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Santa Anita for Thursday 31 January 2013

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Average card to start the new week of racing at SA. Take note that starting today you will often see more than 4 selections when I rate a race "below average clarity". Hope this will be helpful for those who like to "spread out" in the difficult legs of the rolling wagers. Should be sunny, firm, and fast all week. Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    slightly above average clarity

7  Bipartisan   drops out of a mdn50K (he was in for 40K taking the weight off) that for the level was loaded with talent down to mdn20K.......will be very tough here even if he is 85% of what he was 2 weeks ago........and why not drop as he has yet to earn much since he was claimed in Sept. for 40K

3  Swiss Emperor   very consistent running long on conventional dirt and his only 1 mile effort stands out as his lifetime best and might match up with our top pick

1  Monster Hit   might be feeling rather good as this colt runs back in the shortest interval between starts in his career.........seems to have improved running from off the pace.........will need a solid forward move today to handle the top two picks if they run their race

10  Spirit of Lindy  

 

race 2    slightly above average clarity

2  Roll Your Eyes    laid up for over two months since claimed by Canani but training up to snuff and takes a small drop in claiming'.........very good opportunity to get a nice stalk position behind our 2nd and 3rd selections   

4  Queen Mercury   best races are with 1 1/2 to 2 months between races and that is the case this afternoon........can be in the hunt from the get go........Bejarano knows this filly well.......

5  Quick Wampun   3 for 4 when on the lead and might get it here.......trainer Glatt is off to a nice start at the new meeting 

 

race 3    average clarity

5  Marcyjane    sure like this Jones runner fresh as she ran her most impressive lifetime race in her MSW debut which was on the SA hill and it is somewhat hidden by a poor trip.......she ran quite a bit better than par when you adjust for trouble.......significant jock upgrade for today

2  Sidepocket Run   in general Don Warren is weak with 1st timers but not when they start their careers on the grass.......1st timer has good looking works and the works are tightly spaced.........unusually a good sign of a fit and healthy 1st timer

7  My Cinsation   Bonde 1st timer finished her work regiment with a flourish with her last 3 works being awfully good......Bonde has won with 2 of his last 7 turf 1sters and Maldonado is one of his top go to guys

9  Lethal Miss  

 

race 4    below average clarity

4  Sister Esperanza   disappointed as favorite 1st time in maiden claiming in latest.....but......big move forward in 2nd career start......so still seems dangerous 2nd time out after the extended 9 month layoff.......one maiden  claiming notch lower doesn't hurt either

1  Samurai Jess   decent recent works to finish off work regiment for this O'Neill 1st timer......might be ready to roll at 1st asking..........seems like a good spot for a 1st timer with some ability

2  Too Five N' Ten   on the improve with every start.........cut back from 6 1/2 to 6 furlongs appears to be a plus........reassuring decent couple of drills since her latest

10  Psalm Sixteen   (6, 7, & 10 all look the same - dangerous dropping 2nd timers)

6  Rockin' Hard Gals

7  So pretty

 

 

race 5    average clarity

9  Valeria    believe out for air when the race was taken off the grass 6 days ago so that there would be plenty left in the tank for day's 6 1/2 furlong race down the hill.......this mare's race 3 back is very strong and it was hidden by a poor trip.........Kubinova rode that day in the 6F turf affair at Hol.......Gomez is up today........how many lengths is the change in riders worth in a sprint grass race? 

4  Miss Lady Ellen   career best was the only time this 5 year old ran down the majestic SA hill grass course........repeat of that effort in late Oct fits solidly here both in pace and final time

7  Horsesanddivorces   1 win and 1 very close 2nd in two lifetime grass races both at 6F at Hollywood.......sharp work tab hints she is doing very well and appreciates ample time between her starts.........retains Talamo who is a one of the better riders in races down the hill

5  Allura

 

race 6    average clarity

1  Appealing Tale   on the right end of the learning curve......proven significant early gas.........and stout speed rider and speed trainer in Malonado/Miller.......should be on or near the lead from the get go as the controlling speed in the race

5  Super Ninety Nine     Baffert trainee tossed a clunker in latest......previous two lifetime races were very strong........work tab hints at a major league rebound this afternoon

6  Code West   like our 2nd choice this Baffert runner also fell off significantly in his last.........rebound to his run 2 back would put him in the mix for a trip to the circle of joy

3  Counting Days

 

race 7    average clarity

4  Causeithertz   highly likely to get the wood on the first turn and get an advantageous ground saving stalk position behind a suspect leader in our 4th pick......such a deal.......especially with Bejarano up and the turf rail 30 feet out

3  Royal F J   also likely to save some ground sitting about 3rd or 4th and looking to ponce in the stretch drive

7  Money Talker   late runner might be "lack of pace compromised" but he has the best off pace rider in the Country (at least right now) in Garrett Gomez on his back......what a show he put on from far off of the pace in both 300K State-bred Stakes on Sunday

1  Innocent Man

 

race 8    slightly below average clarity

12  Danish Dawn   good looking a.m. work for this O'Neill mc 1ster..........last 4 of 5 drills our out of the gate........that strongly hints she is well meant in her debut into the wonderful world of thoroughbred racing

6  Gift Receipt    owns the best early speed of those that have run a race........consistently trains well which hints that she might get very brave if she manages to get loose and lonely on the front.......might not like dirt in her face

2  Spring Sarah   only race was back in May and it was a fast heat of MSW runners.......in the race she broke very poorly and the showed she can run some.........working like she is ready fresh once again......will be in this if she is and gets a better trip-a-rooo-bee-dooo-beee-do 

4  Appalachee Song

8  Half Moon Gambler

7  Awesome Courage


 

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Posted on January 31, 2013 at 7:31 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information