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Hollywood for Wednesday 7 December 2011

You might want to take note of where we stand with COLD exacta's so far. After 16 days into the Fall Hollywood Meeting 137 races have been run so far or $274 worth of exacta's using a $2 base. We have hit 14 COLD exacta's for a total return of $400.40. That is a profit of 46%. Not quite the return of over 60% during the 2009 Hollywood Fall Meeting, but still the kind of return our competitors and most players only dream about. 


race 1    slightly below average clarity

3  El Gato Malo   better horse on the grass then the main track by my estimation and that is kind of hidden.....jockey upgrade too

5  Posse Power   very strong works for the likes of Lucarelli.....two straight rotten rides by GG jock.....trainer smartens up and uses an adequate local rider

2  Life Is A Rock   just fired what might be his lifetime best at sharp conditioner feels he can take on the big boys in S Cal......2 reassuring drills since his last is a plus


race 2    slightly above average clarity

1  Si Mar's Dear   only Mitchell runner today drops 2nd out after the claim to a spot she should be mighty tough if she has remained in relatively good health

3  Clever Chloe   drops to a more realistic level for a filly that graduated at the mdn20K level

5  Woodman's Lass   deep closer seems to have about a 50/50 chance at getting enough pace up front to be a factor at the wire in late stretch


race 3    average clarity

9  Unusual Heatwave    major rider work tab including a fast 3F drill to prepare for today's turn back to a sprint......and proven at the level.....should be flying late

7  Dream Caught   sure have a dichotomy here......great work tab but.......a lousy trainer with 1st timers

1  Exoctic Slew   trainer is good 3rd out after a layoff.....trainer is good turf to AW.....trainer is good route to sprint

10  Line Two   good turf pedigree for this 1st timer and a work tab that hints he might be ready to roll at 1st asking


race 4    average clarity

8  Bruno's Wager   when Gryder shows up to ride a GG horse in S Cal the horses are most often very "live" has a good history in abbreviated sprint distances

7  Craspedia   2 very bad trips at Fpx hides a speedster who showed a ton of ability at Hst crushing his competition by wide margins in only 3 1/2 furlong races.........positive rider switch and a good work tab

4  Sea Viper   horse is good with 6 to 8 weeks off and gets it.......Guce has had a good meeting and should have this one up close from the get go

5  Thrice The Vice   always seems to be right there at the 5 furlong mark of his 5 1/2 and 6 and 6 1/2  furlong races.......that usually bodes well for these 5F affairs


race 5    average clarity

3  Dance With Gable   toss out last on "gd" turf.....not so hot in the past on good turf......stout history at 6F on firm turf at trainer......especially on the sod

5  Crossing The Line   Sadler seems to have a much better handle of late with this talented but fragile animal.....should fly down the stretch

4  Mark The Bench   same gimme on the AW at GG then drop and put in a grass race and go at Hol scenario as last Spring where this horse missed by only 1 length at 50 to 1......does tend to hang some

1  Top Feeling   over 1 1/2 years off but drops......consistent sort is a small factor if he is fit enough fresh off of the bench


race 6    average clarity

3  Frisco Kid   might be last race before this horse with obvious health issues needs to go back to the farm so the trainer is willing to drop in claiming price to get a speed here looks loose

10  Liberal Arts   improving sort.....good history at Hollywood on the synthetic.....rider upgrade

2  Cody's A Bobcat   trainer likes to drop this one off of bad efforts........trainer is good turf to AW and route to sprint

8  Depth   only 2 career races fit in this spot and they were the only 2 races this gelding ran at 7F


race 7    slightly above average clarity

7  Givine    Canani most likely has been patiently waiting for a spot to run this talented filly and after a series of keep her relatively fit drills he puts the hammer down and gets a solid bullet 5/8ths drill out of her for today's city

3  Home Sweet Aspen   hard to argue with a record of 3 wins and 3 2nd's in 6 lifetime races.....1st on the sod with decent grass pedigree

4  A Jealous Woman   little shot in last considering it was her 1st run in over 1 1/2 years and it was a poor trip.....positive rider switch and a blistering 5/8ths bullet work...plenty of talent in the past

2  Rare Sunset   very sharp Tup invader fits but I would like her more if the trainer was using a S Cal rider.....bad track record for small circuit jocks competing in S Cal on invaders


race 8    average clarity

14  What A Rush    good return to race wars in last off of a 1/2 year hiatus.....big work since....solid back numbers and sure looks ready to revert back to his very best

1  Seek The Light   all three lifetime races fit in this spot.....tough post but top connections

2  Clearyaluckyguy   good mc debut last March then ran up the track in April....laid up since but training like he is returning ready and this time in for 1/2 the maiden claiming price

15  Fine And Rare   owns very good early speed for this low level maiden claimer....can be prominent from the get go with a good speed rider up

10  Cheers To Boogie   on the right end of the learning curve.....trainer is having a good Hol meeting so there is a good chance the trend for this gelding can continue

13  Praise For Dubai   good wake up in last in a 5 1/2 furlong affair.......will need similar today but at 7F

Longshot Possibilities:  3  On I Win   strong effort in last 1st ever on the AW and now we get a jockey upgrade to Berrios.......7F is a ? mark



Posted on December 7, 2011 at 10:53 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information