Santa Anita for Saturday 5 May 2018

Nice looking card at SA today. Hope you enjoy the Ky Derby.

Best of luck as always!

 

CHURCHILL RACE 12   average clarity (hard to split top two choices)

7  Justify   once again the most brilliant (at least in the States) three-year old in the Kentucky Derby field comes from Southern California with the possible exception of our 2nd choice who is much more difficult to get a handle on than the horses competing in the "States".......all three of Justify"s adjusted Santucci figs are solid for today's lofty race level.....and in his last in the SA Derby he earned a real number (as in no adjustment) that is better than par for what it usually takes to win the big race early May........sizable colt is bred and acts like the 10 furlongs will be to his liking

14  Mendelssohn   you think that this Uae Derby winner appreciates the conventional dirt a little.........usually I find it rather easy to toss out overseas invaders when it comes to OUR derby but this one won by 18L at a distance further than today's race.........the margin of victory was supported by the fact that the "composer" broke the Stakes record by 7 lengths.......and he is a half-brother to the fabulous Beholder........the X-factor in the race.......and a big one.......an off track is a ? mark

6  Good Magic   Chad Brown just keeps getting more and more formidable as a trainer and he sends out a colt who won last years B C Juvenile by a widening 4 1/4 lengths.......the race was run in his 3rd lifetime start and off of 4 weeks rest.......3rd out in 2018 for this colt........and you guessed it - his last race was 4 weeks ago.........an off track is a ? mark but he sure is bred to handle one

9  Hofburg   brutal trip to win and graduate off of a 6 month layoff two races back.......the adjusted for trouble fig earned is much better than appears in print.......Bill Mott seldom makes such a steep step up in class as he did in this youngster's last which was the Santa Anita Derby where he sure ran a nice 2nd to our top selection......bred to run all day......dangerous and at a price........an off track is a ? mark but he sure is bred to handle one

11  Bolt d'Oro   very special individual who seemingly shows up every time.......continues to train like a happy healthy three-year old who will be one of the top Ky Derby contenders if he can get the 10 furlongs without flattening.......his pedigree says yes he can but his running lines hint no he can't.......and his 5% win for the year trainer is up against a whose who list in top trainers........an off track is a ? mark but he sure is bred to handle one

Long-shot consideration:   10  My Boy Jack   (mostly consider if the track comes up good or sloppy) very consistent late runner romped in his only race on an off track and might get a strong pace up front as quite a few riders will want to send early (as in more than if the track is fast) as to avoid mud being kicked in their face......Hall of Fame rider would likely cherish a win photo with his bro

 

race 1    average clarity

2  Lynn's Legacy  switch to a much higher win percentage turf rider with Espinoza in Kentucky.......and drops into this unusual but creative conditioned claiming 35K......we don't want her last......we want her race 2 back or 4 back or 6 back.......every other sort is on the positive end of the oscilloscope

1  Tammy's Window   trainer is often more dangerous 2nd out following a claim and that is the case today......that bodes well for a strong race on the drop in class as a good portion of this four-year old runners turf efforts fit solidly here

4  Subic Bay   bug boy Asa Espinoza is really starting to look good on a horse including on this five-year old mare from the Mullins barn.......the 7 lbs break at 9 furlongs looks awfully good here.....not out of the win picture by any means

7  Kitty Boo

 

race 2    above average clarity

4  Luck's Royal Flush   2-year-old 1st time starter is out working anyone in this field of 8 and for a trainer in Bonde who is more than capable in these early 2-year-old MSW races......that and mom has tossed 3 winners from 3 starters

8  Settle It   working the 2nd most impressively in the race and she sure owns a nice Cal-bred pedigree.......and like our top selection she has tossed 3 winners from 3 starters......and in her case one Stakes winner

6  Nice Haircut   double barrel action as O'Neill also trains our 2nd selection.....definitely prefer O'Neill's other runner but this colt just worked his best looking drill in his last preparatory work and might be coming around when it counts the most....... as in right before his debut

1  Calder Vale

7  Stormy Valentino

 

race 3    average clarity

7  Amada Rafaela   last 4 drills for this Baffert MSW 1st time starter are awfully strong......that and Martin Garcia is showing signs of snapping out of prolonged slump and he will be all out to bring this filly home a winner taking advantage of fact others are in Ky and might have gotten the call on this three-year old filly

2  Untouched Elegance    best set of preparatory works for any Richard Baltas 1st time starter in quite some time......that and he and bug boy Ceballos have won 3 of their last 9 as a team with 3 others hitting the board

1  Tiz Coffee   best of those that have raced (two 2nd's in 2 lifetime races on the dirt) and her latest (which was her 1st on the grass) is a much better than appears in print........that and she has some early zip and a good gate rider in Maldonado up.....dangerous proven runner

3  Patricia's Ring

 

race 4    average clarity

4  La La Land   sure like the work regiment since this D'Amato's 3rd place finish in a 200K Stakes 7 weeks ago.....likely needs a little more than he produced in that race but seems like he will be up to it off it his a.m. is worth a hoot

5  Choo Choo   lifetime best and a solid fit here was run the last time he was entered in a turf race.....that race was 4 races back and was at SA and at today's one mile distance....should be a major player

1  Afleet Ascent   dangerous turf route speed in this spot for this Hollendorfer (who also trains our 2nd pick) colt who if he can shake free might get awfully brave and be tough to catch

3  More Honor

7  Blame the Rider

 

race 5    average clarity

7  Batiquitos   nice record to start her career with 2 nice sprint efforts on the dirt and the same in 2 sprint efforts on the turf........but didn't care for his 1st route race which was on the grass.......but the endurance building race and a sharp recent work on the SA tr.t have him poised for his best to date back on the dirt

1  Scathing   red hot trainer Vladimir Cerin steps up this mare off of some improved recent a.m. work......believe the trainer has tweaked something for the better......we shall find out if that is the case about 2 p.m. pacific time

3  Love a Honeybadger   Koriner is quite dangerous when he takes the blinkers off a given horse and that is the case with this filly today......and she appears to have a good shot at getting loose and maybe she will be easier slow down with the blinkers off

4  Twisted Rosie

2  Li'l Grazen

 

race 6    average clarity

2  The Tulip   very strong effort (and disguised some in its strength) run two back in a one mile grass race which was run 17 days following a 9F grass race.......9F grass race 28 days ago........one mile grass race today........good post......good grass trainer......decent N Cal turf rider

3  Fahan Mura   very dangerous turf route speed in this spot where she appears to only have one other just as fast in the 5 horse.......and she is capable of taking back and still winning........such a deal

4  Fuera   likes it very firm so S Cal turf should be a fit......had a nice muscle her up sprint turf tune-up........all set to strut her stuff for Baltas and company back in a two turn turf race.......and at a distance she seems best at (4 2 1 1)

7  Hachi

8  Fizzy Friday

 

race 7    average clarity

6  Pursuing The Dream   three year old filly has only sprinted on the turf to date which includes her 1st in the USA in her last run at SA at 6 1/2F......that folks was the tune-up for today's 1st at a route which she is bred so well for.........works since her prep race are much improved......all systems go

1  West Palm Beach   impressive 1st on the grass and 1st in the USA.....that effort might do the trick but she surely has the right to move forward if her educational process continues today.......good post and a good turf jock

3  Exuberance   6 nice dirt races to start her career and now switches to the green carpet for her 7th lifetime start......and her pedigree seems better for the turf than the dirt......very dangerous sort

2  May Girl

 

race 8    average clarity

5  North County Guy  both lifetime races for this Jacobson MC fit fine in this spot and his latest is disguised by running on a dull rail and getting boxed a couple of lengths on the turn......should be a major player

1  Mach Speed   Richard Baltas is only 1 for his last 39 with MC 1st time starters but he has put in copious drills into this colt including 4 gate drills and the 2 worked at 5F are decent.......believe this one might be "meant & ready"

7  Quad   owns very good early speed in this spot........would have rated higher if it wasn't for the notion that 6 1/2 lengths might be a little too far than he wants to compete

2  Moon Juice

8  Seattle Encounter

 

race 9    average clarity

5  Fortune of War   four-year old often makes a strong early move in his one mile grass races.....that tells me he might really like the 6 1/2 furlongs that the SA hill has to offer....we shall see

7  Sigur Ros   gelding appears very sharp in the a.m. preparing for her 1st on the sod......and I believe she is better bred for the grass than the dirt.....lookout if that is the case

1  Make It a Triple   very consistent sort over her last ten races (10 4 2 2 2) ........five-year old gelding should be close up early and in a race that seemingly slightly favors those that do........hard not to like

3  Conquest Superstar

2  So Conflated

 

race 10    below average clarity

11  Zap Again   takes a drop to lowest available condition claiming level and his lifetime best was the only time this Treece runner ran at today's 6 1/2 furlongs......should be tough if he holds form off of the 8 week break

3  Bad Boy Leroy   another dropping and in this case maybe a little too much......as in quite suspiciously......obliviously he is not in the best of physical condition but maybe has another decent race left in him.....flip a coin type

6  Glorious Crown   go to guy for David Jacobson has been Pedroza of late and he rides for the 1st time........dangerous sort

5  Dad's a Gambler

8  Kaleidoscope

 

race 11    average clarity

2  Bob's Bad Boy   MC50K fits........MSW racing does no.........his race three back in a MC50K is a strong better than par run down the hill at today's level......that race with a decent trip would make him difficult to beat

10  Kinematico   seems best down the hill and with plenty of early gas......finally gets back to it following 5 straight route races on the turf.......switch in riders as Elliot winds up on our top selection

5  Conquest Smartee   fits very well at the MC50K level and he is only rated this low because he sure appeared to be a hanger

1  Frankie Machine

6  Harliss

 

Posted on May 5, 2018 at 6:28 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Santa Anita for Friday 4 May 2018

2018 Kentucky Derby day full card selections (last year 14 races) for Churchill Downs on May 5th are now available for purchase for $36.95. The selections will be sent to your email at about 4 p.m. pacific time on Friday afternoon, May 4th. Please sign up as early as possible as logistically speaking it helps us out.

NOTE:   Just like today Saturday's selections at Santa Anita will also be posted by 5:30 a.m. pacific time because of the early start at Churchill Downs.

NOTE:  We no longer are giving a 6th selection for the Super High Five fields with 9 horses or more because of the lack of play in the new exotic bet which in my opinion should be dropped.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    above average clarity

6  Time for Kisses  some years Sherlock is formidable in the early two-year old 4 1/2 furlong maiden races.......his filly is training like she owns early speed and with only 4 1/2 panels to run......hard not seeing her fit well here in this 1st 2-year-old race of the year

7  Quant Savant   last three works for this O'Neill two-year old 1st time starter are decent........and in this weak looking two-year old group "decent" appears awfully good......rather sure she will be a major factor in the outcome of this race

3  Rollinga   works for this Freeman 1st time starter are not fast but this filly is the only one who has worked as far as 5 furlongs......that might help her staying power when push comes to shove in the late stretch

4  Awepollonia

 

race 2    average clarity

7  Lady Mamba   all three lifetime grass races fit well here and she appears to be the controlling speed........continues to train like a happy healthy filly for Peter Eurton and company

5  Jazaalah   four year old filly has outrun her odds in her last 3 races which includes her 1st ever in the good old U S of A in her latest.........seems likely to move forward 2nd out following the 6 month layoff........that and look for her to show more speed as she had some in GB

4  You Missed It   four 2nd place finishes in 5 grass races on firm turf to date.......she has challenged the leader in all of them and failed to pass in any of them.......same goes for her two dirt races.........can you spell "hanger".......surprised they haven't tried the blinkers on yet

2  Meal Ticket

 

race 3    average clarity

5  Princess Areni   smartly placed in a MC75K (running 2nd) following an impressive MC30K debut where she broke poorly and rushed (never a good thing) and still was able to place 2nd.........small drop to MC50K makes sense......last fits but her debut effort would be very tough with of course a better trip-a-rue

4  Vinaka   lone race run on fast dirt (July 1st 2017) fits very well in this spot.......returned in Jan in a turf race - nada......then caught an off track in March - nada........back to fast today and runs in a maiden claimer for the 1st time.......dangerous sort

1  Summer Down Now   nice move forward in her latest.......and Tom Bell sees fit to step her up to MC50K after 3 lifetime starts at MC30K......might be even sharper.....lookout if that is the case

 

race 4    average clarity

4  Topgallant   exits a very fast heat for the given level where being beaten by 9 1/2 lengths was still a par like run........toss out his only turf race as this gelding stumbled very badly at the start compromising his chances......and he did show life in the race from his dead last early position.......dangerous and maybe at a handsome price

8  Builder   three-year old has run well on the dirt and the AW.....1st on the grass today and his pedigree for it seems better than his pedigree to handle main track surfaces.......that and he has enough early speed to clear in this spot full of "slow early" foes

5  Swinging Star   drop makes sense as this gelding hasn't earned much following his graduation day on 16 Jan 17.......runs off of short rest today and the only two times that he has in the past he ran well

1  Dr. Troutman

6  Run Like Rhett

 

race 5    average clarity

6  Bargaining   Jacobson is never afraid to drop a horse to win so when he moves up a horse a couple of levels as he is here with this gelding you better take notice........that and this six-year-old is capable of going eye to eye on the front and still stick around in the stretch......few can

2  Junior Gilliam   plenty of early gas in the race should set things up well for this filly who likely will sit close to the rear of the field......just claimed by Sadler and he goes to his top guy of late in T C Baze.........hard not to like

5  Van Lingle Mungo   very consistent sort on the AW or the conventional dirty especially at today's distance......but.......he sure likes to hang when it counts the most.....as in late stretch

 

race 6    average clarity

5  Cool Green   away for 25 months but returns as a 1st time gelding and a new trainer in Keith Desormeaux ........he acts as if the combination is working out in a big way as his a.m. work is stellar.......that and his lifetime two best races were the only two times he ran on firm rated turf

2  El Tovar   very consistent on the SA hill and he often has had to face better......likely very cranked for this race as he once again has to enter for the optional 16K in order to face allowance Cal-breds........and at that claiming price he likely will be led away by another barn following this race......hopefully for his connections from the winners circle

8  Insubordination   seems to own the best early speed in the field and gets in light with the 5 lbs bug boy up......youngster like most apprentices struggles on the grass (1 for 27) but still seems quite dangerous if he gets loose here

3  Leroy

4  Preacher Roe

 

race 7    average clarity

2  Myrcella  (4 3 0 1) at today's distance of six furlongs and this filly had a bad trip in the 3rd place finish.............Tup invader seems very sharp right now and has a trainer in Molly Pearson who knows what it takes to win in S Cal

7  Midnight Summer   somewhat suspicious drop following a decent layoff run in her last.......but less so when the conditioner is Peter Miller who is seldom afraid to lose a horse.......if she is still relatively healthy she will be tough at today's lower level

6  Bonneville Flats   another suspicious drop but this three-year old filly did work awfully well just 6 days ago hinting she is doing OK.......what she needs is her race two back which if she provides it would make her rather formidable today and rated too low

4  Allie's Love

8  Chiefs Lil Pearl

 

race 8    below average clarity

4  Argosy Fleet   monster efforts in both lifetime starts for this Bill Spawr colt and they sure fit well here if of course he is ready off of the 10 month hiatus.........work tab says - yes he is

5  Stone Hands   Gutierrez fits this O'Neill four-year old well as does the Santa Anita dirt surface......recent drills are quite a bit better hinting at a move forward today.......lookout if one does occur

6  Serengeti   one of three lifetime starts is extremely stout and was run back in 15 days following his MSW debut last summer......so.......he might need today's layoff run.....but then again he might not as Baffert is the trainer......tough call

 

race 9    below average clarity

7  Himmah   tepid top selection might be a gimme/go scenario and if that is the case lookout as her "gimme" was rather decent......that and her trainer Mark Glatt is 2 for his last 7 MC to MSW

9  Loving Moment   Geovanni Franco needs to make good use of this girl's tactical speed to get on over to at least the 2 path on turn one........if he gets that accomplished I like her chances

3  Into Glamour   sure like the turf sprint to turf route maneuver for this three-year old running 2nd out following a layoff......but......she will need to run better than she did in her lone turf route run last November.......right turf trainer in Baltas to get a better route turf effort out of her

1  Bella Signora

5  Pacific Strike

 

 

Posted on May 4, 2018 at 6:21 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Santa Anita for Thursday 3 May 2018

2018 Kentucky Derby day full card selections (last year 14 races) for Churchill Downs on May 5th are now available for purchase for $36.95. The selections will be sent to your email at about 4 p.m. pacific time on Friday afternoon, May 4th. Please sign up as early as possible as logistically speaking it helps us out.

NOTE:   Friday's and Saturday's selections at Santa Anita will be posted by 5:30 a.m. pacific time because of the early start at Churchill Downs.

NOTE:  We no longer are giving a 6th selection for the Super High Five fields with 9 horses or more because of the lack of play in the new exotic bet which in my opinion should be dropped.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

5  Magic Musketier   wide trip in last disguises a nice move forward.........in for 85K to get 3 lbs off....... and....... hot bug boy Asa Espinoza is aboard so this colt gets another 7 lbs off........Hollendorfer and company seem to mean business......cut back of a full furlong appears to be a plus

3  True Royalty   Midwest trainer is often at his best 1st time racing in a claiming affair ......that is the case today with this colt......most of this youngster's career fits just fine at today's seldom run three-year old 100K claiming level

6  Platinum Equity   another dangerous looking runner who is up for a tag for the 1st time ........lifetime best was the only time that this gelding ran in a turf route on firm turf......hot rider/trainer combo in Ceballos/Baltas

 

race 2    average clarity

3  Extreme Heat   away since 25 Nov 2016 but returns as a 1st time gelding and training as if the ultimate equipment change has done him a world of good.......that and he drops into MC  for the 1st time for his 3rd lifetime race.......should be in the mix from the get go

5  Git On Your Pulpit   solid move forward in his 2nd lifetime race and it seems noteworthy that the race was at 6 1/2F as that bodes well for his chances of handling 7F........not crazy about the change in trainers but Kathy Walsh has been able to put in two reassuring 5F drills since his last on 6 April

2  Big Bad Gary   strong better than par for today's given level one mile route race run following a 6 1/2F turf race.........6 1/2F grass race 25 days ago - 7F dirt race today.......hmmm

 

race 3    average clarity

6  Tiki Bar Logic   improving with each and every race in 2018 and I sure like the fact that this filly was able to win without the lead in her latest.......the time/effort is more than deserving of today's step up.......3 reassuring works since her last......hard not to like

1  Ransomed   like the cut back in distance of one furlong.....also like the way she is training at Slr especially for a cheap claimer......and lastly I like the fact that this mare was able to win the only time she had to deal with the one post

2  Party Hostess   mare fits if she can repeat her latest but her three works since her 6 April race are a little dull......but then again Asa Espinoza might have chosen to ride this gal over the 1 horse.......tough call as to how sharp this five-year old mare is

 

race 4    below average clarity

1  So Golden   faced way too tough in her latest......race two back in the 8 March version of this race turned out to be a key race.......does show some signs of being a hanger but if she is not one I like her chances

4  Road Test   tough trips in her last two races which were the 8 March & 6 April versions of this race.........bad trips in both and she might have a lot in the tank for today as she was blocked badly in the stretch......quite consistent on the sod since the blinkers were added 6 races back........but take note that she like our top selection shows a tendency to hang

3  Rooms   somewhat suspicious drop following an improved race at the open 50K claiming level......but.......trainer Papaprodromou has struggled in 2018 (1 for 55) and is likely hungry for a visit to the circle of joy.......we shall see

5  Oh Scatty Oh

2  Looking At Thelake

 

race 5    average clarity

1  Queen Bee to You   very good history racing turf to dirt and that is the case today.......should be in the hunt from the opening bell and with a good speed rider in Maldonado

3  Starr of Quality   obvious public workout in her last as not only was she entered against the boys but it was in open company.......that and Spawr is quite dangerous the 2nd out following a claim and that is today's scenario

6  Lostintranzlation   bad trip on the grass in last disguises the effort.......very nice bullet 4F work since......1st time racing a route of ground on the dirt but the way this filly handles the two turns of turf it might produce this gals best dirt race to date

 

race 6    average clarity

3  Joeray   SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE  David Jacobson is up to 19% win at the Santa meeting and a good portion of that has been produced the last 4 or 5 weeks.......colt is 2 for 3 at SA and (2 1 1 0) at the distance.....hard not to like facing easier today

2  Gringo Star   dangerous speed in this affair but not my favorite speed rider up in......but then again he did win gate to wire on this three-year old in his last opening up a 5L lead

4  Don't Stalk Me   bit surprised that this fellow isn't in a protected starter race with the talent he has shown......so for me it comes down to is he a "claim me please" or just placed to greatly enhance his chances of winning........we shall find out about 3 p.m. pacific

5  Royal Trump

1  Pachi the Grey

 

race 7    below average clarity

6  Cimpl Man   like the rider change especially for a race down the SA hill.........and recent a.m. work is improved........(5 1 2 1) on the SA hill and the"miss" appeared to be a "no go"........should be charging hard late

1  Conqueror   very consistent when placed in sprint races.......ran 2nd in his only race down the majestic SA hill grass course......trainer can do no wrong of late.....hard not to like

7  Arms Runner   not sure how ready this colt is off of the 10+ month layoff but if he is fit enough he should be a factor in the outcome of this race

9  Bombard

2  Ann Arbor Eddie

 

race 8    below average clarity

6  Spacerika   one horse trainer sure got a strong race out of his three-year old filly running 2nd at 36 to 1 three weeks ago.......that race at 5F fits well here if she can reproduce it at 5 1/2F........with that layoff race under her belt you would think the extra 1/2 furlong would be doable

11  Sea Glass   lifetime best was run turf to dirt two races back at a significantly higher MC level......turf in last - dirt today........dangerous if her good health has remained intact

5  Pray for Corday    SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE   away since his MSW debut way back in mid June of 2017 where she didn't show much........but she drops from MSW racing to MC30K and with one dangerous looking work regiment showing

7  Mongolian Rahy

3  A Little Romance

 

 

 

Posted on May 3, 2018 at 9:30 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Santa Anita for Sunday 29 April 2018

 

2018 Kentucky Derby day full card selections (last year 14 races) for Churchill Downs on May 5th are now available for purchase for $36.95. The selections will be sent to your email at about 4 p.m. pacific time on Friday night, May 4th. Please sign up as early as possible as logistically speaking it helps us out.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    below average clarity

5  Causeway Carolyn   six-year-old mare just popped her lifetime best in the 1 April version of this race racing 1st time for Peter Miller.......and today she gets a rider upgrade (at least for a turf race) to Drayden Van Dyke

2  War Heroine   Peter Miller who often goes 1 -2 when he enters a couple of runners and he trains our top choice who comes from out of it and also this filly who appears to be the speed of the speed in this 6 1/2 furlong grass race down the hill......such a deal

6  Classy Tune   seems to show up every time including her last when she went off at 51 to 1 in a race down the hill run off of a 5 month break.......she ran a solid 3rd in a small Stakes down the hill........and the trainer/rider have won their last 4 in a row as a team

1  Quebec

 

race 2    average clarity

7  Baby Gronk   powerful layoff run in latest and it was 1st time with Bill Spawr doing the training......four very reassuring works since the 17 March race.......should be a tough favorite in this his 3rd lifetime start

2  Wild Lando   greatly improved in his last two racing endeavors and both are much better than appear in print.......continues to train like a happy healthy individual......should be a major player in this abbreviated 5 1/2F sprint

6  Old Indian Trick   very nice pedigree for sprint racing and he has shown a few solid works in preparation for today's MSW debut.......that and mom and mom's only foal ran well in their debut

5  Soul Owner   

 

race 3    below average clarity

7  International Diva  not so hot of an effort in her 2nd lifetime start which was down the majestic Santa Anita hill grass course.......but her debut in a turf route looks good here.......and back to the jock who rode in her debut

2  Sweet Congrats   showed some lifetime in her 2nd lifetime start and it was at today's one mile turf distance........still in all likelihood she still needs a forward move today......blinkers go on and with the speed she showed in her last she might have enough to kick free early and get loose......thus.......dangerous

6  It's Alexus   horrid trip in latest at 9F on the turf disguises her lifetime best........new jock for today who is only 7% win at the meeting but better than that when riding of late for O'Neill......not out of the win picture by any means

4  Sunday Prophet

3  Foxtail

 

race 4    average clarity

4  Sturdy One   Cerin once again is on fire and the veteran trainer is 10 for his last 35 1st out following a claim.......mare is (6 3 2 0) on the dirt at SA......hard not to like

2  Dis Smart Cat   much-needed drop for this mare who hasn't done much vs. tougher........seems somewhat set up for today.......if that is the case and she brings her "A game"........she will be tough

3  Conquest Flatterme   another Cerin runner who appears to have a shot at taking down this race.........stepped up in her last and won for fun.......steps up again......like our top selection she is a Cerin runner who is hard not to like

7  Be a Lady

 

race 5    average clarity

1  Smiling Angelo   very impressive a.m. work for this D'Amato MSW 1st time starter and with Talamo up who is looking good on a horse of late.......rather sure this is a good Cal-bred 1ster

5  Righteous Wave   strong layoff race in his latest in his 2nd lifetime start......and the strength of the effort is disguised by racing a bit wide pressing a solid pace......very dangerous

6  Flynn   trained exceptionally well prior to his MSW debut but only ran OK........continues to work like he has talent.......switches to the bug boy Ceballos who is very dangerous riding for Miyadi.......deserves another chance

2  Jonas

 

race 6    average clarity

4  Tell Me More   no chance in latest as she broke from the gate very badly......did very well to still salvage a 3rd place finish........prior to her last she showed no signs of being a bad breaking individual.......so a clean start seems likely

2  Arrowsphere   runs best with ample time between starts and this time around she gets it........that and she should get a nice ground saving trip on or just off of the lead.......rebound time

5  Izzys Express   sprint turf MC debut is better than it appears......sets her up well for today's grass route.......but.....I am a bit leery of her pedigree to appreciate the two turns or might have considered her as a higher selection

3  Eurasia

1  Majestic Design

 

race 7    average clarity

5  Aurora d'Oro   best looking set of preparatory drills for an O'Neill 1st time starter in quite some time.....believe O'Neill has a very nice three-year old colt who will display his talent today

4  Bobby Axelrod   very strong MSW debut for this beautifully bred Miller colt.......nice final time and also showed that he has some early zip.......should be a major player in the outcome of this race

3  Eviscerator   bad trip in his MSW debut hides a decent 1st race to start his career.......and he might not have been all that cranked up by Baltas as he went off at 15 to 1 in only a 7 horse field......no less than 5 works since his March 10th run.......Baltas is better with 2nd timers.......dangerous

10  Wicken Fen

2  Upo

7  Causeididitmyway

 

race 8    below average clarity

2  Miss Julia Star   not much in her 1st in the USA way back in November......but plenty of time off for Drysdale to right the ship.....and if he has lookout as she was on quite a roll in France with 4 wins - 3 2nd's - 1 3rd in her last 8 races in France....and 5 of those races were against the boys.....rider/trainer teamed up on Friday with a turf 1st timer who won easily as our top choice at 7 to 1

