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Hollywood for Thursday 7 June 2012

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NOTE:  Saturday's publication will be available no later than 6 am Pacific time and it will include the Belmont Stakes.

Decent card today in that our top selection is the morning line favorite in only 2 of the 8 races. Nice pick 6 carryover today. Two of the races rated better than average clarity and the other 4 are rated average clarity.

 

race 1    average clarity

5  Panfila   veered outward badly from outer-post and ran wide.......seemingly had at least a dozen lengths of trip trouble and only got beat by 15 in a MSW affair.........blinkers on to help focus........did behave in 2F affair 1st start at SA

6  Jim Baylee   good improvement in 2nd lifetime start........reassuring work-out since.......showed some early speed in last....can be in it from the get go with another good exit from the gate

2  Kathy's Star   trainer isn't too hot with 1st time starters but this filly 1st timer is training too well to be ignored.....sure like the back to back 5F drills in May in preparation for a 5 furlong baby race

4  Ziraili   bit of a sketchy work regiment for this 1ster but he does seem to show some early gas in his works......and he draws the top gun so far at the Hol spring/summer meeting

 

race 2    slightly below average clarity

6  Willie Brown    inside on a dull rail 2 races back.......stellar drill prior to latest.... but..... ran way wide in latest in a fast run heat at a couple of notches higher than today's claiming level......toss it out..........good endurance building 7F work 9 days ago in preparation of 1st ever run at a route of ground.....second time Stute is often a dangerous thing

3  Noble Kent   dull last but little support at the windows........hmmm.......might prefer more time between starts and gets more time today........sharp 4F work just 4 days ago.....rebound city likely today

1  A Day Away   rather expensive animal drops out of MSW racing after 4 disappointing races.......shot to cut losses with a win today

 

 

race 3    average clarity

2  Royal Import   very consistent runner on AW surfaces.......bad trip in last.....claimed back by Hess once again who has done well in the past with this often claimed 5 year old......seems to fire best with shorter rest..........20 days since last qualifies as shorter rest

6  Low Gear Power   significant effort/fig in latest....his 1st run after the claim for Mullins......a ton here if he repeats that effort but he has had trouble running strong back to back races in the past

3  Capture The Call   Joe Talamo will be hoping that the 4 horse doesn't put too much heat on his "lead type only" mount.......decent shot to wire if that occurs

 

race 4    average clarity

1  I'm Always Hopeful    big wake up in last 1st time blinkers and 1st time AW.......ran very wide and still only lost by less than 5 lengths.........better post today and a higher % jock aboard.....also two decent works since her last

2  Pardon My Excess   decent maiden debut sprinting showing some early speed......bred OK to get the 1 1/16..........Talamo will try to take them wire to wire from a good post

5  Briteyednbushytail   only one lifetime race fits and it is her lone race on the Hollywood synthetic.......gets a positive rider change.......does still need to prove she can get a route of ground

3  Unusual Darling   wouldn't be the first time a Mullins runner ran up the track in her MSW debut and dropped into maiden claiming and won

 

race 5    slightly above average clarity

4  My Summer Slew   solid rebound in last back running on his favorite surface/distance.......very solid drill since.......highly likely to move forward today 2nd out after the layoff

7  Blue Jay Attack   hidden move forward in last......subtlety shuffled back early in last and then ran 3 wide.......another who appreciates the Hol 6F turf configuration.....also back to Bejarano who seems to get the most out of this Marty Jones runner

5  Nofty   just a hair short of par like efforts in last two races..........best work in quite some time since last......retains Gomez.....might be poised for lifetime best today

8  Red Defense    suspicious drop off of a solid effort at twice the claiming price or maybe Sadler is hungry for a winner as his 13% win percentage for the Hol meeting is far below his usual win rate......tough call

 

race 6    average clarity

6  Megaride   exits a fast heat running 2nd to a powerful winner with a gap of 5 lengths to 3rd........this 4 year old gelding has a distinct advantage of running in two turn affairs in all 9 career races

4  Visible Marq   might own the best speed in the field........wired running his 1st ever at a route of ground to break his maiden in last and I believe he will attempt to wire in this spot as well

5  Super Candy   will definitely need best ever here........maybe turf to AW off of a very short rest interval of 6 days can do the trick

 

race 7    slightly above average clarity

6  Last Sting   ran a very strong 20 days rest turf to AW (1 1/16) effort at Hollywood two races back......ironically it was a race taken off the grass.........believe the effort really surprised her connections.......smartly placed turf to AW today......once again at 1 1/16 and this time 18 days rest.......yikes

1  Starlight Magic   easily best credentials in this race and retains Bejarano who knows this filly well

5  Endless Fancy   1st long but bred very nicely to handle it........seems to have the best early gas in this field......should be prominent from the get go

 

race 8    average clarity

3  Sizzlin' Joe   good MSW debut followed by an even better 2nd lifetime start.........earned a solid adjusted for trouble fig.....1st lone and 1st on the lawn but bred well to handle both

5  Surely Swift   solid 1st ever on the turf in last which was only his 2nd lifetime start and run off of a 3 month layoff....so.....good shot for more today and more would be better than par for the level

8  Dream Caught   toss out the main track race with blinkers off (his last......and they are back on today) and toss out his 3 races run on "off" tracks......that leaves 3 races all of which fit fine here....and his only turf race was without blinkers and wasn't bad.....so........if he is better with blinkers........more can be expected on the grass today

1  Turn On The Pumps   no punch in late stretch in two turn grass affairs........cut back of 1/16 should help staying power.......he best show more late today or maiden claiming here we come

7  Affrettando   not sure why Pender started this one's career in a cheap maiden claimer on the AW when this runner is extremely well bred for the grass.......MSW and the grass today after a workman like debut

2  Dr. Nips   decent work tab since O'neill claimed on April 12th.......very tough call pedigree wise if this colt will take to the sod and/or handle a route......showed life in his lone lifetime race an abbreviated 5F affair

 

 

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Posted on June 7, 2012 at 8:01 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information