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Del Mar for Saturday 18 August 2012

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 Take note that we will be offering a special day of full card (usually 13 races and usually the best race card in the U S of A outside of the Breeders Cup) selections on Travers day at Saratoga on 25 August. Sign up is now available. Early bird sign-up will save you a couple of dollars as it has in the past. Selections will be sent in your email the night before Travers Day.

 

race 1    average clarity

5  Paris Grapes   beaten by 14 in her maiden debut but it was an extremely fast heat and this filly was way too wide......trainer is much better with 2nd timers

6 Nautical   two straight clunkers but........vastly improved drill since last.........decent shot at a rebound.....has back numbers/efforts that fit well

1  Speedy Vixen   strong awakening with the blinkers on in last.....back in short rest and with a good work......feeling good.....might fire best ever......struggling jock should be hungry for a win

 

race 2    average clarity

10  Luckarack   wide with solid pace in latest somewhat hides a very strong effort......needs a more clever ride this time from Maldonado from the outside post and I think he will give it

6  Gnarly Dude   claimed for 40K drops to 25K....right up Bill Morey's alley......he has won 50% of his last 56 when he drops after a claim (77% in the money) ....yikes

4  Magic Beam   solid race in last.....claimed and smartly and deservedly steps up.....and gets 4 lbs off....likely to fire same or better today

5  Warren's Knockout   decent 1st out after the claim in last....now drops and gets the meets top gun to this point to ride

 

race 3   average clarity

3  Broadway Nika   showed strong pace last year in only route which was at SA on it's dirt track.........solid sprint layoff run in last hidden by a bad trip.....1st on the lawn but bred for it....jock needs a winner....trainer does exceptionally well with his limited numbers....come on Valdivia

Affrettando   comes from far back and Gomez does awfully well with late runners on the grass.....1 1/16 miles should work to this one's advantage and it won't for many in here

6  Toomanylucky's   last looks like a sprint tune-up/learning experience with a struggling jock up for today's 1st at a route and 1st on the lawn........and we get a predictable jockey upgrade

7  Unusual Beam   solid forward move 2nd out after the layoff and now blinkers on....fits fine if the blinkers can get slightly more out of this horse

 

race 4   average clarity

2  Zoe B   vastly improved with the blinkers on in latest....and a sharp drill since.....same of better today

6  Raucous Lady   1 for 1 on the AW and a very strong effort/figure 2 races back in a grass sprint....fits big if rebounds to that race

5  Conkate   on the right end of the learning curve and few reasons not to believe that he can't keep the trend going

9  Candy And Thunder   consistent runner gets a rider improvement........filly needs to get over a strong tendency to hang in the stretch

 

race 5    average clarity

8  Unex Dali   last was poor but his effort 2 back is solid.....and we get a (turf) jockey upgrade....good chance rebounds today

7  Mr, Make Believe   two best lifetime grass races are his 2 starts at Dmr......and we switch to Gomez who rode those 2 2011 races.....pointed for this in all likelihood

1  Robbie's War   very consistent sort gets a good post and a rider who knows him well...don't see any negatives

6  Gab Power   another ultra consistent runner but who is a little short when it comes to winning....awfully nice horse to only be 2 for 14 on the sod....regular rider Bejarano does stick with the horse

 

race 6    average clarity

1  Distinctiv Passion   dueled in a brutal pace in MSW debut and still only lost by 2.....and now blinkers on.......see yah.......wire to wire here if that big debut didn't take too much out of him

10  Manando   just purchased by his connections  in March and cost plenty considering his pedigree......must have been a heck of a "looker".....trainer is Baffert.....works are good.......should be a very nice runner

9  President Nico   good work tab for this Mulhall 1ster.....not sure she can handle our top two picks but you never know

8  Kripke   20 to 1 in MSW for this O'Neill charge strongly suggests the race was needed and that more can be expected today

 

race 7    average clarity

7  Chapman's Peak   likes Dmr and this might be the last time he will see the track till next year.......so Sadler will be all out today most likely with this 5 year old.....rated decently in last for the 1st time.....a big plus

1  Stoneside    fell off some in last but the horse is good at bouncing back after a lackluster effort

6  Royal Meridian    bit short on numbers but the gelding fires every time and the races shapes up for his closing style

4  Nextdoorneighbor   late runner seemingly gets what he wants.....plenty of heat up front.....does need to overcome a tendency to hang

 

race 8    average clarity

8  Eden's Moon    loves the lead and should be able to get it here..........and if she is loose I think she will........go........all.......the........way

2  Lady Of Shamrock   very solid 3 of her last 4 grass races......Smith is 3 for 3 on this filly on the turf.......should be flying in the late stages

4  Best Present Ever    just keeps getting better.......and better.........and better........and..........

6  My Gi Gi   will need very best but by no means impossible here.....Talamo rode this filly nicely in last......he will need to again

 

race 9    average clarity

Note:  #12  Dynamic Diva is a factor if draws into the field

2  Amy's Outburst     the only time this filly ran loose on the lead she ran a significant effort/fig......going long for the 1st time seems like a smart move so she once again can get loose

5  Smil'n From Above    decent return to the races in last hidden by a poor trip......better trip and a logical move forward puts her in the hunt

9  Kit Cat Kitty   nasty trip in latest.......checked 4 on the run-up and then was caught 4 wide.........needed layoff run was much better than most will think.......dangerous sort 2nd out after a layoff

3  Miss California     Mulhall 3 year old filly is improving with every start........will need the trend to continue

 

race 10     average clarity

6  Temerity   claimed for 20K four weeks ago by O'Neill.....out of jail now.....drops to 10K.......historically Doug O'Neill is very dangerous with such a move

4  Deputiformer   Dallas Keen claim back fits well at the 10K level but needs to overcome that old bug-a-boo......hanging in late stretch when it counts the most

5  Falcon Rock   drops from the sky......very suspect health wise......but.......it's not easy to get Bejarano to ride and he is up

1  Ziggy's Stardust   last win came turf to AW at GG.....that is today's scenario......and his grass effort in his last is rather good

2  Colonel Mustard

9  Cook Inlet

 

 

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Posted on August 17, 2012 at 8:39 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information