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Hollywood Park for Saturday 28 April 2012

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Cal-bred day is often loaded with prices some of which you can see and some you can't. At least we have quite a few prices for top choices and have four "long-shots" to add some excitement. I believe four long-shots is the most we have ever posted for a card. But then again we have some large fields today.

 

race 1    slightly above average clarity

6  Natalie's Academy   sure appears to be best early speed in a race lacking it.........best ever was her 2nd out of her career...... so....... 2nd out after a long layoff seems like a good thing

1  Sting N Stella   long hiatus from the races for this four year old filly but working like a happy healthy horse......lone lifetime race was on the Bhp surface and it was a nice 3rd in a MSW affair getting caught 3 wide and still she was able to close fast in the late stages

2  Bud And Brandy   Troeger is dangerous dropping horses out of MSW racing......fillies best ever was lone race on the Bhp AW and it is hidden by a bad trip.......had about 8L of trouble .....and......closed fast into a pedestrian pace up front

5  Daze   useful maiden debut last.......Gaines is much more dangerous with 2nd timers......has a shot with a solid forward move

 

race 2    average clarity

3  You Can Dream   on the improve on the racetrack in the p.m. and now doing better in the a.m......very impressive bullet 5F drill.....best of 38.....7F looks like a good fit

4  River Kiss    might be sitting on very best.........nice improvement 2nd out after the layoff in last at SA.......and......2 of 3 lifetime races on the AW are very solid......lone race on the Bhp AW was an impressive victory going away at the wire win

7  Sparkling Style    laid up Baffert runner is training sharply and has a shot at rebounding to her MSW debut which was a crushing win......and it was on this special day for Cal breds last year......hmmmmm

2  Carrie Rose   seems to respond well to time off.......and the fact that Rosario takes the mount hints this off since December Mitchell charge is set to roll.....her top efforts fit

 

race 3   way below average clarity

NOTE:  Very difficult race to decipher. Nobody seems like a toss out. So as I do about 5 or 6 times a year I gave up trying to split hairs. So here is a run down in order of preference in this very difficult 3rd race.

4  Warren's Jitterbug

7  Halo Dolly

3  Bench Glory

1  Camile C

8  A Jealous Woman

6  Miss Becca

2  Going For A Spin

5  Sister Kate

 

race 4    average clarity

9  This Means War    Dean Pederson can crank up a 1ster to be ready to roll at 1st asking better than most and he sure has put some fast tightly spaced works into this War Chant filly

1  Sea John's Spirit   dull well bet debut on the turf.....bet hard again in 2nd lifetime race and ran well on the dirt.....now gives the AW a whirl.....has always trained extremely well on it....finally gets to run in the p.m. on it....rather sure fires best this afternoon

4  Scary Fast   work tab for this Gaines 1ster hint this filly might live up to her name.......mom has bee a prolific producer of runners......8 starters.....8 winners.....2 of them won Stakes races

2  Luckyvic   low percentage trainer but he does a nice job with this consistent runner.......and she seems a bit better on the AW

 

race 5    average clarity

12  Woodma's Luck   strong races at Bhp.....and best of all was turf to AW.....so last sure looks like the tightener for today

3  Caffeine High   highly consistent animal.....Ellis.....Rosario.......big day for Cal breds.....1 for 1 at Bhp

5  Pulpit's Express   powerful Mitchell speed horse with the light weight app aboard.....very dangerous on the front end

6  Panettone   MSW debut back in July fits well here....works are good and Pederson is outstanding off of extended layoffs

Possible Long-shot:  13  On My Honor   needed layoff last and the work regiment hints this colt has never been sharper.....sure is the right day for your best

 

race 6    above average clarity

5  Starlight Magic   improved with every start last year and sure fired a solid layoff sprint race in last........all set for very best back at a route where he beat our 2nd choice last year

4  Willa B Awesome   our 3rd choice in the SA Oaks won running her lifetime best.....tough to repeat such a strong race but is the one to beat if she does

2  Starry Skies   two solid turf wins in 2 lifetime starts.......1st ever at a route and 1st on the main track......plenty to overcome especially considering the ability of our top two picks but it wouldn't be the 1st time Marty Jones upset the apple cart

 

race 7    average clarity

1  Bertran Hill   trainer is red hot and the horse can handle layoffs....very tough here chasing the pace if she is ready for her "A game"

6  Blue Jay Attack   should be glad to be back at Bhp......solid grass efforts/figs at 5F and 6f....not so hot at 6 1/2 F...should fly late

3  Streakin Mohican   very dangerous if this claimer feels up to snuff here....he should wire....but....failed for the red hot O'Neill in late Feb....claimed by Spawr.....can he turn him around?......not sure so 3rd pick

2  My Summer Slew    declining fast.....trouble if manages a rebound today

 

race 8    slightly below average clarity

3  Unusual Heatwave   very solid fig in only race on an AW surface and it was his MSW debut........bred to appreciate the 1 1/8......has run well when today's jock has been aboard

5  Real Conundrum   improving sort tries a route for the 1st time......bred well to handle the two turns.....nice works series

10 Stoney Fleece   might be the best animal in the race but "might" isn't good enough to place on top when you start from the outer-most 10 post......needs a stellar ride

8  Dylan Donnelly   ran a strong effort turf to dirt......now will need the same turf to AW.....only race on the AW was poor but he deserves another shot as that race was his MSW debut

Possible Long-shot:   7  Bench Light   well proven at a route on the turf and the AW at GG.....ultra consistent.....last (52-1) looks like exercise for today for his new trainer Koriner

 

race 9    average clarity

1  Mobilized   best credentials in the race,,,,,,unusual 7 1/2F distance fits....has a good history from the 1 and 2 post staying inside and smoothly saving ground

4  Kingpin Ryno   since gelded (when he has the blinkers on) 2 wins and 4 2nd's in 6 starts...only race on the Bhp surface was good

5  Italian Rules    nice horse should be in it from the start but has a lot to prove sticking around with finishing power at this extended one turn distance.....still dangerous if he gets a soft pace

8  Leaving New York    multiple races are better than appear in print including at couple at Bhp.......good work tab suggests he's very sharp

Possible Long-shot:   2  Sammy's A Runnin'   last looks like a tune-up.....works since have been impressive......nice history running at Hollywood

 

race 10    average clarity

6  Night Wind   showed tremendous early pace in debut broking bad and rushing into a solid pace....did well to only get beat by 3L.......and just worked a bullet gate drill in his 1st Bhp work......draws Rosario

3  Valentine Boy   very strong second lifetime run at Dmr in July..........long layoff but has put in a good work foundation with a series of 5 & 6 furlong works to be ready fresh

2  Swift Eagle   par for today's level in last and it was at today's distance (albeit on the turf)......1st on the AW but most horses that handle the sod alos handle the Hollywood AW

1  Bertrando Falls    rather sure this Walsh 1st starter is meant and ready but she has a difficult post for a 1st timer to cope with or I would have rated her higher up the ladder

5  Sizzlin' Joe   often difficult to tell when a Jones 1ster is ready because he shows so little work wise but his March 16th work showed me enough to think he can be dangerous in his MSW debut

4  Look For Answers   impress 6F drill for this 1st timer invading from N Cal.....and his trainer is rather good at getting 1st timers ready for action in their debut efforts

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Posted on April 28, 2012 at 11:00 am by richs · Permalink
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