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Del Mar for Wednesday 18 July 2012

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Del Mar the party track is back!

 Very difficult card to decipher. Not exactly what we were looking for on opening day at Del Mar. Add to that the fact that the inside has been somewhat dull on opening day for the last 4 years. Will it be again? Who knows? Track seems to need (or maybe I should say the maintenance crew) a few days to get the track even throughout and then almost every day thereafter plays OK. Also, Thursday looks good so far with 75% of my studying finished. Plenty of days to go at beautiful Del Mar. I would be fairly conservative today.

 

race 1    slightly below average clarity

3  Miss California   good forward move in 2nd lifetime race........route breeding is kind of up in the air but Mulhall is quite good 1st time at a route

4  Wildakceleration   3 of this fillies last 4 route races on the AW are good including her latest which is somewhat hidden because of a poor trip

6  It's Candy Time   last was poor but maybe it was a little exercise to drop out of MSW to low level maiden claiming and get a much needed win for a slumping David Hofmans

2  Freckles Galore   a little short figure wise but retains Bejarano and draws a decent post.....not impossible especially if this filly takes to the Dmr surface

 

race 2    average clarity

2  Got Even   brilliant early speed.....sure looks like the most likely leader...... and only has 5 furlongs of grass to cover with a good sprint turf jock up

7  Lakerville   impressive late runner on the sod at 6 and 6 1/2 furlongs.....can he get up in time at 5F ?.......right rider for the job in Gomez

6  Kingpin Ryno   very consistent grass cutter running in races of 1 mile or less.....horridly wide trip in last somewhat disguises a powerful grass run

5  Obsess   works hint at a rebound....and if he rebounds to his "A game"....... look-out

 

race 3    slightly below average clarity

5  Celestic Night   training much much better now than before tossing a clunker (did show suicidal speed) in last at 8K......placed up to 12K today.......hmmm.......2 for 4 in the win column at Dmr.......Mr Mike Mitchell likes something he sees to place so high

6  Big Son Of A Gun   good move forward in last and now drops about 25% in claiming value......fits fine if he just repeats his last

1  Asset Play   ship in has plenty of experience adjusting to new tracks.....this is his 7th different track in the last 14 months.......trainer wins at a good rate with shippers

3  Guiding Hand   Belvoir is good with shippers and also good 1st out after the claim......and he had a decent Dmr meeting in 2011........so I'll ignore the fact he claimed an average running 9 year old

 

race 4    average clarity

9  Saratoga Yankee   improving with every start in 2012 and now drops down in claiming and gets a jockey upgrade........away for 2 months but owns a solid reassuring work regiment

4  Te Rapa   good layoff run in last......and his past running lines suggest more should occur this afternoon 2nd out after the layoff

3  Mr. Candy Bar   dropped to 50K from alw racing last March with Nakatani up and ran a solid 2nd....drops to 32K this time around from alw racing and once again gets Nakatani to ride.....hmmmmm

1  Lamm   looks like a good claim for O'Neill as this one exits a race where 1st and 2nd came back to win their next start and he ran 2nd in the race.....also 3 for 8 at the distance on the sod......1 for 11 at other distances on the grass....well placed

 

race 5    average clarity

5  Mine Fever   first timer hasn't missed a beat in the a.m working every 6 or 7 days since May 10th......Hollendorfer charge should be fit and most likely ready

8  Ballard Ruler   steady improvement in the a.m. for this Sadler 1ster.......last drill is very solid and only 6 days ago....feeling good when it counts the most

7  Fighting Hussar   training nicely before MSW debut last and ran awfully well and the effort is hidden by a poor trip......had about 7 lengths of trip trouble and only was beaten by 7....and......Palma has a low win % with 1sters and a high win % 2nd timers

6  Life A Riley   has been working with our 2nd pick......so very much the same reasoning to make him our 3rd pick

 

race 6    average clarity

3  Midnight Crooner   good post......good trainer......good rider.......best preparatory works.......Baffert sure seems to have this consistent runner pointed for this race

2  Canuletmedowneasy    very consistent on the lawn.....and just worked a very significant 5/8ths bullet drill.....rather sure ready for lifetime best

1  Koast   done almost everything right in 4 lifetime sprints on the turf.....1st ever long but sure has the pedigree to appreciate two turn racing

6  Boat Trip   just fired lifetime best his 1st ever at a route of ground......fits well either with a good trip and the same effort or a small move forward and an average trip

 

race 7    slightly below average clarity

5  Giant Steps   maybe better to call this runner Baby Steps......keeps stepping up one small step at a time and competing well.......gets 9 lbs off and a new trainer off 0f the claim who is quite stout 1st time out following a claim....also 1 for 1 at today's distance of 6 1/2 furlongs

11  Private Bounty    sure is highly consistent on the AW including Dmr.......2 very solid races since the blinkers were put on......just claimed by Spawr who has given this gelding a 7 week break......Spawr is stout off of 46 to 90 day layoffs and he is stout 1st out after a claim especially of late

8  Valkyrie Missile   another consistent claimer who has only missed the board in 1 of 9 starts at today's 6 1/2F distance (9 3 3 2 )

3  Star Nicholas   blinkers on........and assuming he has been training with them on......lookout.....he has been a vastly improved individual in the a.m.

 

race 8    slightly below average clarity

2  Low Gear Power   2 nice efforts since Mullins put in a claim for him..........and now this gelding gets to run at what seems like his favorite racing surface

5  Killer Bear   switch to a higher % trainer (Mullins) for this runner....and a jockey upgrade to Bejarano.....late runner should be flying late

9  Siempre Mio   lower weight and a rider upgrade.....such a deal......1st ever at a route but bred well to handle one.......Glatt just snatched at the claiming box and he has put in some good drills into his new runner

10  Woodman's Luck   consistent sort but he definitely likes to hang in the stretch....favorite in 4 of his last 6 races and ran 2nd and 3rd in those races as the fave

NOTE:  Number 12  Gatheratthealter has a shot if he draws in from the AE's

 

race 9    average clarity

5  My Best Brother   has really been moving forward since Canani switched this colt to the sod....continues to train like a happy healthy horse....should be in the hunt from the get go

4  Old Time Hockey   good history for the combo of Proctor/Leparoux......and this gelding sure puts in some smooth seemingly easy to handle efforts....that's a big plus in grass affairs

9  Holy Candy    many of his main track efforts/figs fit fine here and he is bred nicely to handle the green stuff.....outer-most 8 post is no bargain....needs a clever ride from Gomez

7  Stoney Fleece   consistent grass runner has impressively handled grass races from 1 mile to 1 1/2 miles....but......seemingly runs his best at today's distance on 1 mile

Long-shot Possibilities:   2  Power Foot   on the improve.....gets 5 lbs off.......continues to work like another necessary move forward can occur.....good long-shot jock is up

 

race 10    slightly below average clarity

6  Fly To Freedom   toss out last which was on the grass.....mc debut 2 back on the Hollywood AW was solid......that race has turned out to be a key race/field.......and now we get a solid jockey upgrade

13  Not Kidding Around   so so last on the grass....MSW debut race 2 back earned a solid turf fig.......drops into maiden claiming for 1st ever on the AW........Hollendorfer is oh so dangerous 1st time he drops in maiden claiming from MSW

2  Vonn Nez   last race hides this runner somewhat......sat too far back in a pace-less affair......good time to take an overdo drop into maiden claiming

10  Miss Lady Ellen   1st timer of Doug O'Neill's seems to be working well enough to possible be competitive in her debut into the wonderful world of thoroughbred racing

4  Salty Forecast   another 1st timer training up to snuff in the a.m.

11  War Excess   laid up fresh runner fits if she has returned fully ready to roll.......difficult call if she is ready or not

 

 

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Posted on July 18, 2012 at 9:58 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information