn't at 7 panels as she shows signs she might flatten out late

4  Suprema

 

race 4    average clarity

2  Lucky Patrick   Polanco might have found the trump card for this six-year-old as not only did his final time fig vault forward but he showed significant speed seemingly out of nowhere.......and it seems wise that Marcelo gave him plenty of time off to recover from the effort with a series of tightly spaced drills

4  Union Rebel   total dirty up him route turf gimme (most likely) in his latest to muscle him up and help out his endurance for a full-blown go today on the dirt at 7F this afternoon

3  Surfside Sunset   dead on the board in his last suggests the barn was just setting things up for today's drop in claiming.....if that is the case expect this five year old to be a player here

 

race 5    average clarity

4  General Mo  broke very poorly in his MSW debut and then showed plenty of life after that.......not much support at the windows for a decently bred Hollendorfer 1st timer so likely needed the race......if that is the case lookout today

1  Runnin'withdadevil   only four-year old in the field and a four-year old who showed good early speed in his MSW debut and now adds blinkers.........he beat 9 of 12 foes in his debut and did it with a wide trip on a day the wood was slightly biased........very dangerous speed in if A. Espinoza can break well from a difficult breaking post at 6 1/2F

2  Loaded Joe   Carla Gaines 1st time starter has a prolonged work tab with many good looking drills hinting this is not a tune-up.......trainer has gotten her act together in 2019 and once again might be a force in the S Cal racing scene

 

race 6    average clarity

2  Super Patriot   Baffert filly likes to run wide but it might not matter as she drops to lowest claiming level of her life vs. one weak looking group.........all three lifetime wins are with today's rider Van Dyke in the saddle

1  Indypendent Deputy  filly seems better off of short rest and so does trainer Dallas Keen.......last race was only 8 days ago and wasn't too bad considering the softness of this field and the fact it was run at one level higher.........fairly easy to make as our 2nd selection

3  Kennedie Sky   mare is showing signs of improved early speed and she is coming off of a turf sprint.......both might add up to Jockey Delgadillo trying to send this mare after the lead as there is no clear-cut leader in this affair void on any speed

 

race 7    average clarity

2  Baby Ice   seems best at Santa Anita and both races at today's 6F distance since Knapp claimed 4 races back fit well in this spot......away for 8 weeks but the drills suggest she is fit and ready

5  Wishful   decent layoff run at GG on March 10th........jock upgrade to the meets leading rider who is almost always "live" when he rides for Powell.........nice four work series ........hard not to like

4  Miss Lady Ann   filly stepped up a couple of MC levels in her 2nd lifetime start and proved that the move was warranted......steps up again.......nice stalking style.......hot rider & trainer team........filly has upside potential

 

race 8    below average clarity

6  Field Bet   totally toss out her latest as she had a brutal trip......so bad in fact she did awfully well to only be beaten by 5 1/2L in the one mile grass race.........sprint debut two back is decent and she showed good early speed in the race.......claimed back by O'Neill in her latest and that is a sign she might have more talent then a MC50K

8  Shanghai Truffles 50 to 1 in her MSW debut and for a trainer who seldom has them ready for their debut run.........showed plenty of life in her debut following a tardy start.......and she draws Pratt today.......hmm

9  Vangogo   double barrel action for O'Neill as he also trains our top choice........filly has plenty of early speed and gets one hot speed jock in Edwin Maldonado........and blinkers go back on

2  Ameerah B

1  Holly Hunter

 

 

Posted on April 21, 2019 at 7:56 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Santa Anita for Saturday 20 April 2019

Kentucky Derby Day and our full card selections for Churchill Downs is only two weeks away. In a few days you will see our discounted price which will be available for three days only at a $5 savings.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

4  Lucky Lately   Carla Gaines seems to be awakening from a prolonged slump and she might add to her 16% win total at the SA meeting with this filly who appears to have the most turf route speed in the field.......her three year old is on the improve and she continues to train like she is doing well......that and Van Dyke is 2 for his last 3 riding for Carla

2  Y Not Sizzle  22 to 1 in a 5 horse field for a Jeff Mullins 1st time starter has tune-up/prep written all over it and the effort was better than it appears in print.........six works since the 28 Feb race with the last drill rather decent.......turf pedigree for me is rather up in the air but interesting

3  Goodthingscominpink  SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE    decent 1st on the grass and at a route when last seen 8 weeks ago.......retains Prat......should be rolling late

9  Probable

1  Weather Market  SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE 

 

race 2    average clarity

2  Palladium  all four of his lifetime dirt routes on fast tracks fit decently here.......he should be in a nice mid pack ground saving position at least thru turn and with few foes to negotiate thru or around come go time......as in turn 2 and the stretch

4  Diamond Blitz   double barrel action for Keith Desormeaux as he also conditions our top choice........significant rider upgrade and he appears to be one of only two speed horses in the field......my guess is Bejarano will let the one horse go as you Maldonado will want the lead at all costs because if he doesn't a suicidal speed duel will likely occur

1  Ack   as stated above this colt seems like the most likely to lead and with a dangerous lead rider aboard.......and Edwin is getting the job done of late with route speed horses

 

race 3    average clarity

2  Outlaw   exits a fast heat in his latest where getting beat by 10 still worked out to be close to a par like effort.......and whereas he had to duel in fast fractions in his last he should be free as a bird in the early stages of this MC25K one mile affair.........and with only one more furlong to travel

6  Union Station    overdo drop into MC from MSW racing (six of them).........only conventional dirt route race fits fine as does the rest of his other route races on other surfaces........and if he is up to the dirt route race run four back lookout as he has a much more prolific rider up today than he had on the 28 Sept 18 race.......Harty is often at his most dangerous with the MSW to MC move

8  Mongolian Empire   Ganbat is 2 for his last 4 with one other hitting the board dropping from MSW to MC........toss out his last as he might have disliked the off going and/or it was a gimme.......showed he can handle a route OK in his race two back at 9F on the turf..........debut on the dirt fits fine here........trainer pops with a price shot now and then

3  Captain N. Barrow   

7  Mr Classical

 

race 4    below average clarity

3  Runaway Luck   filly went for loose change at sale in September of 2017.......but she is working like you could add one or two zeros to her claiming price if she went for sale now.......Kitchingman has been able to put both speed and endurance into her........filly owns an adequate turf pedigree

4  Flower Point  another 1st time starter who has put in some decent speed and endurance works.......both trainer and rider are winning at a 26% clip at the meeting......that should make for a good combo

9  Pricing   prolonged work regiment for this Tom Proctor MSW first time starter with some works of merit including two out of the gate that are both impressive.......with many ways to turn in this affair this filly might get ignored and go off at an intriguing price better than his ML

1  Catch the Eye

7  Virginia Hall

 

race 5    average clarity

2  Cistron   might be a good spot for this grass horse who has run OK on the dirt as he appears to have the most early speed in this weak looking G2 group........turf to dirt is a decent angle and especially so when the horse can get the lead and avoid dirt in his face........hot rider/trainer combo in Espinoza and Sadler

5  Kanthaka   seems to respond best when Prat is guiding his way and he is aboard today.........whereas 6F has been kind to speed this year at SA 6 1/2 has suited off pace runners like this fellow fairly well........colt has won two Graded sprints at SA which is the most Graded wins of anyone in the field

3  All out Blitz   as stated in the comment for our top pick this race lacks speed and Callaghan's colt (who has spent the majority of his career in route races) might have a shot at getting a stalk position behind on top pick.......if that occurs he might upset and grab his 1st Graded win

 

race 6    below average clarity

8  Mongolian Window  crushed 6 foes in a 35Knw3 turf claimer which was run at today's one mile distance and at SA........number earned is par like for today's allowance level........works since the 8 Feb race are impressive and much better than prior to his winning last.......rather sure this Miller filly fires her lifetime best today.......hard to ask for more than that

2  Confidentially  another coming off of a par like effort considering today's higher level and that race was also at one mile on the sod and at the Great Race Place........he does lose Rosario to a bug boy but the kid gets 7 lbs off a filly with some speed and a good post.......if he breaks well he should get good up close position and just has to hang on for the ride

3  Don't Blame Judy  trainer is making all the right moves in 2019 and with that in mind it appears he gave this filly a sprint turf tune-up to be fully fit 2nd out after the break for this one mile affair..........that and his filly has plenty of early turf route speed and that is somewhat hidden.......like our top pick she should be on or close to the front in a race that seems to favor those who do