1  Conquest Tsunami   (4 2 1 1) down the SA hill and appears to be the speed of the speed......that and he ran 3rd in a tough G1 6F turf race in Dubai 29 days ago.....would have made top pick if he had more time off than 4 weeks as shipping back and forth can set back some horses......we shall see

5  Isotherm   D'Amato is rather good getting route horses to adapt to sprint races and vice a versa......dangerous sort

7  Mongolian Saturday

3  Coniah

 

race 9    below average clarity

6  Ground Rules   six-year-old gelding tailed off badly at the end of 2017........plenty of time off to get his act together especially with the red-hot Cerin doing the conditioning......dangerous sort and at a price

1  Gentrified   double barrel action here as Cerin also trains our top choice.......gelding lately responds best to relatively short rest.........20 days since his latest sure qualifies for that......not out of the win picture by any means

3  Eagle Screams   consistent sort the last couple of years........last at 9F was decent but his race 2 back at one mile is solid.........back to one mile today and drops one notch in claiming for his 2nd out following the Miyadi claim........should be a major player

9  Roaring Rule

8  Muchos Besos

2  Shackleford Banks

 

 

Posted on April 29, 2018 at 7:36 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Santa Anita for Saturday 28 April 2018

2018 Kentucky Derby day full card selections (last year 14 races) for Churchill Downs on May 5th are now available for purchase for $36.95. The selections will be sent to your email at about 4 p.m. pacific time on Friday night, May 4th.

Not that much quality for a Saturday card at Santa Anita but an intriguing one that might yield some prices.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

8  Mrasell   last was rather poor.......what we need is her effort 2 back which was strong and disguised by a bad trip in a small Stakes race.......drop into high-priced claiming makes sense by the Baltas folks as she has only earned chump change in her 3 USA starts for her new barn........time to cut into the red ink

6  Cute Knows Cute   latest racing endeavor (albeit on the dirt) fits fine as in better than par for today's racing level.......showed she can motor OK on the sod where she tired badly but dueled in one brutal 1st quarter in a 8F turf affair.........away since November but she is training as if she is fit enough to handle the 6 1/2 furlongs down the hill

4  An Eddie Surprise   seems likely to sit in a nice ground saving mid pack or stalk position which has previously led to two 2nd's and a 1st in 3 races on the majestic SA hill grass course

7  My Masterpiece

5  Neon Gypsy

10  Theodosia

 

race 2    average clarity

7  Chiksika   Kathy Walsh five-year old is racing off an extended hiatus from the game of 14 months but he drops precipitously and he ran well in his career debut......like the near bullet 3F speed work to finish his a.m. preparation as this is his 1st ever in a sprint

2  Lucky Sun   Miyadi is often at his most dangerous with the sprint-route-sprint maneuver and that is the case today for this three-year old......and his sprint two back is par like

1  Over Promised   new to the S Cal scene trainer Falcone has been firing on all cylinders for the most part and he appears to realize this youngster is best in sprint races........and his lifetime best was the only time he has competed at today's 6 panels on a fast rated track

3  Captain N. Barron

4  Royal Seeker

 

race 3    average clarity

1  Fender Bender   race lacks early speed and he appears to have the most and take note that speed and the inside had a good day yesterday.......only race at 6F was run 3 back at Tup in a final time of 109:4 and she was beaten less than 2L for the win.......I highly doubt that anyone in this race that has raced could come close to that at Tup

8  Bless His Heart   work regiment for this Palma MC 1st timer is similar to a couple of MC 1sters that he has won with in 2018.......that and outside of our top choice those that have raced sure haven't shown much

4  Fabrication   fires a decent race now and then but needs to overcome his tendency to hang in the late stretch when he does.......new jock for the 1st time in 8 races gets a try........maybe Pedroza will fit better........we shall see

6  Downside Up

2  Real Quick 

 

race 4    average clarity

3  Queen Blossom   very solid efforts/figs in her last two 12F marathon grass races and latest one run two back in mid January is disguised by about 7L of trip trouble.......see ya Blanc......hello Prat....... making for a rider upgrade

6  Plein Air   8 for 11 now for this overseas invader who won like a good thing in her 1st in the USA.......runs extremely well with ample time off between starts and Baffert wisely gives it to her......should be in the mix from the get go with a decent shot of making it 2 for 2 for her new barn

4  Causeforcommotion   likely needs a little more than her latest couple of races and might provide as the only time that this filly ran in a marathon (11 furlongs) she ran by my book the most impressive race of her career........she sat way too far off a pedestrian pace and still came flying late despite running wide.......trainer is quietly having a good SA meeting

 

race 5    average clarity

1  Soi Phet   can't ever remember selecting a 10-year-old to win a Grade 2 but I am here as this is one weak looking S Cal G2.......gelding loves contact to the front end of things and should get that here and with Desormeaux back up after being absent for a race

4  Dr. Dorr   lead should go to this Baffert five-year old or our top pick......soft time and a loose lead (setting a very doable pace) led to an easy small Stakes win in his last......likely will need more today and might provide it coming off what was likely a stress free race

6  Prince of Arabia   connections will have their fingers crossed that our top two picks press each other hard in the early stages..........if they do this Cassidy 5-year-old might have a shot at a small upset

 

race 6    average clarity

6  Hootie   four-year old colt just popped his lifetime best in the 17 Feb version of the 10F (furthest he ever has run) turf nw alw race.......like last time he has a good chance to be loose on the lead but if he is not he is capable of running well without the lead......such a deal

1  Oscar Dominquez   gelding is by far at his best at today's 1 1/4 turf distance and few in here can say that.....should be closing the  fastest of the many late runners in this affair and with one dangerous grass rider up in Desormeaux

4  Mackie's Water   2 for 2 at SA on the grass with blinkers on.....both of those wins were at 9F in the Spring of his 2-year-old year hinting that he should be capable of 10F now the he is a year older.......not sure if he is ready off of the long layoff but if he is I like his chances

5  Mesut

7  Acker

 

race 7    average clarity

1  Liberty Jack   seems like a good spot for a sprinter attempting to go a route for the 1st time as he showed much better early speed (and final time) in his latest.........that and the bug boy Ceballos has been at his best by far in dirt routes

4  Dad's a Gambler   very consistent for a cheap horse (12 1 5 5 1).........only route race was run two back and is better than it appears in print.......and he just popped his lifetime best racing at 6F in his last.....not out of the win picture by any means

5  Wise Curlin   only two races on main track surfaces when racing around two turns without blinkers have led to a win at SA in his latest and a nice 2nd place finish at GG 8 races back.......dangerous sort

3  Pappou

 

race 8    average clarity

3  Captain Buzzkill   away from the game since early September but sure appears cranked up enough to be ready.....and if he is lookout as has two lifetime races both on the grass (albeit in route grass races) sure look good in this spot.......the strength of both efforts is hidden........1st on the hill is a small ? mark........but a ? mark at a 12 to 1 ML

8  Rumpus Cat   good 1st on the hill in latest but might need a little more to get to the circle of joy today......rider upgrade and/or back in short rest might provide it

11  Jimmy Chila   SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE  believe this colt is better suited to a sprint and gets back to one following 4 route races......should have plenty of endurance when push to come shove coming off of multiple route races

2  Capall

5  Breakers Isle

4  Passionate Reward

 

race 9    average clarity

5  Miss Ricochet   well proven that she is more than capable racing "fresh" and she is 6 months fresh today.....that and Glatt is ever so dangerous with "fresh" sprinters........rather sure this laid up MSW runner is ready to roll

7  Loving Linda   solid one length better than par (adjusted for trouble) MSW debut 4 weeks ago.........3 very reassuring works since......should be a major player

2  Coco Kisses   MSW debut fits fine but his 2nd start does not......needs a rebound........tough call if we will see one or not.......but still dangerous enough to make our 3rd pick-a-rue

6  Fight Lika Girl

3  Got an Obsession   SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE

 

race 10    below average clarity

3  Beat the Bushes   trainer does super with limited starters and this filly is coming off of her lifetime best at Los Alamitos and with a new rider (and by my book an upgrade) for the 1st time in 7 races........toss out her lone effort at SA as she had a bad start which usually is not the case......she should be in the mix from the get go

5  Allie's Love   last 3 of 4 races fit decently.........continues to train like a happy & healthy individual for Art Sherman and company.......very dangerous

6  Duranga   appears best in sprints and she finally gets to race in one.........a suspicious drop for sure but she does retain the red-hot Prat........one of those flip a coin types that I despise

2  Cow Dog

7  Estherfourfourteen

 

race 11    average clarity

9  Skelton Pass   Jacobson is not afraid to drop a given horse significantly in order to win.......that appears to be the case here.......he does not drill his horses too fast yet this one popped a speedy 3F bullet.......rather sure this fellow is well-meant today...... and....... very consistent on the SA hill

8  South Americain   continues to train like a better individual than he has been showing........believe that will finally change this afternoon for this four-year old gelding

12  Calvert Street   away since last August and returns with a new trainer......almost always like when a conditioner takes over the training duties of a new horse and they drop.....often times a trainer will agree to take on a new shooter if the connections are willing to place a given horse where they can win

10  General Ike

2  Yes Yes Yes

6  Executive Cat

Posted on April 28, 2018 at 7:58 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections