Santa Anita for Sunday 26 March 2017

OK race card this afternoon. Let's call it a 6 on the 1 to 10 scale of things. Don't forget that we have a special publication for purchase next Saturday for Florida Derby Day. Click on the banner for Gulfstream Park to find out more details.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

5  Mt. Leinstar   ran 2nd in his latest his 1st as far as one mile and it was at one claiming level higher........he sure appears up for a move forward this afternoon as his works since are vastly improved

2  Spanish Eyes   GG invader who ends up in the Yakteen barn took awhile to become a valid racehorse but he appears that he has developed into a low-level route horse of some merit.......conventional dirt is a question mark but his pedigree suggests he will handle it

1  Iceberg Slim   crushed by out top selection in his latest.....but......if he manages a rebound to his effort two back he should have a shot at the top prize

 

race 2    below average clarity

1  Princess Kendra   Pedroza sure has been able to get the most out of this Spawr four-year old filly who should be up for a move forward 2nd out after the layoff and with a one level drop in claiming

4  Nazareth   at her best at 6F and gets it today........like her race 2 back where she sat much closer to the pace setters with the blinkers on.......believe she will sit about 3 or 4L behind the leaders and try to overtake them in the stretch

5  Kyankes   five-year old mare has seen betters days but maybe the drop to the lowest tag of her career can wake her up

 

race 3    average clarity

4  Ain't Misbehavin  what seems to stand out here is the distance of 8 1/2 furlongs as he appreciates the distance finishing well........ while....... his foes in this affair tend to get a little flat past one mile......and his favorite surface is the SA dirt

6  Out of Patience   might be a good claim by Periban as he sure handles the SA main track very well (11 5 0 4).......he was a vet scratch in the 12 March version of this race.....but....Talamo rides thru the claim so my guess is he is doing OK

5  Hawks Eyes   check for the fronts being off (on the racetrack) as he sure has preformed better with them off......likes ample time between starts and gets it.....dangerous especially without the "fronts on"

 

race 4    above average clarity

1  Nine Point Nine   nearly wired the field despite setting a brutal pace for a 10 furlong grass race........appears as if she can be loose once again and with a furlong less to run......hot rider/trainer combo in Desormeaux and Cerin

6  Liar's Smoker   seems like a sprint turf gimme of sorts in her latest to be at full throttle back at a turf route this afternoon.....and the fact that Hollendorfer puts up Nakatani only supports the notion as they are 2 for 2 as a team over the last two months

4  Enduring Erin   careful here as this gal who has won on the grass (once in 13 tries) is way better on the dirt.......and the last two times she ran turf to dirt she crushed her competition by 4L ......ridiculous 4 to 5 ML for a mare who might be tuning up today

 

race 5    average clarity

1  Seau   seems better with the blinkers off and also running around two turns.....gets both today and 1st time Desormeaux.......and what I like most of all is his improved a.m. work in preparation for today' race

2  Uninvited   has multiple dirt route efforts that are better than par for the MSW level......and she just popped an eye opening 58:4 bullet drill at SA.......but.........she sure appears to be a hanger and especially at today's 1 1/16.......maybe a switch to Bejarano is what she needs to overcome her bad habit.......we shall see

5  Adorned   SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE

7  Principle Bob

 

race 6    below average clarity

4  Arrowsphere   trainer and rider teamed up for a win the other day making it a 2 for 2 over the last two months........useful layoff run for this filly on the main track.......3 good looking works in preparation for her 1st on the lawn......and she owns an OK pedigree for it........seems poised for a solid move forward if she takes to the green carpet

7  Fabulous Lady   double barrel action from Peter Eurton as he also trains our top choice.......drop into high priced maiden claiming sure makes sense as she has been a little short in her races down the hill of what it takes to win a MSW race down the hill.......fits today if she has held form

2  Aquacate   strong 6F split in her latest is very encouraging for her cut back in turf distance today......combine that with a drop into maiden claiming and you have have a very dangerous front running (or at least close to the front) competitor

5  Settle Down Eileen    SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE

 

race 7    above average clarity

2  Skye Diamonds   3 wins and a 2nd since Bill Spawr claimed 5 races back.......1st at a route but gets a good post and has trained awfully well on the SA training track in preparation for her new challenge.....will likely be in the mix from the get go and I don't see her giving in until it doesn't matter anymore........as in....... well past the wire

8  Sheer Pleasure   toss out last 3 races as she dislikes the turf and off tracks......most of her career on fast rated dirt fits well here.......and her recent work series hints she is up for another strong race......won the 2016 version of this race last year

6  Roo's Valentine   very consistent sort racing at one mile on the dirt.....seems muscled up coming off of a winning turf sprint as her a.m. work she is feeling exceptionally well......not out of this

3  Time for Ebby

 

race 8    average clarity

6  Place des Vosges   most of those field comes from far out of it so this Baltas mid pack type runner should be close to the front today and in the driver's seat with Nakatani up.......and he is coming off of a nice 10 furlong win so she should have plenty of endurance for today's one furlong less of grass

2  Barleysugar   talk about a total lack of speed in a race......believe Baze will recognize he might have the most early speed in this group and go after a loose easy paced lead.....that makes this filly very dangerous

3  Laseen   Frecnh invader has twice beat 14 males overseas at racing levels that seem slightly better than today's.......so if this Cassidy import is ready she likely will be very dangerous

 

race 9    average clarity

4  Breezing   Hollendorfer is dynamite with maiden claiming 1st time starters about double his overall win percentage which is really saying something......a.m. work at LA is up to snuff......mom has tossed one winner from one to start so far......hope we are looking at 2 for 2 after today

1  Passed by Paul    strong efforts/figs the only two times this gelding got to compete on fast tracks with the blinkers off.....and his last effort is disguised by dueling on a dull rail on Feb 19th.......should be tough despite a tough post at 6 1/2F and a low percentage rider

2  Mind Reader   no support at the windows in both lifetime MSW starts........so the drop into maiden claiming seems more meaningful than it usually is.....and his recent a.m. work hints we will see an improved effort this afternoon

6  Lucky Lucciana

7  Edwards Going Left

10  Gunner Grey

 

Posted on March 26, 2017 at 9:16 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Santa Anita for Friday 24 March 2017

Seems like a good card today so let us call it a 7 on the 1 to 10 scale of things.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

4  Moonlight Blue   major league rider upgrade and 2nd out after the layoff seemingly has this three-year old ready for the effort run two races back......if my assessment is correct he sure appears to be the one to overcome

3  Harrovian   bad trip in latest and a brutal trip two races back........drops lower from mdn75K to mdn50K and draws Bejarano.......sure seems like a major factor in the outcome of this race

1  My Farmer   poor trip in MSW debut which was run down the SA hill earning a fig when adjusted for his trouble that is par like.......owns a decent pedigree for the dirt and the distance......low percentage trainer but it seems meaningful that Desormeaux remains up for his 2nd lifetime start

5  Super Echelon

 

race 2    average clarity

5  Lyrics   the 3 drills since this Mandella 2nd time starter ran indicate he benefited from the race and that a forward move is likely to occur.....to what degree seems to be the ? mark

1  Tiz the light   SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE

3  Danuska's My Girl   decent work tab for this Hollendorfer 1ster and I like that he finished up with a nice 5F work only 5 days ago..........mom has tossed 5 winners from 6 starters including a Stakes winner........

