Del Mar for Friday 10 November 2017

Short on comments for a while as I just had cataract surgery on one eye and I get easily worn down using the computer screen. It likely will have to be this way all weekend. Sorry about that.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1   below  average clarity

6  Public House   Mulhall seems as if she is trying to turn this filly into a sprinter.......believe her last run off of layoff at a route at two levels higher was a route conditioner where she was placed at a level that no one would claim her for......she might have been pointed to an 8K......shows up in a 12,500 race and with a solid preparatory work.....trainer might really like what she is seeing

2  Tuscany Beauty   dangerous speed especially if the racing surface returns to day 1 or 2 of the new meeting and not day 3, 4, and 5 where it was hard on speed both turf on dirt

3  Sweetwater Gal

5  Papercoversrock

 

race 2    average clarity

4  Radio Chatter    blinkers off is a key move for Baltas as in 33% with his last 58..... and...... might be even more meaningful for a horse making his for 1st out under his guidance.....significant trainer upgrade and just what you what to see as in a vastly improved work tab

9  Bona Fide Image   seems to need 6 furlongs to put in the kind of finish that can get her to the winners circle for the 1st time.......2 2nd's and 2 3rd's in her last 4 races at 6F .......two of which were run at Del Mar.....might be a hanger and if she runs like I think she will today and fails to go by at the wire I will peg her as one

3  Ransomed

2  Ramona Lover

 

race 3    below average clarity

6  Afleet Ascent   tepid top selection ran an OK MSW dirt debut over at Lrc but likely the connections always had turf in mind as mom has tossed 3 turf winners from 5 starters.....went for $300K in April which is one expensive LA bred

4  Jimmy Chila   O'Neill is at least 0 for his last 27 with debut runners starting on the turf....but......the a.m. work for this MSW 1st timer is too good to ignore.....many works of merit including his last showing which was on 31 Oct and was an impressive bullet 5F gate work at Slr

7  Beer Tap

2  Kershaw

 

race 4    above  average clarity

8  Cute Knows Cute  tough spot in last in a two turn turf Stakes race............likely muscled up from the effort and with more endurance......was on the improve prior to his grass race ........solid co- best in the field number with our 2nd choice in last dirt race......same track just needs to get another furlong 

3  Fracas   aforementioned solid fig/effort for this Callaghan runner who produced it turf to dirt....can he do it dirt to dirt.....we shall see

7  Moonlight Mystique

4  Innyminniemineymoe

 

race 5    above average clarity

8  Miss Boom Boom   last 5 grass races fit fine here and the two times she was put up for claiming she won.....Prat - Hollendorfer - a steady work series and back in claimer,,,,,,,,,hard not seeing as a major player here

7  Rosie My Rosie  hadn't been on the turf since mid May at CD and really welcomed a return to it with a solid better that par for today's level effort.....15% trainer in Hess but he is 6 points better than that with claiming repeaters....this girl might feel really good coming back in 2 weeks rest....we will find that out at about 2:30 p.m. this afternoon

3  Little Bit Lovely

10  Speak Up Sailor

 

race 6    average clarity

8  Tiz Wonderfully   sprint-sprint- route maneuver for this Cassidy two-year old filly who ran two decent sprints to start her career.......trainer shows signs of snapping out of the doldrums .......so with that in mind the recent improved a.m. work seems more significant than usual

6  Spiritualist   MC sprint debut sure appeared to be a tune-up of sorts to drop a couple of maiden claiming levels and be well prepared for today's route ........good sign the meets leading rider Prat sticks around.......solid pedigree to get a distance of ground

10  Sudden Light

2  Shook

 

race 7    average clarity

4  Ms Wakaya   both lifetime grass races which were run in winter at SA fit well here with the one run on 28 Jan being rather hidden by a bad trip.......nice sprint prep.....sure like the subtle work tab (considering the barn) since the dirt sprint...... especially the 6F work put in just 5 days ago....likely feeling good

