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Hollywood for Thursday 13 December 2012

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Take note that there is a solid chance of rain so the selections with comments are for the main track. Turf picks without comments are given just in case the weather man gets it wrong and the races stay on the turf.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    slightly above average clarity

2  Manando   owns significant early speed......if Garcia can harness that speed this Baffert colt has a great shot at going wire to wire

4  Curly Top   nice debut in latest and it was in a route which is always a tall task to accomplish for any MSW 1st timer.......should be motoring late

3  Persuasive Paul   blocked in last or could have won his last (including beating our 2nd selection) his 1st ever at a route of  ground......nice reassuring 6F drill since.......good rider trainer/team

 

race 2    average clarity

6  Justification   Warren 3 year old gelding had a brutal trip in his mdn debut where getting beat by 8 1/2 was still impressive........and the gelding just worked and eye popping 4F gate drill since.....jockey upgrade......same horse / smoother trip should put him in the circle of joy

4  Fast And Hard   exited a slow heat in last but like our top selection he had a nasty journey......part of the bad trip was being blocked on the turn when he was full of run......solid work regiment since........trainer smartly steps up from mdn 20K to mdn 50K......a good sign this youngster is doing well

2  Wilsy's Wonder   Mullins 1st timer seemingly is working well enough to possibly be ready for his debut into the wonderful and sometimes wacky and sometimes painful world of thoroughbred racing

5  Rock Me Baby

 

race 3    average clarity on the main track   

(if the race stays on the turf   average clarity  1-8-2-3)

3   Oscillator   seems best on the AW (3 1 2 0) so having the race taken off of turf appears to be a major plus.....repeat of his last would make her a major factor once again

4   Suances Vixen   also seems best on the AW........good forward move in 2nd lifetime start last summer......so.....2nd out after the layoff seems like a good thing

8  Scary Ride   big step up this afternoon but deserves the challenge as he crushed foes but 9 lengths in her mc debut.......sharp drills since.....same or better likely this afternoon.....should be prominent from the get go

2  Missdang Sally

 

race 4    average clarity

6  There Is No Limit   3 for 4 at today's distance........2 for 3 on the Bhp AW........and a good history turf to main track surfaces.......grass affair in last.......main track today

4  The Gang and I   has been on the steady improve one small step at a time since early summer.......impressive 1:12 Flat drill at SA just 5 days ago........seems poised for very best

3  Carrie Rose   very consistent sort on synthetic surfaces especially in sprints.......and two of her best ever figs/efforts were on the Hollywood AW

 

race 5    average clarity   

(if the race stays on the turf   average clarity  3-6-8-1-5)

6  Stacy's Hope   strong win on the AW in latest putting in a strong stretch drive from far back despite a weak pace up front......and he did it on a rainy day on Nov 17th

1  Red Defense   3 for 5 on the AW and drops to 32K which was the level that his last win came from.......that bodes well for his chances in a race originally carded for the grass.........strong bullet 5/8ths drill just 6 days ago 

8  Blue Jay Attack   seemingly in good form right now and has shown he can handle the AW in the past

5  Red Jag  

3  Drift King

 

race 6    average clarity

3  Pride Of Silver   earned a good adjusted for trouble fig in latest when you consider today's lower level.......4 year old had a wide trip and ran off pace on a day that the rail and speed did quite well

5  Candy Waltz   last time this gelding ran on the AW (3 races back) he ran a powerful effort and it is disguised by a bad trip-a-roo.......very tough if he gets a cleaner trip today and displays the same effort he showed in that race 3 back

8  Kerichi   nice move forward in 2nd lifetime start and his 1st race with blinkers.......fits fine if he continues to move forward in his 3rd lifetime endeavor

4  Zuboff

 

race 7    average clarity   

( if the race stays on the turf   average clarity  3-1-8-4) 

8  Jules Journey   on the right end of the learning curve with few reasons not to believe his development can't continue this afternoon......seems equally as good turf or AW

1  Unusual Beam   another who seems to be developing steadily one small step at a time.....and.....gets the red hot Garrett Gomez who is at the top of his game

3  Slammer Time   on the upswing since Marty Jones took over the training duties .........does have a couple of back numbers that fit fine at today's level

4  Alley Hondro

 

race 8    average clarity

2  Megaride   consistent sort does his best running on the Hollywood synthetic and this will be his last chance to run on it's surface until spring.......so Knapp likely will pull out all stops to get a strong effort from the 4 year old today

3  Poker Dave   last 7 races (which are over a 3 year period) are better than par for today's $12,500 claiming level.......Bejarano knows this gelding well having been aboard for 7 of his last 8 races

7  Donato   likes the front end but tends to run a little wide.......wet Hol AW has mostly made for an outside track to some degree.......hmmmm

8  Low Gear Power

4  Full Effect

9  National

 

 

 

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Posted on December 13, 2012 at 6:52 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information