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Del Mar for Thursday 23 November 2017

Happy Thanksgiving!

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

3  November Tale   running lines for this three-year old filly our screaming out for a marathon like today's 11 furlongs of sod....and she owns a pedigree that also suggests the longer the better......believe she fires lifetime best today

4  Shazara   solid finishes in her 10 furlong grass races.....and her latest is much better than appears in print as she started poorly and ran way too wide.....earned an adjusted for trouble fig about 4 of 5L better than par for today's racing level

1  Scandal

2  You're A Goat

 

race 2    average clarity

5  Krissys Manicure   last is very strong and if she is up for similar at today's lower MC level she should take down this race.....but.....I am a touch leery that she drops a couple of levels following such a strong race

7  Sauce On Side   trainer is never afraid to lose a horse to win a race......so the drop out of MSW doesn't bother me much especially here as she only went for $22K in April

2  Line Drive

3  Condi

 

race 3    average clarity

1  Holiday Stone   seems best with a target to run at so I like that George Weaver takes the blinkers off to slow him down some early on........that and he should be primed for a good effort 2nd out after a layoff and with a recent 4F bullet drill

8  A Red Tie Day   4 for 6 at today's distance on the sod (2 for 11 at other turf distances) and gets the right rider to overcome the outer-most post in Corey Nakatani.......good rider/trainer combo to boot

2  Caribou Club

4  Kencumin

 

race 4    average clarity

6  Catfish Hunter   scratched from a MSW route turf race on Sunday where he had a shot at the winners circle for this softer spot where he has a big shot at the winners circle...... if of course he has remained the same physically speaking

7  Sea's Journey   another taking the plunge from MSW racing to maiden claiming.......away since February but Mike Puype is often at his most dangerous with significant drop-downs off of layoffs....and trainer seems due

1  Insubornination

4  Quick Finish

 

race 5    average clarity

6  Peace   solid MSW debut in a race run at 6F at SA.......5 works put in since and the latest one is an eye-opening 6F in 1:11:3 at Dmr.......that and Richard Mandella is much more dangerous with 2nd time starters

4  Shivermetimbers   sprint-sprint-route scenario for this colt's 3rd lifetime start and both sprints are quite strong......and one extremely successful rider/trainer combo at the helm.....seems quite dangerous

8  He's Stylish

3  Longden

Long-shot consideration:   9  Point Guard   two very strong stats for Baltas:  sprint - sprint - route & blinkers off......two good stats for Baltas:  1st at a route & 1st time gelding.....add to the impressive array of stats 5 tightly spaced solid drills.....and ......you get one dangerous price shot

 

race 6    average clarity

7  Responsibleforlove   rather consistent grass runner both overseas in the USA......although she she has only 1 win from 5 outings since arriving from Italy....but that win was in her lone race on the Dmr turf and also at today's 11 furlongs

3  Evo Campo   a true marathon runner had her tune-up race on the GG AW and believe will be ready for what she needs as in 11 or 12 furlongs of turf......that and today's rider Bejarano is a perfect 4 for 4 on her when the grass is rated firm

5  La Manta Gris

2  Dynamic Mizzes K

Long-shot consideration:   6  Kiss Me Now   toss last as blinkers were tried out to no avail....they come off today....race two back is much better than appears in paper.......race 3 back at one furlong less than today is a fit and her best in 3 USA races......ran some big races in Argentina last winter......has the potential to compete in a big way here

 

race 7    average clarity

5  Royal Trump   difficult to beat Cerin (or Miller these days especially with a horse that fits well....two year old gelding should be in the picture from the get go and retains a good speed rider in Maldonado who knows him well

8  Royal Bar   might be a good claim by Sadler and company of an Ellis runner on the improve......Sadler is a solid 22% win 1st following a claim with his last 65.......and like our top choice this youngster should be in the hunt from the get go

9  Warrior's Lullaby

3  Neighborhood Bully

 

race 8    average clarity

9  Achira   never an easy task to get a given runner to run a solid two turn grass race in their MSW debut but Shirreffs did just that with this filly...... and he makes a rider upgrade for the 2nd start.....the trainer is solid with 2nd time starters and not to hot with 1st timers which is likely by design

3  Chalky   GB invader last raced on August 31st but is working for D'Amato as if she is ready to roll in her U S of A debut....she didn't race at major track in GB but she was very competitive

5  Prieta

7  Red Shelby

2  Queen of Troy

1  Golden Kitten

 

 

 

 

 

 

Posted on November 22, 2017 at 2:25 pm by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections