Printer Friendly View Printer Friendly View

Santa Anita for Thursday 11 October 2012

[private]

 

Good looking card to start the new week. Sure hope the track plays fair. Best of luck as always!

 

 

race 1   slightly above average clarity

5  Power Series   4 consecutive strong efforts since switching to main track surfaces........nice mid pack running style......just snatched at the claiming box......switch to Bejarano who has won his last two mounts riding for Caesar Dominguez

6  Joe Carl   faced better in last two races......very solid history on conventional dirt surfaces (5 2 1 2).......late runner seemingly gets ample pace and a small field (less traffic) to put in a meaningful late run 

4  Coluda   claimed back by Mitchell in latest........usually a very dangerous proposition........seems like the speed of the speed.......but he must cope with two other speed types in the 2 and the 3 horse.......still sharp and dangerous

 

race 2    slightly above average clarity

2  Caminetto   best effort of 3 lifetime races for this Baffert colt is his MSW debut run......so I like the 46 day re-freshening.........nice Baffert like work series........Bejarano sticks with the youngster for the 4 straight time

4  Courtside   capable of blistering early pace.......been in the doldrums but drops and this race is his 2nd out after a 5 month hiatus.......shot to get loose.......and he ..........might........go..........all........the........way

6  Clinton   hidden move forward in latest......caught wide making a move into solid pace........gelded since his last......good recent work series hints that ultimate "equipment change" has done some good.......Armstrong is off to a good start at the SA meeting and in general does a wonderful job with limited starters every year

 

race 3    average clarity

7  R S Watson   strong MSW debut in May at Hollywood..........shipped to Arp in August and beat 9 of 12 horses on conventional dirt in a 100K Stakes race.....solid work series since.......1st time Bejarano......rather sure ready for a top effort but 1st at a route is a ? mark......2 year old is by brand new sire

1  Londinium   solid and somewhat hidden move forward in his last his 3rd lifetime endeavor at the track.........been away for 6 weeks but hasn't missed a beat in the a.m.........1st at a route is a question mark as it is for everyone in this field

5  Divine Notion   1st timer sure is working as if ready at first asking.........mom has tossed 4 winners from 5 starters and they all preciously were able to win at 2 years of age.......never easy to debut in a route race but owns a solid pedigree to run two turns

6  Harrington Night     useful decent mc debut.......seems like a good sign that Cerin puts him in a MSW affair.......might have really benefited from his debut and/or Cerin feels strongly that he will be a better horse running a route of ground

 

race 4    average clarity

7  Pork Chop   on the right end of the learning curve........should be able to get good position near the lead in what looks like a reasonably pace affair

5  Just Tripping   proven on conventional dirt and has handled route racing albeit on the grass........only race off of short rest is good.......short rest today

2  Sidepocket Lou   consistent closer is running at his lowest claiming level ever......should be a major player in late stretch

9  Ride Along   all 4 lifetime races fit fine at today's lower level.....drop seems logical as this is only his 5th lifetime race and he is already 6 years of age

 

race 5    average clarity

3  Ashley's Bambino   very strong race in last chasing a hot pace and still only getting beat by a nose........laid up since January but he has proved he can handle the SA hill and is training as if he is meant and ready fresh off of the bench....solid trainer/rider/owner combo

5  Big Bang Theory   impressive turf route MSW debut....always a tall task to overcome.......switch to the majestic SA hill turf course......Talamo remains up for 2nd lifetime start and he sure rides the hill well

4  Tribe   bad trip in MSW debut in July and still managed to run well........impeded in last and had to ease......fits fine with better luck this afternoon

1  In A Wine Tizzy   fairly good debut on the main track at SA.......switch to the grass should be fine with his pedigree.........Gomez sticks around....can be in the hunt from the get go

 

race 6    average clarity

3  Bonita Star   keeps dropping and not getting the job done.....drops once again and switches to the last jock to have won this filly and that jock Joe Talamo is hot

6  Living Our Dream   seemingly fires her best running in the chase to mid pack position in her races and it looks as if that can occur this afternoon.......and we get a nice jockey upgrade

1  Musical Grace   different horse when loose and lonely on the lead and that has a chance of happening here

9  My Friend Gail   bad claim here.....taken for 20K and now drops down to 10K......but the trainer is decent 1st out after a claim and gets Bejarano to ride (for a small barn) indicating the horse still might be in relatively good health

 

race 7    average clarity

7  Demonsterous   keeps out running her odds and might again today.....never sharper and responds to ample time between starts and her trainer shows patience and gives it to her......Hernandez sure has given her some nice rides and remains aboard for today

5  Highly Rated   best ever is her effort 2 back the only time she has ever raced at 1 mile on the turf......was able to wire the field that day despite setting a suicidal pace

10  Acenda   trainer is off to a hot start at the Santa Anita meeting.......difficult post but owns tactical early speed and retains the services of Bejarano.......has a chance to once again sit in the chase position which she sure handled nicely in her latest race

11  Vionnet   very talented grass cutter has been off since March but is training like she is extremely ready to roll fresh.......would have rated higher if it wasn't for Gomez having such a difficult post to overcome for a mid pack runner

Long-shot Possibilities:   6  Cosset   solid move forward in last getting beat by only 5 3/4's in a Grade 2 affair.........5 works since that race on 3 Sept.......feeling good and seemingly back to a level she can handle

 

race 8    average clarity

4  Woebegon    logical drop in claiming for a filly who hasn't earned her keep in 2012........and a significant jockey upgrade.......trainer isn't afraid to drop and lose a horse

10  Lanida   owns solid early speed.......should be stout here from start to finish if she repeats her last and does it 1st time on the "real" dirt

3  Lady Pecan   good return to the races in latest off of an extended layoff.......drop into 25K claiming doesn't bother me much as this runner was purchased for only $35K......chump change for the connections involved

8  Billies Bling   last looks like the tune-up in a non-claiming event to tighten up as only a race can do sometimes......and go go go 1st time ever in claiming

6  Vaadka Logic

11  Hout Bay

 

 

 

[/private]

Posted on October 11, 2012 at 11:00 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information