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Hollywood for Saturday 19 November 2011



P Val is off his mounts once again today. Let's hope it isn't for you know what.

Declaring today Garret Gomez day as he is our top pick 3 times and our 2nd pick 2 times in 6 mounts. He is our 4th pick in his other riding obligation.


race 1    average clarity

7  Hammer The Hay   4 consecutive solid works to finish off a good series of drills for this 1st timer.....this pattern for O'Neill says that he has a runner and is most likely ready to roll in his mc debut

8  Idontrollonshabbos   good drills for this Miller 1st timer......Miller/Gomez have won thier last 3 of 5 as a team......Miller is stellar with maiden claiming 1sters

1  J Man   both races on the synthetic are par like efforts for today's level......decent 1st ever on the sod in last may have him fitter than ever....we shall see

5  Sir Allison   good forward move in 2nd lifetime start.....will need the trend to continue today even on the drop out of MSW


race 2    average clarity

3  Macho Dorado   1 for 1 at Hol (at today's seldom run 7 1/2 furlongs) and has a good history turf to's' scenario

2  Caper's Edge   placed a little too ambitious in last 2 races which were run in S Cal...... considering he cam from Arp in Colorado......figs fig here....1st on the AW seems to be the question mark

1  Time For Atonement   trainer hasn't been afraid to drop this one in claiming price in the past so the step up for today's race looks like a positive.....last fits OK.....forward move today and he will be as tough as anyone in this field


race 3    average clarity

2  Fluxx   Miller barn had to be surprised and thrilled this filly ran 2nd 1st time on the sod at 42 to 1......positive rider switch to Gomez who suites late running grass horse's extremely well.....good work series since last

7  Batalha   good MSW debut in the mud at SA.....bred fine to handle the sod and appreciate running long

6  Mending Walls   two useful route races to begin since last (which was on the sod) have gotten very serious.....trainer is much better 2nd time on the lawn

4  Candy And Thunder  sprint turf gimme / route turf go here......not too many trainers are good running a horse back in micro-rest but O'Neill is......and 6 days qualifies for micro-rest


race 4    slightly below average clarity

2  Bonita Star   last two efforts fit OK here....previous career races would make her tough to beat.....recent more aggressive work series hints at a rebound for this Mitchell trainee

3  Blue Grass Music   consistent sort and has ample experience running a route of ground......have to like Sadler riding Gomez with Rosario not available on the day....means business

1  Valentine's Wish   on the improve since Giker took over.......ran 2nd to Tribal Beauty who won last night's 4th race.....1st ever on the AW but has fired in mud, fast track, and turf surfaces so why not the synthetic

4  Si Mar's Dear   1st ever at a route but sure looks loose and if the jock slows things down he would have a shot at going.............all...........the.........way


race 5    average clarity

1  Lakerville   exits a slow heat but this colt overcome a bad start and more importantly a pedestrian pace up front to finish like a rocket in the late stages and break his MSW at 1st asking...this time it looks like he will benefit from a strong pace set by the front running types

3  Sammy's A Runnin'   1 for 3 on the grass and the 1 win came at Hol the only time he has run at 6F on the lawn......closing profile sure seems like a plus here

7  Husband's Folly   long hiatus from the track but training decently and is 1 for 1 on the turf......another closer seemingly in a good spot in an affair with 4 horses capable of cutting fast fractions

9  Mint Humor   sharp drills in preparation for 1st ever on the grass......bred fine to handle it.....speed type but in this outer most post spot I believe Gomez will try to take back some and get over to save some ground


race 6    average clarity

7  Exotic Slew   improving sort......solid recent 4F drill and it was at Hol.......good so far from the gate.....good chance to get good position up close from the get go

4  Neurosurgeon    wide trip in last somewhat hides a good forward move.....2 reassuring works since.....shot at a bit of a price if moves forward in 3rd lifetime start

9  Spirit Rules   works are quite good for this Aguirre 1st timer and I like the fact they are at Hollywood

2  Corner Office   Sadler 1st timer finished off his work regiment with 4 consecutive 6F drills spaced one week or less apart......that sure says meant and ready to me

Long-shot possibilities:   8  Mr. Padre    last seems like a that possible tune-up the Kruljac gelding showed good early speed somewhat hidden by a 2 length tardy start.....not impossible today in 2nd lifetime start


race 7    average clarity

1  Spud Spivens   solid return to the race wars in last in a 7F sprint....very solid and consistent 1 1/16 runs last spring at great and we get a very positive rider switch.....NOTE: Don't be alarmed if you see this horse washing out before post as he usually does and yet he runs....few do

4  Bluegrass Reward   impressive fast heat victory in last........would have been top pick if his record was a little better on the AW.....believe he will sit in a good chase position behind a somewhat suspect leader in the 7 horse

8  Dave In Dixie   strong deep closer is coming off of a long hiatus from the track but is training as if all systems are go for his return to the race wars

2  Arraignment   good forward move on the grass in last........decent route horse on dirt at Hst in Canada......most horses that run fine on the turf handle the Hol synthetic......mid get a real nice mid pack ground saving trip-a-rooo


race 8    average clarity

1  Bourban Bay   toss out bad race in appears to want no part of running when he ships......back home and running at his favorite distance ......positive rider switch too.....let's hope I'm right about his lack of ability to ship and run well

7  Sanagas   on a roll on the East Coast.....proven marathon ability.....trainer does well shipping Coast to Coast

2  Norvsky   very nice grass animal and his trainer sure gets it done in big races.....but this gelding is totally unproven (with somewhat ? able pedigree) to get the 1 1/ good as anyone in the field if the 1 1/2 is within his reach

6  Ashtar   improving with each start in the good old U S of A........fits in here if the trend continues this afternoon


race 9    slightly above average clarity

2  Bella's Fantasy   nice turf tightener in MSW tune-up to leg up and be full throttle in today's maiden work series since debut is most reassuring

4  Rush Babe    Guce is off to a hot start for the meet.........Treece (22% win) took over the conditioning duties from a trainer who had a poor 2011 history....... this Emd invader  showed he can run some in both of his lifetime starts..... and the go to guy for Treece is often Guce

10  Candy And Nuts   solid forward move in last......good work tab since.....decent shot to move forward again the 3rd out after the Pederson claim

5  Kvell   competitive sort needs more pop in late stretch.....switch to Gomez surely might help provide it

6  Spiced Latte  

8  Stormy Luce



Posted on November 19, 2011 at 10:51 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information