7  Battleground State   three-year old filly is on the right end of the learning and her last is disguised by a wide trip in a pace-less race.......and...... since Mr. Drysdale has had a decent 2nd half of 2017 my guess is this grass horse will move forward once again.....and you have to like Prat sticking around

3  Speakers

6  Winemenow

 

race 8    average clarity

8  Callie Mesa   showed little in her 2nd lifetime endeavor which was at Santa Anita in a maiden claimer.....debut was at Dmr and it was a much better effort and she went off at 35 to 1 hinting she might not have been cranked up that much and surprised the barn.....might greatly prefer the Del Mar surface....if that is so lookout today as the rider up today is much more accomplished than the rider up in her debut

9  Wild Edie   nicely bred and with some decent works showing for a MC32K two-year old filly 1st time starter.....mom has tossed 4 winners from 4 starters all of which were able to graduate at two........good trainer/rider combo/friends over the year in Hess & Desormeaux.......rate it about 60/40 that youngster is meant and ready

2  Mariana's Girl

4  Venice

1  Take Charge Gal

11  La Chepis

 

 

Posted on November 10, 2017 at 9:53 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Del Mar for Sunday 5 November 2017

I have always had a soft spot in my heart for Del Mar as the Santucci's spent a couple of weeks there multiple times in winter staying at my sister's small place a couple of blocks from downtown. I am mentioning this because it came as no surprise to me that Del Mar the track and town (and San Diego) put on a 1st class show and environment. Sadly my sister moved years ago or I would have been there.

Be back with you on the next day of racing which is Friday.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

6  Z Z Tiger   very nice work regiment for this Jeff Bonde owned and trained two-year old....and I like that Rosario wants the mount ........one of only two he is on this afternoon......and this appears to be a weak group to make your maiden debut against

5  Copper Cowgirl  moved forward nicely in her last her 2nd lifetime start.......work tab since hints she might improve again.....as good a chance as any in here to get to the circle of joy if she does

3  Carpathia

 

race 2    average clarity

6  Lovely Raqel   lone race on fast rated dirt and at today's 6F easily stands out as her best and the strength of the effort is disguised as she broke slow and ran wide.....about 5L of trip trouble which was what she was behind the winner.....away for 11 months but working up to snuff and appears to have caught a soft bunch

3  Duranga   useful MSW debut and being that she had little support at the windows for a Hollendorfer 1st timer one would surmise she will move forward in her 2nd lifetime start

5  Kentan Road

 

race 3    below average clarity

1  Native Treasure   tepid top choice likes Del Mar (4 2 1 0) and he seems to have woken up with the switch back to dirt racing........and I like that Roman sees fit to ride thru the Yakteen claim

3  Matriculate   fits fine if Spawr has him ready off of the extended hiatus from the game....tough call if he does.....trainer has had a great year so let's call it 60/40 that he does

4  Indavidualist

 

race 4    above average clarity

4  Medaglia Gold   could have won a Stakes race in her latest if it wasn't for a very wide trip and doing so close to the pace setters.....big bullet 5F work since.....rider upgrade....hard not to like

6  Tesora   won her lone lifetime start in mid September at GP and did it impressively overcoming a bad trip to win a 5F grass race......trainer is stout both 1st at a route and when he ships....and he gets Rosario to ride......very dangerous 2nd time starter

5  Retro

3  Klosters

 

race 5    average clarity

2  Big League   believe this affair will produce a lively pace and that should play into the hands of this Peter (floating on air after a great B C day) Miller three-year old gelding if he takes back some.....drop is significant and seems overdue

4  Southern Keys   very solid work tab for this laid up Machowsky four-year old who has an abundance of speed and who also has a 10 lbs apprentice rider up who has won 1 of 3 sprint mounts.....fresh speed is dangerous speed especially carrying only 112 lbs

1  Short of Ez

6  It's Tiz time

 

race 6    average clarity

1  Morning Dance   10 post led to a predictable wide trip in her latest which somewhat hides how well she ran......1 post today and with her biggest challenger that I can see sitting on the outer-most 8 post......the D'A is stout 2nd time route and 2nd time turf and both are the case here

8  Sasini   another coming off a wide trip where she did beat Morning Dance by 3/4 of a length.....but with the much better post position for our first choice it made it logical to make this filly the 2nd selection

5  Malibu Model

7  Scandal

 

race 7    average clarity

7  Go Ghetto   lifetime best was run two back in his only race run at Dmr.....claimed in his last at SA and Baltas seems to have a handle on his newbie as the works are solid over at Slr........and it seems noteworthy that over the last 2 months Baltas and Risenhoover have won 2 of 5 with one other hitting the board

9  Make It a Triple   last two times this gelding was up for  tag he ran races that would very likely win this affair and his latest might win this by multiple lengths....but .......he only shows one dull work since his last and the drop following such a strong race hints he has slipped some........how much is the ? mark

4  Rick's Dream

1  True Ranger

 

race 8    average clarity

4  Moonless Sky   nice turf sprint in her last should have her all set for a solid turf route effort today especially considering this filly is dynamite at the distance (6 4 1 1)......that and Hall of Famer Desormeaux knows her inside and out as this is the 8th straight mount on her

1  Jeremy's Legacy   seemingly best on the sod at Del Mar (2 of 5 in the win column) and both lifetime wins were at today's one mile turf distance.....good grass rider and good post.....should be a major factor in the outcome of this race

7  Cordiality

3  Bernina Star

 

race 9    below average clarity

9  Topgallant   believe this three-year old moves forward some today racing off of shorter rest and with 2 drills put in since his latest on 14 October......feeling better and his lifetime best is at Del Mar

8  Brilliant Light   always hard for most barns to drop an expensive (in this case $350K as a yearling) purchase to the bottom level of maiden claiming but that is the case today.....hopefully if they win this race it can still bring at least a small smile on the connection's faces

7  Vow's Son

10  Super Duper Cooper

5  Bourbonmademedoit

6  Mr. Magico

 

 

 

 

Posted on November 5, 2017 at 8:36 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Del Mar for Saturday 4 November 2017

Del Mar and the Breeders Cup. You have to love it!

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    below average clarity

1  On Leave   filly was in need of a rebound of sorts and she provided one at Lrl in her latest.....needs to repeat the effort today and if she does she should be tough racing at a turf distance where she is (4 3 10)....quality grass rider knows her well

10  Madame Stripes   consistent sort might be at her very best at Del Mar on the grass and her last three one mile grass races are solid 2nd place finishes that fit well here if Talamo can work out a good trip from a fairly difficult post

14  Sassy Little Lila  8 for 8 in the exacta when racing on firm or good rated route turf affairs .......nasty post for sure but she has an abundance of speed with only a couple of competitors with similar speed....so she has  shot at getting over to the 2 path or better by turn one....should be a player if that happens

9  Majestic Heat

7  Kitten's Roar

 

race 2   above average clarity

6  Bookies Luck   very sharp recent a.m. work......trainer is awfully tough with sprinters that have good speed and this two-year old Cal-bred has just that.....and one solid rider in Kent Desormeaux

1  Smoken   three straight 2nd place finishes in Cal-bred Stakes races......and the 7F appears to be  a plus for her and won't be for many in here.....only selected 2nd because the only time she had to break from the one hole she had a poor start

2  Night At the Opera   solid 2nd place finish in a small route Stakes race at Otp......that route effort she give her plenty of endurance late when push comes to shove in the late stages of this race

8  Shulace

 

race 3    average clarity

5  Sound and Silence  talk about an experience advantage for this colt.....8 two year old races so far (8 4 2 0) and all were overseas in turf sprints.......has handled 5 different grass courses to date so I doubt the change in environment will be a factor.....carried 130 lbs in his last.....120 lbs today might make him feel awfully good warming up

8  Out of The Flames   Euro filly took on the boys in her latest and nearly beat them despite a poor start......did lose to our top choice but by less than one length.....gets one of the West's top grass riders in Pratt who won 4 of yesterday's 10 race card

1  Fairyland   another filly taking on the boys.....one sharp trainer in Wesley Ward with grass sprinters......handled the one post at Sar just fine......should be in the hunt from the get go this time....cut back of 1/2 furlong appears to be a plus for her

2  McErin

3  Count Alexander

 

race 4    average clarity

7  Moonshine Memories   back to back Grade 1 wins and 3 for 3 overall with two of those wins on the Del Mar dirt...... and .....trainer Simon Callaghan has turned into one S Cal's top trainers joining the ranks of some very big names in the horse race game.....should be in the mix from the get go

1  Heavenly Love   nice forward move turf to dirt for this filly to win a Grade 1 and in his first lifetime route race.....decent post and like our top selection she should be forwardly placed.....works since her Grade 1 win at Kee hint she has never felt better

13  Separationofpowers   very nice two-year old filly for Chad Brown and company who I would have rated higher if she had drawn a better than the 13 post.....and not just the 13 post but the difficult outer-most post in two turn affairs

9  Alluring Star

3  Princess Warrior

 

race 5    above average clarity

3  Lady Aurelia   exceptional turf sprinter and with one fine trainer with sprint turf horse's in Ward.......3 year old filly carried 132 lbs against the boys at York in her last and still only lost by a nose....race prior to that again against males she beat 16 horses by 3 or more lengths in a Grade 1 at Ascot......should be tough as nails with a good post and rider

12  Pure Sensation   6 for 10 "at the distance" and ran 3rd in the BC turf sprint last year and did so at 6 1/2 furlongs a distance that does not suit her as much as 5 furlongs.....not an easy post but he has won from the 9 and the 12 posts in turf sprints the last two times he had outside posts.....trainer does well when he ships including to S Cal

6  Marsha   filly seems like the best of the Euro's (if you don't count our top choice as a Euro) and beat our top choice by a nose at York in the aforementioned race.....not impossible at all to do it again but she might be compromised some from sitting back in a race where the tight Dmr turn is a different animal than what she sees for the most part in Europe

1  Disco Partner

8  Cotai Glory

 

race 6    average clarity

11  Unique Bella   brilliant filly has won 5 straight by and average of over 6 lengths and she is capable running on or off the pace......and her trainer has been terrific with young fillies and not too shabby with young colts either.......believe she win might win by daylight once again

9  Finley'sluckycharm    8 for 10 lifetime on fast rated dirt and she might be at her best at today's 7F distance....that and she also really pops 2nd out following a layoff.......like the trainer when he ships.....not impossible to upsst our top choice but she better run her best to date

4  Finest City   won the version of this race last year and in general she seems at her best at 7 furlongs.......but like our 2nd choice she will need to run her best ever or hope the "Bella" falters one way or another

10  Highway Star

2  Paulssilverlining

 

race 7    below average clarity

9  Lady Eli   amazing how top-notch grass horses can be so consistent like this Chad Brown five-year old mare as in 10 wins and 3 2nd's in 13 lifetime starts.....missed by a nose in the 2016 version of this Grade 1 race.....that race was at 1 1/4 while today's is at 1 1/18.......and I believe she is better at 9F than 10F supported by a perfect 3 for 3 at the distance

14  Rhododendron   nasty post but owns a ton of talent especially racing off of 5 weeks or less....last race 34 days ago.....and that was a Grade 1 win in France at about 10F....and she appears much better suited to today's 9F......should have plenty of endurance coming off of the mini marathon she ran in her last

1  War Flag   seemingly on the improve with each and every race and if the trend continues today on the biggest race of her life she might save sound ground breaking from the one post and possible pull off an upset

8  Grand Jete

5  Wuheida

13  Goodyearforroses

 

race 8    above average clarity

10  Imperial Hint   facing easier but he has been crushing his competition out east....and in his last he broke the elusive 108 flat barrier in a race at Prx.......works since and the fact he shipped cross country while retaining Castellano all suggest he is up to similar today

8  Roy H  ultra sharp right now and two of his last 3 6F sprints are better than par for today's lofty level.....stout trainer with sprinters in Mr Peter Miller

2  Drefrog   would have rated higher if this Baffert speed-ball was a little more consistent at the start of his races.....if he breaks well his placement is likely placed too low as our 3rd selection

3  American Pastime

 

race 9    below average clarity

4  Lancaster Bomber   needs firm turf and did not get that in his latest endeavor which was at Ascot just two weeks ago....rider looked like he has just out for exercise......race 2 back at WO on lasix is very solid and disguised by a bad trip......the only other time he ran on lasix was in the BCJUV mile turf at SA where he ran 2nd and steady twice or could have won........today's jock was up that day and is as well today.....hopefully he is appropriately named today

6  Zelzal   very solid off of about 5 weeks rest as in 3 for 3 and 2 of those races were Grade 1 affairs.....that wasn't the case in his last run in France and the effort wasn't that bad.....5 weeks rest today....seems ready for best

5  World Approval   cut back in distance sure worked out well for this Mark Casse six-year-old as he won two consecutive one mile turf races......and his work tab since has last is very solid hinting he might be up for a 3rd in a row......Johnny V wisely sticks around

10  Ribchester

1  Midnight Storm

12  Roly Poly 

 

 

race 10    average clarity

11  Bolt d'Oro   only two-year old in the race with two Grade 1 wins on the dirt and one of them was at Del Mar......and his last win which was his 1st at a route was one powerful effort/fig........should be tough to overcome if his big performance in his last didn't take its toll some

2  Solomini   exits the some strong race as our top choice and in my own figure work I have him running about 4L less of effort than the "Bolt"......better than the 7 3/4 lengths he was beaten.....and since the trainer is Baffert there is the obvious potential for more

6  Good Magic   still a maiden but don't let that fool you as his 2nd place finish in a Grade 1 in NY was impressive.....first in a two turn race and 1st as far as 1 1/16th....with his pedigree both should be a plus

5  Free Drop Billy

3  Firenze Fire

 

race 11    average clarity

12  Beach Patrol   1st ever at the distance of 12 furlongs and did he take a liking to the marathon distance running what might be his lifetime best....and that is saying something as good as he has preformed in his career for Chad Brown.... 2 for 2 since Rosario took over and both wins were Grade 1's......hard not to like

9  Seventh Heaven   filly loves the marathon distance and has beaten the boys at the distance in the past including in a Grade 1.......ask yourself why would the trainer ship across the pond following two straight dismal races.....my guess is that both those races were public workouts..... and if that is true..... look out today

3  Highland Reel   trainer Aidan O'Brien also trains our 2nd choice and whereas our 2nd pick will be a price this fellow who won this race last year at SA will be one of the favorites.....note that the jock who rode Highland Reel when he won this race last year now is on Seventh Heaven

8  Bigger Picture

5  Ulysses

 

race 12   above average clarity

1  Arrogate   nice rebound in his latest but the effort wasn't nearly what he is capable of.......but he might have greatly benefited from the effort as his a.m. work hints he is going to move forward.....lookout if he does

8  West Coast   talk about on the right end of the learning curve......last might get it done here and his trend hints he might even show more this afternoon.....Smith landed on Baffert's Arrogate......Baffert gets Castellano to fill.....that'l do ....LOL

11  Collected   triple barell action form the Baffert barn as he also trains this fine four year old colt who has won many races that are better than appear in print......he preforms very well with ample time between starts and gets it as in 2 1/2 months.....very dangerous sort

5  Gun Runner

9  Gunnevera

2  War Decree

 

 

Posted on November 4, 2017 at 7:06 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Del Mar for Friday 3 November 2017

Hope you enjoy these two great days on racing. I do prefer tomorrow's card. Saturday's card will be posted by 5 a.m. pacific time.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

6  Mr. Hinx   awfully solid record in sprint races on the dirt or the turf (7 5 1 0).....trainer has had a very good year in S Cal in 2017......and I like he has been able to land a strong NY rider for this afternoon's race

5  Americanize   very consistent on main track surfaces (7 2 5 0) and a trainer in Simon Callaghan who has turned into one of S Cal top trainers joining the ranks of some very big names in the game.....hard not seeing this fellow not being a major factor in the outcome of this race

3  Leading Scorer   three-year old colt needs ample time between starts and Baffert shows patience and gives it to him.....seems like the speed of the speed and with money Mike Smith aboard

1  Silent Bird

 

race 2   below  average clarity

6  Soglio   after 3 straight dull races Graham Motion dropped this three-year into a conditioned claiming grass race where this gelding ran his best race since last winter......and Motion bothers to ship him cross-country.....that tells me he is on the rebound and dangerous

11  Ritzy A.P.   lifetime best and somewhat hidden was his effort 3 back which was the last time he ran on the Del Mar turf.....and he has a much more accomplished grass rider up today than he had in that 3 Sept race at Dmr

4  Temple Keys   laid up since May when he was eased up (but walked off) but Baltas appears to have him ready fresh off of the bench with a tightly spaced work regiment....fairly smooth runner and you can say the same about his rider when he is on  a turf mount 

10  Lazzam

5  Start a Runnin

 

race 3    average clarity

1  Prime Issue   speed of the speed and I sure like that he handled the one hole the last time he had it....... and the effort was arguably his lifetime best.....that and when he has been up for a tag he has usually be very tough........up for 40K today

2  City of Light   seems likely to sit in a nice stalking position behind our top selection......and his last two races are better than par for today's level by quite a bit when you adjust for pace and/or position

3  Donworth   believe he is the best of the off pace runners in this race and he is one for one at the somewhat specialized distance of 7 furlongs.....dangerous sort

10  Dabster

 

race 4    average clarity

8  Spiced Perfection   quite the break thru in her latest in an effort that if she is up for similar today she would be tough for today's competition to overcome......that and she acts as if another furlong to cover will be to her advantage and the 7F won't be to the liking for many in here

6  Pulpit Rider   won her last two rather easily so she likely feels good for today's race.....but......if our top choice gets a good trip and repeats her last this filly will need about 5L of improvement to compete for the top prize

3  Ismelucky   on the improve with every start and if the trend continues and she gets a decent pace to close into she might have a shot to be a major factor when the wire approaches

1  One Fast Broad

 

race 5    average clarity

6  Ground Rules   improving by leaps and bounds since the white hot Cerin  claim .......ran way too wide in his latest doing quite well to only get beat by 2 3/4 for the win......2 for 3 at Dmr and owns an interesting pedigree for this ultra marathon affair

7  Hard Aces   very few are proven at today's 1 3/4 miles (or further) but he is as he ran a distant 2nd in last year's version of this race......that makes him hard not to like....same rider as last year as well

3  Destin   lifetime best was run last summer in the 12 furlongs Belmont Stakes where he just missed winning at 8 to 1.....that makes him dangerous if he can manage a rebound of sorts as he was better at 3 than he has been at 4.....but Pletcher didn't ship him cross country without feeling he can rebound......might be feeling better.......lookout if he is

1  Archanova

 

race 6    below average clarity

2  Happily   really responds to Moore in the irons with 3 wins and a 2nd in 4 mounts......solid Euro jock should be a ble to sit mid pack and save ground in this large field where many will be hung out to dry with wide trips.....only runner in the field with 2 Grade 1 wins

8  Significant Form   stout rider/trainer combo over the last two months to the tune of 30% win with their last 44.......not only does this Chad Brown two year old filly own 2 wins in 2 lifetime grass races but she also trains on the grass brilliantly.....a lot of the attention will go to Brown's other runner( our 4th pick) but I like this girl as she has a much better chance to work out a good trip with her tactical speed and a better post

6  Orbolution   two for two in two turn grass racing and both of the races were at the tough Saratoga meeting and by an average of more than 3 1/2 lengths.....that and John Velasquez knows her well-being up for all 5 lifetime races

11  Rushing Fall

7  Capla Tempress

 

race 7    below average clarity

3  Sharp Azteca   5 wins - a 2nd - and a 3rd at the distance......training lights out including a sizzling 5F drill since arriving at Del Mar.....trainer is dynamite with shippers......all three of his efforts on the east coast leading up to today fit solidly at the B C level

6  Mor Spirit   3 for 3 at today's one mile distance and overall is a brilliant 11 of 13 in the exacta.......away since June but with Baffert at the controls there is a high probability the he is ready for a top effort

10  Practical Joke   three-year old has been impressive in almost every career start and it sure seems noteworthy that he is a perfect 5 for 5 racing at one mile or less and two of those 5 wins were at one mile

8  Accelerate

9  Battle of Midway

 

race 8    below average clarity

1  Mendelssohn   stepped on very firm turf for the first time and nearly upset the apple cart running 2nd in a Grade 1 at Newmarket at 50 to 1......likely exited the race in good shape for his trainer to ship across the pond.....not that much speed in this race and he owns some....seems likely to hold the wood as long as possible....a good thing with the tight Del Mar turns

8  Voting Control   not very good trips in either lifetime starts with his latest especially hidden as he had trip trouble and sat too far off a pedestrian pace and still nearly won a Grade 3......Castellano is as good as it gets on the turf and I doubt this Chad Brown colt gets another bad trip.....very dangerous and at a price....... especially considering the connections

5  Beckford   OK on soft turf as witnessed by a nice 2nd in a Grade 1 in Ireland..... but.......it appears that he might be even better on firm turf and that is supported by his trainer shipping to S Cal where it is more likely for the ground to shake than for it to rain

4  Catholic Boy

11  Snapper Sinclair

 

race 9    average clarity

6  Forever Unbridled   Dallas Steward has done an excellent job of training this five year old mare when preparing for Grade 1 races where she has consistently fired strong efforts.....and that includes last year's running of this race where she was ring behind Beholder and Songbird at the wire....highly doubt anyone in this field could have done that

5  Elate   razor-sharp right now and her recent a.m. work suggests she is more than ready for today's big race with a good shot to make it 3 straight Grade 1 wins....... although if she wins I doubt it will be by the wide margins she won at in New York

2  Stellar Wind  such a quality race mare would easily be top selection if this race was at 1 1/16 or less where she is (12 10 1 1).....at today's 1 1/8 distance she is only ( 3 0 1 0).......absolutely dangerous but vulnerable some in the late stages

4  Abel Tasman

 

race 10    average clarity

5  Vigor  love the cut back in distance for this Mott speed ball as she has led by daylight at the 5F mark of all 4 of her turf sprints.....I also like her 3F bullet preparatory work on the Dmr turf 5 days ago......one of the east coast's top turf jocks wisely sticks with the Mott runner

2  Belvoir Bay   believe Pratt will save ground and take back some hoping the race falls into his hands.....and Peter Miller is awfully good with turf sprinters

4  Firsthand Report   consistent sort and two of the best in the nation at the helm in Castellano and Pletcher.......seems best in grass sprint races and she is coming off a good win against the boys in her latest....still she might need her very best today as this might be the toughest field she has ever faced

7  Snack Shack

9  Long Hot Summer

1  So Sweetitiz

 

 

 

Posted on November 3, 2017 at 8:22 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Del Mar for Thursday 2 November 2017

Selections for Friday will be posted by 7 a.m. pacific time and selections for Saturday will be posted by 5 a.m pacific because of the early post times for the two Breeders Cup days.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

5  Sappho   best turf credentials of anyone in the turf MSW affair.......top echelon turf trainer and rider......1st at a route with a pedigree for it that is better "long" than "short".......should be a major factor in the outcome of today's opener

2  Luminoso   solid move forward in 2nd lifetime start (and 1st on the sod) running 2nd despite a slow start from the one post in a race down the hill.......and like our top selection his pedigree to handle the two turns is very good

10  Breezy Bee

6  Lady Bug

 

race 2    average clarity

2  Jes Jaa   last race at Santa Anita fits.....race two back which waa run at Dmr and at today's 7F distance is very strong......trainer has had a very good go of it in 2017

3  Swiss Minister   this gelding's last race surprised me in that I thought he would not hold it together at 6 1/2F and yet he did just that and had to cope with a solid set of fractions........only needs to get another 1/2 furlong.....jock/trainer are 3 for their last 7 as a combo

5  Tasunka Witco

1  Fueled by Bourbon

 

race 3   below  average clarity

6  Goodthingstaketime   all of her races in Ireland appear very strong for today's MSW level.....and arguably her best of all was the only time she ran on the grass with some firmness to it.....welcome to S Cal......1st time Lasix.....solid grass rider in Geroux

4  Camino Song   nice improvement in her 2nd lifetime start running wide and checking a length and she was still able to beat 6 of 9 foes.....blinker go on today to help her focus....route today and her pedigree suggests that is a better deal for her than a turf sprint

2  Thisoleheartofmine

1  Our Slick Chick

Long-shot consideration:   7  Biscate   lost about 11 lengths in her debut (only was 9L behind the winner at the wire) taking an awkward step or something and racing wide in a MSW race down the hill.....should be one big price at post time

 

race 4    average clarity

2  Royal Trump    two-year old gelding sure improved in his latest both in pace and final time 1st out following Cerin claim....last sure fits if he can repeat the effort....cut back of 1/2 furlong appears to be a plus

5  Luke's On Fire   another coming off of a forward move in his latest endeavor.......two reassuring work outs since........like our top choice if he is up to a repeat of his last he should be a major factor in the outcome of this MC50K affair....1st on the Dmr dirt is a ? mark

1  Time for Cioppino

4  Big Bad Gary 

 

race 5    below average clarity

7  Salsita   significant rider upgrade especially so for a turf route......4 for 8 on the Dmr turf.......2 for 15 elsewhere.....lifetime best was at today's distance and at Dmr......hard not to like this Hollendorfer six-year-old mare

4  Be Mine   filly has been running well against better but she was a vet scratch on October 6 so her physical condition is a concern.......but on the other hand Prat is willing to stick around

9  Girl Downstairs

8  Ava Forty Seven

 

race 6    average clarity

7  Freedom Journey   three-year old filly has proven she can run stoutly "fresh" and she is 2 1/2 months "fresh " today.....that and she seemed very cranked up and ready.....smart move as the connections realize they might lose her by way of the claiming box today and the purse money would ease the pain

2  Sly Humor   like the confidence that Cerin shows in this filly as he steps her up multiple levels 2nd after claim.....and he teams up with Desormeaux his top go to guy these days (as in 3 for their last 5)

3  Lady Ninja

6  Betdesilvergold

 

race 7    average clarity

5  Twentytwentyvision   away since April but returns with 1st time blinkers and the a.m. work hints the equipment change has done him a world of good.....and he has won fresh off of the bench in the past....gets Prat off to a good start at the new meeting with 2 turf wins yesterday one at 4 to 1 and the other at 14 to 1

2  Moonlight Drive   consistent grass runner is often at his best off of layoffs.....away since late January for Baffert and company and with a solid work tab that you would expect from a Baffert returnee....good history in the USA when breaking from the  1 or 2 post ( 3 2 1 0) and all with Bejarano up

1  Ample Sufficiency 

6  Tequila Joe

Long-shot consideration:   3  Forever Juanito    consistently tries hard....and he has been at his best at one mile when competing on the Del Mar turf course

 

race 8    average clarity

6  Tybee Island   blinkers on and just what you want to see as in vastly improved works......and Baltas is one of the more reliable trainers when he shows good works.......three year old gelding might be ready for his mug shot this afternoon

4  Bardstown   lookout if his last off of a 4 year layoff was nothing more than a public workout.....because if it was the drop from MSW to the bottom is more significant than it usually is.......Desormeaux sticking around hints that it was a "gimme"

10  Gator Don't Play

3  Divulge

5  Physchedelicat

1  Clifton Beach

 

Posted on November 2, 2017 at 8:51 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections