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Hollywood for Friday 22 June 2012
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So so card with not one race rated above "average clarity". Saturday looks much better with 4 of the 9 races rated "slightly above average clarity". Best of luck as always beating Friday nights race card.
race 1 average clarity
4 Natalie's Academy speed type is awfully flat running past 5 1/2 furlongs but top jock Bejarano can milk her speed and hold her together versus this soft looking group
2 Commander Cloud takes that meaningful drop out of MSW racing......comes off an endurance building turf route race.......she should be closing late.....1st on the AW but bred fine to handle the transition
7 Pregunta McCarthy is not very good historically with mc 1st timers but the works are decent and the field looks weak for a mdn claiming 50K
5 Am Another Lover another 1st timer possible ready enough to compete in a soft group of maiden claimers
race 2 average clarity
4 Dave's Pacemaker highly consistent sort is especially stout at 5 1/2 furlongs....... (4 3 1 0).......and he gets plenty of speed types in the race to set things up for his strong late kick
7 Adam Suances trainer is solid (almost 50% winners) when he drops off of a claim...... like our top pick this fellow seems to have an advantage as a closer in a field with plenty of cheap speed
5 Classical Slew bullet 3F drill and a positive rider switch suggest a better effort is forthcoming for this runner who needs to avoid a suicidal speed duel
2 Fire In Excess laid up since Feb. but training decently and returns at the bottom rung of the claiming ladder
race 3 slightly below average clarity
8 Sea Of Red close to a very quick quarter in last.......that bodes well for this filly to overcome the outer most post and get a good prominent position from the get go in an affair lacking speed....1st on the AW but she has the pedigree to handle it
1 Marlenadarlena bad trip in MSW debut (which was on the turf) somewhat hides a good debut run.......works since hint that more can be expected tonight.......bred well to handle the AW
2 Dancingtothestars has been mid pack in 2 decent lifetime races........looks like her speed is good enough to sit much closer to the front here.........and that is usually a good thing
6 Three Blondes broke a little slow in MSW debut and then showed she can run some.......good chance to build on that debut run and show enough in her 2nd lifetime race to compete for the top prize here
race 4 slightly below average clarity
10 Corinthian's Song good 1st ever on the grass in latest.....sharp 6F reassuring work since.......tough post but has enough early speed versus this group clear and get over
3 Incentivize MSW debut last sure looks like a tune-up on the AW as this colt is extremely well bred for the turf......rather sure pointed for today and will show his merit today 1st ever on the sod
5 Fable Haven good forward move in latest......1st ever past 6 1/2 furlongs but seemingly is bred well enough to get a mile......not out of this if he does handle the two turns
4 Money Talker needs a rebound to his effort 2 races back......switch to Gomez hints that the colt is feeling good and we might see that rebound and with a better jock aboard
race 5 slightly below average clarity
1 Indian Firewater very strong early pace in last......same pace today and he should find himself loose on the lead with the meets leading jock up......you have to like that
3 Capital Account somewhat of a sketchy work tab but this 5 year old is 3 for 3 at the distance on a fast rated racing surface....yikes
4 Sahara Sky another who appreciates the 6 1/2 furlong distance owning 3 wins in 5 starts at 6 1/2F......last was solid......just needs similar today to be in the mix for the win
5 Supreme Summit doesn't seem to set too well for his late running style but it would not be the first time a pace scenario didn't unfold like I expected
race 6 average clarity
1 Jonny's Choice race totally lacks early speed and this colt has some and also draws the 1 post......good shot to be prominent from the get go here in a very reasonable pace....sharp near bullet 5/8ths work just 5 days ago
4 Woodmans Luck just fired his lifetime best or close to it in latest.....and the works since strongly suggest he remains a happy healthy horse ready to repeat another strong effort
5 Adriatic Moon last two efforts are dull.....but claimed by Mitchell and he gives the horse some time off.....might rebound as a fresh runner today.....tough call
6 Low Gear Power solid run 1st time after the claim by Mullins......Mullins jacks his new runner way up here which is a good sign the gelding is doing even better
race 7 average clarity
5 Unusual Heatwave race seeming can set up enough for this runners off pace style.....and we have the meets top jock aboard negotiating only 5 other runners to find a smooth off pace route to victory.......3 positives makes for a top pick
1 Tones should be prominent from the get go and be able to save ground starting from the 1 post
3 Boat Trip first effort at a route on the sod....bred well to get a turf mile.......responds well to 6 to 8 weeks between races and gets it
race 8 average clarity
2 You Little Devil plenty of early gas in this affair should set thing up nicely for this late runner......both efforts at 5 1/2 furlongs are quite strong and both hidden by bad trips
5 Minister Of Trade hidden run in mc debut last......broke slow.....checked a little on the run-up.....showed some strong pace.....smooth things out today with the same effort and he has as good an opportunity to win this as anyone
7 Three Buttons Down from MSW to mdn 20K......danger city especially for a trainer starting to heat things up a bit
8 Devgru debut fits.....but speedster most likely needs to avoid a suicidal speed duel by either clearing early or trying to take back some early
9 Awesome Mike positive rider switch.......and 1st time as a gelding......also usually a positive
12 Deception Free 1st timer is training up to snuff and draws Bejarano.....seems meant and ready but must overcome a nasty post at 5 1/2 furlongs
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