Santa Anita for Saturday 3 February 2018
We seem to have good cards both today and for Super Bowl Sunday. We shall see.
Because of the early post for the Super Bowl our selections will be posted no later than 8 a.m. pacific time on Sunday.
Best of luck as always!
race 1Â Â below average clarity
12 Slick Trick  difficult post to deal with but this filly ran an exceptionally strong turf sprint MSW debut.....she broke slowly and then ran quite wide.....adjusted for trouble fig was 4 1/2 lengths better than par.....bred extremely well for a turf route......3 reassuring works .....hard not seeing her tough if she doesn't get caught 4 wide or worse on the 1st turn
6 Super Good  owns good early turf speed and her best of two lifetime grass races (a 2nd and a 3rd) was her MSW debut......so......fresh off of a three-month layoff might be right up her alley
1 Cooperate  not sure if this invader from France is ready fitness wise off of her 3 month layoff but if she is she should fit in this spot well
4Â Heliocentricity
7Â Movie Moment
13 AEÂ Pacific Strike
2Â Heaven Escape
race 2Â Â average clarity
1 Curly's Rocket  handled today's one post quite nicely in his 2nd lifetime start dueling thru-out and just missed the winners circle by a nose......two sharp 4F drills since......back in short........another forward move seems likely
6 Core Beliefs  solid MSW debut for this Peter Eurton three-year old cold getting bumped 2 or 3 lengths early and showing plenty of life after that.......1st time on Lasix for his 2nd start......and..... with a sharp speed 4F drill since his 13 Jan debut......and thru the years Eurton is much more dangerous with 2nd time starters although not as much so of late
5 Once On Whiskey  prolonged work regiment for this Bob Baffert MSW 1st time starter (Bob also trains our top selection) and with both speed and endurance building works put in......dangerous sort
race 3Â Â above average clarity
1Â Roy HÂ Â not much until 2017 when he became something special ........and his last three of four 6F sprint races (and all at 6F) are "off the charts good".......and considering his trainer is Peter Miller it is highly likely that he will be up for another Grade 1 like big effort......and folks this is a Grade 2
3 Americanize  very solid sprinter who has never missed the board in eight dirt sprint races with 3 wins, 4 seconds and a third.....very nice sprinter in his own right but he will need his best ever and/or an off day from our top choice to take down this race
2 Bobby Abu Dhabi  SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE  just popped his lifetime best and the effort is definitely deserving of a shot in a Graded race.....and Peter Miller loves going 1-2 when he has two entered like he does here
race 4Â Â average clarity
7 Tweeting  believe this filly will be up to her effort run on 1 Oct which was run off of a 2 + month layoff.....that race was very strong and hidden by a wide trip.......good works and this time running off of 2 1/2 month layoff.......1st on the hill is a ? mark
1 Tizanillusion  needs ample time between starts and Sadler shows patience and gives it to his five-year old mare.....she is very consistent but does have a small tendency to hang with 2 wins and 7 2nd's in 12 turf races
4 A Little Bit Me  four-year old filly has a very good opportunity of sitting pretty in a ground saving one or two path trip stalking the lead.....dangerous sort from the (heating things up) O'Neill barn
2Â Tink's Twirl
3Â Mongolian Shopper
8Â Salten Sapity
race 5Â Â average clarity
4 Lombo  MSW win in his last was impressive running 3 wide up of a solid pace and still managed to win going away.......back quick and yet was able to work a decent 4F.......Prat is up with Desormeaux electing to rider for his bro and Prat will likely go after the lead and try to wire the field
1 Ayacara  Desormeaux lands here on this colt who owns one strong route race/number in 4 route races and it was his only dirt route he ever ran at Santa Anita........very dangerous late runner
7 Peace  both races run at SA are weak figs despite running 1st and 2nd.......his race at Dmr is very strong and would likely win this race........tough call but definitely dangerous
5Â Shivermetimbers
2Â Pepe Tono
3Â Dark Vader
race 6Â Â average clarity
3 Mercer Island  layoff drop downs from the Miller barn are often deadly........and drop makes sense as this gelding only earned $6K for Miller and company last year........time to cut into the red ink
4 Southern Thunder  wide journey in his last hides a much improved race.......rider upgrade and a bullet work since his last......all systems go for a lifetime best for Mullins and company four-year old gelding
2 Reverend  solid layoff run and the effort is hidden by a slow start and a 3 wide trip.....somewhat of a suspicious drop but if he is OK and he handles his 1st ever around two turns he should be a major player as well
6Â Roosevelt
8Â Moonlight Blue
race 7Â Â above average clarity
5 Itsinthepost  last 7 races in G2 affairs have led to 4 wins and 2 2nd's and all with T C Baze in the saddle.....that and this six-year-old gelding is 5 for 14 on the SA turf and only 2 for 16 elsewhere.......easy to make top selection
2 Free Rose  rider upgrade today and Talamo won on this Baltas five-year old the only time he rode him......should be prominent from the opening bell.......gelding has a good history running off of relatively short rest.......28 days since his last qualifies for that
6 Flamboyant  another who performs best on the Santa Anita turf........ran 2nd in a G2 4 weeks ago at Santa Anita.......and.....the a.m. preparatory work is subtlety better this time out than it was prior to his last......good jock on a late runner in Van Dyke
4Â Isotherm
1 Prince of Arabia SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE
race 8Â Â average clarity
3 Accelerate  very consistent sort and he has fired 3 very solid Graded races since the blinkers were added 4 races back......this appears to be the softest group he has to deal with in very long time......should be tough
9 Top of the Game  loves the SA dirt as he is 4 for 4 on it and 0 for 10 everywhere else....that and the 9 furlong distance appears to fit him well.....dangerous sort especially with regular rider Desormeaux sticking around
2 Mubtaahij  Baffert six-year-old is a rather inconsistent sort but if he brings his "A game" (especially at a distance that seems to suit him) he has a shot in this spot
5Â The Lieutenant
1Â Pavel
7Â Irish Freedom
race 9Â Â average clarity
8 Beau Square  decent works prior to his latest led to an OK effort on the hill.......that race was run off of a 7 week break.......works since the race are much more impressive........better in shorter rest.........rather sure she runs better than an OK race today
1 Gone to Town  took to the SA hill in a big way as she graduated in style by 4 widening lengths at the wire.......might feel awfully good for Palma to wheel her back in 19 days for today's race.......seems like a major player
5 Gotham Desire  nice win in her last overcoming a tough trip with 1st time blinkers and 1st time on the turf (and it was on the hill).......3 reassuring drills since.....not out of the win picture here by any means
10Â Del Mar Ann
7Â Sturdy One
11Â Bowie