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Hollywood for Saturday 30 June 2012

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Both Grade 1 races today are loaded with talent.  Very interesting card in general but by no means an easy card to decipher. I did work as hard as usual though so I hope it gives us an edge. Best of luck as always and thank you for being such good customers.

 

race 1    slightly above average clarity

5  Absolutcat   total turn around for this colt since the blinkers became part of his equipment 2 races back........laid up since Jan. but the drills suggest he is totally ready to roll fresh off of the bench

6  Grumpy Small Mouth   last race was OK.....race 2 back is very impressive.........pressed a hot pace 3 wide and did awfully well to stick around for 2nd

1  Frisky Moment   Koriner is quite good with extended layoffs....... and........ this gelding is working like he might return a better animal at 3 than he was at 2

 

race 2    slightly below average clarity

6  Lady Aragorn   lifetime best in latest and it was run off of a 8 month layoff........seems like the one to overcome with a logical move forward 2nd out after the layoff

7  Unusual Jewel   on the improve and now this runner gets a significant jockey upgrade.....and Knapp has had a good Hollywood meeting

3  Lucky Monique   vastly improved final time wise and pace wise in 2nd lifetime start.....still needs more today and the cut back of 1/2 furlong looks like it can help.....good chance to be on or near the lead from the get go

8  Hanserella   race 2 back run in Oct of 2011 fits very well here.....not the best trainer with horses running off of extended layoffs but this individual is working rather well and might break the mold

 

race 3    average clarity

1  El Tango Ray   fresh horse today having not raced since early Feb.....this gelding won his maiden debut..........works are good.......trainer's stock have mostly been performing well this meet.......odds are this one is ready to roll fresh

8  Fire Break   trainer is awfully good 3rd out after layoffs.........with that in mind it looks like gimme.......gimme........drop and  go go go go

2  Circle Drive   down down down the claiming ladder.....last was OK....race 2 back is very stout for today's level

4  Battling Atticus   prolonged work series for this laid up runner looks awfully good.....fits fine for the 16K level if he is fit and ready to roll

 

race 4    average clarity

4  Warren's Performer   last was OK but what we want is her effort 2 races back........in that race she was shuffled back and then ran wide and still finished well to snatch a close 3rd

6  Red Flags Flying   only career race at Hollywood was a winning effort and it was her maiden debut.......not much in 2 subsequent starts since but is now training very sharply.....good chance for a rebound in form today

3  Hout Bay   failed on the drop in last....drops another 9K.....healthy enough or not is the obvious ?.........toss a coin

5  J And S Express   decent layoff effort in latest at 31 to 1.....wide trip or could have won.......but still will need more today or a better trip to take this

 

race 5    average clarity

3  Toruk Makto   finally draws a better post.......and has a solid tightly spaced 3 work series finished off with bullet 5/8ths drill....should appreciate the 1 1/8 mile distance....best ever seems likely

2  Swift Eagle   almost wired in last at 1 1/4 miles.....looks loose again and cuts back 1/8th of a mile....and is not a one dimensional type....can rate if need be

6  Dreamcatcher   solid 1st ever on the sod in last....switch to the meets top gun who has won his last 3 of 5 riding for Sadler....also should appreciate the 1 1/8th distance

4  Great Rising Star    very competitive sort when racing 1 1/8th miles or more on the turf....sharp recent reassuring work

 

race 6    average clarity

6  The Factor   good speed spot with the defection of  Comma To The Top.......4 for 4 at the somewhat specialty distance of 7F

3  Mobilized   fired lifetime best 2 back (race fits fine here) and that race was turf to AW......turf leg me up in last.....good chance fires another strong effort this afternoon....7F seems like a good fit

7  Smiling Tiger   3 for 3 on the Hollywood synthetic........won this race last year crushing his competition....also has better early speed on synthetic surfaces

5  Camp Victory   very solid history on the AW since the blinkers here added in May of 2011....often gets overlooked at the windows

 

race 7    average clarity

6  Ricspretentiousgal   on the improve with every start........last race repeated might win this........any move forward will make her very tough

4  Jolly Days   slightly shy in the fig department here but sure seems like the best late runner and that is often a dangerous thing on the grass especially when Gomez is aboard

2  Starship Flare   needs a rebound to her 2 year form and the recent drills suggest that can occur this afternoon

3  Ms Pianist   solid close in last into a slow pace .....needs a forward move today or will only be competing for a small piece of the purse pie......stout turf trainer to get the job done

 

race 8   slightly below average clarity

5  Death Star    found a new home in last......running long on the AW.......seemingly can get a nice mid pack position behind what should be a lively pace

3  Take Control   been absent 2 1/2 years but does that really matter much with a Bob Baffert runner......he got this horse to score at 1st asking in MSW debut (at a route) so here we go again....fresh....ready.....and a route

2  Press Baron     in good form on the grass and now this colt switches to the AW where he is 1 for 1 winning on it overseas.....and we get a jockey upgrade

4  Patriot's Voyage   very impressive speed route horse but he will have to shake off the 7 horse who can fly as well......NOTE:  NO. 7 WOULD HAVE A WIRE TO WIRE SHOT IF THE 4 HORSE WAS TO SCRATCH

Possible Long-shot:   6  Treasury Devil   rather consistent sort overseas in GB has been laid up since Nov but has a nice prolonged work series that hints he is ready to roll fresh off of the bench

 

race 9    slightly above average clarity

3  Little Mike   stout invader is 10 for 13 on the lawn and looks loose on the lead here....what else can you want

8  Mr. Commons   recent work tab is improved which suggests this Shirreffs runner is sitting on his best and his best is quite good.......Smith (on this late runner) will be hoping the 7 horse forces the hand of our top pick

4  Suggestive Boy   big races in ARG......nice mid pack to close up running style and a very aggressive looking running style in the races I viewed.....McAnally has done terrific with numerous S American imports in the past

7  Liberian Freighter   my guess (and I believe the only shot at hitting the board) is the connections will want this runner to sit off of the pace as he did successfully in a Grade 2 mile grass race at Hol in Oct of 2010......not impossible if he does

 

race 10    average clarity

2  Liberty Rocks   very impressive for a filly 2 year Cal bred to hit the track every 5 or 6 days for 5 straight weeks.....Hendricks charge is wound up and I believe ready to roll....and Hendricks 1st timers can go off a price

8  Money Makin Sam   O'Neill/Bejarano/well worked 1st timer/good pedigree....good enough for me

10  Old Man Lake   mom has tossed 3 winners from 3 starters including a Stakes winner.....good foundation in works.....rather sure Mullins has this 1st timer ready

7  Stretch   24 to 1 in MSW suggests the race was needed.....and the works since are vastly better.......expecting to see much more horse in 2nd lifetime start and at a big price

5  Strong Wind    not very good trips in either lifetime starts.......Knapp is having his best race meeting in a very long time......not out of this

1  Fighting Hussar   not the best of 1st timer trainers in Hector Palma but this one is working like he might break the mold here

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Posted on June 30, 2012 at 10:23 am by richs · Permalink
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