4  Querelle

5  Tammy's Window

 

race 7    average clarity

7  Crackling Bread   Jorge Periban is having the best SA meeting that I can ever recall and has a good chance to add to his 20% win total here with this filly who is very sharp right now........ retains Bejarano who just got a lot out of this filly guiding her to a going away 2 3/4 length win in her latest.......placed well to win and 7F looks as if it is within her range

5  Tiz Coffee   apprentice is solid on sprinters with speed which this filly has plenty of.......and she can run well just off of the pace if need be which can come in handy here as there are three other speed types that might go after the lead as well

6  Heloise   very consistent in her last three racing endeavors all since R Fuentes took over the riding duties of this Cerin filly.......that and she sure appears to be the best closer in this field of eight

3  Purdue

1  Reinahermosa

 

race 8    average clarity

8  Stradella Road   one of the better horses that Gary Stute has trained in quite some time has fired better than par for today's level in three of her last four turf races and her latest endeavor in a G3 would crush these.........she seems likely to get a nice stalk position behind our 4th selection

6  Sapphire Kid   last wasn't bad especially considering this filly does not want to run as far as 9F........race 2 back at one mile on the grass is strong overcoming a very wide trip.......that and racing off of a decent 9F race should help her endurance this afternoon

3  Peter's Kitten   impressive wide run in the slop to win going away in her first race in S Cal and 1st time with John awfully hot Sadler as the trainer.........filly is proven in turf routes and has some upside coming of a nice main track win and having a conditioner making all the right moves these days

10  Lady Mamba

7  Merger Arbitrage

 

race 9    average clarity

6  Rac   dueled in some fast fractions for the given day in his MC debut on the last day of February........solid a.m. work since.......likely will move forward today and with 1/16 less to run and 7 lbs less to carry.........dangerous speed here

4  Victor's Show   race 2 back is 6 or 7 lengths better than in appears in print........stepping up in maiden claiming in his last and ran his lifetime best........steps up again today........Bejarano sticks around for a 3rd straight race.....should be motoring late

8  Senditlikechilly  returns to the race wars off of an 8 month hiatus as a 1st time gelding and with a better rider up........trainer has had a better Santa Anita meeting than his win percentage suggests........and he is often at his most dangerous off of long layoffs

9  Wicken Fen

5  Mighty Elijah

 

 

 

Posted on April 20, 2019 at 7:22 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Santa Anita for Friday 19 April 2019

Kentucky Derby Day and our full card selections for Churchill Downs is only 15 days away. In a few days you will see our discounted price which will be available for three days only at a $5 savings.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    below average clarity

1  Mr Magico   this five-year old had an uncharacteristically bad trip in his last (shuffled back early and bore out some on turn 1) but he usually gets/gives smooth trips........good post to help him get a clean trip today........like the step up in claiming which hints that this improving five-year old might move forward again

6  Erotic  Richard Mandella is having a good SA meeting and might keep the good times coming today with this four-year old dropping into MC for the first time ever........and Mandella is 6 for the last 10 with the "1st time in MC" move........that and he gets the best grass jock in S Cal in Prat (well maybe not when Rosario is around)

3  Fast as Cast   lone win for this Stute four-year old came off of short rest of 14 days in a race run 6 back.........12 days since this gelding last ran in what was a decent grass race......dangerous sort especially with the switch to Bejarano

7  Asano

2  Vander Kelen

 

race 2    average clarity

5  Party Hostess   wide trip up on the pace in what was a fast 1st call for this now very deep but safer SA surface......six year old mare should once again be on or near the front end and this time with only one other speed type to deal with in the one horse......so she should not get stuck very wide up on the pace this time around

1  Sturdy One   last two fast track races (one and three back) are very strong here and if she can run as well on a deep dirt as she did in those two significantly faster dirt surfaces she has as a good a shot of winning this race as anyone

4  Todos Santos   here is the comment before her last race which was on 4 April where all three of our picks participated in "very significant rider upgrade today for this mare who really appreciates the SA surface but has had multiple races where she has had trip trouble.......hope Bejarano makes the difference" ........well he didn't as broke her tardy and ran wide........but the field size of five should help things out today as she won't be so wide

 

race 3    average clarity

1  Wilhelmina's Girl   Hector Palma is often at his most dangerous these days with MC 1st time starters with prolonged work tabs like this filly shows......and mom has tossed 3 winners from 3 starters........should be a handsome price

3  Caracortada   very solid better than it looks in the 6F version of this race run on 31 March........ran wide on a day the rail may have been slightly bias......same race and a better position and she should be a major factor in the outcome of this Mc25K affair

2  Champagne Honey  today's 5 1/2 furlong distance is very much to her liking and Heap is often at his most dangerous off of layoffs.......that and the filly drops down in maiden claiming

4  Hansen Tale Blues 

 

race 4    average clarity

3  Time for Suzie  toss out her latest as she appeared to want no part of the GG AW.........race two back at SA and also at 6 1/2 is solid as she was blocked & steadied about 3 lengths on the turn and the stretch and once she got free she closed well for the win.....that race at one claiming level lower fits well here with a better trip-a-rue

2  Diosa   best speed in the field and she seems to rate OK if given a soft lead which she really only saw once.....and what did she do......wired the field for fun

6  Staythirstymyamigo   like this youngster's chances (see race 3 back) if Fuentes takes her back off of the lead because if he tries to go with our 2nd pick he will likely pay a price in late stretch

 

race 5    average clarity

8  Snazzy Dresser   four-year old gelding seems a little tougher when she wears blinkers and they go back on today for the first time in 7 races.......good speed jock up........call it about a 75% chance he can clear his 7 foes and open up a clear lead on the back stretch........rails are 30 feet out which is usually good for early speed

4  Artie B Good   gimme/go route to sprint maneuver 2nd out following the Marquez claim led to a strong 2nd place finish for this colt who had to overcome a tough trip to boot.......toss out the "gimme" one mile race and the only other one mile grass race that this colt ran in fits fine......trainer has had very nice 2018/19 with his grass runners

1  Malibu Music   fits on the drop out of allowance racing but he appears to be compromised by the race shape of this affair that favors speed which he has had none of in his last two races with the blinkers off......late breaking move (?) to blinkers on today might help

5  Point Guard

7  Encumbered

 

race 6    average clarity

1  Moneydontspenditself  toss out race two back as he likely disliked the off going........race three back he made a premature early 2nd turn move and still ran 2nd at one claiming level higher than today.......won like a good thing in his latest race (as our 5 to 1 top choice) earning a solid fig for today's level and distance and he showed that he likes the very slow SA main track

3  Big Shanty   best speed in the field and now adds blinkers......drops 2 levels below where Baltas claimed him for 2 races back.......good sign Prat stays put.......big shot to wire the field

4  Kochees  Hollendorfer cuts the claiming price in half for this gelding and why not as he is 9 years old now.........good history with Gutierrez on his back.......(2 1 1 0) at the somewhat specialized 7F distance......not out of the win picture by any means.....pun intended

8  Matriculate

5  Clear the Mine

 

race 7    average clarity

2  Halo Darlin   Pender won 2 of 3 last week for a big return and both ran much better than I could see.......so if he is in go mode this mare should be very tough as I can see her in this spot........especially since it seems likely she should get a nice ground saving stalk position

5  Anonymously   away since 21 January but this filly has shown she can run well "fresh".......that and she sure looks loose in spot.......she does lose top jock Rosario but over the last couple of months when Fuentes rides for Cerin his mounts have been live ones

4  Cynthiana   mare has been away for 11 months and returns with a change in trainers from Baltas to Eurton.......her new trainer is solid off of long layoffs and the works seem good enough to be ready fresh off of the bench.........and Prat wants the mount........top turf jock Prat has been on this gal one time and she arguably ran her lifetime best race......such a deal

1  Equal Measure

 

race 8    average clarity

4  Blue Skye Jade   good drills for this three-year old racing in his 3rd lifetime start and with the sprint-sprint-route maneuver.......good route pedigree......good SA meeting for trainer Craig Lewis.......a trifecta of positives to consider this youngster

5  Royal Insider  only one of his three conventional dirt route races fits here but it fits big......and if he is up to that race run four back lookout as he has a much more prolific rider up today than he had on the 21 Oct. race.......Harty seems due and one of his best trainer stats is with the MSW to MC move

1  Jonathantoquick  16% trainer in 2018/19 but only 1 for his last 32 in maiden claiming races......but at least this gelding has shown he can handle the distance and the track as in (6 0 1 3) & (5 0 1 2) respectively.......and he appears to like the blinkers off

7  Palace Sage

3  Meadway

 

 

 

 

Posted on April 19, 2019 at 8:44 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections