
Hollywood for Saturday 11 December 2010
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Trainers quite often win in bunches and today we have Sadler on top in 3 races, and both 2nd and 4th in another. Only one of them is the favorite. Come on John.Â
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Interesting card. Good Luck!
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race 1Â Â Â average clarity
8 Pure Distinction   35 to 1 in debut suggests his debut was needed.....positive rider switch and in for 28K to get 2 lbs off.....all seem to say much better today...faces a very weak group
6 Marcoman  wide trip in last fairly close to good fractions.....new barn today is still looking for 1st win in 2010 or would have been top pick
5 Eddiingtonforgianna   not much of a 1st start trainer but horse does have fairly decent drills and this is a bad field
3 Warren's Temptation  format says I have to use four picks in a field of 8 or more...not much more to say then that
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race 2Â Â Â average clarity
2 Cost Of Freedom   should take this 5F affair if breaks cleanly and runs his race
1 Square Deal  needs race 2 back and a little early pressure on our top pick
6 Quick Enough  might come flying....plenty of speed in here might set a unsustainable pace even for 5F
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race 3Â Â Â average clarity
4 Lea The Punisher  quality filly has done little wrong in 3 lifetime starts.....impressive in winning 1st lifetime grass race in latest chasing a strong pace and holding together
6 Money Lover  broke poorly in a turf sprint and then showed life in 1st lifetime grass race.....training great....owns solid speed...shot tire wire
1 Jet Blue Girl   can get a nice ground saving trip sitting about 2nd or 3rd.......Eurton barn has been a little cold ever since he got injured from an unruly horse....good trainer is due to awaken
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race 4Â Â Â slightly above average clarity
2 Lead Blocker  bad trip....decent final time and a very positive rider switch for his 2nd lifetime start....small but very stout outfit
3 Warren's Concept  on the improve for his new barn......will need one more move forward to compete with our top pick
6 Swongs  exits a fast heat.....fig is better then par for today's level.....concerned somewhat about a 5th race in 5 weeks
5 Roaring Rick  on the right end of the learning curve and will need the trend to continue
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race 5Â Â Â slightly below average clarity
2 Asperity  new trainer and it is Sadler....and....the drills suggest he has improved this horse....step of in class hints he believes he has as well
1 Swift Winds  gelding seems to find a way to avoid the winners circle but 95% of his lifetime efforts/figs on Top Turf Today fits strongly here
4 El Merito  last race 8 weeks ago was impressive considering it was his 1st run in 1 1/2 years...why 8 weeks off? entered on 20 Nov but the races were taken off the turf....good works sinceÂ
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race 6Â Â Â slightly above average clarity
7 Canadian Pride  ran 2nd in a stellar group in latest and earned a fig here that would win 95% of the MSW run in S Cal...plenty of recovery time
4 My Diane  nice turf tune-up in MSW debut and boy is she training well now.....expecting a very strong 1st ever on the AW
2 Spectacular Sky  earned a better then par adjusted for trouble fig in MSW debut and Jones is much better with 2nd time starters
3 Tiz The Route  good move forward in 2nd lifetime race and will need the trend to continue in the solid looking field
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race 7Â Â Â average clarity
7 Pat Olcott  very fast early for a cheap filly andcontinues to train very fast......low % jock but he's best with speed horses and he knows this filly well...speed of the speed has a decent shot to wire
3 Misinjennuous   3 out of 4 in the win column at Hol and this most likely is her last shot to add to her earnings at Hollywood...that says O'neillwill most likely be all out with her todayÂ
2 Pretty Kenzie  as I've said in the past this filly usually really fires when she is taken back early...hope jock and trainer know it
6 Yankee Romance  down down down the claiming ladder...fits if there is one more race left in the tank for this declining filly...10 weeks rest sure seems like a positiveÂ
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race 8Â Â Â average clarity
1 He's A Dance Star  another 1st in the Sadler barn horse that has improved in the morning under his tutelage and should move forward
6 Lit'sgoodlookingray  gelding is on the rebound and just claimed by a trainer......sprint turf history is fine...smart placement by her new connections
4 Mr Tokyo  has been running well versus slightly better...good trainer/rider combo (same as the unlucky, best horse, Keen Bidder yesterday)
5 Detroit Donnie  won for fun in 2nd career race so I view 2nd out after a layoff as a very big positive here especially considering his last was decent....feel strongly this gelding is sitting on a big effort but.......jock sure has a dismal record on the sod or would have picked higher
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race 9Â Â Â slightly above average clarity
3 My Day Rose  faces lots of speed horses but set a nasty pace in last and still won going away and earned a solid fig....works since are as good as I've seen for a 2 year filly from Baffert in a long time....might be a very a special speed/route individual
8 Tell A Kelly  plenty of pace up front is what this deep closing proven filly wants and she gets it
5 Turbulent Descent  won so easily in hand in earning a big sprint fig in last....big day today 1st at a route....quality horse has the disadvantage of never running in a two turn race..like I said...big day today
7 Zazu  wide near the pace in last and still only lost by less then 2 lengths...Smith needs a better ride today...has some shot if he gives it
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race 10Â Â Â average clarity
12 Shred The Secrets  better conditioner then Saavedra's record indicates...he gets very few nice animals...he appears to have one now....this gelding is training exceptionally well for a 2 year old Cal bred..should be a price
6 Jack Reacher   another 1ster training very sharply and draws Bejarano
9 Redeemsky   yet another good looker in the morning....O'Neill is solid with a good working 2 year old 1st timer
4 Full Instinct  plenty of foundation in this 1st timer....believe he will come from back in the pack and be a strong finisher especiallywith Gomez aboard
5 Shelter Cove  believe blinkers are off this gelding to get him to sit off of the pace more so he won't flat out late...seems like a wise move
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