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Santa Anita for Friday 31 January 2014

Like yesterday today's race card seems like an average card at best.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    slightly below average clarity

4  Second Time   believe last was a prep off of the long hiatus from racing........and if it was......... this new shooter for Cerin will be very tough here if she can handle the stress of running back in 13 days following a 14 month layoff

3  Lethal Miss    lone true deep closer in the field might get enough heat up front here to flatter her late run.........a la last man (gal) standing

8  Miss Judged      obvious turf tightener in last..........blinkers back on and both lifetime dirt races around two turns with the blinkers on fit decently in this spot

7  Secret Memo

 

race 2    slightly above average clarity

7  Sri's Red   1st time Carla Gaines and she has this MSW drop down training as if she is ready to roll fresh off of the bench......when last seen in August this filly showed solid early speed on the turf and ran a final time fig that is a fit here.......dirt pedigree is decent 

6  Silk in Silver   very strong mc debut 2 back on the Bhp AW........fell off in 2nd lifetime start on the conventional dirt that SA has to offer.......was it the "dirt" that caused the regression or possibly the short rest off of a rigorous surprisingly good debut........we shall see

4  Truly Beautiful   not the best of trips in last three races......that hides a Jones runner with some ability........trainer is getting the job done at a much higher rate these days than he was during the time period of those 3 races........so it seems logical this filly might be up for her very best today.......if she is and finally gets a good trip she fits well

3  Exemplary

 

race 3    slightly above average clarity

2  Koukla   impressive MSW win at 1st asking sprinting on the Hollywood synthetic...........excellent endurance building work series since......seems very well prepared for her 1st at a route and 1st on the sod......bred oh so nice for both 

4  Sheza Smoke Show    three decent lifetime races in three starts.......graduated in her latest in a race down the majestic Santa Anita hill turf course........likely has a shot here if she takes to the 2 turns......pedigree for it is a question mark

3  Loan Savant   cold rider.........semi cold trainer.....but..........an improving filly who has trained awfully well since her last start.......rider/trainer seem due to snap out of their funk........might happen here

6  One More Wild Ride

 

race 4    average clarity

7  Topper's Ghost   in my notes I noted a distinct lack of betting action (8 to 1 in a 5 horse field) for this Sadler runner.......and now he drops this gelding significantly lower.......that suggests his last was a gimme and that it will be a full throttle go go go go this afternoon

5  Judge Carr   just claimed by Dominquez and the trainer seems to have found a good spot for his newbie who seems to be in good form these days......even though he is win-less at 7F some of his best races fig/effort wise have come at 7F........and.........despite lacking a win he has been very consistent at the distance with a record of (5 0 3 2)

2  Change of Plan   seems likely to get a nice ground saving position on or near the lead.......and I like the change in apprentice riders to the most accomplished app. on the grounds........7F seems within his reach and he does like the SA dirt (3 2 0 0)

3  Too Fast Too Pass

 

race 5    slightly below average clarity

4  Gospel Music   solid MSW debut at GG on the AW.......private purchase since the race.......1st on the grass but the sod will likely be the preferred surface for this four-year-old.........mom won a couple of times on the SA hill and mom also has tossed 3 turf winner from her other 3 starters......that'll do

8  Mr Lemon Tree   2 of his 3 lifetime grass races fit well here and he will in all likelihood welcome a return to it after apparently disliking conventional dirt in his last......good supporting cast as both the trainer and rider are winning at 23% at the meeting

6  Pressure Time    both lifetime races fit fairly well here and his debut is disguised by a trip in which he was blocked on the turn and the stretch in a race on the sod sprinting at Hollywood......had a shot to graduate at 1st asking if he had found a seem to bust thru

7  Tizapalooza   9  Charbroiled   (tie for 4th)   two very dangerous looking 1st timers

 

race 6    slightly below average clarity

7  Mary Contrary   vastly improved filly since Herbert Ho claimed last October for only $2.5K.......been running ridiculously over her head in last two endeavors........back to 8K where she fits well if she has held form

1  No Tricks For Jack   claimed for 16K two races back and in for 8K today.......hate these kind that almost always amount to a coin toss for me........bit of a larcenous coin here though as I am leaning 60/40 that this mare is still healthy enough to compete for 8K

3  Ralphy Girl   lone speed here and Maldonado has fit this five-year-old mare well in the past..........would have been 2nd choice if this race was 6 1/2F.........would have been top choice if this race was 6F or less.........get the picture

4  Lia Juliana

 

race 7    average clarity

8  Remiss   Aussie bred grass cutter has done little wrong in 5 lifetime races 4 of which were in New Zealand.......1st in the U S of A was solid and her trainer Dan Blacker is so much more dangerous 2nd out after layoffs which is the case today

7  Ultrasonic   Baffert is 8 for his last 18 2nd out after he takes over the training duties for a given horse.......and this GB mare's 1st under his care is quite good.......five-year-old faced better in her last and she was only beaten by a dimishing 2 3/4 lengths at the wire

9  Kinz Funky Monkey   will be tough from gate to wire if the 11 horse (or some surprise) doesn't press the issue early.......if that occurs she has a shot to wire

10  Could Be Trouble

 

race 8    average clarity

3  Sooo Major   seems best at Santa Anita........gets a major league rider upgrade for today.......two sharp works since his last which fits when you adjust for trouble......and cut back of 1/2 furlong seems like a plus

4  Voluntary   switch to a more successful rider for today...........colt has started his career on a seesaw as in    dull race..........strong race...........dull race..........?????

2  Warren's Sallyized   useful mc debut and the trainer Craig Lewis is quite a bit more dangerous with 2nd time starters......rather sure this one moves forward today in his 2nd lifetime start

1  Polish Silver

5  Awesome T

6  Rambling House

 

 

 

 

 

Posted on January 31, 2014 at 9:33 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections