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Oak Tree at Hollywood for Thursday 7 oct 2010
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With the rain yesterday watch for any bias that may develop. I will stand behind my selections in the 2 carded grass races if they are switched over to the main track.
Recommended pick 3 part wheels (trying to bring home a price in 1 or 2 of the pick 3 legs) starts in the 3rd race.
1,2,4 with 2 with 1,2,3,5,9
1,2,4 with ALL with 5 36 bets
race 1 average clarity
1 Roman Chic barn is solid 1st time in maiden claiming...all 3 lifetime sprints fit well here
2 Lutess last was better then par for today's level...that race was run with a couple of months off...same approx. time frame here
5 Lemony Fresh grass fit.....races fig wise fit fine here if she can duplicate the same effort 1st on the AW...only mount of the night for M Smith seems significant
race 2 slightly below average clarity
4 Miss Addy Kiss best set of drills for a Neil French 1ster in many a moon...not his forte but this one looks very ready to roll
3 Lady Lazer another 1st timer with impressive works for a mc affair...Gallagher is dangerous with a good work tab in a mc claimer...and when the are well meant they can really pop big efforts
1 Limited Passion 2 nice efforts in 2 lifetime races....Rosario back aboard a plus
race 3 above average clarity
1 Skellytown last 4 races are well below par for the 8K level.....needs to go bad not to be a major factor
4 Sheeky block in last or much closer......very positive rider change....shot a price
2 Super Harmony fresh speed is training sharply.......looks loose and he may.........go.......all.......the...........way
5 Intothewild on the right end of the learning curve...unproven at a route but it's a good sign winning his last in a 2 turn sprint
race 4 average clarity
2 Musical Grace was on the improve and then skipped the Fpx meet and trained super in the meantime....believe may fire best ever and at a price
4 Cruzin Topless speed of the speed in here will be plenty tough if allowed to slow the tempo of the race
1 Jana Gail toss out last the 1st ever on "classic dirt"...appreciates the Hollywood AW...barn has a good history 2nd out after a claim
race 5 average clarity
5 Dextera horrendous trip in latest which was the 1st start after the claim by Hess....that race actually was a strong effort for this level...it was done on the AW and I believe this filly to be better on the lawn
2 Madeline Ruby only two grass races on Top Turf today don't fit at this level...sharp recent drill is reassuring
9 Beautiful American high winning % animal just claimed by a high % 1st after the claim trainer....spells danger city
1 Samba School won a slow heat at Fpx in last which doesn't prove much...but....his Euro grass races should fit OK in this spot
race 6 average clarity
3 Tale In Excess powerful under wraps MSW debut win should save plenty in the tank for today's bigger challenge...sure appeared to good one with a bright future
4 Hi Ho Yodeler seems to be in an every / other mode and today is the every.....capable of very strong figs/efforts when she runs her race
race 7 slightly below average clarity
2 Otto Von Voom should be able to get a nice ground saving trip behind what should be a lively pace up front....sure loves the 1 mile distance
3 California Soldier very solid 1st ever on the sod in latest.....aggressive work series since...also has a good shot to get good mid pace position in the race
7 Alley Hendro impressive wide trip win in last....pace did set things up for him but it can once again in this spot
8 Face And An Ace gelding has been facing better.....believe Blanc would be best served by taking way back to get over and save some ground on the 1st turn
race 8 average clarity
3 Tribal Wish last looks like the gimme to drop and go today.......2 off his 3 Hollywood races fit fine in this spot
10 Call Me Later 3 drills in 6 days...strong sign of intent for today....need his effort/energy he showed 3 back which was his maiden debut
6 Wild And True both lifetime races are par like efforts for today's level....just calimed by Sadler and lookout if he improves this fellow at all
2 Swiss Ski good speed and P Val.....not much more I hase to say
8 Tonzatrouble last may have been a tune-up for today....if so he may be tons of trouble....doubt wins it but may get a slice
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