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Santa Anita for Saturday 5 November 2011

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Churchill Downs 11th race The Breeders Cup classic

race 11   slightly below average clarity

Only race I had do go 7 deep in the 15 Breeders Cup races so that kind of says it all. Rather open and a good chance for a decent exacta here if you are right and or lucky.

13   To Honor And Serve   must not like the GP surface because this colt is 5 for 5 in route races outside of GP winning by an average of 5 lengths in those races.......also coped with solid pace in last and still won by daylight.....the "now" horse....at least I hope so

 2  Flat Out   another horse that appears to be peaking at the right time......0 for 2 at CD but sure is training like he will handle it just fine

3  Drosselmeyer   1 for 1 at CD and can run all day and to me there are so many in here that look like the 1 1/4 will take its toll......doubt it does with this Mott runner

10  Havre De Grace   so much has been said of Uncle Mo getting the 1 1/4 but what about this fabulous filly....couldn't hold off Blind Luck in her two attempts to get the 1 1 /4 and the pace was slow and reasonable respectively in those 2 races.....still....a great filly....needs it all today

4  Ruler On Ice   big awakening with a significant jock switch in last....took way back in his last race and Gomez made one powerful late run....should be same strategy today....won the Belmont so the 1 1/4 should be a walk in the park

 

12  Uncle Mo   lone race at CD was stellar but it is hard to get too high on this talented runner at 1 1/4 when his only race past 1 1/16 was a tiring in late stretch effort at 1 1/8......but if that race is a fooler then lookout

5  So You Think   price shot owns 2 wins and 2 2nds when running at a 1 1/4 or greater....like our 5th pick he won the Belmont in the 2009 edition and with today's jock aboard

 

 

Santa Anita

race 1    average clarity

4  Touch Of Elegance   speedster ships in from Emd by way of Fno and looks very formidable here on the front end of things

3  Jaws N' Paws   another ship in who looks like the connections want to score at the "big" track

7  Nothing To Fear   most likely needed last race....stepping up a notch is a good sign this filly is ready 2nd out after the layoff

5  Subpoena The Dress   might not have liked a two turn sprint in last......if so, can rebound here

 

race 2    slightly below average clarity

7  So Tough   Sadler might have stole one here at the claiming box....won so easily although the time isn't anything special for a horse that won by more then 10 lengths

5  Endless Cruise   debut was good....clunker in last.....works hint at a rebound to the horse we saw in his debut

1  Forest Souvenir   might be a good spot to try and learn to rate....maybe that is why Quinonez is up....a good off pace rider

6  Danger Ranger   dull winning effort/fig in latest....but....race 2 back fits

 

race 3    average clarity

8  Crossing The Line   fragile animal will most likely win this if he has one more good run left in him before he goes on the shelf once again

1  Mr. Bossy Pants   layoff drop down sure looks well meant and ready to win.....but.....ice COLD rider aboard....very nice history/efforts/figs since the blinkers were put on

5  Sammartino   will need very best today and produce it without P Val or Bejarano on his back

2  Elusive Schemes

 

race 4    average clarity

6  Light Up The Sky   good improve in 2nd lifetime endeavor on the track.....nice work series since....trainer has been hot after a long spell in the doldrums

4  Speedway Monkey   very big debut (bad trip too)  from off the pace.....poor in last near the pace....blinkers off to take back and find the same kind of late run as in debut

5  Mary Contrary   decent debut and will look to build on it in 2nd lifetime start...2 reassuring drills since debut run

9  You Wanna Hug   mom is good at tossing 2 year old runners....works hint this filly might be ready at 1st asking

 

race 5    slightly below average clarity

5  Visual Intensity   improving sort and that is somewhat hidden........new jock Berrios sure can ride the grass....a good edition to S Cal racing

1  Cranky Jack   seems to be sharp right now and draws a good post for 1 mile on the grass....never easy to step into an alw nw after breaking your MSW but this isn't exactly a strong bunch of alw runners

8  Lodi Red   improving sort fits well here......needs a good ride from a jockey who is in a slump.....come on Blanc

9  Surplus   big race on synthetic 2 back....1st ever on the sod and 1st ever long....but bred fine to handle both.....apprentice is starting to ride fairly well

 

race 6    slightly above average clarity

3  Midnight Transfer   blocked in stretch in last or might have graduated........repeat of same effort/energy with a better trip and should be the one to beat

4  Brannaman   what's new....another expensive 1st timer working his eyeballs out for top conditioner Mr. Bob Baffert

7  Bling Cha Bling   earned a significant adjusted for trouble fig in last way back in mid July......very formidable here if comes back at full throttle off of the layoff

1  Castaway   3 solid races under his belt and a very sharp work tab since....COLD jock up or would have rated higher

 

race 7    average clarity

11  Silver Spur   solid last.....1st ever in the good old U S of A and it was down the SA hill.....has enough tactical speed in this spot to possibly be able to get some decent position and not lose too much ground

4  Loro   sharp work tab.....trainer has been hotter then his record indicates.....decent shot to get a good mid back position

Rauschenberg   consistent sort should be flying late....might need more pace than anticipated to win this affair...but lookout if he gets it

5  Miles Long Gone   1st on the lawn...bred OK for it.......decent shot to sit up close in a race without a lot of true speed in it

Possible long-shot:   2  Arraignment   router has been facing better...last on the grass kind of looks like a test drive.......just worked a very quick 4F.....trainer putting speed into the gelding for his return to sprinting....used to show good early speed in sprints.....hmmmmmm

 

race 8    average clarity        8-9 exacta paid $530.00

4  Lichtenstein   most of this gelding's career figs/efforts would handle today's bunch......sure looks well worked and ready fresh for today

9  Me Salty   last looks like the gimme to drop and go go go today....solid recent 5/8ths work is most reassuring

8  Brian Daniel   caught wide close to solid pace in last gave him little shot.......cut back in distance should help staying power....so should the weight off with the app. up

3  Wheels Of Justice   race 2 back is what we want to see.......in was on conventional dirt like today's affair

 

race 9   slightly above average clarity

6   John Johnny Jak   solid history at 1 mile on the grass....should be able to stalk our 3rd pick who is somewhat suspect in late stretch

2  War Element   over came bad trip to win last.....should come roaring late....would have been a no brainer on top if this race was further than one mile

3  Monterey Jazz   used to be quite the speed miler but not these days...still looks loose here and is a ratable animal.....shot to wire if he has a good day

9  Leroy's Dynamo    numbers fit well for a small Stakes affair.......will have to most likely out finish our 2nd pick which will be no easy task

 

race 10    average clarity

6  Warren's Amber   takes meaningful drop and appears to like the blinkers off for the latest drill is improved

1  Here Comes Bonnie   some solid drills for this 1ster....appears like she might be quick early

5  Bilboa   also working up to snuff to be ready to roll in maiden debut

3  Fire Wise   bet hard in last and ran so so....back in shorter rest can help

11  Dirt Playing  

12  Secret Genius

 

 

 

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Posted on November 4, 2011 at 5:59 pm by richs · Permalink
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