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Hollywood for Sunday 20 November 2011

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Rain is in the forecast. Picks with comments are for off the turf. Shorter comments today as it took me forever to study for both the grass and the AW. With all the rain lookout for any bias that may develop. The track has been playing fair all week so far. We shall see.

 

race 1    average clarity

5  Princess Ash   powerful debut and powerful works since......hopefully not so powerful that this young filly can't take it

3  Vionnet   horrendous trip in debut and still managed to get beat by only 4 by our top choice....good rematch of two exciting youngsters

2  Rowdy Gal   paid $130K at a sale in April so they pretty much knew what they were getting.....very good works and a dangerous 1st start trainer in Sadler

 

race 2    average clarity

3  Angel Of Mystery   strong figs and has been on an impressive extended roll

4  Rainbow's Luck   can't get it done at the bottom level grass races so has to drop even further to get to level this Mitchell trainee can dominate

7  Cool Haleigh   turf tightener in last.....full go today.....race two back is solid

9  Dish The Dirt   handles the Hol AW......really appreciates extended sprint races

 

race 3    average clarity

4  Eva's Joy   only one work before last.....OK run........powerful work since.....all systems go for the hot Sadler barn

3  Made To Love Her   rather solid figs/efforts in her MSW races........chased a solid pace in last and won.....hasn't missed a beat in the AM since.....feels good

5  Lady Hokulea   1st time Baffert and the works say Mr Baffert has improved this animal plenty

 

race 4    slightly below average clarity on the AW       turf picks:  6-1-5-2  avg clarity

6  Times Gone By   big move forward in last on the grass 2nd out after the claim by Canani......proven on the Hollywood AW

7  Jaival   has run some very stout races on the conventional dirt at Cby......needs to produce the same 1st ever on the AW today

1  Hog's Hollow   runs well fresh including on the AW.......works say ready off of the bench once again

5  Rooster City   seems like speed of the speed in this spot.....how is speed doing to this point?

 

race 5    average clarity

4  Rio Good   one very solid career race for this baby......@.......Hollywood da da da da da Hollywood da da da da da

1  Pop The Cork   blocked badly in last or would have popped the cork.....probably left some horse on the track.....for today

5  Jay's Firetruck   hard not to play a Sadler maiden claiming 1st timer these days.....he's something like 7 of his last 13

10  Captain Magic   not the best of trips in debut last.....dangerous trainer with 2nd timers and 1st time blinkers

Possible Long-shot:   6 Boo Radley   good looking works for this 1st timer.....trainer (who we did have in our picks) fired with a 1ster about a week ago

 

race 6    way below average clarity on the AW    turf picks  8-7-1-3   slightly below avg clarity

3  Entabeni   consistent sort handles the AW and the 6F distance just fine

6  Sixtysix Margaux   likes 4 to 8 weeks between races and gets it.......won despite a very bad trip in last

1  All The Love   2nd time Mitchell today after he improved this mare in last.......handled the Hol AW OK last spring

5  There Is Limit   2 for 2 on the Hollywood AW now after winning her last

 

race 7    average clarity 

6  Gutshot Straight   consistently firing big figs/efforts and can handle strong paces.....and we get a positve rider switch

4  Quintons Destiny   closer seems sharp and seemingly gets plenty of early pace to flatter her late kick

2  Warren's Knockout   last win came turf to AW ....today's scenario.....looks like a good spot for deep closer

3  Mack's Gold Bullet   good chance to get a nice stalking position....red hot rider/jockey combo

 

race 8    average clarity on the AW (but some prices)     turf picks   12-9-2-4   avg clarity

9  Shesoprovocative   wide with solid pace hides her effort in last.....big bullet work since....seems ready for best

12  La Sombre   hard to argue with 1 win and 4 seconds in 5 lifetime races

6  Somethingabouterri   bad trip in last hides a strong effort.......strong 4F work since....Scott knows horse well....come on Joy....should be a big price-a-rooo

2  Sugar Spike   good form on the turf and capable on the AW.....positive rider switch

NOTE:    13 Chocolate Caliente   fits well in this spot if draws into the field

 

race 9    slightly above average clarity

1  Blueskiesnrainbows   showed strong pace for this level in 2 back.......good shot to be tough from the get go on the drop out of MSW.....1st on the AW is a small ? mark

2  Arathorn   useful debut and good works since....should also get good position up close from the get go

4  Sky Larkin   long layoff but training well......caught a tough heat of MSW horses in lone race last May

7  Mr. Cappucino   bad trip in lifetime debut 3 back hides a strong effort on the Hol synthetic....trainer is dangerous 1st time blinkers and 1st time in maiden claiming

3  Ello Guv   OK efforts....will need small move forward to compete for the win

12  Solana Soleil   last looks like a gimme to drop and go today.....tough post unless the rain causes an outside bias

 

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