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Hollywood for Saturday 16 June 2012

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Very intriguing card. Low priced top choices early but our top pick in the last 4 races averages about 10 to 1. And none of those 4 races are rated below "average clarity". It has been awhile since we had so many consecutive top choice price shots in a row. Exciting to say the least. Now let's hope at least 1 or 2 of them win. Good luck and thanks for being such good customers.

 

race 1     average clarity

2  You Can Dream    both wins for Deleon were on the drop down.....drops today

4  So Tempted   all 4 of this fillies 16 wins are at today's distance ( 4 for 9)......and 1 for 1 at Hollywood.....1st out after the claim for Canani is a dangerous thing

6  Winter Blossom   strong 5F win in last.....claimed in the race by a trainer who hasn't any starts in 2012......0 for 29 jock up.......not exactly a confidence builder.....but then again not impossible if the horse can repeat

 

race 2    average clarity

5  Missdealornodeal   somewhat of an alarming drop but the trainer is in win mode and lures Bejarano to ride.......a ton here if her health is still intact

3  Folk Dancer   on the improve this Spring and must be feeling awfully good as Cerin moves her up multiple levels this time.......quite the opposite situation than our top selection

4  Blue Samurai   last looks like the gimme 1st out after the claim to come back in short rest and drop and go go go

7  Somethingabouterri   only grass sprint was without lasix.......with a weak rider up.......and the horse ended up having a bad trip.....lasix today and with an OK rider aboard

 

race 3    slightly above average clarity

6  Amarish   solid 7+ length winning MSW debut....the race was solid both in pace and final time......two nice drills since has most likely held this gelding's edge....decent shot to make it 2 for 2

7  Just Call Me Al   nice win 1st out of the box despite getting caught 3 wide........two endurance building 5 furlong works since.....seems more than ready to handle the challenge of another 1/2 furlong

8  Undecided   another coming off a strong MSW debut win.......ships in from Kee off of solid a.m. work......seems to own the most impressive debut win of this bunch but......new track.....and... might get caught wide on the turn from the outer-most 8 post....still very dangerous

3  K Court   1st race around a turn but seems very fit and ready having worked 6 furlongs in a solid 112:2....a very solid long work for a 2 year old this time of year

 

race 4    average clarity

5  Norvsky   Donald Warren sure can train his stout grass runners to be fully ready off of prolonged layoffs...........a la Acclamation last week........another seemingly ready as well here

6  Interaction   laid up Grade 1 winner is training as if all systems are go .....very similar to Mac's All Star Heart....a top choice winner last week....and besides I owned a multiple winner named Interaction in the 80's......one on my favorite horses that I ever owned

1  Romp   late runner is well proven fresh and sure is training sharply for Mulhall who is starting to heat things up of late

 

race 5    average clarity

6  Vadertore   basically whole career fits well here........the perfect kind of animal for a trainer who is stellar at getting laid up runners to fire fresh.....and Pederson wins at a 32% clip with horses off 3 months or more

2  Me Salty   was improving fast and then needed some time off...... then after 2 1/2 months off he was given what looks like a gimme......to drop and go today.........trainer won two yesterday

7  Circle Drive   solid improvement in last......in fact if he repeats he will be the one to beat....but.....this gelding needs to overcome a history of poor efforts off of short rest....(Gomez wants mount back).....maybe he can

1  Position A   seems to fire the same race every time even for a struggling trainer (4% win)......also might be at his best distance....has a chance

 

race 6    slightly below average clarity

6  U S Citizen   mom has tossed 4 grass winners from 4 starters......trainer has won 3 of last 10 debuting on the sod.....trainer has been winning with many of his recent 1sters.....work tab says ready.....Bejarano accepts mount

2  Northern Force   another runner 1st out of the box with good turf pedigree......and good am work....and a top jock in Gomez

3  Davidius   works / pedigree /post all good for this 1st timer......trainer though is only 5 of his last 55 or 5% with 1st timers......but the 5% comes from somewhere and Cerin is having a good meet

7  English Prep   trainer loves to have his youngsters ready for their 2nd lifetime start....so toss out debut......very positive jock switch too.......even though my guess is he will be 3 or 4 lbs over-weight....hot new turf sire in English Channel

Long-shot possibilities:   10  Dashing Ash   low % trainer is fairly good with grass horses.......1st timer is training well enough and has good grass breeding....not impossible to be competitive

 

race 7    average clarity

6  Set'n On Ready   Tup shipper crushed foes in last setting a stellar pace......none of the locals have shown that much early gas....and his pedigree suggests that he has an advantage as the races get longer....1st time 5 1/2 furlongs for all today

1  Awesome Annie   earned a good adjusted for trouble fig in last breaking slightly slow and running 3 wide.......still a maiden so gets weight off here......continues to train like a happy healthy individual

4  Miss Empire   MSW debut somewhat hides this one's true ability......broke slow and ran wide on a rail bias day....excellent work regiment since....all systems go....just needs a good trip this time

5  Tilde   decent MSW debut win in last and I don't think this runner was fully cranked up for the race.......fits as well as anyone if I am right.....red hot rider/trainer combo too

 

race 8    average clarity

5  Key Decision   most of Avila's overseas shippers have needed a race.......so this Grade 1 winner in ARG might be up to bringing his "A game" here in his 2nd U S of A start.......and if he does he sure seems better than the field....also he has speed in a field lacking it and blinkers on

8  Atticus Jack   very reliable turf runner has run par or better in his last 5 two turn grass races.....nice layoff turf sprint prep should have him ready

9  Fire With Fire   mile turf affairs sure seem like a good fit......he tends to finish up his one mile races with some pop left.......almost always important in grass races

7  Akkadian   impressive close into a lack of pace up front in layoff last......might have to deal with the same pace scenario again today or would have rated higher

Long-shot possibilities:   2  Surrey Star   ran out of his mind two races back back in Oct....ran way too wide near a solid pace and only got beat by 2 1/2 in a Grade 2....that big effort knocked out him out cold....beaten by 31 in next out........off sufficient time to recovery......hope he's ready fresh

 

race 9    slightly above average clarity

1  Rock And Glory    crushed his competition in his last two races......both races had solid time and pace......looks loose once again and with less weight.....I believe that is why M Garcia got the mount from Quinonez as he can make a lower weight than the jock who obviously fits the horse

3  Zazu   fires every time......especially when Rosario rides....love his only race at today's distance a big bad trip 3rd in the Ky Oaks in 2011

2  Include Me Out   very solid on the conventional dirt but might not be as good on the AW........big AW Grade 2 win in last might be a little misleading as this filly chased gift fractions in last and still barely held on for the win....then again my thinking might be all wet

4  Atlantic Swing   strong AW 2nd in Ireland to finish up her 2011 campaign......very impressive USA work tab especially for the likes of Cecil.......sure seems meant and ready but is he good enough at this lofty level?......we shall see

 

race 10    average clarity

3  Briteyednbushytailed    jockey and trainer do well together......7 furlongs looks like a good fit....should sit close to what might be a lackluster pace....last 4 main track races fit

11  Agreed Upon    3 straight lifetime races all look the same......so so efforts......but blinkers on and the recent vastly improved work hints the blinkers have woken up this filly......assuming of course that she worked with the blinkers....odds are she did

14  Freckles Galore   monster bullet 6F work-out 8 days ago......hope it didn't knock her out any.....lookout if it build her up as her recent races fit fine already

2  Sing And Swing   takes that ever dangerous drop out of MSW racing.....bred to appreciate the extended sprint distance of 7F....actually bred to love 14 furlongs

7  Lovely Sophia

12  Then There Was You

 

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Posted on June 16, 2012 at 11:05 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information