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Santa Anita for Sunday 14 October 2012

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I seldom like to lean on a potential bias in the racing surface when giving my selections, but the track has in general been favoring the inside and speed and that was especially the case yesterday. So my selections are for an inside condition to some degree. I hope things don't change too much from yesterday.

 

race 1    average clarity

2  Sudden Sunday   horse is on the improve both in the a.m. and the p.m......1st on the grass but owns a good turf pedigree

3  Northern Flight   trainer has awoken from the doldrums......good looking 1st ever on the lawn in last only losing by 2+ lengths despite a wide trip on the sod

5  Spring Bloom   solid move forward in 2nd lifetime start in 2011......so 2nd out after an extended layoff should produce a solid effort......leading rider Talamo sticks around

7  Letthepartybegin    useful MSW debut and Ellis is extremely dangerous with 2nd time starters and especially when they run sprint to route

 

race 2    average clarity

5  Buds Pal   has a couple of other speed horse to put away but has a strong speed jock up.........sure like the hike in claiming price for Armstrong who runs her stock where they belong

1  Candy Waltz   horrid trip in last versus better and only got beat by 5 1/4.....would have been top pick if it wasn't for his 2 consecutive slow starts exiting the gate....and the 1 hole isn't exactly the post you want for a bad breaker

2  Muchos Besos  major jock change from a rider ice cold to one that is red hot.......only race ever on the SA main track was his lifetime best.....trainer suddenly seems to be in win mode

 

race 3    below average clarity

7  Justa Gusta   tepid top pick as there isn't a runner in the entire field that would surprise me in this affair......giant effort (and wire to wire) in 2nd lifetime race at Emd last July....so.....non-claiming up the track run off the layoff might have been a gimme to drop and go 2nd out after the layoff

4  Bubba Fizz   Mitchell drops to score....classic Mike M......connections will be hoping the 4 runners with speed in here all want the same thing....the lead...if so this mid pack runner should be flying late

1  Hazardous   GG invader has two solid lifetime races both compromised by bad starts...just claimed and Maldonado gets the call.......keep your fingers crossed he can break this gelding cleanly out of the gate

2  True Again  improving sort owns speed....very dangerous if he manages to get the jump on the field

 

 

race 4    average clarity

9  Power Ped   bad trip in MSW debut last August or would have graduated at 1st asking.....good work tab.....good turf pedigree....and a hot trainer

6  Anytime   one of only two runners in the field with turf experience....finally gets back to the grass........sharp recent bullet drill hints he is very ready to roll on his preferred surface where he preformed rather well

3  Zippingaroundtown   decent MSW debut.......jockey upgrade........gelded since last......and switches to the sod which he should appreciate with his breeding

10  Aerial Artist   closed into little pace in his MSW debut which was at 1 mile on the grass........tossed a clunker at GG on the AW 1st time with Lasix....back to the grass which he showed he liked and it is back to grass with Lasix this time

Long-shot possibilities:   2  Rock Of Ages    works are only so so for this 1ster but the trainer is good with turf runners and this 1st timer sure is bred nicely for the green carpet

 

race 5    slightly above average clarity

6  Prettypriceygirl   filly has more early speed than appears in print.......Canani has won his last 9 of 17 dropping out of MSW races....and this filly is working extremely well on the SA dirt

11  Flashy Delight   awfully strong work tab for this Baffert mc 1ster.....and he is working as if he owns some early foot....rather important these days at SA especially with the outer-most 11 post

4  Chloe W   another conditioner in M Jones who is stout dropping from MSW to maiden claiming......and this runner owns decent early speed

9  Night Teller    impressive prolonged work tab for this laid up filly........1st time blinkers and a switch to P Val.......might be returning to the race wars an improved individual and with some better early speed

 

race 6    average clarity

8  Lemon Hero   on the improve and training sharply for this afternoon's race......1st time Bejarano for Eurton is usually a very good thing

3  Glee    GB invader most likely needed last off of the 11 month layoff........and his trainer Mike Mitchell is very stout 2nd time around with horses that he takes over

9  Minds Eyes   solid move forward in 2nd lifetime start somewhat hidden by a bad trip......1st on the grass with adequate pedigree for it......trainer owns an impressive history repeating with a horse after they break their maiden

2  Dancingtothestars   (tie for 4th pick) very consistent sort finally gets to run on the turf with a pedigree that hints it might be his best surface

10  Catienus Gold  (tie for 4th pick)   owns brilliant early speed both on the AW and "dirt" and might duplicate it as well on the sod because he sure is bred to run on it just fine....wire to wire shot

 

 

race 7    average clarity

13  Rio Good   major wake in last and a quick solid 3F drill at SA since.....believe this runner is very sharp........has enough early speed to have decent shot to clear many and get over....he better if we get yesterday's track

12  Warren's Dr. Rose    on the improve with every start....and just worked awfully well at SA......and owns good early speed with a good gate jockey in the saddle

4  Willi Brown   toss out last.....does'nt like routing.......back to a sprint and facing easier.....late runner would have been top pick if I thought the track was going to play fair

6  Free Time   might be the speed of the speed.....back to P Val who has a good history on this runner

 

race 8    average clarity

1  Shadow Runner   seems in top form....and has 2 wins and 1 2nd in 3 turf races at 1 mile....and gets a decent post

6  You Know I Know   made a very strong 2nd turn move into extremely slow pace predictably to no avail......big race 2 back....... and 2 for 2 at 1 mile on the sod......and 1 for 1 with Bejarano up

7  A Toast To You   very consistent efforts on the lawn.....good chance to sit in a nice close up ground saving position....nice endurance building work series

9  Segway   won MSW debut last Jan. on the grass at a route of ground....never an easy task.......off since but training as if ready fresh....trainer's stock has been firing on all cylinders

Long-shot possibilities:   10  Very Unusual    horse has cleared very easily 3 times in the recent past when starting from the far outside on the turf.....likely that occurs again today....wire to wire shot if the jock can set a reasonable pace

 

race 9    slightly below average clarity

1  Sugar Spice   1st timer faces a bad group......works say ready and the trainer wins at about a 30 % clip with maiden claiming 1st timers and that is from a fairly large sampling

13  English Puddin   2 very bad trips in two lifetime races......new trainer today and 1st time dirt.....laid up since March but training like she is meant and ready

11  Warren's Beautiful   flashed decent speed in mc debut at Fpx.......7 lbs less with successful apprentice up........filly has a shot to feel good and wire on the front end with a light load on her back

10  Silver Luna   very consistent late runner catches a soft group.....but she sure likes to hang

12  She Can Roar

3  Persian Princess

 

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Posted on October 14, 2012 at 10:56 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information