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Hollywood for Friday 4 May 2012

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Selections for Santa Anita for Saturday (and the Kentucky Derby at Churchill Downs) will be posted Friday night by no later than 8 p.m. Pacific time.

 

race 1    average clarity

6  Three Cuties    seemingly on the upswing running on the grass at SA......handles the AW at Hol just fine......bit concerned about this late runner passing the last animal to gain the victory.....some signs of being a hanger

2  Tiz A Route   horse is decent running fresh and Herrick likes to have them ready off of extended layoffs.......filly sure fits if she is up to running her A game

1  Attack The Jack   toss out last at OP.....sloppy track excuse.......training great before and since that Arkansas race......should be prominent from the get go

7  Grasp    been running well versus slightly better at GG.......but definitely needs to overcome a strong tendency to hang in the stretch

 

race 2    average clarity

4  Miss Opps   stout record on the AW.......1st ever on the Hol synthetic but likely to appreciate it's surface.......just claimed by an extremely high % trainer at GG who wins 1/3 of the time with shippers

8  Irenes Jackpot   trainer needs to exit a prolonged slump......seems to be in drop mode to get there.......work tab says ready off of the layoff

1  Indy Beauty   responds to being on or very near the front end.....so......blinkers on seems like a smart move by her near conditioner Linda Mikus who does a nice job 1st out after she claims a horse

5  Mo Cheese   last fits but her history on the AW isn't too hot........does own one run on the AW that fits.....needs that race this afternoon

Possible long-shot:   3  Scalpers Dream   may not have liked the conventional dirt at SA......1 win and 1 2nd in 2 lifetime sprints on the AW

 

race 3    below average clarity

4  Lovely Sophia   seems best sprinting......seems best on AW surfaces........needed last......positive jock switch

11  R Doubleday   mom has tossed 6 winners from 6 starters...........sire tosses 1st starters that win a high rate.........shows plenty of ability in work tab but bit concerned about a 20 day gap in her work regiment in April

9  Gem In The Rough   last looks the grass leg make up MSW debut to tighten up....drop....and go go go in 2nd lifetime race on the AW

8  Stupendus Princess   back to where started career at the bottom Cal mc level......blinkers on to shake things up.......only race at Hol isn't bad and is hidden in that the pace up front was slow and this late running filly was compromised by it

Possible Long-shot:   7  Kentucky Tale   2 of 4 lifetime sprints fit and those 2 races were her only 2 races run fresh like today

 

race 4    average clarity

6  God Of War   when last seen in BRZ in their Derby this colt beat 13 horses in a Grade 1 event only getting beat by 3 3/4 for the win....laid up since but training up to snuff......back in versus maidens....a ton if ready 1st ever in the USA

5  My Samurai Warrior   nice 2nd in a fast heat of MSW dirt route runners........good reassuring 5F work since.....same or better today likely back on the grass which he looked fine on in his debut 2 back

2  Causeithertz   well proven that he fits well at the MSW level.......laid up and returns 1st time in the Baffert barn.....that is a dangerous thing

8  Rock Off   turf sprinter will need to move forward 1st at a grass route.....pedigree is good to go long.......tall task but not impossible with a good grass conditioner in Canani

Possible Long-shot:   Janero  not much in early winter.....off since but returns gelded and adds blinkers.....works sure seem much better now.....might return a better horse

 

race 5    average clarity

1  Tribal Dreams   ran a race in his last in the slop that crushes these if he duplicates it today........seems somewhat suspicious that Armstrong doesn't put the horse up in class not down.......but she has had a great 2012 so far with limited starters.......might be good to put on top or out in your gimmick wagers

4  Pop The Cork   last 3 of 4 races fit well at today's level....closer seemingly gets needed pace to flatter his late kick

8  Wise Guise   on the right end of the learning curve.......2nd out after the layoff.......why not step up?......why would you when you are a trainer who is stilling looking for his 1st win of 2012 after 35 starts

3  Flower Power   lone win came on the lead......might need to try and rate today as there is an abundance of speed in this affair and some others in here seem quicker to the 1st quarter

 

race 6    slightly below clarity

2  Solar Rocket   won in hand 2 straight races for his new conditioner.........those effort fit well at today's nw alw level if he can preform as well on the sod.....fairly decent pedigree for the grass

5  Aliza's Dream   good shot to get a very nice stalk position behind the 1 and the 2 who should be pressing the issue early

7  Boat Trip   nice form wake up 1st on the grass in last........same or better today should fit if he receives a relatively decent trip from Valvidia who has returned to S Cal riding well

4  Sammy's A Runnin'   likes 6 to 8 weeks between starts and gets it......scratched out of Saturday's Cal bred Stakes for this spot today

 

race 7    average clarity

1  Reneesgotzip   one of the better 3 year old fillies stays home to run an alw race.....not sure why but she sure towers over this field if she brings her A game

3  Spectacular Sky    solid race 2 back and then ran her lifetime best in last........gets ample time to recovery from such a stressful run......Jones usually brings this type back ready to roll.....shot at upset if the 1 is off her game a little or the 3 fires another forward race

5  Customer Base   2 for 2 on the AW........training well but this invader has a tall task overcoming 2 very strong locals especially for the nw2 alw level

 

race 8    average clarity

10  Currahee     significant solid forward move/number in last.....difficult outer-most 10 post but owns solid early speed and can use it here to clear most or all and get on over to save as much ground as possible on turn one

8  Money Talk   31 to 1 in MSW turf sprint lifetime debut suggests the race was a gimme to be full throttle in 2nd lifetime start......that tune-up was rather decent and sets him up nice for his 1st ever at a route

6  Langfurs Lightning   can get the lead but at what cost.....might need to take back like his effort 2 back or might not have much left in the tank in the late stretch

3  Aqua Revelation   showed enough life in 2 lifetime grass races to be somewhat dangerous in his first run ever off of relatively short rest

9   Funny How   funny how a horse can work so well and ease in his debut and work even faster after the race.........hmmmmmmm........1st on grass and bred for it

Animaux Del Viento    seems to be running for a small slice of the pie only unless he makes an unforeseen large forward move

 

 

 

 

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Posted on May 4, 2012 at 7:45 am by richs · Permalink
In: Members Area