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Santa Anita for Saturday 6 October 2012

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Average card today. Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

5  So Brilliant   2 for 2 lifetime.......both races speed wins......Baffert trained and SA has been favoring speed horses so far......hard to ask for more

1  Sequoia Warrior    another sharp Baffert trainee who can save some ground chasing our top pick and try and over-take him in the stretch

6  Kate's Event   much better horse on conventional dirt.......training super.......late runner will need some heat up front or a different track than what we have been seeing to show his best stuff in late stretch

 

race 2    average clarity

2  Congregationalist   very solid move forward in latest.....plenty of time to recover......should be rather formidable here if he handles his 1st run on conventional dirt

6  One World   hidden horse here.....toss out last - too washy at post.......previous race his MSW debut he was stuck on a suspect inside showing decent early foot......quite the opposite kind of track at SA so far

1  Career Student    good work tab for this Headley 1st timer.......mom has tossed 2 winners from 2 starters

8  Bobby Flay   laid up Baffert MSW runner displayed some talent in both lifetime races.......off since January........work tab is decent but not exactly top notch for the way Baff usually cranks up his babies....but still looks dangerous here

Long-shot Possibilities:   3  Just Fishin   ran evenly on the AW in MSW debut in late Aug at Dmr.......went off 56 to 1 so the the colt most likely needed a race.......off since and the works sure our vastly improved......not impossible to fire and at a big number

 

race 3    slightly above average clarity

1  Mr. Commons   big rebound race in last.......impressive bullet drill since.......and most importantly this colt should get a great trip with this only being a field of 5

3  Obviously   easily would have been top pick if this was a field of 8 or more hindering the off pace progress  of no. 1.........still if Talamo can slow this fast gelding down just a little (108:4 in last at 6F) he will most likely go all the way

 

race 4    slightly above average clarity

3  I'm Wide Awake    Impressive MSW debut showing he is capable of very fast early pace.........shot to wire here if he takes to the conventional dirt

6  Scherer Magic   done little wrong in 4 lifetime starts.......blinkers on training like he appreciates the equipment change and/or the SA racing surface

2  Zeewat    hard to argue with 2 for 2 lifetime with both races coming on the "real" dirt at SR......versatile too....won on and off the pace

 

race 5    average clarity

3  Irish Surf   major race in 2nd lifetime start and it is hidden........ran dead on the wood on a bad rail day......1st on the grass but bred to appreciate it

5  Greeley Awesome   like our top pick ran on a dull rail on the same 1 Sept track in a different race......positive jock switch and a adequate pedigree to handle the sod......trainer needs to wake up....been ice cold

1  Avare   O'Neill charge went off at 30 to 1 in MSW debut with Krigger up......switch to grass with Gomez up........sure seems like gimme/go

6  Monterey Tale   another who looks as if his MSW AW debut was nothing more than a tune-up for his 2nd out running on the grass.....M Jones runner has excellent breeding for the green stuff

 

race 6    average clarity

1  Bila Shaka   blinkers off for today and assuming they have been off for her very impressive recent works.........then she is most likely sitting a much improved effort today

3  Natalie's Academy   owns good speed and a good post to sit close up on or near the rail on lead....and that is where you want to be so far at SA

4  Buzznalawng   turf legged up and drops......appears to run her best on conventional dirt

6  Somenchanted Evenin   wide trip in last somewhat hides a solid layoff run.....only race on the SA dirt is good.......mid pack runner should be closing late

 

race 7    slightly below average clarity

NOTE:  14 Very Unusual  has a shot if he draws into the field from the AE list

9  Rock Off    runs well fresh......handles the turf......and is working extremely well for Canani who is very reliable with an animal training sharply

3  Bold Aggressor   interesting claim by Van Berg.......gelding has done little wrong in 3 lifetime starts.....just worked a solid 5F.....and is bred decently to handle his 1st ever on the sod.........Delgadillo has been riding well so far at the SA meeting

8  Bev N Bud   on the right end of the learning curve ever since the blinkers were put on........off for 6 weeks but training as if he has held his form........1st on the grass is somewhat of a ? mark or would have been my 2nd pick

12  Hammer The Bay   2 of 5 lifetime races on the AW are solid for today's level.........been off since mid July but training as if ready to roll......like our 3rd pick owns only so so pedigree to handle the turf

 

race 8    average clarity

2  Amazombie   loves the SA dirt and the 6F distance......and is training exceptional well for her return on it.....owns a nice stalking/mid pack style......he seldom lets the front runners get too far away from him

6  Jimmy Creed    horse has done nothing wrong in 4 lifetime starts......trainer is firing on all cylinders......horse is training great.....Gomez is up......all systems go

4  Camp Victory    consistent sort will be hoping for plenty of heat up front to flatter his powerful late run

7  Reneesgotzip    speedster will try to clear and wire the field which has often been the route to sprint victory at SA so far this meet

 

race 9    average clarity

2  Byrony   good post.....good rider.....solid grass figs/efforts as compared to her competition here......and a sharp reassuring recent bullet work of 6F on the turf with the dogs up

3  Oh Molly Brannigan yet to be headed in a route race in the 1st 3 points of call......2 wins and 2 2nds on the sod at 1 mile.....dangerous N Cal trainer with a shipper like this girl...wire to wire shot here

9  Cathy's Crunches   in good form of late turf or AW or dirt.....Talamo seems like a good fit....nice patient ride in last his first ever on her

10  Lady Ten    nice consistent filly has to deal with a very difficult post....fits as well as anyone if Garcia can give her a very clever ride

 

race 10    slightly below average clarity

4  Unusual Mystery   coming off route races so this gelding should finish well late in this race full of horses that don't finish up too well

2  Key Reversal   speed of the speed here.....best shot to be the lucky guy loose and lonely on the lead

5  He's A Sure Call   improved efforts in last two races......low % jock will most likely need to give a good ride for this fellow to find the circle of joy

3  Wild For Ladies   showed some life in mc debut at 4F at Fpx.....bred fine to get the 6F.....trainer has been doing rather well of late

12  Midnight Raven

6  Ingordo

 

 

 

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Posted on October 6, 2012 at 10:18 am by richs · Permalink
In: Members Area