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Santa Anita for Thursday 16 February 2012

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So so race card to start out five consecutive days of racing. I am finished with about 75% of the studying for Friday's card and it looks good.

 

race 1    average clarity

4  Nifty Dreams   only horse in the field of those that have started that has broken 58 Flat for the 3rd call in sprint......also is the fastest so far at the 1st call.....bodes well for this abbreviated sprint of 5F

2  Footnotedisclosure   good spot for a 1st timer in that those that have run so far are not much......mom has tossed 6 winners from 6 starters

1  Spacecoast    owns decent speed and adds the blinkers for today.......good post and rider for a 5 furlong race.......vet scratch 2 weeks ago at the maiden 50K level is an obvious concern

5  Senjen    works are good enough for this filly 3 year old to be dangerous in her maiden debut

 

race 2    average clarity

5  Hannah G   race 2 back her only race on conventional dirt (albeit a muddy track) is quite strong for today's maiden 40K level.....M Jones is coming off a very productive week

4  Cavalletta    last two efforts make for a good fit at today's lower level.....Hendricks is also coming off a nice week of racing

1  Clearly Casual   decent maiden debut and it was at a route which is never an easy task for a 1ster....she was loose with reasonable pace but she was running on a dull inside

2  Call Me Lucy   decent move forward in 2nd lifetime start.....will need the trend to continue and she will have to do it in her 1st ever running a distance of ground......been awhile since her trainer won 1st at a route

 

race 3    average clarity

2  Jaws N' Paws   Victor Garcia is having one of his best race meetings in quite some time.......here he just snatched a mare at the claiming box who in 5 of 8 lifetime on conventional dirt.....the kind of claim that is very dangerous for an outfit that is hot.....mare was able to win despite a 4 wide trip in latest

4  Blue Tambourine   lead type only adds the blinkers for today to enhance her chances of getting to the front end of things.....she has won her last 3 when she got loose on the the lead

8  Moscow Movie   solid work regiment for this laid up dropper suggests she is meant and ready fresh........Dean Pederson is stellar 1st out under his guidance and with laid up animals

6  Line One   decent run fresh off of the bench in latest....Puype charge owns 2 wins and a second from three lifetime races on conventional dirt

 

race 4    average clarity

5  Vikkilee    very good history on the SA hill turf course.......all 5 lifetime hill course efforts fit.....jock upgrade

3  There Is No Limit   ran 2nd (with a not so hot trip)  as our top pick at 30 to 1 in last (paid over $20 to place) just 5 days ago....has handled the hill course just fine in the past.....most trainers stink at bringing their stock back in 'micro" rest but not O'Neill.....he has won his last 6 for 30 back in 5 days or less

2  Picture Perfect   bit short on figs but has 3 positives.........gets weight break and gets it with a hot apprentice......race on paper definitely says that the race sets up for an off pace runner like herself.....stepping up a notch hints that Sadler thinks she is doing well

6  Sarasota Sunshine   has the right to improve 2nd out after the layoff especially considering that Mr. Mike Mitchell is the conditioner

 

race 5    average clarity

7  Clue Me In   ultra consistent sort drops a couple of notches and most signs point to him holding his form.....if so....very tough at the bottom claiming level of 8,000

2  Skimming Skipper   dueled in a brutal suicidal pace in a 2 turn affair in last....shot to wire cutting back to a sprint with an underrated speed jock aboard....capable of chasing if need be......an obvious plus

4  Trumpet Player Jay   overdo drop to the bottom or too late of a drop to the bottom......toss a coin

3  Thrice The Vice   clunker in last.....race/effort 2 back would have a good chance at winning this affair......Cheryl Charlton wins plenty of races for Craigmyle but can they team up for a win at a major racing circuit?

 

race 6    below average clarity

4  Called To Serve   nicely hidden.....exits a fast heat with a very wide trip......bred to get the 1 1/8 which at this time of year is like a marathon for a three year old.....and......bred to handle grass

9  Montego Bay   had his sprint turf prep to put the final touches for 1st ever at a route.....another with a pedigree to handle the distance

7  Dangerous Duo   wake up city 1st ever on the grass for this Cassidy runner in latest........and Cassidy usually shows more 2nd time on the grass

1  Late Night Sky   better individual than appears in print at least as far as his turf ability is concerned

NOTE:  12 Goofy Foot   has a shot if he draws in from the AE's

 

race 7    average clarity

5  Twelve Folds   bombed on the turf in latest....toss it out as she had a very suspect pedigree for it.......back to the dirt where this filly crushed her competition in an extremely fast heat

 2  Habit Forming   Steve Sherman invader from Golden Gate has done little wrong in all 4 lifetime starts improving with each and every start....1st on the "dirt" is a question mark

6  Backwoods Belle   decent win in last but I don't think that effort would be enough to take this affair....but I do believe the run last August at Dmr would....and it was run off of 48 days rest.......good work regiment and 49 days rest this time......6 lbs less than last race too

3  Almost A Lady   no visible excuse in last at 1 to 2 in a 5 horse field......Sadler filly needs a rebound.......not sure we will get one with only 1 work since her last which was run 4 weeks ago........1st 3 lifetime races fit fine

 

race 8    average clarity

1  T J's Stormy Wit   mom has tossed 4 winners from 4 starters and the work tab is solid for a 3 year old maiden 30K 1ster.......O'Neill is having a very good meeting and might add to his win total here

8  Live The Forth   broke last and then showed life in lone lifetime race which was run last Sept. at Fpx.......works suggest she is ready fresh once again.....and gets a major jock upgrade

6  Bellavini   big drop and good early speed and only 5 furlongs to cope with might finally get the ice cold Biancone a much needed winner

9  Flashy Rae   prolonged work tab that finished up with a near bullet 4F workout just 5 days ago.....Bonde charge seems ready to roll in her maiden debut.....negative......tough post for a 5 furlong affair

5  Medio Ciego   another trainer that could use a win sends out a 1st timer that appears ready to compete in her 1st start ever

7  Whiskey Talks   works aren't much but.....hot rider....hot trainer.....and works aren't everything

 

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Posted on February 16, 2012 at 9:43 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information