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Del Mar for Friday 19 July 2013


Rather difficult card today. But we have been on a roll the last 4 cards so hopefully I am underestimating today's late afternoon card. 

Best of luck as always!



race 1    below average clarity

5  Meltarib   2 for 5 at 1 mile on the grass........0 for 6 at other distances on the grass......identical work pattern leading up to a par like effort 2 races back.....2nd in that race at the same level as today with a somewhat wide trip.......better trip could turn that 2nd into a 1st this afternoon

4  Toomanytomatoes   usually runs well when she is able to sit fairly close to the front end of things and that looks like the case here in this race void of much early speed.....and back to Bejarano who has a good history with this filly

7  Camelia Rose  SCRATCHED    long overdue drop for this mare who has been win-less since arriving in the good old U S of A early in 2012......she ought to fit here if her good health has remained intact

6  My Pianist


race 2    average clarity

4  Luz Atticus    1 for 1 at beautiful Del Mar and has run well in all 3 lifetime 6F races.......big effort in latest both pace wise and final time wise.....repeat of the effort is questionable but even 85% of the effort might do the trick here

2  Manewal    believe Cody Autrey is realizing S Cal racing is tougher than he thought and he is starting to run his stock quite low where their chances of hitting pay dirt are greatly enhanced.......also a $33K purse for this low of a racing level is a major incentive to drop

6  Space Runner    done little wrong in all 4 lifetime starts and has steadily moved up the class level......steps up quite a bit here but these kind often rise to the occasion with a good effort......and Vann Belvoir is fairly stout 1st off of a claim and with shippers

5  Money Cannon


race 3    average clarity

8  Field Report   helllooooo shaggy green carpet......very strong (2 to 3L better than par when you adjust for pace and position) 1st ever on the sod in latest.......and the cut back of one furlong appears to be a plus

1  G'night   good post for this consistent late runner who seemingly gets enough early gas in the field so he can strut his stuff in the late stages of the race

6  Cammazes   kind of dull works for this laid up runner but works aren't everything.......opened up a 6L lead in a 5F turf race at AP and won for fun in a race run off of a layoff.......seems dangerous

4  My Slew


race 4    slightly below average clarity

6  Hard Burns   seemingly drops significantly to pay some bills as this Yakteen filly has hardly earned her keep in 1 2/3rds years of racing.....1st ever on the AW but bred just fine to handle it

7  K J's Mischief   decent shot this O'Neill filly can snatch the front end here and at a reasonable pace......and speed did well yesterday 

1  John's War   sure appears to yours truly as if both grass races were gimme's to leg up as only the turf can do sometimes and go go go today in this bottom level claimer on the synthetic at at a nice price

5  Proud Buck


race 5    slightly below average clarity

2  Hot Bride   Baffert 1st timer finished with 4 straight gate works which hints he means bizz in this babies mc debut......and her early works hint she has early speed and the looks like a big plus here

5  Water Issues   decent mc debut last and improved works since..........seems very likely to move in the right direction in today's 2nd lifetime start

6  Yodelmesomemagic   SCRATCHED   2 of 4 lifetime races fit fine for today's level.......her last and her debut 4 races back.........what do we get this this afternoon?

8  Beth's My Babe


race 6    average clarity

7  Surfcup   3 for 3 on the sod and fig/effort wise he sure is a strong fit here especially versus those who have already shown what they've got on the grass

10  Rookie Sensation   big awakening 1st time with the blinkers on in 2nd lifetime start.......solid adjusted for trouble fig fits......and mom has tossed 5 grass winners from 7 starters......highly likely to like the sod as much or more than he likes the AW

1  Brother Pete   seems likely to get a nice ground saving stalk position for most of the race which was the route to victory that he took in his winning his latest 

3  Little Jerry


race 7    slightly above average clarity

1  Sprouts   most definitely on the right end of the learning curve.......powerful last winning (1st time on Lasix) despite being caught 3 wide pressing a solid pace.....reassuring drill since.....same or better likely today and with a better trip

4  Eddies Curl   4 different points of trouble (about 9L of total trip adjustment by my book) in this fillies mc debut and she still only was beaten by one length.......dangerous price shot if she learned from the effort and settles down

6  Harlington's Rose   improved early speed in last lead to a maiden breaking gate to wire win......might snatch the front end once again today.... and..... speed had a good day yesterday

8  Smoove It   SCRATCHED


race 8    slightly below average clarity

10  Business Section   SCRATCHED spaced work series seemingly has this Hollendorfer 1ster all wound up and ready to roll......and the trainer has a terrific record with 1st timers starting for a tag

12  Tenkiller Kid    very impressive wide trip big adjusted for trouble figs/efforts in last two races.........claimed by Carava who steps this gelding up a level......that seems like a good sign this runner remains in relatively good health.......sure is do a better rider to get the job done

2  Brannaman   has burned up a lot of cash in his 9 race career but his last is better than appears in print.........efforts fit at the mdn40K level and ironically he might go off at a bit of a price this evening

11  Raise Ten

7  Spotted Owl

4  Major Affair




Posted on July 19, 2013 at 10:54 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information