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Hollywood for Friday 29 June 2012

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Not an easy card to decipher but I sure like the fact that our top selection is the morning line favorite in only one race on the card. Good luck as always!

 

race 1    slightly above average clarity

4  Indy Beauty   good move forward in last the 1st time out after the claim by Carava.........responds to short rest and 12 days off sure qualifies for "short rest"......and last but not least drops back to 8K where she was claimed for  

6  Sunshine High   if you conclude her last was nothing more than a tune-up and then take a look you will see 2 solid races in her only other 2 races on the Hol AW.....and she has fired 2 good efforts the only 2 times she came back in short rest and sprinted like today

2  Memo To Kathy   wired in last in a fairly soft pace.......will most likely need a little better today or for our top two picks not to fire and/or receive poor trips

 

race 2    slightly below average clarity

5  Bev N Bud   better than par (adjusted for trouble) since the blinkers were put on 2 races back......outer-most ten post cost this gelding a wide trip in last....better post today.......Talamo will be out to make amends

1  Awesome Year   good move forward in 2nd lifetime start......very good sign that Bejarano sticks around for a trainer who he seldom rides for.......horse has broken well in both lifetime starts and has some early speed......expect this fellow to be in the hunt from the get go

3  Unusual Mystery   1st timer is working up to snuff......mom has tossed 4 winners from 4 starters.....and D'amato has done a nice job with his limited starters in 2012

8  Full Dancer   65 to 1 in MSW debut strongly suggest that was the gimme to drop and go in this mid priced maiden claimer.........trainer recently has woken up quite a bit out of the doldrums

 

race 3    average clarity

9  Colledimezzo   major league improvement in last the 1st time under the guidance of trainer Armando Cardenas (3 0-2-1 at the Hol meeting)......and now we get a solid jockey upgrade......also a solid recent reassuring 4F drill

3  A. P. Corsair   seems like advantage speed in this affair....and this gelding appears to have the most......endurance should be good for a 7F race coming off of 2 route grass races......decent shot to dominate from the get go

8  I Feel Free   surely fits in this bottom level maiden claimer but he sure tends to hang in the stretch....still....dangerous down here at this easier level

1  Outta Splash   doubt a winner.....small piece only seems more likely

 

race 4    below average clarity

2  Ultimate Decision   finally draws a good post after drawing the difficult outer-most post in 4 straight races......turf tightener in last....drops to a level where he stands out if he shows the same effort that he has displayed in the last 6 main track races

1  Megaride   will most likely need slightly more from this gelding today but it sure seems like Eurton (who is in win mode) feels the horse is doing really well because he runs him in an open 16K after graduating in a 16K nw2.......open 10K is an approximate equal level to 16K nw2

9  Hasty Trend   steps way up off of the claim for his new trainer.......last fits fine but this time he will need a very clever ride from a difficult outer-most 9 post

6  Ziggy's Stardust   very solid history running in route races.....sure like the fact Carava steps this gelding up in claiming even though he is out of jail

Long-shot Possibilities:   4  Matto Mondo   can awaken getting off of conventional dirt......much better horse on the grass and the AW

 

race 5    average clarity

2  Vonn Nez    after 13 races that were not all that impressive this filly has fired 3 straight that fit well at this race's level......improved post today....should be able to sit closer in an affair lacking front running types

6  Scientific   improving with every start.....like our top pick this filly owns enough early foot that she should be able to sit close up and save some ground.....last fits fine and if she moves forward again she will be the one to beat

7  Passionville   also on the right end of the learning curve and gets a jock upgrade to the meets top gun....should be motoring late

8  Attigirl Meadow    2 decent turf sprints under her belt and bred just fine to get a route of ground.......seems like a very good sign that Gomez elects to stick around on a Friday night for only one mount

 

race 6    average clarity

1  This Means War   done nothing wrong in 2 lifetime starts and continues to train as if the same or more can occur this evening

3  Carrie Rose   never better 2 races back the last time this filly ran on the Hollywood AW......does have a small tendency to hang in the stretch

7  Roar Baby Roar   fits fine here if she can fire off of the 10 month hiatus from the racetrack......excellent foundation in her work regiment suggests she will be up to the task

6  You Can Dream   facing tougher tonight but she sure has a good history running at 5 1/2 and 6 furlongs.....6F here

 

race 7    slightly above average clarity

5  Isle Of Prado   impressive move forward in latest....and with Rosario now in the Big Apple Bejarano grabs the mount....owns good tactical speed giving the meets top jock a better shot to get on over and save some ground on at least the 1st turn and that is 1/2 battle in most turf races

2  Imponente Purse   Avila smartly stops on and re-trains this declining horse......he can rebound freshened up and running versus easier

1  Quail Hill   sure looks as if this 4 year old can be loose on the lead and the last time this colt got loose he won.......and it was his last trip to the winners circle.....hmmmm

4  Jairzihno   trainer sure has done well with his limited starters.....and he will need to wake this gelding up 4 or 5 lengths here back to his late winter form

 

race 8    average clarity

2  Willie Brown   big move forward in latest and it is somewhat hidden because of a bad trip........better ride from Quinonez with the same effort/energy can be formidable here

1  Visionary Man   Eurton appears to be in win mode and he drops this 5 year old maiden to a spot where he surely fits if he is the same individual he has been in 3 lifetime sprints......also he has the advantage of being near the front end of a race lacking speed

3  Sidepocket Kid    this gelding in his latest race sure liked the switch to one turn racing which we thought he might.........bad trip in last hides a vastly improved effort....can fly late with light weight apprentice aboard

11  Et Tu Walker    3 year old has only earned chump change so far in 3 lifetime starts so why not drop him from MSW racing to mc20K......if we have the same horse here health wise he should compete for the top prize

4  Ruling Force    ran awfully well in his lifetime debut 1 year ago....and it is somewhat disguised by a bad trip-a-roo.......Hunt/Tsagalakis have made for a good team with limited starters over the last few years....very dangerous

5  Coranto   1ster is training well enough to possibly be ready in his maiden debut........his trainer has had a much better meet than his record would indicate

 

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Posted on June 29, 2012 at 9:46 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information