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Hollywood for Friday night 11 November 2011
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First of 2 Friday nights of racing at Hollywood. Card seems decent. Track played fair on opening day. Sure hope it continues that way.
race 1 slightly above average clarity
1 Trando's Tremor both lifetime bottom level maiden claiming races were quite a bit better than appear on paper.....seems like a good claim.....horse is bred for the turf and his new conditioner does fairly well with turf horses......top 2 picks seems rather equal but the 1 gets top billing because he should be the better price
2 Victory Cup wide trip in MSW debut a route on the turf.........could have been right there at the wire with a better trip
5 Kessabtsi 1st lifetime grass race wasn't bad....3rd race in 12 days is a bit gruelling but this gelding has some early speed in a race that lacks it.....fits if he can handle the rigors of too short of rest between starts
race 2 average clarity
3 Technicality seems like a great spot for an invader because the locals so far aren't very stout.......lone win was a strong fig/effort at Mth and it came in her 2nd lifetime start......2nd start in California for Biancone seems like a good thing
2 Lady Liam what we want to see from this filly is her race 2 back.......recent bullet drill (at Hol) suggests there is a good chance we will see it
4 Solar Wind somewhat hidden in that she won her debut for fun but the fig earned was poor because of a ridiculously slow pace that made it impossible to run a decent time/fig......and then she had very bad trip in last.......very positive rider switch for today
race 3 average clarity
5 Bronstar consistent efforts on the sod.....better than his (6 1-0-2) record would indicate.....good post and rider (4 bagger yesterday)
2 Joker Face par like efforts in last couple of races on the grass and they were both at today's 1 mile distance.....rider/trainer have made for a great combo the last few months
6 Nahem last race was an off the turf (rain) dirt race which looked like nothing more than a workout.....this gelding already has shown he is not a dirt horse.....back quick.....should feel good
1 Wegner not much in 2 lifetime grass starts but they both look like tune-ups..... best ever came in 2nd lifetime start......2nd after the long layoff today.....sharp drills and good turf pedigree
race 4 average clarity
9 Dee Dee's Legacy two straight solid efforts on the "dirt" and now moves to her preferred surface......the AW......2 reassuring recent works.....barn means business
5 Howmuchisit 2 other weaker looking speed types to put away in the 1 and 7.........trainer wins his fair sure with speed types
8 Skippy Due very good record on AW surfaces........vet scratch on 8 Oct but worked decently since.......decent chance to get a good (possible alone) mid pack position
6 Raingear very wide trip in last somewhat hides an improved effort........6F seems like a much better fit than a two turn mile
race 5 slightly below average clarity
3 My Brite Caroline good figs at Hollywood in 6 1/2 furlongs affairs.......exits a fast heat on the dirt at SA with a wide trip and still grabbed 2nd
5 Virginia Way good move forward in 2nd lifetime start and believe will continue the forward trend tonight with 1st time blinkers
8 Game Charmer horrendous trip in latest....did well to get beat by 7........repeat effort with a smooth journey and this filly fits as well as anyone in here
7 Satin Bouquet laid up Sadler drop down is training up to snuff to possible be ready fresh.....fits fine if he is set to roll
race 6 average clarity
2 Blue Grass Music has the figs to handle this level and seems as likely as anyone in here to get a good trip....solid rider/trainer combo to say the least
3 Dubai Perfecto no shot in last running wide and sitting too far off a soft pace....claimed by Troeger who seems at his best in turf route races like today
5 Brooklyn Rose good horse on the dirt and AW and proved a route is not a problem in her last race......turf pedigree seems so so but Bejarano sticks around......tough call
1 Blue Tambourine gift in last .....soft fractions on a good rail.....a total gift from the racing Gods....still has some decent grass races......dangerous but maybe over-bet
race 7 slightly above average clarity
1 Tweebster hasn't missed a beat in the morning for 3 months....sure seems pointed to the Hollywood Fall meet.....on or near the lead from the get go
3 Golden Itiz last win came at Hollywood 2nd out after the layoff......same scenario tonight....sharp recent 6F gate work
5 Square Eddie B C sprint winner won the last race this fellow ran in....chased a nasty pace that day.....should sit on or near the lead today
race 8 above average clarity
3 What A Rush young attractive female jockey gets a call on a Friday night from a guy she likes and he asks her out to a great restaurant and she says no because the only mount she has on a Friday night is in the finale race and it is on a very sharp well meant horse from the Avila barn
9 Sentry very stout at this level if this Warren charge didn't care for the dirt at SA......or not as stout if it wasn't the surface but that he is on the decline.....flip a coin
2 Cheers To Boogie OK efforts on conventional dirt but bred to maybe be even better on the synthetic
5 Tiz Victorious best races are his 2 fresh runs.....fresh today
1 Spice Beau race 2 back fits but I am a bit leery of this one being ready and meant fresh
7 El Tango Bay 1st timer is training OK but his conditioner is much with 1sters
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