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Del Mar for Saturday 25 August 2012

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Don't know what is going on at Dmr the last couple of days but the rail and speed were good yesterday and on Thursday outside closers dominated. Tough on a handicapper making his selections predicated on an even playing field. Hoping for an even track today and even if we get one this is not an easy card. It would be interesting to see a large pick 6 carry-over for Del Mar's big day on Sunday.

 

Travers at Saratoga

race 12    slightly above average clarity

10  Nonios    on the improve with every start....great opportunity to sit up close in a very predictable lackluster pace that seemingly plays into the hands of those close up early

6  Alpha   won a ridiculously slow paced affair in the drivers seat on the lead......good chance he should feel great coming off such a stress-less run.....once again should be on a close to a pedestrian pace

9  Liason   beat 13 Derby horses.......had a wide trip in the Swaps and still almost won....and had no pace to run at in last.......my guess is he will try to sit closer today which he used to do.....not out of this

7  Atigun   made a strong move in the Belmont and flattened out late......so.....1 1/4 seems like a very good fit.......brilliant 46:1B work 6 days ago says he's super sharp and that he most likely will show better early speed which is important here

 

Del Mar race 1    average clarity

8  Sunshine High   big wake-up with the blinkers on.....and well placed to win while the iron is hot....repeat effort will be tough to overcome

9  Indy Beauty    all three efforts sine Carava claimed are better than par.....and good history with short rest.....23 days since latest qualifies as short rest

1  Yer Woman    whole career fits....that's the positive......negative is........keeps dropping so most likely not feeling 100% and...... doesn't retain the services of leading jockey Bejarano who is at Saratoga....still..... rather dangerous

11  Caroline Elena   invader is turf fit coming off a 5F (2nd by a nose) at SR......appears to have the best early speed and appreciates synthetic surfaces.....might wire

 

race 2    slightly below average clarity

2  Cheezy Breezy   exits a fast heat where being beat by 10 wasn't too shabby especially considering this gelding was caught wide.......sure liked Dmr.....all out today most likely.... because....... this is in all likelihood his last opportunity to take advantage of it's surface till 2013

7  Coranto    ran his eyeballs out in 1st two lifetime runs bad had brutal trips.......ironically finally settled down in last but showed much less energy........needs a rebound and another smooth trip and he will be the one to beat

8  Street Rocket   was making a strong move on turn 2 and had to put the brakes on severely or likely would have graduated.......positive jock change today

3  Surely Swift   nice move forward in last albeit on the turf.....needs the same here on the AW.....jock sure could use a win

 

race 3    average clarity

1  Gelila   lone lifetime win came Dmr AW sprint to turf route in 2nd lifetime start...........so Dmr AW sprint off the layoff and now long on the grass looks like a good thing........especially considering a vastly improved work tab for this Shirreffs filly

6  Perfecta    won by 5 1/2 and graduated but in a lackluster final time......but did win easy so I imagine she came out of the race in tip top shape......back in short rest for the 1st time ever supports this

2  Highly Rated   wild run in last out of nowhere flashing tremendous pace and sticking.....can repeat if that stressful effort doesn't take its toll

3  Last Sting   consistent grass horse fits fine effort and figure wise versus this group but seems to be developing a tendency to hang in the stretch

 

race 4    slightly above average clarity

8  Vaadka Logic    wide trip in last and beat by only 3 1/4 lengths versus tougher.......sure fits solid if he handles his 1st ever route endeavor

2  Smil'n From Above   decent chance to get a nice ground saving stalk position behind the 7 and the 8 horse who might duke it out

5  Technicality   drops back to a level that suits her better and gets a significant jokey upgrade.....and in for 14K so gets 2 lbs. off.......trainer appears to mean business

1  Dynavixen   invader is training reasonably well over the Dmr synthetic.....still doubt she is a winner........ I'd use her for a smaller piece of the pie only

 

race 5    slightly below average clarity

1  Light Of My Life    smooth runner gets a good post....seemingly can get a nice mid pack ground saving trip for a good majority of the race

3  Twitch   both lifetime grass races fit and this filly seems likely to move forward 2nd out after the layoff

5  Tornado Allie   fell off in last but lookout if this speed horse rebounds to his race 2 back which would wire the field here

8  Demonsterous   trainer has been doing awfully well this summer with his limited starters.......3 year old filly is 1 for 1 on the grass with the blinkers on......they remain on for today......nice work regiment says she will handle the 7 weeks off

 

race 6    average clarity

8  Lady Katfish    decent pace and decent final time in MSW last.......should be quite solid if moves forward in 2nd lifetime start......most often that is the case with Dollase 2nd timers

2  Revive Me   Hollendorfer 1st starter was a vet scratch on 11 August but worked well prior to the vet scr. and has worked well after the vet scr........trainer is stout with 2 year old filly 1sters training well........so I am going to ignore the vet scratch

5  Ondine    Bob Baffert 1st timer seems somewhat ready at 1st asking......that's good enough for me

4  Pat's Back   decent mc debut 9 weeks ago somewhat hidden but a so so trip.....trainer steps up into MSW racing and he might have lucked out as this MSW group doesn't appear that stout....we will see

 

race 7    slightly below average clarity

4  The Roan Ranger    high % trainer hasn't done much since arriving in S Cal but I think he might break the trend here with a good claim........basically his new runner has an AW record of (4 3 1 0) when he has had the blinkers on like today

8  Charlie Company    hey hey what do you say Charlie Company is here........sorry for the flashback to an ugly hot time in August in Southern La. at Fort Polk for Basic Training........back to the horse: consistent runner at 6 furlongs and 1 for 1 on the Dmr synthetic...likely to fire again

3  Rich Kid   toss out last didn't appear to care for 2 turns.......does have some talent sprinting but might be a lead type only and that would hurt his chances if he is because the 12 horse can fly.....but maybe he can come from out of it........enhances his chances if he can

2  Gotham Knights   tough call if Ellis has this laid up closer ready but the race sure shapes up on paper to be in his favor if he is ready fresh off of the bench

 

race 8    slightly above average clarity

7  Dhaamer   very stout performances in his last 2 marathons and continues to train like a happy healthy horse....great pick up for Gomez with Leparoux in some big races at Saratoga

4  Interaction   2nd to one of the best long distance grass horses around in Acclaimation.......seems to be in the same kind of form he displayed in his terrific 3 year old season in Argentina in 2009

6  Brushburn   impressive return off of a very long hiatus from the track in latest.....fits just fine with an expected move forward today

3  Worth Repeating    impressive rebound in form 1st out after the claim........and worked a bullet since.......might be left alone on the lead here as the runner not to be worried about....can chase as well if need be

 

race 9    average clarity

1  Roman Charity    Canani just snatched a mare on the rebound at the claiming box.......that usually makes for a very dangerous runner 1st out under his guidance

2  Appealing Resume    very bad trip in her last which was run at Emd......was running for 25K and she might still be worthy of that level and she is in for 16K here.......trainer has woken up this week out of the doldrums with a nice priced win and a 2nd yesterday by a neck at 6 t0 1 as our top pick

8  True Expectations   dangerous looking Crc shipper ends up in the Mitchell barn is is training well......seems dangerous

5  Kalk Bay   best at 6 furlongs which is today's distance.....blinkers on most likely to help her break cleaner  

Long-shot Possibilities:    7  J And S Express   all three 2012 races for this 12 to 1 shot fit and 2 of them are hidden by bad trips.....back to Maldonado who has gotten the most out of this Jerry Lee runner

 

race 10    average clarity

11  Midnight Raven   both lifetime efforts make this Eurton colt the one to overcome here.......and he might run best ever getting to run back in reasonably short rest for the 1st time

5  Minister Of Trade   on the improve with every lifetime run and the last race is hidden by a bad trip.......and the 6F drill since his last suggests yet another move forward can occur.....believe this fellow is feeling awfully good

3  Mavenofwinterset    Sadler 1st time starter is showing enough in the a.m. to possibly be ready to handle his bottom level maiden debut

7  Stormin Arvin   broke slow and ran 4 wide for an effort that is quite a bit better than appears on paper.........back to Pedroza who rode this 3 year old decently 2 races back

2  Dr. Nip

8  Arizona Wildcat

 

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Posted on August 25, 2012 at 9:39 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information