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Hollywood for Wednesday 7 December 2011
You might want to take note of where we stand with COLD exacta's so far. After 16 days into the Fall Hollywood Meeting 137 races have been run so far or $274 worth of exacta's using a $2 base. We have hit 14 COLD exacta's for a total return of $400.40. That is a profit of 46%. Not quite the return of over 60% during the 2009 Hollywood Fall Meeting, but still the kind of return our competitors and most players only dream about.Â
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race 1Â Â Â slightly below average clarity
3 El Gato Malo  better horse on the grass then the main track by my estimation and that is kind of hidden.....jockey upgrade too
5 Posse Power  very strong works for the likes of Lucarelli.....two straight rotten rides by GG jock.....trainer smartens up and uses an adequate local rider
2 Life Is A Rock  just fired what might be his lifetime best at GG.....so sharp conditioner feels he can take on the big boys in S Cal......2 reassuring drills since his last is a plus
race 2Â Â Â slightly above average clarity
1 Si Mar's Dear  only Mitchell runner today drops 2nd out after the claim to a spot she should be mighty tough if she has remained in relatively good health
3 Clever Chloe  drops to a more realistic level for a filly that graduated at the mdn20K level
5 Woodman's Lass  deep closer seems to have about a 50/50 chance at getting enough pace up front to be a factor at the wire in late stretch
race 3Â Â Â average clarity
9 Unusual Heatwave   major rider upgrade.....sharp work tab including a fast 3F drill to prepare for today's turn back to a sprint......and proven at the level.....should be flying late
7 Dream Caught  sure have a dichotomy here......great work tab but.......a lousy trainer with 1st timers
1 Exoctic Slew  trainer is good 3rd out after a layoff.....trainer is good turf to AW.....trainer is good route to sprint
10 Line Two  good turf pedigree for this 1st timer and a work tab that hints he might be ready to roll at 1st asking
race 4Â Â Â average clarity
8 Bruno's Wager  when Gryder shows up to ride a GG horse in S Cal the horses are most often very "live"......horse has a good history in abbreviated sprint distances
7 Craspedia  2 very bad trips at Fpx hides a speedster who showed a ton of ability at Hst crushing his competition by wide margins in only 3 1/2 furlong races.........positive rider switch and a good work tab
4 Sea Viper  horse is good with 6 to 8 weeks off and gets it.......Guce has had a good meeting and should have this one up close from the get go
5 Thrice The Vice  always seems to be right there at the 5 furlong mark of his 5 1/2 and 6 and 6 1/2 furlong races.......that usually bodes well for these 5F affairs
race 5Â Â Â average clarity
3 Dance With Gable  toss out last on "gd" turf.....not so hot in the past on good turf......stout history at 6F on firm turf at Hollywood....hot trainer......especially on the sod
5 Crossing The Line  Sadler seems to have a much better handle of late with this talented but fragile animal.....should fly down the stretch
4 Mark The Bench  same gimme on the AW at GG then drop and put in a grass race and go at Hol scenario as last Spring where this horse missed by only 1 length at 50 to 1......does tend to hang some
1 Top Feeling  over 1 1/2 years off but drops......consistent sort is a small factor if he is fit enough fresh off of the bench
race 6Â Â Â average clarity
3 Frisco Kid  might be last race before this horse with obvious health issues needs to go back to the farm so the trainer is willing to drop in claiming price to get a win......best speed here looks loose
10 Liberal Arts  improving sort.....good history at Hollywood on the synthetic.....rider upgrade
2 Cody's A Bobcat  trainer likes to drop this one off of bad efforts........trainer is good turf to AW and route to sprint
8 Depth  only 2 career races fit in this spot and they were the only 2 races this gelding ran at 7F
race 7Â Â Â slightly above average clarity
7 Givine   Canani most likely has been patiently waiting for a spot to run this talented filly and after a series of keep her relatively fit drills he puts the hammer down and gets a solid bullet 5/8ths drill out of her for today's race....sharp city
3 Home Sweet Aspen  hard to argue with a record of 3 wins and 3 2nd's in 6 lifetime races.....1st on the sod with decent grass pedigree
4 A Jealous Woman  little shot in last considering it was her 1st run in over 1 1/2 years and it was a poor trip.....positive rider switch and a blistering 5/8ths bullet work...plenty of talent in the past
2 Rare Sunset  very sharp Tup invader fits but I would like her more if the trainer was using a S Cal rider.....bad track record for small circuit jocks competing in S Cal on invaders
race 8Â Â Â average clarity
14 What A Rush   good return to race wars in last off of a 1/2 year hiatus.....big work since....solid back numbers and sure looks ready to revert back to his very best
1 Seek The Light  all three lifetime races fit in this spot.....tough post but top connections
2 Clearyaluckyguy  good mc debut last March then ran up the track in April....laid up since but training like he is returning ready and this time in for 1/2 the maiden claiming price
15 Fine And Rare  owns very good early speed for this low level maiden claimer....can be prominent from the get go with a good speed rider up
10 Cheers To Boogie  on the right end of the learning curve.....trainer is having a good Hol meeting so there is a good chance the trend for this gelding can continue
13 Praise For Dubai  good wake up in last in a 5 1/2 furlong affair.......will need similar today but at 7F
Longshot Possibilities: 3 On I Win  strong effort in last 1st ever on the AW and now we get a jockey upgrade to Berrios.......7F is a ? mark
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