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Santa Anita for Friday 24 October 2014

Not the easiest of cards this afternoon but lately that has been a good thing. Let's call it a four on the one to ten scale.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

2  Faith Hope Love   seems well worked 1st out following the claim by Sadler and company........owns very good early speed in this spot and seems dangerous if she can shake free early

5  Warren's Cracker   best race of her career is her sprint effort 2 back at Dmr which was with 1st time blinkers off of 2 months rest.......only other career sprint race was at SA and it is better than appears in print........not to mention it was her career debut.........2 months rest today and Bejarano sticks around 

1  Patriotic Brother   bet hard in her debut and won like a good thing in a race run way back in May............off since but seems all wound up and ready to roll once again this afternoon........decent chance to stalk the lead today as she did to victory in her lone start

4  Princesskatiebella

 

race 2    slightly below average clarity

2  Mambo Man   seems likely to be able to get a decent stalk position behind the 3 and 4 horse who haven't shown much staying power........has been facing better but still needs a rebound of sorts

5  Greeley Awesome   decent run in last off of the 2 month break......back in very short rest.....small step up........hints this Spawr runner can out of his last in better shape than he usually does......danger city

6  Grandstand   his all weather races sure fit for the 32K level..........but.........his lone race on conventional dirt isn't too hot nor is his pedigree for it.........did work stellar on it last summer at LA including a 110:3 H.......mixed bag to say the least.......giving him a 50/50 shot to handle it

 

race 3    average clarity

1  Redshirt   impressive 1st at a route in last in her 2nd lifetime start.......broke a little tardy and made an impressive early too wide a move on the 2nd turn.......1st on conventional dirt but working on the SA surface as if it is to her liking......pedigree for "dirt" is very good.......had a bad trip in debut........Mike Smith's 3rd chance to get things right

6  Olivia's Greatdane   very game looking stretch run in MSW debut in and out of traffic from far back.......that maneuverability and her good route pedigree (and of course the conditioning by Mr Baffert) should likely make for a nice route runner.........we shall see

7  Dad's Princess   horrid trip in latest (a route Grade 1) which gave her no shot in the race so Smith eased up on her........sprint Grade 1 at Dmr two back is a very solid effort/fig wise for the MSW ranks..........jury is still out if she can handle the SA surface and a route but she will be very tough here if she does 

2  Conquest Superstep

 

race 4    average clarity

4  Go Black Tie   drop makes sense as Hess was willing to race him for $16K two races back and he sure faces much easier here up for $12.5K in a nw2 races........gelding seems to do his best when he can sit close up and he is highly likely to stalk or lead in this spot

7  Fonz   monster race (albeit on the AW) the only time this gelding ran a two turn affair on the main track.....and the effort is disguised as he was way too wide on a good (biased) rail day.......and he ran that race following a 6F run......6F in his last

2  Stolen Property   nice awakening in latest in a lowly mdn8K race at Fno but he won it by 8L in a solid time......ships back to the "big" track for today and seems to be decently spotted by Dan Blacker in this $12.5 nw2 affair

1  Take A Risk

 

race 5    average clarity

7  Aperfectdaytofly   definitely on the right end of the learning curve.........only needs to repeat his latest to be major player here......should be quite formidable if he manages to move forward once again

10  Smokey's Legacy   big race in latest and it is somewhat hidden by a bit of a tardy start and running 4 wide on the turn........away 4 eight weeks but draws the meets leading rider......1st on conventional dirt but owns a good pedigree for it

1  Couldashouldadid    Machowsky had a maiden claiming 1st time win over the weekend (went off at 8 to 1 as our 2nd choice) and he sure appears to have this three year old first timer wound up and ready to roll as well

2 Nevada Time

Long-shot consideration:   4  Fort Cady    races 2 and 3 back fit fine here and are disguised to some extent........strong work at SA prior to his last which was his 1st ever on conventional dirt.......tossed a clunker.........drops today........likely will go off too big a price next to give this Knapp runner another look

 

race 6    below average clarity

2  Lindante   tepid top choice seemingly has never worked better and his best effort to date was his lone effort down the SA hill grass course...........and it was his MSW debut

1  Monsieur Power   turf sprinter in Ireland.......not too hot in two USA races but both were one mile grass races..........6 1/2 furlongs down the hill today for Gallagher and company

5  Snuggley Bear   very consistent sort on multiple surfaces including the SA hill grass course........but he sure needs to overcome a tendency to hang in the stretch (12 0 6 2)......top gun up enhances his chances of breaking the disappointing hanging habit

3  Act 

 

race 7    average clarity

5  Songforjohnmichael   both lifetime wins and significant efforts came turf to dirt.........last at one mile on the SA dirt fits solidly at today's higher level.......but.......he will need to produce off of a dirt race this time around........obviously I'm thinking he will 

3  Valley Cat    this 1 1/4 mile race seemingly sets up for a late runner and that surely is what this 7 year old gelding is........top gun Bejarno likely will bide his time and let him run in the late stages

7  Wanstead Gardens    another late runner but with fewer credentials than our 2nd selection.......but he is 1st time under Sadler's care and is bred to run all day long

6  Death Star

 

race 8    average clarity

8  Jet Trick   should finish up well today cutting back from a route to a 6F sprint...........nice reassuring bullet 3F drill since his last......seems likely to be in the hunt from the get go

7  Bodie Bojangles    D'Amato 1ster finished up his work regiment as though he is sharpening when it counts the most........as in right before his maiden debut........and I doubt this is a tune-up as he is  available for $30K today and was purchased just 3 months ago for $50K 

3  Aaron's Thunder   last which run on 22 August was decent and disguised by a bad trip.......returns as a first time gelding which usually moves a horse forward.......better trip today + improved horse (gelding) = trip to the circle of joy

9  Commander King

1  Lucky Shoes to Win

11  Arigato

Posted on October 24, 2014 at 8:47 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections