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Hollywood for Saturday 17 November 2012

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Five races rated better than average clarity and none rated less than average clarity. Also quite a few fields of strength. By that I mean fields that will likely run much stronger than what it usually takes to win at a given level. Fields of strength are much more reliable than average fields or fields of weakness. Win or lose a very exciting day.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    slightly above average clarity

3  Lead Blocker   back to P Val who in the past has ridden well when given the opportunity on this Tsagalakis runner......only race for this gelding at 6F on the sod is very impressive and is disguised by a brutal trip

7  Robie The Cat   nasty duel in last did him in and it was his 1st race in 1 1/2 years......only lifetime win came 2nd out after a layoff and it was a 6 length victory at Hol in a 6F grass race....2nd out after the layoff today

6  Guest Star   showed solid speed out of nowhere in winning his latest......and has worked solidly since.......Shirreffs has woken up in a big way of late.......same or better likely today

2  Coo Cachoo   stepped up from 10K to 20K in last and won for fun.......Heap likes what he is seeing and steps him up once again.....turf is a question mark

 

race 2    slightly above average clarity

5  Jesse's Giacomo   exits a solid grass route race versus better and ran a decent effort.......should be nicely legged up.....likely to show plenty of punch late at 6 1/2F ....shot to make it 2 for 2 on the AW

6  Richiesgirlgotsoul   ultra impressive debut at AP 2 races back in a race run in mid summer......shows up in the Sadler barn and Sadler has this laid up runner wound up like a top hitting the track every 6 days for the past 5 weeks......believe meant and ready

3  Sultry Seasons   late runner can be a factor in this sprint race if there is more pace than I anticipate in this affair........there often is

 

race 3    slightly above average clarity

2  Tribal Jewel   showed she can handle the grass some in a sprint of only 5F at Dmr......vaulted forward 1st time at a route in last......powerful works since.....ultra sharp horse....1st route on the turf seems fine to me

8  Battle Force   extremely impressive 2 year old grass races last year.......been off nearly one year but is working sharply for his trainer who is firing on all cylinders lately

6  No Silent   stout & consistent (most she has ever been beaten in 8 starts is by 1 1/4 lengths) mid pack grass cutter has run very strong efforts/figs in both lifetime races at today's 1 mile distance on the grass

4  Swift Eagle   cuts back from 1 1/8 to 1 mile......looks loose here......very dangerous  loose with Gomez up coming off of an endurance building 1 1 /8th grass race

 

race 4    slightly above average clarity

8  Burton's Angel   powerful wake-up in last back on the dirt after 5 straight I don't like the grass races......steps up a level so most likely feels good.......jury is still out on her ability to handle the AW but if she runs as well on it as she did on conventional dirt she should be awfully difficult to overcome here

1  Pumpkin Pie   not the best of trips in last or might have won.......good post.......rider.....trainer....... and I think the 1 1/16th distance will be to her liking

11  Smil'n From Above   need this fillies effort 2 races back.......she can be a ton if here if we get it......tough call but oh so dangerous

2  Bull Rush   on the improve and needs the trend to continue

 

race 5    average clarity

2  Saturday's Girl   faced one tough field in lone lifetime start way back in Oct. of 2011 and beat 6 of 11 runners........expensive Bonde runner is working as if she is all set fresh off of the bench.....nice turf pedigree....hot jock aboard

4  Elusive Jackpot   morning glory (big drills in a.m. -  no carryover to the p.m.) so far with 2 straight weak stretch finishes in 2 lifetime races.........continues to train like a good one for Baffert....sometimes morning glory types really wake up when they switch to the grass

9  Corinthian Melody   bad trip in MSW debut last somewhat hides a very strong effort......better post and jockey and this Pender charge would have been top pick

8  Dress The Part   worked well before running a solid 2nd on the AW at Dmr in late July.......Proctor's expensive filly has been laid up since she ran a route race in mid August....... once again is training sharply......1st on the sod but owns a good pedigree for it

 

race 6    average clarity

2  Stoneside   same scenario as last win which was on 17 June........turf to AW back in short....meant today......always hard trying, tough as nails, and someone I really root for Martin Pedroza sure could use a win

7  Bet On Victor     seems like the best early gas in the field and with a very good gate jock up in Maldonado.....that'll do

6  Classic Legacy   toss out last at SA.....much better horse on the AW.....priced right.....should be on or near the lead from the get go in a race that has a decent chance at favoring speed types

4  Nextdoorneighbor   late runner is a consistent sort who will be hoping for more heat up front than appears on paper to aid his late charge

 

race 7    average clarity

6  Sweet Sense   very impressive interval training for this Mike Puype 1st timer......quite a few for the trainer (over the years) in my log book of 1st timers look just like this filly prior to a strong debut run

5  Iconic Spirit   red hot start to the Hollywood meeting for Sadler......Sadler is stout with 2 year old fillies and appears to have this 1st timer all set  roll in her debut into the wild and wonderful and exciting and emotional world that is thoroughbred racing

10  French Curls   very impressive debut at the maiden claiming level of 30K.....Mullins sure likes what he saw in her maiden debut as he steps this youngster all the way up to MSW racing.....fits fine if she handles her 1st ever on the AW and gets a better trip-a-roo

2  Lotsandlotsofhope   (tie for 4th pick) Ellis isn't often ready at full throttle with his 1st timers but this one appears as if she is......mom has tossed 3 winners from 3 starters

12  Rhinestone Diva   (tie for 4th pick) another Sadler 1ster seemingly wound up and ready to roll in her debut......does have to overcome a difficult post......not only the 12 post but the outer-most post which is always a tough break at the gate for a jockey as they tend to veer out

 

race 8    slightly above average clarity

7  Macho Dorado   powerful move forward in last both in final time and pace figs.......and loves the extended one turn distances of 7 & & 1/2 furlongs.......and 2 for 2 on the Hol synthetic

3  Legal Separation   wide trip in last on an inside day......so a nice hidden wake up......ran a good 2nd last year in this race as one of our picks that day as well

5  Mensa Heat    another who had a wide trip on an inside day in latest....and that was on conventional dirt....better horse on synthetic surfaces.....has won at 7 1/2 in the past.......hard trying sort

4  Red Sun   might be the speed of the speed in this affair.....chances are enhanced if he is allowed to get away from the field especially with Bejarano aboard

 

race 9    average clarity

7  Flashy Delight   wide trip on a good rail day somewhat hides his maiden debut effort....very good work tab since....same or better likely today

10  Cajun Market   good move forward in 2nd lifetime start albeit on the sod....jockey upgrade from a cold rider to a hot one.....good recent series of reassuring drills

3  Indian Magique   on the improve with every start.....fits as well as anyone here if the trend continues here in her 4th lifetime start

2  Vonn Nez   seems like a long long overdo drop to the bottom maiden claiming level.....trainer would have won 2 races and the rider 3 races if it wasn't for a horrendous trip for the 2nd place finisher in Friday's last race.....shot to finally graduate in start no. 22

9  Tiz Lovely   route fit and Bejarano up.......might come flying late at 7 furlongs on the AW

1  My Moment Too   sure shows enough energy/effort to win at the Mdn20K level......but.......she has been a bad gate horse and draws a nasty post in which to break her bad habit....shot if she does

 

 

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Posted on November 17, 2012 at 11:10 am by richs · Permalink
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