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Santa Anita for Saturday 31 December 2011


Decent card today and tomorrow's isn't too shabby either. I already studied the Jan 1 card because I plan on a little partying tonight and I really am not much of a drinker and I kind of count on being a little brain dead New Years morning. I just need to post the selections and comments which I think I can handle. Hope you all have a terrific and safe New Years Eve.


race 1    above average clarity

3 Amelia Rose   on the right end of the learning curve....owns a small touch of early speed in a race lacking it

2  Miss Bold Topper   low % rider but not when he rides for today's trainer.......vastly improved works since a move forward in latest engagement.....also has a little speed in a race that lacks that commodity

7  Tiabelle   bad trip in last hides what appears to be a move in the wrong direction.......great spot to rebound with a clean break and a some ground saving position near the lead here

5  Be Brave Be Lucky   another with a bad trip and it was his lone lifetime race.......showed good speed after a poor trainer has put in some good drills.....trouble if meant today in her 1st run after a 4 month hiatus from the track


race 2    average clarity

5  Stoneside   uncanny consistency especially at today's distance....shot for a solid mid pack position biding his time and poncing in the stretch

7  Crossing The Line   what took you so long John Sadler.....4 wins 1 2nd 1 3rd at today's distance on the grass

4  Violon Scare   trainer sure could use a S Cal winner.....takes the plunge in class with this horse to finally get a possible trip to the circle of joy

2  Hidden Blessing   don't ever remember this horse training so sharply.....should get the lead here and might be a big surprise at how long he is able to keep it....fresh speed is often dangerous speed


race 3     above average clarity

4  Princess Arabella   outstanding works for this 1ster even by Bob Baffert has tossed some nice runners

7  Hidinginplainsight   very impressive debut back in mid Nov on the grass........bred fine to handle conventional up to snuff.....Puype is often more dangerous with 2nd time starters

3  Love My Way   best ever was his lone race at SA.......never headed in 4 lifetime races thru the 1st 3 points of call.......better shot to last longer on SA's "real dirt" surface

2  My Sweet Candy   turf debut race 2 back was solid....tossed a clunker in hint of a rebound in form....1st on the main track but bred OK to handle it


race 4    below average clarity

3  Big Hands Al    doubt we will get 15 to 1 on this price shot who broke bad and ran wide and still only got defeated by 3L in a vastly improved effort.......weight off with the app up who has a decent recent history with Palma....lone lifetime score was on the SA main track

6  Call Me Kelly   2 of 3 lifetime races fit recent drills.....should be in the hunt from the get go

2  Pop The Cork   how can you be nothing but all out with this aptly named horse on New Years Eve.....not much more to be said

9  Bwana Be Gone   relatively cold start to the SA meeting for the likes of Mitchell but this horse is a fresh newbie to his barn....and that is a dangerous thing


race 5    average clarity

8  Chickie Charms   2 consecutive powerful efforts/figs on the grass and now we get a very positive jockey change

7  Late Night Sky   best ever grass race was his lone opportunity to run on firm turf......should be nice and firm today....very sharp drills and more than capable trainer in Walsh

9  Unusual Heatwave   consistent sort will need lifetime best most likely here to upset our top 2 selections.....Barba/Smith have made for a good combo of late

11  Spit Ball   on the right end of the learning curve.....1st on the sod but bred to handle it and his trainer has a decent history 1st time on the sod


race 6    average clarity

7  Quintons Destiny   has been facing significantly better.....all 4 races since Mitchell took over look fairly strong in this spot......draws top Kentucky jock

1  Delta Fix   chased a suicidal pace in last and rightfully tired....blinkers on for today and a good speed rider aboard gives this gelding a shot to clear even from a difficult post at 6 1/2F

10  Boychik   long hiatus from the track and a so so work tab but the drop from alw racing makes this Armstrong charge dangerous.....trainer could use a win

9  Gothics Peak   positive rider ever was an effort run on conventional on SA's dirt are good......forward move (which is necessary here) back on "real" dirt might move forward


race 7    above  average clarity

1  Sheer Talent   3 of 4 races on the AW are very nice and this youngster is bred to handle the switch to the sod just fine......excellent work tab since his last and he retains Mr Gomez

8  Daddy Nose Best   crushed foes in last at CD.....rotten trip in BC in previous or had a shot at the circle of joy......seems very advantageous that regular rider Leparoux is aboard

4  Champions Gate   seems like a great spot for a horse whose both lifetime wins are the 2 times he got loose....sure looks like a good chance to be loose here....bonus is he is not one dimensional and can chase if need be

5  Stoney Fleece   decent 2 for 2 on lawn but horse is back in 5 days......yikes.....Sadler is one sharp guy so if he doesn't scratch him my guess is he can handle the stress


race 8    above average clarity

2  Turbulent Descent    not the best of trips as fave in the great and loves the 7F distance which many do not.....average trip and her "A" game and she wins it

1  Home Sweet Aspen   turf tightener in last......before that was definitely on the right end of the learning curve.....both lifetime races/wins at SA are quite impressive

7  Great Hot   hello SA....easily best two runs are her 2 races on the SA dirt like all systems are go....Sutherland knows this filly well

8  California Nectar  price shot has a very good history on conventional dirt in fast track sprints.....2 for 2 at the distance.....can handle significant early pace


race 9    below average clarity

12  Jim's No Preacher    owns blistering early pace and will try to use it here to clear and get over and dominate things from start to finish

13  Batti Man   very impressive credentials for this shipper from ARG.........and four very stout drills since he arrived for Puype suggests he shipped a very fit horse......we shall see

1  Leaving New York   best race for this gelding was the last time this fellow was able to run fresh off of the bench.....fresh once again and working up to snuff

3  Capital Account   2 impressive wins on the AW to start his career then bombed in the slop last say ready.....1st time on a fast SA surface....deserves another shot

9  Indian Winter   better animal on dirt.....last looks like a gimme to tighten up and go today....late runner gets ample pace to flatter his late run

14  Lunada Bay   laid up but training as if ready to roll....proven on the SA main track.....will need a very clever ride from the far outside....Smith is having a good 1st week at this meeting

Possible Long-shot:  4 Sirocco Strike   a few lengths short fig wise but is training exceptionally well at of nowhere.....the trainer might have drawn the trump card for this horse





Posted on December 31, 2011 at 10:57 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information