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Hollywood for Sunday 2 December 2012
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Gave extra horses in some of the races as copious scratches seem likely once again this afternoon. Track has been so deep and goofy or I would have really liked this card. Instead I have to rate it average.
Best of luck as always!
race 1 slightly above average clarity
3 Mending Wall solid wake up in last with the blinkers taken off........takes a logical drop into maiden claiming for the 1st time as this filly has hardly earned her keep......time to pay some bills
1 Cavalellta consistent sort drops to her lowest level ever to break into the win column after 4 2nd's and 2 3rd's in last 7 races.......like our top pick taking a logical drop to finally get to the circle of joy
5 Lady Shazzam need to see her efforts 3 or 4 races back and the recent works hint she might rebound to those efforts that fit here
race 2 slightly above average clarity
(if off the turf average clarity 1-2-5-6)
2 Elegant very strong forward move in last .......step up $15K in claiming hints she exited her race in good shape.....good post, rider, & trainer.....hard not to like
1 Logical Smile logical drop for Logical Smile as she is without a trip to the winners circle since May of 2011......work series suggest the connections mean business here
5 Smart Striking laid up since December of 2011 but training like she might be ready to roll fresh for her new trainer
race 3 average clarity
6 Rubysandpearls Miller and company picked up a very good looking Crc runner who has put in a prolonged work regiment that has meant and ready written all over it
1 The Whole Deal what an awakening in latest her 1st ever on the Hollywood surface.......steps way up but she most likely benefited from her last and might step forward this afternoon......fits if she does
2 Miceli laid up since August but is training well and drops into a claimer for the 1st time........should be motoring late
7 Sacred Ovation short on figures but might be sitting on the right post if the track plays like yesterday
race 4 slightly above average clarity
(if off the turf average clarity 4-5-1-3-2)
4 Double Ante way wide and in last and sat too far off of a semi-slow pace........new jock today and he is a much higher % jock in 2012......should be formidable here with the same effort/energy and a smarter ride
5 Pogonip impressive layoff run 1st ever on the sod in last......bred well to get a route of ground
7 Mary Fildes new trainer takes over and if he can coax the July 26th race out of this filly the others will be in trouble......bred well to handle softer turf
2 Demonsterous sat a bit too far off a somewhat soft pace in last......saddle slipped in race 2 back.......races 3, 4 & 5 back are quite good.......hmmmm
race 5 average clarity
7 Jade With Envy broke slow and ran wide in debut earning a strong adjusted for trouble figure.........same makes her the one to overcome.....more in 2nd lifetime endeavor would be icing on the cake
4 Sophie's Secret both races 6 furlongs or less are better than par for today's level.......6F today......solid a.m. work.......Bejarano sticks around for the 4th straight time
9 Mint Twist sure like the 2 decent 6F drills to finish off a good work regiment for this 1st timer.......those 6F drills can go a long way when it comes to handling the deep tiring main track we have had of late with all the moisture in it
5 Cloudy Moon veered a little at the start and ran wide in a somewhat hidden decent debut into the racing world........would have rated higher if we didn't get a rider change from a hot one to a win-less for the Hollywood meet one
1 Life Is A Stone not the best of trips in heavily bet MSW debut at GG.....ships in to try the big boys (girls).....with need a clever trip from what I think will be a difficult post today
race 6 slightly above average clarity
(if off the turf slightly below average clarity 7-4-1-3-6)
7 Folk Dancer last was the layoff gimme to drop and go go go this afternoon
1 Eye on the Prize loves to fire 2nd out after layoffs........2nd out after the layoff today and drops a notch in claiming price.......very dangerous
3 Bonita Star just claimed by Armstrong who has won 1st out with 3 of her last 4 claims........big step up but the works hint she has improved this filly
5 True Expectations consistent sort will need her best.....dangerous if she gives it
race 7 slightly above average clarity
6 Salah Champ horrendous trip in last which was his 1st run on the Hol AW and he still managed 2nd.....same effort/energy today and she can win this even with just an average trip
11 Trice Up wide trip in last close to a decent pace.......did well to stick around for 3rd.....should be in the hunt from the get go
10 Money Makin Sam might have needed last......if so he fits very well today at the lowest level he has ever encountered
5 Primed And Ready consistent sort has the perfect name for a horse that was just given an endurance building 6F drill.........most of his works over the past 6 months have been 4 furlongs
12 Judge Carr blinkers off and recent drills are good.....post was a good thing yesterday......takes that ever significant drop out of MSW racing
race 8 average clarity
2 Smash all 4 lifetime races on the AW are powerful......prolonged work series for this Baffert runner missing in action for 11 months are most impressive.....nice mid pack running style
1 Capital Account late runner can mop up here and sure would love yesterday's tiring surface
4 Smiling Tiger best at Hol.....best at 6F.......and is coming off a nice 3rd in the B C Sprint
5 Bank the Eight crushed foes in latest his 1st ever on the Hollywood Synthetic......fits just fine if takes a small logical move forward
race 9 slightly above average clarity
13 Bwanadada both lifetime MSW races are very strong for this bottom mc level......so it becomes a matter of healthy or not......my guess is 50/50 that he is in relative good health......should win if he is
8 Letthepartybegin drops out of MSW racing to the bottom makes plenty of sense as he only cost $3.5K at sale......slumping rider could use a win especially for his meal ticket who is Ron Ellis
1 Cajun Market improving with every start and trend is likely to continue as he just worked an impressive 4F especially considering today's level of racing
11 No Mistress had about 5 lengths of trip trouble and lost by 5........like the switch from a very low % jock to a apprentice who still gets a 7 lb alw...... and the horse is in for the 18K so that makes it 9 lbs. off here
6 Cotton Belle moved forward a lot in 2nd lifetime start.....will need the same kind of move forward again this afternoon
10 Hello Stormy both lifetime races on the AW aren't bad but he will need his very best this afternoon to take this.....outside post helps if the track remains like Saturday
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