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Santa Anita for Saturday 29 September 2012


Card is loaded with quality and quantity today. What more can you ask from your racetrack. Way to go Santa Anita.

Best of luck as always!



race 1    average clarity

1  Ive Struck A Nerve   positive rider switch to Gryder who had a good opening day yesterday.......eye popping drill on the SA dirt 4 days ago.....poor trip in Grade 1 hides this MSW's ability somewhat

6  Buckleberry Grey   2 solid grass races in 2 lifetime starts.......pedigree is fine for the dirt....turf muscled be fit and ready for 1st ever on the main track

4  Code West  nice improvement in 2nd lifetime more forward move in 3rd lifetime start and he looks as stout as anyone in here.....and top connections to get the job done in Baff/Beja 

7  Title Contender   another Baffert so debut but working well since......1st long and 1st on conventional dirt but bred awfully well to handle both


race 2    average clarity

8  Speargun   blocked on the turn and the stretch or might have won his last which was on Aug 2nd on the AW at Dmr.......drops a notch and back on conventional dirt where 3 of 4 lifetime races with the blinkers on would easily make him the one to overcome here.....very competent jock in Rosie Napravink up

11  Awkward Mondays   takes the plunge from MSW racing to the bottom mc level in S Cal.......and why not....only cost $6K at sale

7  Danger Lurking   a pair of par like efforts for the given level in 2 lifetime starts......and par is good......blinkers on.....good positive stat for Ellis.....beaten favorite....another very positive (30% with numerous runners) stat for Ellis 

1  Sir Newcastle   new trainer for this laid up drop down.......debut way back in fall of 2011 fits.....whether he's up to that effort or not is a tough call but if he is he is solid here

Longshot Possibilities:   6  Quick Cenizas   low % trainer with 1st timers but he sure is working at Slr on conventional dirt as though he can run some


race 3    average clarity

3  Press Baron   solid layoff run in last at today's 1 mile distance on the sod.....4lbs off.......good preparatory work.......all looks good for another strong effort this afternoon

6  Dreamcatcher    all 3 lifetime grass endeavors fit fine versus today's competition......late running grass cutter gets an outstanding grass jockey with late runners in name of Garrett Gomez

5  Huntsville   stout grass races at one mile on the turf in this affair.....good team of late in Abrams/Hernandez

4  Sheer Talent   lone turf race is rather good............had an AW sprint prep tune-uo off of an 8 month layoff....should be full throttle today back on the turf


race 4    average clarity

2  Madame Castle   very powerful debut run in a stellar time.....hasn't missed a beat in the a.m. since......seems very set to graduate

4  Rosies Ready   good run in MSW debut somewhat compromised by a wide trip.........15 to 1 in the race so  she might have needed the run somewhat.....if so she might upset

7  Rivive Me   not the best of trips in MSW debut hides a decent performance......solid drills since.......Gomez sticks with the horse

11  Fiftysgahesofhay   useful debut for this Baffert runner and very likely to move forward his pedigree to handle the conventional dirt


race 5    average clarity

8  Mr. Make Believe   logical drop for this Mandella runner as he has only earned 17K in 2012.........most of career fits........very wide in last and still only beat by 3 versus better

6  Just Tripping   seemingly in good form........lone turf race was quite a bit better than appears in print and it was his MSW debut.......positive rider change

7  God Of War   done little wrong in all 8 lifetime starts and seems to handle all surfaces and distances.....1st out after the claim by Sadler is a plus

10  Take A Yard   deep late closer finally gets a much needed drop to face doesn't bother me much as he is very slow early and most likely will find few horses in his way to get on over to the rail or 2 path on turn 1


race 6    slightly above average clarity

5  Beholder   very big run in Grade 1 last setting a solid pace too close to a dull inside and still almost wired.......shot to be loose once again and the rail and speed did fine yesterday.....conventional dirt is a question mark

7  Executive Priviledge    4 for 4 and continues to train like a special horse for the Baffert barn.......and very good route pedigree

8  Scarlet Strike   on the improve with every start and sure took to two turn racing in his latest...........not impossible to upset

2  Renee's Queen   should be nicely muscled up coming off of two straight grass races........recent drill on the SA dirt surface sure says he is


race 7    average clarity

10  Power Broker   impressive grass Stakes effort in latest.....dueling in strong pace and still missing the win by a neck........good pedigree for the dirt.....tough post but owns enough speed in this spot to clear if all goes well

3  Dirty Swag   good 1st ever at a route in last overcoming a so so trip to win.....trainer Cho is a very dangerous conditioner with improving 2 year olds

7  Know More    hard to argue with a debut win in a Grade 2 and a 2nd in a Grade 1 in two lifetime starts.......1st ever at a route and 1st ever on conventional dirt but bred adequately to handle both

5  Dry Summer   on the improve with every start and fits today if she continues the trend


race 8    average clarity

1  Amani   ran well on the AW at Dmr but........hello conventional dirt.........(8 71 0) on it in Chile including wins of 11, 10, 8, and 25 lengths in Graded races......yikes 

6  Include Me Out   3 for 3 at today's distance and runs well on the conventional dirt surface at Santa Anita......excellent history when Talamo rides

7  Love And Pride   major improve with the blinkers taken off in last winning a Grade 1 at Saratoga......Pletcher ships x-country......good sign this filly is feeling great 

4  Joyful Victory   filly is on a rebound of sort......and so her trainer ships in for the big race hoping that she is back to the form she displayed early in her 3 year old campaign


race 9    average clarity

11  Marketing Mix   best animal in this affair (9 6 2 0 on the grass)......earning over 1 million on the turf.........she does have to overcome a nasty post but she owns some useful tactical speed

3  Stormy Lucy   major improve in last and an impressive 7F drill since suggests she has held her form........1 1 /4 is a ? mark

13  Neried    horrid race with the blinkers on in today.....likely to rebound........difficult post will be a challenge for Rosie Napravnik 

2  Let's Go Cheyenne   not much figure wise but she sure looks as if she is loose once again and with Bejarano in control of things


race 10    slightly above average clarity

1  Game On Dude    jockey upgrade and the controlling speed.......gelding crushed his last two races at today's 1 1/8th mile distance.....4 for 4 at SA

3  Nonios   colt has done little wrong in 7 lifetime races..........bad trip in Travers or could have been a factor for the win....very sharp recent works

7  Richard's Kid   stout late running type gets a jock upgrade and 5 lbs off.....will be motoring late as usual

5  Suggestive Boy   cut back of a furlong will help this colt's staying power.......good shot to get a nice chase position behind our top pick once again.......1st ever on "real" dirt is a ? mark


race 11    average clarity

2  Coup De Coeur   when last scene in December of 2011 this filly set one of the top 2 paces at 1 mile of the entire SA Fall meet........fresh and training as if she is 100% ready.......wire to wire attempt with a good speed rider aboard....capable of chasing if need be....always a plus/bonus

13  Starry Skies   very consistent sort and 2 for 2 down the SA hill turf course seems like a big advantage

8  Byrama   excellent history when Bejarano rides.........very impressive stretch run in winning her only run ever on the Santa Anita hill turf course

5  Charm The Maker   showed she can run on the grass in latest........sure like the fact she crushed the competition in her only career sprint race which was her MSW debut at Dmr at 2

1  Viva Carina   not impossible especially with a decent post

3  Smokin' Grey   also not impossible with a good post




Posted on September 29, 2012 at 10:51 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information