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Santa Anita for Monday 19 February 2018

Like yesterday the card seems decent and playable.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

7  Morning Dance   on the improve seemingly with every race and the last forward move is hidden by a bad trip.......blinkers off for today and that is one of Phil D'Amato's better trainer stats........sure appears to be the one to overcome if the positive trend continues

1  Lady Mamba   very dangerous early speed and with a rider in Mike Smith who is dynamite on the lead in turf routes.....and it sure appears as though this filly will be able to shake free and get loose

5  Dhafeera   filly is exiting a key race in Ireland on Dec. 8th vs. the boys where she finished 2nd......1st and 3rd came back to win their next start1st time on Lasix and draws a top echelon grass rider in Nakatani.......not out of the win picture by any means

6  Radish

4  Deccan Queen

 

race 2    average clarity

1  Zap Again   when Baffert drops a nice horse way down he wants to win and lose a given horse and most turn out to be very bad claims........but so far that is not the case for Treece and company as the two races run since Treece claimed are as good as they were for Baffert.......and.......the 2 drills since this colt's last hint his relative good health has remained intact

4  Pampers n' Boots   four-year ran an adjusted for trouble Santucci fig that is a couple of lengths better than par in the 15 January version of this 25K nw2 race.....and today he gets a significant rider upgrade

2  Stone Hands   somewhat suspicious drop but if this colt is still doing OK he has as good a shot as anyone of taking down this race

 

race 3    average clarity

3  Tiki Bar Logic   lookout if this filly is up to her a game as she owns 3 lifetime races that would make her extremely tough to overcome in this spot.....two of those stout races came loose on the lead in routes......she sure looks loose today.....such  deal

1  Quiet No More   likely needed her last and drops to lowest level of her career......and back to Bejarano for the 1st time in five races and that seems significant as he is (5 1 2 1) on her and everyone else is (5 0 0 0).......hmmm

4  Little Nati    filly won her lone lifetime dirt route with a drop down in class .......that win was run following a funky wide race albeit a turf race.......Garcia filly was all alone in her last yet wide.......and wide on a rail bias......hmmm (again)

 

race 4    below average clarity

7  Peach Cove   six year old mare is fairly consistent and her trainer is often at his best 2nd out following a claim......that is the case today for this new addition to the Jacobson barn.......good rider/trainer team to boot

4  Little Bit Lovely   another grass mare that is consistent......and seems to appreciate running off of short rest......17 days since her last qualifies for that

6  Award it   nicely improved since Bill McClean claimed......needs some help up front and if she gets a decent set of fractions she might be able to get up in time from far back

2  Revenue Virginius

8  Miss Boom Boom

 

race 5    average clarity

5  Shifty Dancer    here is the comment for our 2nd pick (a $34.00 winner) in the 4th race on Friday, "Hector Palma had a couple of winning MC 1st time starters last fall that had the same kind of work regiment (that doesn't draw attention) as this filly.......as in OK or decent works but not flashy ones......and copious works.......same scenario today

3  Ministertomyheart   solid forward move in his 2nd lifetime race which was run off of a prolonged layoff.......the effort is better than it appears in print as this colt broke slowly and then ran a bit wide on a day the rail was somewhat biased.....better trip today might put him in the winners circle

2  Moon Juice   very similar trip to our 2nd choice in the same 26 January race........hot rider and he best be up for some more magic as the extra 1/2 furlong seems detrimental to this three old.....as in it will be tough to hold him together........not impossible but easy to make 3rd pick

6  Catability

 

race 6    average clarity

7  Willy Tell Him   very strong works for a Miyadi 1ster as the trainer doesn't push them too hard in the a.m......finished up his prolonged work tab with back to back impressive gate works.......the last one a bullet 3F gate work hints this colt has early speed......mom has tossed 4 winners from 5 starters two of which were Stakes winners.....rather sure he is meant and ready

3  Yes I'm Ready   low % trainer these days but not "1st time in MC"........two slower horses inside of him so Elliot should be able to grab the rail in ground saving close up position......cut back of 1/2F appears to be a plus.......such a deal

4  Rustic Canyon   dueled in solid pace with the 5 horse in his latest and faded for a distance 2nd......but maybe the 5 horse will have less speed today because the blinkers are coming off.....that and the cut back of one furlong appears beneficial to this guy

2  Lucky Sun

 

race 7    above average clarity

5  One Fast Board   three-year old filly has done little wrong in 6 lifetime starts three of which were on the grass and all at today's one mile turf distance........she might be up to her lifetime best as her a.m. prowess has never been better.......we shall see about 3:30 pm

1  Pulpit Rider   stepped on the turf for the 1st time in her latest and ran her lifetime best albeit in a turf sprint....and the strength of the race is hidden some.....slightly tardy start and then she was caught 3 wide and she still put in a strong stretch run......3 tightly spaced works since.....seems very prepared to handle the two turf turns

3  Mo See Cal   likely needs quite a bit more than her latest where she broke her MSW......but.......she has as good a shot as anyone to get loose on the lead and if she does she might get awfully brave come stretch time

7  X S Gold

2  Nice Ice

 

race 8    average clarity

4  Heck Yeah   Mike Smith jumps aboard this nice Baffert colt for the first who crushed his foes in both lifetime races one of which was a turf sprint and the other a dirt sprint.......two endurance building 6F works since the last of which is a best of 19 bullet work at SA........all systems go for his 1st at a route

6  Intimidate   both lifetime route races fit well in this spot.......Nakatani is up for the 1st time and that might indicate that this colt might attempt to take back some as Nakatani seldom sends hard early.....and this seems like a decent spot to lay off of the pace a little as the pace has a decent chance at being "hot"

5  Faversham   full brother to California Chrome ran a nice 2nd in a 6F sprint where I doubt the connections were overly concerned about winning.....they likely pointed to today's route Stakes all along........dangerous for sure with a brilliant pedigree to handle the dirt at SA which his brother loved

1  Violent Ridge

2  Hardboot

3  Lucky Romano

 

race 9    above average clarity

9  Skelton Pass   away for 50 days but wound up like a top hitting the track mostly every 4 days since the 13 of January.....and his latest work is 3 days ago.....sign of both a healthy six year old and an individual that is very well meant today.......(4 1 1 2) on the SA hill.........that and a very significant rider upgrade

2  Radio Silence   1st time running as a gelding and just what you want to see as in a strong work tab........that and after two turf routes since arriving in the U S of A he finally gets to run a sprint grass race which was his "thing" in Ireland........should be a major player

8  Moonlight Drive   might be a one and done type as you have to go back to the summer of 2016 to see a race where this gelding handled short rest.......but if he does handle it he might pay some big dividends 1st out following the Sadler claim

6  Mesut 

7  Home Run Kitten

4  El Tover

 

 

Posted on February 19, 2018 at 10:46 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections