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Hollywood for Sunday 6 May 2012

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Rail bias yesterday sure was a surprise. Every horse won inside except for the last race. Last weekend it was outside. Studied today for even track as it was Thurs. and Friday. Maybe the early morning start yesterday caused the inside condition. So so card if it is an even track. Even tougher if it ends up biased again. Come on Hollywood Park maintenance crew get it right. Nice and even the last couple of years but this year the main track racing surface sure is jumping around.

 

 

race 1    average clarity

1  Make Us Proud   Talamo will most liking be sending this gelding early in this affair lacking much speed......good shot to be tough if jock slows things done early

4  Confucius Junior   improving with every start since Hess took over....one more move forward move and he is the one to overcome....good sign Gomez stays aboard

5  Magic Beam   just claimed by Pender and I think he took this horse because he is 1 win and 1 2nd on the Hollywood Synthetic and nowheresville on the conventional dirt

 

race 2    average clarity

1  Dancin Upside Down   shows speed and endurance (solid work at 5F for an April baby).....all systems go for this O'Callahan runner

8  Papa G. T.   O'Neill 1ster is working like ready and appears to have plenty of early gas.....good thing of course in a 4 1/2 furlong affair

2  Confederate Recon   veered out badly as they so often do breaking from an outer-most post in his 2F MSW debut and still almost won.....should show significant early speed if he breaks cleanly.....decent 4F gate work since that debut....should fit fine here today

3  R S Watson   another 1ster working well enough to possible be a factor in his lifetime debut

 

race 3    average clarity

6  Ultimate Decision    last 4 of 5 races are quite strong for today's level.....just claimed by Belvoir and if he can get at least 90% of what O'Neill got from this horse then he is the one to overcome

2  Bay Rush   logical overdo drop for this gelding to wake him up.....doubt this is a gimme or Gallagher would have placed him in a non-claiming event....nice work regiment for this laid up runner

5  Coluda    here's your wire to wire attempt in the race.....Mitchell is heating heat

 

race 4    average clarity

6  Always A Chance   done little wrong in 3 lifetime races.......2 very reassuring drills since last........? is 1st on the AW but he did handle the grass well and most runners that can handle turf handle the Hol synthetic

4  Ricspretentiousgal   improving with every start....fits well if like our top pick handles the Hollywood AW....trains OK on it

3  Raggin Wood   another who appears to be on the right end of the learning curve.....debut race 7 races back showed he can handle the Hol surface

2  My Diane   last 3 sprints fit but I am leery about this one flattening out late at the extended sprint distance of seven furlongs

 

race 5    below average clarity

5  Hunch   sets up for this laid off dropper.....closer in a race full of speed.....but is this one still in good enough health to even run at 20K.....not sure.....flip a coin

7  Bertran Hill   back very quick.....might be feeling awfully good.....strong back numbers/efforts/energy at Hol last Spring

2  Position A   does best running at 6F and should appreciate getting back on the Hol synthetic

3  Drift King   check early and the rushed......cleaner trip and he would have wired....1st AW a ? mark....also appears to be a lead type only and there is other speed in the affair

 

race 6    average clarity

2  Hidden Pleasure   like her last effort in GB versus males.....like her 1st run in the USA...then saddle slipped in last.....saddle should stay where it belongs today

4  Trapper's Bounty   ultra consistent sort......sure like when someone claims a runner who almost always fires....easier for new connections to screw up with a bad purchase........mare does well on AW surfaces and at 6F

3  Melissa Rose   seems best off the pace a bit......would have rated higher if this race was on conventional dirt.....bit leery of her ability to handle AW surfaces as well

6  Chukchi Sunrise    wide with pace or could have won last.....needs a more clever ride here especially if we get yesterday's inside condition

 

race 7    average clarity

3  Shaun Washington   nice pick up for Hollendorfer......solid MSW grass win in The Big Apple last month......stout drill on the Hol turf course.....all systems go

2  Frenemy   very likely to get the trip sitting close up and saving ground....sure like the 6F drill a week ago to build up this colt's endurance to get the distance

6  Midnight Crooner   Baffert just put 2 speed drills into this colt whose lone win can loose on the lead.....sharp trainer.....arguably the nations best makes a good looking move once again...rather sure they will go after the lead full bore here

5  Risky Reward   nice win 1st after the claim by Sadler......that race with the same good trip by Pedroza fits fine here

 

race 8    slightly above average clarity

1  Teddy's Promise   Grade 1 ability running in a small Stakes race......Ellis does extremely well in non-Graded Stakes races.....filly is 3 for 5 at Hollywood

5  Izzy Rules   extremely good gate horse usually.....and a good speed jock.....need to put away other speed but she is the most likely of the speed-balls to do it

6  Rumor   off pace sort will have her fingers crossed that the speed types battle it out.....if so she can get up in the abbreviated sprint of only 5F

7  Dawnie Macho   might get caught too wide with the 7 post in a 5F sprint but take a look at her races where she has drawn outside....she seems to thrive on starting from the outside

 

race 9    average clarity

3  Zanbo   good sprint turf race in Dec.....nice sprint grass tune-up 5 weeks ago followed by 4 works to be at full throttle 1st a turf route........Puype is more than capable with an animal 1st ever around 2 turns

8  Passionville   nice tune-up (44 to 1) hidden by a poor trip.....broke slow.....ran wide....and sat too far off a very slow pace

12  Sassy And Single   I have 2 personal strong figs/efforts for this filly and she would be a no brainer if she had posts 1-6 but this is nasty seldom win post at 1 mile on the grass at Hol.....at least she runs from out of it so she will be in no hurry early so she can get over and try to save some ground into turn 1

5  Unbridled Ambition   too useful sprint races and now tries a route.....outstanding trainer but 1st at a route of ground is not one of his stronger points....but still very dangerous here....believe on or near the lead saving ground

10  Miss Speed Darling

7  Briteyednbushytail

 

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Posted on May 6, 2012 at 9:41 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information