 

race 3    average clarity

3  Law Abiding Citizen   ran 2nd versus vastly better in his latest in a Grade 2 at 7F on the SA dirt......1st on the sod today but he owns a decent pedigree for it........should be in the mix from the get go and tough to beat if he handles his new challenge

5  Rockin Rudy   set a nasty quarter in his 1st down the SA hill and still managed to hang on for 2nd.......impressive endurance building 6F drills since........should be tough from the opening bell

2  Interrogator   seems somewhat inferior to our top two choices but the race shape seems to favor his off pace style which makes him a threat.....but definitely easy to put as our 3rd selection

4  Elwood J

 

race 4    average clarity

6  Second Proposal   lone win at the meeting for a struggling trainer in Craig Lewis who appears to want another win rather badly (and that likely includes his owner) as he doesn't move this gelding up in claiming as he is deserving of such a move......if this fellow repeats his last he as a decent shot at winning once again

2  Eddie's First   dropped way down in his last and won for fun........drops again.......voided claim 3 back.......flip a coin as far as his health is concerned......obviously he is not in the best of shape...... but....... how bad?

5  Courageous Dave   Miyadi is very stout off of long layoffs......this 1st time gelding has been away since 9 April 2016.......drops.....and working quite well and especially so for someone like Miyadi who doesn't push them too hard in the a.m.

4  Cherokee Dynasty

Long-shot consideration:  8  Prohibition Repeal   decent layoff run in latest and drops one claiming level this afternoon.......and now he gets a significant rider upgrade.....not impossible but easy to put as our 3rd pick-a-rue

 

race 5    average clarity

4  Midnight Harbor   solid return to the race wars following an 11 month hiatus from the battlefield.......and the works since hint even better can be expected today from this Hollendofer four-year old gelding

2  The Topsider   race lacks speed and this gelding might have as much as anyone in the field....... and...... that is disguised by the position he sat ( 7th but at 22:1 and then 9th but at 45:1) in a very fast paced affair........and his trainer Pil D'Amato is very stout dropping multiple levels

5  Gato Dulce   just claimed by Glatt who sees fit to have his new shooter gelded........Glatt is cold as he hasn't won in about a month but it is always tough not to consider him 1st out following a claim.......as in 25% with his last 100

3  Big Hearted

 

race 6    average clarity

5  David's Memory   not much in his 1st three lifetime races all run last summer.....2 for 2 following a 5 month layoff including a nice win down the SA hill two races back......and back to Bejarano who rode that effort down the hill.......seems likely to get a nice up close or on the lead position with what should be a reasonable pace........such a deal

1  Anatolian Heat   toss his latest as he dislikes the dirt........might be at his very best sprinting on the grass and his recent works hint he might be ready for a top effort.......right surface - distance fits - sharp works - top rider/trainer combo......hard not to like

8  Record Highs    too ambitious in his last two racing endeavors.........1st time gelding today.........away since May but likely will be a factor if he is ready off of the extended break from the game.....tough to tell

6  Informality

 

race 7    average clarity

8  Sid the Squid   responds well to ample time between starts and gets it......impetus for the significant drop appears to be rather simple......Art Sherman and of course the owner could use a win......after all they are not pets......well most of the time

9  Sharp Holiday   like the rider change back to Pedroza in this spot without much speed........good gate jock seems likely to hustle this filly early and do so in a race that lacks early speed.....like his chances if he sits 1st or 2nd in the early stages and avoids getting caught wide on the turn

3  Forthenineteen   seems better prepared in the a.m. this go around than he has been recently.......and......with 1st time blinkers and a switch to a hot speed rider

2  Truly Ponte

 

race 8    above average clarity

7  Saburai   blocked in the stretch in his latest or would have won the March 3rd version of this MSW race......and I like that the hot rider/trainer combo of Desormeaux and Cerin remains intact

9  Sally Simpson    big time owner Reddam's first timer goes off at 74 to 1 in a 6 horse MSW debut.......hmmmm.......you think that was a spin around the track......works since her debut are so much better than what they were prior to her MSW debut.......1st on the lawn with a good pedigree for it.........trainer is good with 2nd time starters.......hmmmm

1  Line   Line our top pick in her MSW debutbut stumbled very badly at the start and then showed that she can run like we thought......would have rated higher if it wasn't for her bad stumble as so often horse's run badly following a race in which they stumble

10  Kenda

8  Red Shelby

3  Chocolate Coated

 

Posted on March 24, 2017 at 8:32 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Santa Anita for Thursday 23 March 2017

So so card this afternoon but the good news is that I do like Friday's. 

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

(if races are taken off of the turf: 6-1-7-5-3)

6  Bedeviled   SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE

5  Formulate   drops significantly in claiming and back to Bejarano who owns the only win for this four-year old and it was his lone mount on him......should be motoring in the late stages

7  Adrosa Sky   lone lifetime race on the grass was run off of a long layoff in mid July at Woodbine at 6 1/2 furlongs......the effort is much better than appears in print and he might not have been fully cranked for his layoff run.......1st at a route but he owns a good pedigree for one

1  D Day Dude

 

race 2    average clarity

3  Bar Scene   consistent sort to date appears to be a good fit in this spot and with the added plus (if it is a factor) of handling a mud floated track...... so...... if the surface has any moisture it likely wouldn't hinder her chances

5  Zulu's Petals   seems a little short fig wise but she appreciates the 6 1/2 furlong distance while most in here seem better running a little shorter

4  Herunbridledpower   might be a good claim by Diodoro of a filly on the upswing........and I like that the conditioner rides Maldonado thru the claim as he fits her front running style

 

race 3    below average clarity

2  Hitters Park   both lifetime races fit well here and his last effort is disguised by a tough trip racing a touch wide and doing so close to a strong set of fractions........small drop helps........newcomer Israel Ocampo has for the most part been given live mounts from Peter Miller

5  Power of Hope   away a very long time but is working as if he is ready and as a 1st time gelding.....and the drop makes sense as this guy is now five and this is only his 5th lifetime start........2 of his 3 lifetime sprints fit solidly here at today's softer maiden level

8  Bucky Goldstein   dismal trainer with 1st time starters (and overall only 1 win with 33 starts in 2016/17) but I can never recall any that trained as well as this five-year old is training.......seems like a force if he runs like he works

4  Picture Tube

Long-shot consideration:   6  King Pacal   not much in lone start way back in December of 2015 but he is working like he can run some.........trainer & rider teamed up for a win Sunday........and........the last time the trainer Jaime Gomez sent out a laid up runner of more than 3 months he won and paid a handsome price

 

race 4    average clarity

(if races are taken off of the turf: 6-7-2-5-4)

4  Farley   if this colt's running lines/history is worth a hoot he is sitting on a solid race as it has been gimme/go........gimme go..........gimme ???.......  go go go today

6  Kopitar   might have graduated in his MSW debut if he wasn't blocked a couple of lengths in the stretch.......might have left something in the tank for his 2nd lifetime start being blocked and all in his 1st start......believe he will be in the mix from the get go

2  Gummy   plenty of furlongs of work put into this Mandella first time starter.......that suggests he is meant and ready for his debut into the wonderful world of thoroughbred racing

5  Pavelski

 

race 5    average clarity

6  Will Tell   seems like he is much better suited to a sprint and he should have good endurance when push comes to shove with the cut back in distance from one mile to 5 1/2F.......and 1st time Bejarano.......should make a good account of himself this afternoon

7  Rainbow Squall   2 of 3 lifetime races which include his last race and his race three back fit well versus today's competition....... and.......one of the efforts was on an off track......trainer George Pappaprodromou is quietly having a good Santa Anita meeting to date

1  Oopper Wallah   his two shortest races so far in his career were at 6F and they were his best two races of his 6 race career.......so.......5 1/2 furlongs has a decent shot at being to his liking as well.......we shall see

5  Bitte

 

race 6    average clarity

4  Rockantharos   suspicious drop in claiming but not as much as normal as Miller is not afraid to drop a horse........seems like a 60/40 proposition that this filly is healthy enough to hold most of her form......if that is the case she can make it back to back wins

8  Street Goddess    3 for 8 at the distance and 1 for 10 at other distances.......and.......not too bad of a spot to be a late running filly

9  Gianis   seems to be  on a rebound of sorts and retains Brian Pena who sure has fit this seven-year old mare well in her last two starts..........winning at 33 to 1 and then running 3rd at 16 to 1.......seems dangerous

5  Easter Fever

 

race 7    below average clarity

(if races are taken off of the turf: 2-7-4-3)

3  Lucy De   ran rather well in her latest at 10 furlongs especially considering her pedigree suggests that 10 furlongs of turf is too far.........so the cut back of one furlong should be a signicant plus....... and ......with Prat not available Desormeaux grabs the mount

7  Allowances   SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE

5  Mrs. Norris    best two lifetime grass races in eight run were the only two times she competed at 9 furlongs like today.......good with ample time between starts and gets it.......and the fact Espinoza shows up for one mount today supports the notion she is meant and ready this afternoon

4  Sweet Dragon Fly

 

race 8    average clarity

1  She'sluckythatway   SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE

9  Just Be Held   double barrel action from Miyadi as he also trains our top selection......sure like that Desormeaux sticks around for a 3rd straight race despite the fact that this filly has never been better than 6th.......drop obviously helps as does a vastly improved drill since her latest......best ever seems likely today

8  Silver Apples   only dirt endeavor wasn't too bad......and it appears two straight grass races muscled this filly up some.......believe she is prepared to run her best ever.......to what degree seems to be the question mark

6  Munny Spunt

7  Dan's Irish Cop

5  Dizzy Diva

 

 

Posted on March 23, 2017 at 6:27 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Santa Anita for Sunday 19 March 2017

Only one day left to save $5 on our special publication covering the Stakes races (likely 8 of them) on Florida Derby day at Gulfstream Park on April 1st.

Best of luck as always!

race 1    average clarity

5  Juansagain   great spot for Richard Baltas to have this runner ready off of the layoff as he essentially gets a shot at a level he can potentially dominate without being eligible to be claimed......recent works support the notion

3  No Problem   Mike McCarthy runners have for the most part been firing on all cylinders and that is somewhat hidden........ran over his noggin in last likely to dirty up his form some and drop and put some doubt into the minds of the claiming vultures lurking.......Prat rode the "gimme" so you know he would be aboard today

2  Last One Standing   obviously not the claim the connections were hoping for as they drop their new shooter multiple levels.......but ...........he might have a race or two left in him and if they win today they can break about even.......race two back is solid and would make him a major player here

 

race 2    above average clarity

4  Atomic Action    great spot for Jeff Bonde to have this runner ready off of the layoff as he essentially gets a shot at a level he fits well without being eligible to be claimed......good a.m. preparation and the right jock up as Maldonado has won 3 of his last 5 over the last two months for Bonde

3  Cupid's Choice   last three fast track dirt races all fit and his latest is disguised by a rough trip.......would have been top choice if it wasn't for the fact that he was a vet scratch on March 4th in a MSW affair

8  Empire Ruler   might be a good claim by Ellis and company as his last was his best to date and is somewhat better than appears in print......and with the new trainer comes a new rider and he is an upgrade and predictably very dangerous on his father-in-law's horses

5  Gigantis

 

race 3    average clarity

4  Milton Freewater   back to Prat after being absent for a race........and both of this colt's lifetime scores have come the only two times he did not race in Stakes races......allowance race today........sharp a.m. work

6  Bobby Abu Dhabi    needs to be ready fresh and my guess is that he is as he won his MSW at today's 6 1/2F and did it in a effort/fit that would make him part of the win picture here........Miller and Arroyo......as hot as it gets in S Cal as a trainer/rider combo

5  Midnight Pleasure   looking for his race two back where sat close to a brutal pace and still stuck around for 3rd in a Grade 1......and today we get a major rider upgrade from a jock in a slump to one that is a Hall of Famer

 

race 4    average clarity

(AE 12  Particleacelerator   has shot if draws into the field)

8  Conquest Sabre Cat   does well sitting close to the pace....... so........ 1st time running with blinkers seems to be a smart move.......as is the rider switch to Bejarano after two straight bug boys riding who like most apprentice riders find the grass more difficult than the dirt

5  Langham   wide trip in his MSW debut or this colt would have graduated in his debut which was way back in July at at today's 1 mile turf turf........off since but obviously showed he can run fresh.......and choosey Mike Smith sticks with the colt

6  Ziconic   Zenyatta youngster has one very impressive race which was her 3rd start of his career in a route dirt race.......if he is ready to roll fresh off of a long layoff and is able to run similar on the grass today he would be the one to overcome.......owns a decent pedigree for the sod and he did run well in his debut

1  Orion's Belt

Long-shot consideration:   2  Latitude   work regiment for this laid up gelding is so much better now than what he showed last year ..........so....... running as a 1st time gelding might be significant.......good post and has some tactical speed  to sit close up and save ground

 

race 5    above average clarity

5  Lord Simba  only race run at SA which was on 14 Jan was one of the fastest MSW heats in many a moon......his effort likely would have been good enough to graduate in about 98% of the MSW affairs run at SA.......plenty of rest to recover.......jock could use a win especially for Baffert and best get the job done here

3  Who's Hot   dwelt & reared in his MSW debut and then showed he can run.......blinkers on and Prat remains up.....sharp bullet gate.......top connections so it seems likely that he will leave the metal monster cleanly today

2  Rafter One  SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE

1  Uncle Billy

 

race 6    average clarity

8  Riri   decent layoff run down the hill in her latest........won her only other race down the hill for fun and it was her MSW debut.....highly likely to move forward 2nd out after the layoff.....not a lot of speed in here and she has some.....hard not to like

1  Nickname   another from a good barn running 2nd out after a layoff following a decent effort down the hill......rather sure we will see a move forward with Mandella and Prat at the helm

3  Symposium   broke slow and was rank on the 1st turn and that was especially bad as she was shuffled back in a pace-less affair and didn't have any pace to close into.......that route race which was her 1st in the USA should set her up nicely for today's sprint.....and she was a good turf sprinter in GB in 2016

7  Corps de Ballet

Long-shot consideration:    9  Indriya   brutal trip given by a rider who has struggled trying to break into the S Cal racing scene......jock upgrade today and one impressive 7F work two weeks ago.........and might have the best early gas in the field

 

race 7    average clarity

3  Sly Humor   both off tracks stand out as her best lifetime races but her latest wasn't really that off.......if that is the case she is the one to beat......if not the top prize might go to someone else

6  Aura Rose   might be a good claim by Baltas of a filly who just won for fun to break her maiden 5 weeks ago......Baltas has been able to put 4 works into her since......believe she is sitting on another strong effort but likely needs to avoid a suicidal speed duel with our top choice one way or another

1  You're the Reason   new trainer takes over and he might have the trump card for this filly as the works since last are markedly improved.....and look who sees fit to ride.......Mr Desormeaux

8  Fallout

 

race 8    average clarity

8  Conquest Farenheit   pressed a brutal pace down the hill in latest and still was victorious down the hill.....and his Grade 2 run last fall at WO was very solid running 134:2 as a two-year old.......add to that the top rider/trainer combo at the meet and you have an easy pick to place on top

2  Taxman's Quest   strong Oklahoma invader winds up in the Mandella barn (never had to write that before) and he is working lights out.......not exactly a classic turf pedigree but if Mandella and Prat believe he will take to it that is good enough for me.......my guess is he has worked on it somewhere between Oklahoma and S Cal....maybe secretively.....lookout if that is the case

5  Taco   another strange invader who I believe has talent who is 4 for 4 lifetime all on the grass and has handled 3 different turf surfaces.......not crazy about the jock but he 1s two for two on the colt and the trainer is a stout 34% over his last 87 with shippers.....yikes

9  Zakaroff

Long-shot consideration:   1  Big Sky Logan   still a maiden but has a good post and plenty of pace up front to possible make a strong late run from the back of the pack and at a price

 

race 9    below average clarity

13  My Man Chuckles   excuse no. 1 - off track for debut.......excuse no. 2 didn't care for the blinkers on....blinkers off and a fast track and facing much easier.......has always worked like someone who could compete in the lower maiden claiming ranks

4  Liberty Jack    SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE

8  Soft Trip   two of his four lifetime starts seemingly make him a factor in this soft field especially his race 3 back which would be a solid fit versus this group

14  California Cajun

 12  Autism is Here

3  High Class Taste

 

 

Posted on March 19, 2017 at 9:06 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Santa Anita for Saturday 18 March 2017

Only a few days left to save $5 on our special publication covering the Stakes races (likely 8 of them) on Florida Derby day at Gulfstream Park on April 1st.

Average card at best today. Let us call it an 5.5 on the 1 to 10 scale of things.

Best of luck as always!

race 1    average clarity

6  Bottle Service      MSW debut which was run two back was impressive as he was green early and sat way too far off a very slow pace......when he got his act together he showed a good stretch run.......much better rider up today than who rode in his debut.......recent speed drill hints he will sit closer today

2  California Journey   Mike Puype is rather dismal when he starts a 1st time starter on the grass but this youngster's a.m. work is too good to ignore .......and he sure is bred to handle the sod and a route

8  I Can Do This   blinkers back on might be a move that will put him on the lead as he showed good route speed on the dirt in his last......not nuts about his turf pedigree but if he does take it I like his chances to be a major player here

9  Checkaboomboom

 

race 2    below average clarity

5  Madiba   seldom gets a good trip including his latest which is better than appears in print......so running as a 1st time gelding has the potential to help him out to some extend.....lookout if it does

3  Tribal Jewel   voided claim in last and a dull race.......yet Spawr doesn't drop when he could without much fear of being claimed.......obviously has issues but might rally for a rebound with the 2 1/2 month break

2  City Steel   seems best taking back some especially racing as far as 1 1/16th........like his chances if the connections are thinking the same way

 

race 3    average clarity

3  Malibu Royalty   showed life in his lone grass race which was at 6 1/2F way back in May........likely needed her latest run off of the May to Feb layoff......blinkers back on and just what you want to see as in a much better recent a.m. prowess........believe Baze can be forwardly placed and grab the wood for at least turn 1......tepid top pick but should go off at a handsome price

4  Dalsaros   so so sprint turf debut but it might have legged up this filly up as she has been able to work an average of every 7 days since 30 Jan........and her last drill hints she is very sharp right now........and I sure like that Prat sticks around for a 1 for 22 at the meeting trainer in Gaines

6  Road Test   on the improve with every start and his last might be good enough if his dirt ability transfers equally to the grass.......average turf pedigree at best

 

race 4    average clarity

4  Kenjisstorm   solid layoff effort in his last racing somewhat wide pressing a strong set of fractions.........and today he gets a jock upgrade especially for a grass race.......solid recent a.m. work to boot.....should be a factor from the get go

5  Rye   race shape is seemingly not in this late runners favor...... but...... it might not matter in he can repeat his latest which was his lifetime best.......same distance/surface/turf course/jock

8  Stringent   quite impressive in 3 of 4 lifetime starts including his latest which was his 1st on the grass and at a route.......works since are good.......would have rated higher if I wasn't slightly concerned about his ability to get another furlong today.......why.....Dam's sire Salt Lake gets awfully iffy past one mile

2  Prime Attraction

 

race 5    average clarity

5  Rebel War   low % trainer but not dropping MSW to maiden claiming and racing off of 90+ day layoffs........that is the case today for this colt who has run 3 lifetime races that all fit decently at today's MC100K level

7  Excavation   like when D'Amato is willing to enter at a lower claiming tag to get weight off......3 lbs off for entering for 85K and another 7 with the bug boy up.........colt has been flattening in his MSW races.....but.....doubt he will today with the drop into MC and with the this colt having 7 to 10 lbs less to carry than his opponents

2  Braddock   no support at the windows (56 to 1) in his lone race last Oct in a MSW race has gimme written all over it.........returns with a work regiment that hints that this time around is not a tune-up.......we shall see

1  Sagittari

 

race 6    average clarity

2  Boldly True   last might be a spin around the track to dirty up his form and drop with less of a threat of being claimed.......latest work on 11 March is quite a bit better than he has shown since late Dec.......dangerous (hoping that he is set up for today) drop down

6  Rangi   SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE

4  Boone Docks   toss last as he is not much of a route horse and ran too wide anyway.....toss out previous as the blinkers on experiment was a dud....races 3 and 4 back fit.....popping bullet works.......hmmmm

3  Too Fast to Pass

 

race 7    average clarity

3  Enola Grey   love the way she is capable of going eye to eye in solid fractions down the hill and still able to win going away at the wire.....how to you beat that

8  Cuddle Alert   keeps out running her odds and gets one significant rider upgrade.......our top choice should ensure a solid pace up front and this mare appears to be the sharpest of the off pace runners

2  Roo's Valentine   SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE     overcame a tardy start and still pulled off a win down the hill .....responds well to ample time between starts and gets it......might be able to save ground stalking a strong pace

4  Desert Steel

 

race 8    average clarity

4  Ivan El Grande   lone win and a race that looks awfully good here was her MSW debut at Sun......so with a strong work series showing this colt seems ready to roll fresh once again

7  Kenji's Storm   blinkers on and took the plunge from MSW racing to low-level claiming in his 2nd lifetime start.....and he responded with an 8 1/4 length win.......D'Amato is an impressive 29% with his last 86 repeating after a maiden win.....so why not top pick?......as well as this fellow ran why isn't he placed in a protected starter alw 40K nw2

2  Solar Zone   sure liked being loose on the lead at least in an abbreviated 5F dirt sprint.......so T C Baze will likely be all out early to get a loose lead once again.......not impossible to get another furlong today if he does

6  Carulli

 

race 9    average clarity

3  Finest City   extremely versatile B C winner seems to handle any surface or distance thrown at her.......and in her only 2 turn dirt race she ran only 2L behind the mighty now retired Beholder (note: that our 3rd choice raced 12L behind Beholder the only time she raced against her)

7  Wild At Heart   slow winning time in her latest in a Grade 3 moved from the turf to the dirt.....but she had the trip from you know where......broke slow - ran somewhat wide - and did so close to the strong pace........and she still won by 3 1/2L.....retains Prat who this time appears like he should get a good trip sitting off what should be a lively pace

2 Vale Dori   very consistent sort might be placed a little low but she was nowhere the only time she ran in a Grade 1..... and...... she had some awfully good pace scenario's in winning her 3 straight Grade 2's and beat the same semi-weak local bunch in those 3 wins......still.......dangerous but maybe vulnerable

4  Show Stealer

 

race 10    average clarity

4  Catfish Hunter   very poor trip in MC debut checking multiple times and still managed to snatch 3rd only beaten by 2L .......smartly is stepped up into MSW racing.......1st on the grass and 1st at a route sure fit his pedigree.......good post and good turf jock in Baze......trainer has had a good meeting

5  Quick Finish   SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE   works - pedigree - and the fact that Prat lands on this Dan Blacker 1st timer suggest that all systems are "go" for this colt's MSW debut

8  Marckie's Water   on the improve with every start and his pedigree seems better for the grass which he showed he can handle 2 races back......stout rider/trainer combo........if he manages another forward move he should be a major factor in the outcome of this race

7  Burnt Cognac

2  Candy's Martini

9  I'd Be Sad an Blue

Posted on March 18, 2017 at 9:33 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections