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Del Mar for Wednesday 10 August 2011
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Needless to say we will be sticking with our "Longshot Possibilities" that we started 4 weeks ago. After 2 of our longshot picks scratched we so far have given out 12 longshots and 2 have won. Hidden Romance paying $138.80 to win and Benny's Benchmark paying $89.40 to win. Ironically we don't have one today mostly because of the shorter fields. My guess is we will be able to find a bomber to consider in about 1/2 to 2/3rd's of the race cards. Card seems OK. Good luck as always. I do love Del Mar, but I think you all ready know that.Â
race 1Â Â Â slightly below average clarity
1 Sporting Act  sure seems ready off a prolonged series of tightly spaced wind me up drills......believe Mitchell wouldn't have placed this horse so low if this was a tune-up
4 Fire Break   seems like a good claim of a very consistent runner........four of seven at today's distance on the sod
2 Waltzing With Blue   in good form........just needs enough pace so his strong late run from far back can get up in time....small field should help him not go too wide on turn 2
race 2Â Â Â slightly above average clarity
1 Sheza Great Friend  both lifetime races are decent and fit fine at this lower level......very strong recent bullet gate drill....believe fires best ever today Â
4 Silver Street  good debut....drops a small notch.....training best to date....another I expect will improve today
8 Chilling Command  useful debut and most likely will move forward in 2nd lifetime start.....race lacks speed and she has a touch of it
3 Purple Starduster  new apprentice on the S Cal scene  has decent credentials and might have a 1st timer who is ready to roll
race 3Â Â Â average clarity
5 Savan' Brianne  laid up highly competitive runner is placed to win and he sure knows how to win....4 of 6 lifetime
1 Church Avenue  impressive strong win 1st time in the Pederson barn.....drops a notch and why not with the nice purse money being offered for a 25K claimer
4 Judge Joan   toss out last.....acted up in the gate....not happy.....Bejarano wants the mount back.....good shot to show much more 2nd out after the claim by O'Neill
3 Soul Custody  just claimed by Sadler and he places this filly not only lower but at distance where she is 3 out of 7.....she's 1 of 12 at other distances....might fit here
race 4Â Â Â slightly above average clarity
2 Lt. Hopeful  awfully nice animal put up for $62.5K but the works suggest he's doing well and if he is he stands out here
4 Square Deal  laid up proven 5F turf sprinter is training as if he is ready to roll for his return to the race wars....last 2 wins are with today's jock aboard
1 Cherokee Heaven  solid deep closer is not running his favorite distance......will need a strong pace to get up in time at 5 furlongs
race 5Â Â Â below average clarity
5 Big Tsimmis  tepid top choice in a difficult race to decipher with 5 horses coming off of claims and seemingly everyone is in the hunt.......but still a nice morning line on our top pick who owns 2 solid sprints out of 3 lifetime sprints that fit well for today's level
8 Peaceful Town  dirt races in the Midwest fit for a 32% trainer.......need the same effort for Sadler (20%) on the synthetic where she is unproven.....working like this is a go as opposed to a tune-up
6 Lily Amore  strong effort in last on the step up in claiming is somewhat hidden...steps up again....same effort/energy with a smooth trip fits fine
9 Michailasheartlite  solid late stretch drives in her last 4 in a row........just claimed by Hollendorfer who wins his fair share 1st off of a claim
race 6Â Â Â average clarity
7 Flawless Jewel  big (best ever) in 2nd lifetime start........so 2nd after the layoff sure looks like a good thing here....the old gimme/go.....he needed the race.....was a tune-up......just a little short.......etc. etc.
8 Born Lucky  good 1st ever on the sod in last and just drilled a 4F bullet.....sharp....all set to show even more and with the sharp riding Gomez up
6 Valeria  MSW debut 2 races back (her lone grass race) is better thean it appears on paper....bred fine t handle a route....Shirreffs is very dangerous 2nd time turf
1 Blue Grass Music  just claimed by Sadler and she is working like a different vastly improved horse......and Salder moves up from m30K to MSW.........hmmmm....might have the missing trump card for this filly
race 7Â Â Â slightly above average clarity
3 Bench Points  very solid consisnt animal in one turn affairs....when last seen at Dmr.....last Sept.....this gelding broke slow and got caught too wide and still won....ran his eyeballs out.....good sprinting at all the tracks he's seen but Dmr might be his best surface
4 Chiloquin  hard trying consistent sort seems very sharp right now......good reliable small outfit in control of the horse
7 Thirtyfirststreet  super record when you look at this one's career in non Graded races.......major factor if he keeps to his past history
8 Luckarack  another Sadler claim and he will have to get the best ever out of colt......didn't come cheap at 62K so he must have really liked something about this 3 year old
race 8Â Â Â average clarity
6 A Toe By Three  both lifetime starts with a reasonable trip would win at this given level most of the time
4 Observance  decent forward move in 2nd lifetime race and will need the trend to continue
5 Teasing Bernie  1st timer is training as if she is ready to roll.....O'Neill is awakening of late
10 Petak Mountain  works for this 1st timer weren't anything special until her last 2 which are quite good......feeling best now when it counts the most....Proctor is off to hot start at Dmr
9 Tale Be Told  rebounded in last to her debut effort....now needs to move forward a little to her lifetime best
7 He's A Bandit  OK debut 8 weeks ago........has hit the track regularly in the mornings since......needs better and may have had enough work/time to be better
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