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Del Mar for Wednesday 8 August 2012

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Significant pick 6 carry-over for today. Feel good about using the 7 horse as a single in the 7th race even though he will be a single on many tickets. In the 5th and the 8th I also feel strongly that my top 3 selections cover those legs of the pick 6 fairly well. By far the 4th race is the most wide open of the 6 legs of the P6. Go as deep as you can afford or take a big chance and single our top pick with your fingers crossed and cover more affordable legs of the pick 6. Good luck to all!

 

race 1    average clarity

5  Gloryandprayer   not much in last but this fillies debut was good.......given some time off to bounce back and training as if she is returning ready to reproduce her solid maiden debut effort

7  Awe' Some Kitten   already owns the best early foot in the race and now adds blinkers.......and drops into a claiming race for the 1st time after two lackluster performances.......decent shot to wire the field.....very strong race 3 back

3  Hyena   good mc debut win at 1st asking for Miller.........should fit well versus the competition here with only a small logical move forward in her 2nd lifetime start

1  Ruler Of The Tribe    didn't prove a lot wiring the field in her mc debut with very soft fractions....but on the other hand she probably didn't exert herself much in winning leaving plenty of horse for today

 

race 2    average clarity

6  Power Series   logical drop off of a strong effort because this gelding is way in the red when it comes to helping pay the bills in his two years racing in the USA

2  Apply   poor trip in latest or would have been right there at the wire.........claimed in the race by Belvoir and it is a good sign Gomez wanted the ride back.......proven runner with short rest.......13 days off qualifies as short rest 

3  Aragorn Sword   solid wake-up in last both in pace and final time.....claimed by Craigmyle and he has a decent history 1st time out after he claims a horse

9  Midnight Con    seems like a better route horse now that he comes from out of it and that looks like a good thing in this spot with multiple speed types

 

race 3    slightly above average clarity

2  Smokey Lonesome    awfully smooth controllable runner usually......and with a good post and rider......and turf figs that fit

9  Atticus Jack   solid horse for the 50K claiming level gets a positive rider switch for his new conditioner Ted West who just claimed this runner for 62.5K.....West does rather well with high priced claims

7  Quail Hill   just snatched at the claiming box by O'Neill and he wisely puts a good speed rider on this colt who relishes the front end......dangerous wire to wire attempt here

5  Megastar   consistent strong late runner........switch in jocks to Valdivia who owns only 1 win at the meet despite getting quite a few good horses to ride......good time for him to wake up

 

race 4    slightly below average clarity

3  War Excess   solid effort in 2nd lifetime start last year that would most likely win this.......so 2nd out after the layoff bodes well for this Neil French runner......and 1st time Bejarano

11  Joyful Julia   big race/fig last summer in a MSW at Fpx........broke thru the gate prior to the start in last....and had a very bad trip stumbling at the start and running quite wide.......shot here if this filly settles down in her 2nd out after the prolonged layoff

1  Suances Vixen   very very dangerous trainer in Vienna dropping out of MSW racing to maiden claiming in a horse's 2nd lifetime start.....expecting much more from this filly today than she showed in her debut

4  Bull Rush   laid up since December but the works are good and it is a good time for blinkers on for the 1st time ever........lack of speed in this affair......and a good speed rider is aboard.....might be a somewhat surprising on the lead horse here

 

race 5    slightly above average clarity

7  Queen Mercury   2 very strong efforts in last two races with the blinkers taken off and the last race is somewhat hidden by a wide trip too close to the pace

8  Brooklyn Rose   has run well off of layoffs in the past.....and the works (especially for Hess who doesn't push them too hard in the a.m.) hint he is ready to roll fresh off of the bench once again

9  Bila Shaka   solid layoff run in last so it looks as if Belvoir was right in his assessment of the horse's condition and  made a good claim......he puts the blinkers on and the works seem like the equipment change has helped

13  Warren's Performer   checked 3 separate times in his last race.....never seemed to settle.....did well to only get beat by 5 lengths......new jock for today

 

race 6    average clarity

8  Swift Eagle    just keeps getting better.......and better.......and better......and the solid recent a.m. work suggests the trend is going to continue

5  Deep Play   another on the right end of the learning curve who remains sharp in the morning

1  Full Instinct   4th different trainer in his last 4 starts......what's that all about?......horse has been a bit speed crazy so the blinkers off seems like an interesting move.....1st at a route but bred fine to handle one especially if the blinkers off slows this gelding down some in the early stages

10  Dugan Bill   ran lifetime best with 8 weeks off in last (solid fig here) which was on the AW......7 weeks off this time and he runs just fine on the turf......does have a tough post and a jock up who gets very few turf mounts to get much of a feel for it....but on the other hand the jock/trainer make for a solid combo

Note:  11 Valley Cat and/or 12 Unusual Jazz fit fine if either or both draw into the field

 

race 7    slightly above average clarity

7  Executiveprivilege    last effort with a decent trip beat these unless somewhat vastly improves.....debut effort crushes these........good chance to be 3 for 3 with the Breeders Cup in her near future if she stays in good health

6  Speedinthruthecity   done little wrong in 2 lifetime races and continues to train sharply.....needs top choice to have a bad day one way or another or will need to improve quite a bit today to take this

8  Switch To The Lead    solid debut and a bullet 3F gate drill since.....should be on or near the lead from the get go

9  Bares Tripper    another with a solid winning debut........retains Gomez who has won 8 of his last 17 for Peter Miller and company........will need a significant move froward today

 

race 8    average clarity

2  Dance Team   hot start to the meet for R Mandella......filly ran a nice 2nd in her MSW debut sprinting on the grass....running long on the turf today with lots on positives.......good post......good route pedigree........same top echelon jock aboard.....excellent conditioner 1st time long.....that'll do

3  Renee's Queen   faced the favorite in today's Grade 3 7th race in both lifetime starts.........yikes......new trainer ?.....and new surface?..... and a new longer distance today?.....trainer is good 1st time on the lawn.....horse is bred well to handle the sod and the distance

4  Irish Presence    62 to 1 in MSW debut strongly suggests the race was needed........switch to Bejarano hints all systems go for today.........bred fine on the Dam side to handle the lawn.....jury is still out on the Sire side

8  Shrilanka    Richard Mandella 1st timer here......Mandella is one of the few trainers who can get the job done with 1st timers running a route of ground on the turf

12  Wishing Gate    dangerous Proctor horse.....nasty post

1  Explosive Argument   wouldn't use as a winner......piece of the pie only

 

 

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Posted on August 8, 2012 at 9:23 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information