Santa Anita for Thursday 25 October 2108

Don't miss out on purchasing the Breeders Cup at Churchill Downs on November 2nd and 3rd. (Breeders Cup races only. 5 two-year old races on Friday and 9 three and up races on Saturday)

OK card to start the new week of racing at Santa Anita.

TAKE NOTE THAT RACE 3 has a Super High Five carryover of $14,210.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

1  Subic Bay   mare had a tough trip in the 4 October version of this race.......believe she will be sent early by T C Baze sitting 1st or 2nd in a race that seems to favor those that do.......Baze could use a win and might get one here

2  Peach Cove   won the aforementioned 4 October race and did so despite a bit of a wide trip and having to deal with a pedestrian pace up front from the back of the field.......that and most of her career fits very well at the 20K.......Van Dyke wisely stays put

5  Believe Indeed   Just claimed by Pender and I like that he puts up Bejarano who has been getting his mojo back of late........like our top selection look for this five-year old to sit closer.......five year old mare seems likely to be a player today

 

race 2    average clarity

5  Calf Moon Bay   Hollendorfer is firing on all cylinders and has this youngster training awfully sharp (definitely the best of her life) for her 1st attempt at a route......sprint-sprint-route scenario and for a two-year old filly who is well-bred to take to the two turns

2  Claudelle   two-year old filly has the best credentials in the race and she owns a good pedigree for a route........would have easily been top choice if Sadler wasn't so cold at the fall SA meeting

3  Enaya Alrabb   last sure appeared to be nothing more than a tune-up to gear up and be ready for her 1st at a route which she sure is bred to handle.......works since her debut support the notion

 

race 3    average clarity

(Super High Five carryover of $14,210.)

1  Kristi's Copilot   last two 6 1/2 furlong turf races down the majestic Santa Anita hill grass course (run 4 back & 10 back) fit solidly in this spot........sharp recent speed drills should help make the switch back to sprinting following 3 straight route races

2  Cool Green   good history at SA on turf that is rated firm.......1 for 2 in races down the hill......significant rider upgrade.....trainer is 24% win with his last 38 route to sprint.......a superfecta worth of reasons to consider this six year old gelding

5  Blackout   new dangerous trainer in Peter Miller takes over the training duties of this fellow who has raced in numerous locations including once at SA.........and.......for the most part vs. better.........1st and the hill is a ? mark as is the fact he hasn't passed a horse in a very long time

4  R Cha Cha

 

race 4   above average clarity

2  Awesome Anywhere   red-hot trainer in Hollendorfer and with a gelding who is (4 3 1 0) at SA and just ran his lifetime top 1st out after the Jerry H claim and at today's distance.......and it is very reassuring that he has been able to work twice since his 6 Oct nw alw win

6  El Huerfano   another coming off a strong win (albeit in a dirt route) who hints he has remained in form with a nice 4F work a week ago........that and he ran two strong 2nd place finishes the only two times he has run at today's 6 1/2 panels on the dirt

1  Lookie Loo   bit short on numbers if either of our top picks repeat their latest but then again Mr. Baffert is (18 8 2 1) at the SA Fall meeting.......yikes-o-rama

 

race 5    average clarity

12  Big Base   exits a key race where she had a wide trip and beat 5 of 8 foes.....but......what really catches my eye is her two works since her last and with the blinkers on (assuming of course they were on for her works).......believe she will be in the mix from the opening bell likely stalking our 2nd pick

11  Come On Kat   somewhat of an alarming drop but if this Baltas three-year old filly is still in relatively good health she sure appears to be the controlling speed.........thus.......very dangerous

6  Crackling Bread   race 2 back fits.......and she appears to be somewhat set up for today's race which is her 2nd out after the Periban claim.........one mile turf race in her last to muscle her up and help her endurance - 7F dirt today........not out of this but easy to make as the third selection

5  Sweetener

7  Trappiza

 

race 6    average clarity

4  Magic Musketier   strong race two back cutting back in distance and racing off of short rest.......same scenario today and with recent a.m. works that suggest his last (kind of dead in the betting as well) can be ignored and that he will be up to his "A game" this afternoon

1  East Rand   just claimed by Yakteen who 24% win with his last 2 dozen 1st following a claim runners.........3 of his last 4 races fit and he gets a significant turf rider upgrade for today......such as deal and hard not to like

5  Fight On   another with a significant turf rider upgrade........handled one lifetime turf sprint OK......and handled his lone route race which was on the dirt........mix those two together and it says a turf route should be doable

6  Shadow Sphinx

 

race 7    average clarity

4  Ransomed   last two racing endeavors fit awfully well in this spot and her latest is disguised by very wide trip in a fast heat vs better where getting beat by 17 lengths and with the bad trip work out for an adjusted for trouble Santucci fig that is still better than par for today's level.......that and one awakening trainer in Belvoir is at the helm

6  Duranga   nice improvement in latest 1st out after the Mulhall claim.......voided claim you say......not to worry too much about that as Mulhall puts her in a protected race suggesting she has her filly feeling OK

7  Sly Humor   unimpressive a.m. preparation for her layoff last on 1 September......better a.m. work since and like our 2nd choice it seems like a good sign that Cerin sees fit to put her in an affair where she can't be claimed.......and she does her best running at SA

5  Princess Dorian

 

race 8    average clarity

7  Beyond Pleasure   takes that ever magical drop from MSW racing to MC40K for her 1st on the sod which she owns an OK pedigree for.......that and at least 1/2 the field seems to be racing over their respective heads

9  Lucky Knickers   both lifetime turf races are better than par for today's lower level and one of them was down the SA hill.......hard not seeing a major factor in the outcome of this 6 1/2F MC40K affair

1  Second Fiddle   both lifetime races (which were both turf sprints and one of which was run on the hill) peg her as a player.....but.......trainer is cold......rider is cold......they are uncharacteristically only 1 for their last 14 over the last 2 months.......maybe they help each either jump start things here

3  Exes N Ohs

10  Street Congrats

 

 

 

Posted on October 25, 2018 at 9:25 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Santa Anita for Saturday 20 October 2018

Don't miss out on purchasing both days of the Breeders Cup at Churchill Downs on November 2nd and 3rd at a discount. (Breeders Cup races only. 5 two-year old races on Friday and 9 three and up races on Saturday) The $26.25 price will only last thru Monday.

Take note that (check our racing calendar) there will not be a publication available tomorrow Sunday the 21st of October.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    below average clarity

5  I'm Ready to Roll   (3 2 0 1) record on the dirt when wearing blinkers and with no front bandages......blinkers on again today...... as for fronts take a look in the post parade........stout rider/trainer combo......that and 2nd out after a layoff is s strong stat for the trainer

3  Freddies Dream   trainer has won 2 of his last 3 racing 2nd out following a layoff.......that is the case today and with a rider upgrade........very consistent history racing at today's distance (8 2 1 4)

6  Above Board   one-dimensional type (lead type only) made a break thru in his latest winning from off of the pace........that gives bug boy Espinoza options.......he seems likely to sit 1st or 2nd down the back stretch in this small field with only 2 speed horse signed up

 

race 2    average clarity

5  Six Point Rack   very solid races at one mile on the grass and his latest run 8 weeks ago is disguised by a bad trip (checked back early and ran a bit wide).......runs well with ample time between starts and 2 months qualifies for that.......nice work regiment.......back to Prat who has done well on this Puype gelding in the past

6  Save Ground   race lacks speed and he seems to have enough to get a stalk position or maybe even lead in what might set up well for those that do

1  Jet Set Ruler   sat near the rear in his latest in a race with a pedestrian pace up front and still managed to win to graduate........away since his 17 August graduation day and training as if he is ready.........believe he will sit closer today and if he does Stevens has a shot at getting back to back wins

 

race 3    average clarity

4  Pocket Personality   both lifetime races on the Santa Anita dirt fit nicely if he can run as well around two turns.......likely feeling good for Eurton to step him up in a protected race.......believe bug boy Espinoza will send early

3  Rinse and Repeat   very consistent on the dirt since the blinkers were put on and he also has shown better early speed.........definitely has "hanger" tendencies but he might grab the lead in this spot and then there will be nobody to "hang on" and he might wire the field

1  Kershaw   not the best of horses out of the gate but bug boy Figueroa got him to break well the last time he rode (3 back) and it was a gate to wire 13 length win albeit in a sprint.......dangerous sort if he does leave the metal monster cleanly

 

race 4    average clarity

7  Wild Verse   poor trip two back.....earned an adjusted Santucci fig that is 3 1/2 lengths better than par for today's lower level.....much better bug boy up today than who rode that race two back......such a deal

6  Friendly Steve   exits a fast at Lrc running his lifetime best........and now draws the attention of Gary Stevens for the 1st time.........and when Gary Stevens gets on a "cheap" horse these days you best take note

9  Lucky Wally   solid forward move in his 2nd lifetime start and worked a sharp 4F at SA since hinting he might be up for even more this afternoon..........Wally fits fine if he is

3  Grand Minister

5  Serve Me a Double

 

race 5    above average clarity

5  Eddie Haskell   loves the 5F distance on the sod (5 3 1 1) and he just popped one strong effort to win at 5F at Del Mar racing 3 wide pressing a hot pace......ran that race off of ample time between starts and once again Glatt shows patience and gives him plenty of time off again

4  Richard's Boy    another solid individual racing at the abbreviated turf distance of 5F.........hard not seeing him be tough here......mostly made 2nd selection because he has to carry 127 lbs......ouch

1  Tribalist   SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE needs his very best and might give it as he just worked a blistering 46:3 best of 56 bullet drill 6 days ago and gets the red-hot Gary Stevens up for the 1st time

 

race 6    average clarity

3  Baby Ice   best on the SA surface.......and prefers running without the blinkers.......got both for the first time in her latest and really responded with a lifetime best that sure fits solidly here

5  Sharona   dull record at SA but careful as most of her races at The Great Race Place were a bit too ambitious as in over her head.......small drop should help.........by far at her best in abbreviated sprint distances of 5 1/2 furlongs or less

2  Dressed in Prada   steadily improving last winter and graduated in style with a 6 1/2L win on March 9th.......away since and placed at a level to succeed and that level hints this is not a gimme or the connections likely would have placed her higher so as to protect her from being claimed.......we shall see

1  As a Rule

 

race 7    average clarity

2  Fairy Tale Bliss   exits a very fast heat of MSW two-year old fillies where running 5th and getting beat by 4 1/4 lengths still worked out to be a strong figure........a.m. work since hints she is even sharper for her 2nd start........Kent Desormeaux wisely sticks around

3  Mercy Mercy   nice forward move in her 2nd lifetime start and 1st at a route......good speed displayed in the race......so.......if he takes to the sod (in her 1st race on it) she has a great shot at being the controlling speed in the race.....only sibling was a turf winner

8  Posh Holly   ran 4th in a 100K Stakes race in her 1st in the USA following 2 races in Ireland.......the time of the race was poor but she went off at 39 to 1 hinting she needed the race......not out of the win picture by any means......pun intended

9  Ask the Customer

7  Shes All Woman

 

race 8    below average clarity

8  Tough But Nice   seems at his best competing at today's 6 1/2 furlong distance.......appears to have the most early speed in the field (but not by a wide margin) and performs well when he is able to get a loose lead

1  Ninety Nine Proof   2 for 3 since the fronts were added........voided claim in last but just put in a nice 5F work hinting Miller has him feeling OK......if that is the case he should be a major player in this Cal-bred alw race

4  Fire to the Wire   another who has improved with the fronts on (6 2 3 0).........nice record at SA as well (8 3 2 2).......... claimed by Andrew Lerner in his last and with the claim comes a rider change and it is an upgrade albeit not a big one

6  King Abner

5  Older Brother

 

race 9    average clarity

2  Temple Secret   many signs point to this Neil Drysdale MSW 1st time starter being ready at 1st asking.......good grass pedigree.......top turf rider Prat accepts the mount........prolonged work tab........and just worked a 4F best of 12 bullet drill just 3 days ago.......all systems go

5  Vantastic   nice dirt MSW debut over at Lrc.......two reassuring work-outs since........owns a decent pedigree to handle the turf.......rider sure could use a win as in 1 for 32 to start the fall SA meeting

1  Storms River   plenty of work put into this Sadler MSW first starter who has a decent pedigree for the turf and the right jock up ..........Sadler/Van Dyke have won with 5 of their last 10 as a team over the last 2 months and with two others hitting the board

8  Volubile

3  Platinum Nights

 

 

Posted on October 19, 2018 at 7:02 pm by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Santa Anita for Friday 19 October 2018

Don't miss out on the 25% savings by purchasing both days of the Breeders Cup at Churchill Downs on November 2nd and 3rd. (Breeders Cup races only. 5 two-year old races on Friday and 9 three and up races on Saturday) The deal will only last thru Sunday.

Take note that (check our racing calendar) there will not be a publication available this Sunday the 21st of October.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

3  Queen of the Track   SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE  sure appears loose on the lead here and with the red-hot Gary Stevens up......and a good portion of his success of late has been with Jeff Bonde......1st on the sod but her pedigree for it is decent

6  Discreet Diva   both lifetime turf sprint races fit at today's lower level and her latest is hidden some but getting fanned out badly crossing the dirt.......first running in a route but she owns a pedigree that says she should handle one

2  Archana   needs a drop into MC and gets one......also she gets a significant rider upgrade for a grass race.......still she will need a forward move......maybe racing at a route (good stat for the D'A) will provide one

 

race 2    average clarity

3  Popular Kid   (4 3 1 0) in dirt route races since the blinkers were put on last May........claimed in latest and working well........repeat of either of his last two dirt route races would highly likely make for a another visit to the circle of joy

5  Mercer Island   last wasn't too bad but what we want is his effort two back which was at today's level but run down south at Del Mar.......recent solid 4F work at SA hints we might see it

4  Crown the Kitten   seemingly spent too much time racing on the sod........(7 1 3 1) racing on main track surfaces with a couple of figs earned that fit fine here........1st ever on the SA dirt is a small ? mark

 

race 3    average clarity

2  R B Eye   decent one mile dirt race in his 2nd lifetime start which was over at LRC........1st time racing as a gelding.........works since (especially his 30 Sept. drill) hint he benefited from the race and/or going under the knife and that more can be expected this afternoon

7  Swamp Souffle   some rather weak route pedigree in the field but not here.......1st time gelding.........blinkers off today for his 2nd lifetime start........jock upgrade and to one of Papaprodromou's go to riders in G Franco......drops multiple MC levels following what appeared to be nothing more than a sprint tune-up.......we shall see

3  Red Clem   another who seemingly sharpened up off of a decent 1st at a route (actually beat our top choice) in his latest.......and it sure is a good sign that he worked back to back 5F works since as opposed to him working back to back 4F works prior to his latest

9  Lifesbeengoodsofar

6  Stay in Yo Lane

 

race 4    average clarity

6  Stonegate   finally gets to race on the grass again following 3 straight dirt routes......he showed a liking to the green carpet in his MSW debut which was down the hill......but maybe most importantly he is training more like a Stakes horse than a MSW making his 5th lifetime start

1  Trojan Spirit   solid awakening in his latest with the blinkers put on for the 1st time........another 1st for today as in 1st time turf......owns a solid pedigree to take to it and maybe in a big way.......good post and turf rider to boot

3  Sellwood   very consistent sort on the sod (7 0 4 2) and he has never been beaten by more than 3 1/2 lengths for the win.....but he has never put his nose in front in a race suggesting he doesn't understand what it means to pass the last horse in front of him........aka a hanger

 

race 5    average clarity

3  Sense of Glory   back to Pedroza who won for fun on this Becerra five-year old gelding two races back at two levels lower........stepping up today hints he is feeling awfully good right now and his recent morning works support the notion.......Martin will attempt to wire the field as the best speed in the field

6  Tasunke Witco   2 for 2 in route races when today's jockey Tiago Pereira has been aboard......solid preparatory works.......both of his aforementioned route wins came from the outer-most post which is the case today as well

5  My Farmer   one for one at today's 1 1/16th distance........drop should help especially if Rowan elects to sit back some because if he attempts to deal with the speed of our top pick he likely will get "burnt"

 

race 6    average clarity

2  Lucky Soul  screaming out for more ground to cover and gets........also gets first time Prat and for a trainer in McCarthy who is firing on all cylinders.......big step up for a M75000 grad to handle a nw alw race but at the distance of 10F he has a shot at being up to the task

8  Starting Bloc   dangerous trainer these days in Alfredo Marquez with turf runners as in 8 wins with his last 40........like that Bejarano got him in the game earlier in his latest which was a win.......not much speed in here so he might sit fairly close in mid pack position.....like his chances if he does

7  Hot American   great spot for blinkers on as this three-year old might sit in a decent stalk or mid back position and he is in light with the bug boy up........less weight anywhere from 3 lbs to 12 lbs vs his foes.......yikes

4  Gain Ground

6  King Caymus

 

race 7    average clarity

2  Psychedelicat   four-year old gelding seems best racing at the somewhat "specialty sprint distance" of 7 furlongs.........1st & a 3rd in 2 starts and both efforts were better than par when you adjust for trip.......and the better of the two was run off of short rest.......13 days since his last.......switches back to the rider who rode the 7F races........seems well meant for Hollendorfer and company

5  Giddymeister   Dallas Keen is 13 for his last 36 (70% in the money) route to sprint and 6 for his last 18 2nd start with trainer........that and his 3 starts at the meeting have led to a 1st, 2nd & a 3rd.......and we get a significant rider upgrade......all systems go

4  Blame Joe   obviously can crush these if his good health is intact......but even for Miller who is seldom afraid to lose a horse this is an alarming drop......flip a coin type - the kind that I despise

1  Quad

7  Jersey's Heat

 

race 8    below average clarity

3  Gallantlystreaming   Sadler has been a little chilly at the fall SA meeting but he might jump-start things here with this two-year old filly 1st time starter.........good grass breeding and a prolonged work regiment that hints she is well-meant in her MSW debut

8  Rather Nosy   Callaghan has two in here as he also conditions our 4th choice.......another 1ster who owns a good grass pedigree and is working well enough to be dangerous in her MSW debut......that and she draws the attention of one fine turf rider with young developing horses in Flavien Ptrat

1  Miss Stormy D   yet another 1st time starter with a prolonged work series that hints that this is not a tune-up.......mom has tossed one winner from one starter who was a turf winner and a Stakes winner.......dangerous sort from the Carla Gaines barn

11 AE  Ask the Customer    SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE  

5  True Validity

9  Diva in Charge

 

 

Posted on October 19, 2018 at 7:57 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Santa Anita for Thursday 18 October 2018

Don't miss out on the 25% savings by purchasing both days of the Breeders Cup at Churchill Downs on November 2nd and 3rd. (Breeders Cup races only. 5 two-year old races on Friday and 9 three and up races on Saturday) The deal will only last thru Sunday.

Take note that (check our racing calendar) there will not be a publication available this Sunday the 21st of October.

OK card to start the new week of racing.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

2  C. C. Zip   mare seems best at SA and best running around two turns......dropped into claiming 2 back and won by 9L at SA and at one furlong less........trainer is rather hot........should be in the mix from the get

3  Road Test   nice win two back at today's distance racing turf to dirt off of 20 days rest.......turf in last.......14 days rest for today's 8F dirt race.......it's not rocket science

5  Midnight Lilly   (3 1 2 0) since Tiago Pereira took over the riding responsibilities........recent a.m. work is improved.......should be motoring late

 

race 2    average clarity

8  Gonna Fly Now   trainer Richard Baltas is starting to heat things up...... and....... the last two preparatory works for this elder statesman are 5F bullet works........lone lifetime race on the grass is solid and run 1/2 furlong less than today.......nine-year old should be tough

1  From the Distance   last two races both at 5F on the sod are par like for today's level and the latest one is hidden by a brutal trip........should be a major player if he can handle another 1 1/2 furlongs today and receive a better trip

4  Forever Juanito   alarming drop but if this Victor Garcia seven-year old gelding is still in relatively decent shape he will be a major player in this spot

7  Indygo Bo

3  Allaboutmike

 

race 3    average clarity

5  Peachy   improved three-year old filly in her last two racing endeavors with the blinkers taken off.......trainer is stout racing a given horse 2nd time at a route.......that is the case today for trainer Papaprodromou this afternoon

3  Eskenforadrink   sure like that Miller was able to get this filly to work a solid endurance building 6F work in preparation for today's 1st ever at a route.........looking for the bug boy to utilize this girl's speed and try to wire the field

1  Chapis   on the right end of the learning curve and if her progress continues today in her 1st on the SA main track she should have as good a shot as anyone in the field to hit pay dirt

2  Heloise

 

race 4    average clarity

3  Norwegian   blinkers on and this Michael McCarthy two-year old filly already has shown the best early speed in the field.....that and she takes that ever magical drop from MSW racing to MC.......also we get quite the jock upgrade

7  Disco Tale   SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE   hard trying sort might be up to her best ever this afternoon as she just popped one of her best drills of her career and that is somewhat subtle.......she has always worked best on the SA dirt and finally gets to run in a race on it this afternoon

8  Diosa   takes the plunge from MSW racing to MC and removes the blinkers......likely to slow her down some in the early and have something left when push comes to shove in the late stages of the race.......not impossible but easy to make as our 3rd selection

9  Daddy's Mistress

2  Hinini    SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE 

 

race 5    average clarity

3  Dominating Woman   3 for 3 when she has been able to get loose on the lead and she sure appears as if she might grab a loose lead here........and for an added plus she has won without it once as well........and then there is the Peter Miller factor

6  Spin Me a Kiss   filly runs decently fresh and she is 8 weeks "fresh" today.....that and she does well when she gets contact with or near the front end and that seems likely in this spot especially with Maldonado in then irons

1  Zaffinah   seems best with today's rider Bejarano up.......race 3 back is very strong fig wise and disguised by about 6 or 7 lengths of trip trouble.......dangerous sort

4  Beau Square

8  Dis Smart Cat

 

race 6    average clarity

4  Sunset Green Flash    SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE   Bonde and Stevens have been a hot combo of late and might make it 3 for their last 4 with this three-year old 1ster who sure is working exceptionally strong for a MC50K Cal-Bred debut runner......not a lot of early gas in the field and he likely has some........hard not to like

3  Bless His Heart   all three lifetime races fit fairly well here and her effort 2 back in his 2nd lifetime start (run in short rest) might be his best of all and greatly disguised in its strength.......so.......2nd out after a layoff (run off of short rest) might be a very good thing.......recent works support the notion

1  Cayate   seems best at SA with 5 of his 8 races when racing on its main track fitting well here.......that's the positive......two negatives: tends to hang and the rider is ice-cold as in (12 0 0 0) to start the meeting

2  All I Can Say

 

race 7    below average clarity

2  Tribal Dance   won her only start on the Santa Anita dirt despite a wide trip moving into a decent pace and the race turned out to be a "key race"........that race was run off of 62 days rest.......76 days rest for today.....nice work regiment

5  Powder   solid 2nd in her last supported by a gap of 4 lengths to 3rd.......that and I like that she was able to take back and run well something she didn't appear capable of doing......rider upgrade today......trainer is having a decent 2nd half of 2018

1  Gem of a Marina   impressive MSW debut way back in mid November 2017 where she dueled wide and still drew off in the stretch.......if Matt Chew has her ready "fresh" again for her 2nd racing endeavor she should fit just fine

 

race 8    average clarity

3  Kookie Gal   never easy to win a route grass race at two at 1st asking but Miller can do no wrong these days and he sure has put enough work into his filly for her to have the endurance necessary to get the 8F of turf.....and he entices Prat who is as good as it gets at handling raw two-year old grass horses

5  Perfect Storm   ran evenly in her MSW debut following a poor start.......so so pedigree to handle the grass and the distance but that basically is the case for most of the field

8  Doc Yco Cheeks   double barrel action from Peter Eurton as he also trains our 2nd choice.......one of the few in the field whose pedigree is good to handle a turf route if of course she is fit enough in her MSW debut......that and she has a tough post to cope with as the rail is out 30 feet which means the turn comes up awfully quick

1  Shanghai Barbie    SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE 

7  Sedamar

 

 

Posted on October 18, 2018 at 8:16 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Santa Anita for Sunday 14 October 2018

Don't miss out on the 25% savings by purchasing both days of the Breeders Cup at Churchill Downs on November 2nd and 3rd. (Breeders Cup races only. 5 two-year old races on Friday and 9 three and up races on Saturday) The deal will only last for few more days.

Very difficult card to decipher as you can tell be the clarity ratings but with plenty of "prices" in our selections.

20 cent Rainbow Pick 6 jackpot is now $450K.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    below average clarity

4  Gringo Star   nice improvement in latest 1st out following the Knapp claim......reassuring 4F drill since the race just 23 days ago.....the one to overcome if he repeats his last (trainer is an encouraging 19% 2nd out after a claim)

7  Don't Stalk Me   very consistent three year old gelding has shown he can run well fresh (53 days since his last race) and he retains Van Dyke......should be motoring late for Ron Ellis who is 6 for his last 18 2nd out after a claim which is the case here

3  Colormemoney   beat our top choice earning his 3rd straight number that is very strong here......but.......he has something to prove at SA as his only two races at SA are nothing to write home about

6  Our Tiger's Money

 

race 2    below average clarity

6  Leroy Pegasus   price shot is trained by an obscure trainer but his three straight gate works at Slr since his dull debut suggests he has talent and if he does he catches one soft looking group of foes

3  Air Jockey   lifetime best was his MSW debt and was his only race at SA.......and the effort is hidden by a bad start and a wide trip.......trainer is win-less in 2018 but Karen Headley is decent with MSW runners

4  Big Barrel   decent MC debut on June 16th at SA......bombed on the grass in his next........been away 2 1/2 months but training well and has a better jockey up today than who rode in his debut........dangerous for sure

1  Cyclometric

 

race 3    below average clarity

7  Dizzy Diva   back to Talamo after being absent for a race and Joe has done well riding this filly.......distance and SA both seem good for this filly........likes to stalk the leaders and should find the position here

3  Trinitys Turn  best at SA on the dirt (19 2 4 4) and (15 1 1 2) everywhere else........all three lifetime wins came on the dirt at today's distance.......small drop helps as does being a closer in a field loaded with horses who need the lead to win

5  Bridal Arch   suspicious large drop in claiming but on the other hand Bill Morey has won with 30% of his last 46 (67% on the board) 2nd out after a claim......that and he has been able to put 2 drills into his filly since her 16 Sept race

2  If You Like It

 

race 4    below average clarity

1  Thin Line   decent MSW debut at SA in early June and this two-year old went off at 24 to 1 hinting he wasn't fully cranked up.......blinkers on for start number 2 on 29 July and he ran poorly........away since.........blinkers wisely taken off today and racing as a 1st time gelding........improved a.m. work hint the surgery has been a success......sure like his pedigree to handle the sod

7  Weekly Call   sprint tune-up in latest......should be a go today racing in a route turf race both of which he is well-bred to handle........take note that O'Neill trains this fellow as well as our top selection

8  Data Hawk   decent grass route race at GG and Tim McCanna is solid with shippers and the 2nd time he puts a given runner in a route......not an easy post to deal with or would have rated higher

4  Dark Prince

5  Surprise Fashion

 

race 5    above average clarity

5  Chasing Yesterday   powerful  MSW debut 2 back led to Baffert seeing fit to ship x-country to race in a G1 at Saratoga.......bad trip in the race gave Bob's youngster little chance......back home and and working well......filly should be in the race from the get go and tough

2  It'sjustanillusion   another with an awfully solid MSW debut and she wheels back in only 14 days for her 2nd start suggesting she exited the race in great shape for Hollendorfer and company

4  Andyoushallreceive   won at 1st asking at Lrc and with plenty of support at the windows......her fig earned is less than the top two but she might be quite dangerous as the lone closer in the race and with little traffic to cope with in this small field on five

 

race 6    below average clarity

1  King Cause   great spot for his first on the turf as this is one soft looking group.....much needed drop for this O'Neill three-year old who has spent too much time racing over his head..........pedigree for the grass decent

4  Cats Blame   brutal trip in his last or might have beat much better than he faces today........and in general he is quite good on the SA hill.....but since Conner has been up this gelding has only earned chump change.....Hollendorfer takes the blinkers off but that is a weak stat for him and a recent work is dismal.......claim me please or a ton vs easier if he is healthy........we shall see

5  Zippy Groom   Zippy is likely feeling awfully good for Hess to step up his three-year old for a 2nd straight time.....that and his gelding's lone race down the SA hill fits well in this spot.......Hess won 3 races the other day albeit all with Stevens up

8  R Cha Cha

3  Westwood's Wizard

 

race 7    below average clarity

3  Sold It   plenty of endurance put into this O'Neill 1st time starter so the 6 1/2 furlongs might not be too taxing for this MSW 1ster.......and the two-year old also shows some hints of having some decent speed in his works

6  Orca   dismal year for the once great (to say the least) Ron McAnally but he sure has this 1st time starter training like he is ready to rock and roll in his MSW debut

1  Enaya Alraab   double barrel action for O'Neill as he also trains out top selection........useful debut for this two-year old with improved drills since....not out of the win picture here by any means

8  Show Hostess

9  Soothing

 

race 8    average clarity

7  California Journey   talk about a makeover for this Matt Chew four-year old - 1st time racing on the dirt today in start number 8.....and.....1st time racing with the blinkers on.......his a.m. work is vastly better hinting that the equipment has helped in a big way......and his pedigree for the dirt is good

5  Avanti Bello   3 of this gelding's last 4 races fit solidly here and his last two wins came with today's rider Pratt in the irons.......hard not to like

4  Surfing Star   both lifetime races at SA are quite strong 6 1/2 furlong sprints.......1st at a route today and with plenty of endurance put into him by Bruce Headley......believe bug boy Espinoza will send him early and attempt to wire the field.....dangerous sort for sure

2  Plain Wrap

 

race 9    average clarity

5  Eric the Trojan   the race is loaded with one-dimensional speed types so this late runner who has handled the hill OK in his career should come flying especially with Prat up who really has fit this fellow well multiple times in the past

3  Brandothebartender    another who should benefit from a lively pace up front......that and his recent a.m. work hints he is quite sharp right now......not out of the win picture by any means

7  Calexman   both lifetime endeavors on the majestic Santa Anita hill grass course are better than they appear in print and they don't look too bad in print either.......only rated as low as 3rd pick because his game is speed and there is plenty of that commodity in the race

9  Afeet Ascent

1  Little Juanito

 

 

Posted on October 14, 2018 at 8:02 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections