Santa Anita for Friday 18 May 2018
Track played fair yesterday and it led to a nice day. Hope that it stays that way.Â
Best of luck as always!
race 1Â Â average clarity
3 Beautiful Becca  drop sure makes sense to yours truly as this Hollendorfer four-year old filly has only earned 4.7K since her last win on 1 Oct 2018.......time to cut the red ink and with the benefit of giving their filly a confidence builder
7 Peach Cove  3 for 6 at the one mile turf distance at Santa Anita for this mare......and she beat 5 of the 7 foes in this race in winning her latest.......Jacobson has finally gotten his act together on the west coast......hard not to like
5 Salsita  wide trip in her latest or she had a shot at beating our 2nd selection in her last.........better post for Asa Espinoza to deal with this go around....... and gets in very light with the 7 lbs app. alw and 2 lbs for entering for 22.5K......the 114 lbs should her fly in the late stages
4Â Proud 'n' Ready
1 Ryder's Starlight
race 2Â Â below average clarity
6 Mapit  owns the best early speed in the race and that was without the blinkers which go on the for the 1st time in her career........seems very dangerous as the dominating speed if Conner can be no worse than two wide on the 1st turn
4 Beautiful Princess  nicely improved since Callaghan took over the training duties two races back.......two nice turf races at GG......and this filly seems to own even a better pedigree for the dirt.....should have plenty of endurance when push comes to shove coming off of two grass races at longer distances
5 Princess Kendra  seems best at Santa Anita and also at today's one mile distance........last two wins came with today's rider Fuentes up.......trainer is dangerous sprint to route which is the case today
race 3Â Â average clarity
2 Travieza  very impressive move forward in her latest and the strength of the effort is disguised to some degree........rider upgrade for today especially for a turf race......that and her lone lifetime win was the only time Bejarano has been aboard......and it was at today's turf distance
3 G Q Covergirl  speed horse seems to have only the one horse to put away and she has won once without the lead......away since Oct but that might be a plus as she runs exceptionally well when 'fresh"
6 Beau Square  not much cookin 1st out following the Carava claim but her race 2 back for O'Neill is very strong and would make her tough here.......can Carava get that race out of her 22 days later.......we shall find out about 1:30 pacific time
1Â Tizanillusion
7Â Goseecal
race 4Â Â average clarity
3 Turing Machine  solid turf routes considering today's lower MC level and has run just fine in dirt sprints.....so.....first long on the dirt should be very doable.......trainer is stout turf to dirt (23% last 13) and running off of 46-90 day layoffs like today (25% last 32)
6 Wish You Were Mine  believe her latest was nothing more than a public work-out to tighten her up and be ready for her 1st in a maiden claimer following 3 races in the MSW ranks....another Hollendorfer drop that makes sense.....see top selection race one
7 Sweet Congrats  improving three-year old filly fits fine if she can run as well on the dirt as she has routing on the turf......pedigree says that she should
4Â Broome
race 5Â Â average clarity
2 My Man Chuckles  both races since Baltas took over the training of this gelding following the claim off of O'Neill are quite a bit better than par when you adjust for trip........those two races were down the hill......today he has one mile to deal with where he has failed to hit the board in 3 races......but Baltas is very good at getting grass horses to "extend" their range
4 Tough It Out  last two turf races which were both at today's distance were par like efforts for today's level......very formidable rider/trainer combo in Desormeaux and Cerin......hard not to like
7 El Tovar  loves the SA hill and has struggled some dealing with two turns of turf but his last one mile grass effort run last summer fits decently.......1st out following the claim and that is often a good thing in the Jacobson barn
9Â Lewis Vale
1Â Beaumarchais
race 6Â Â average clarity
4 Explorer  3 of the last 4 works for this Baffert 1st time starter are out of the gate....that is usually a sign of a well-meant 1st time starter for the USA's most formidable trainer ......and his three-year old colt is beautifully bred and very expensive
6 Calabasas  decent tightly spaced drills for this Blacker 1ster seemingly has this colt wound up and ready to unwind.......and Dan Blacker is a solid 18% with his last 45 MSW 1st timers
11 Julius  good expensive stock just keeps coming out of the Baffert barn maybe more than ever before.....and that is saying something........1st timer is training nicely and like our top choice from the Baffert barn is seemingly ready to strut his stuff
9Â Flagstaff
10Â Beneficent
race 7Â Â average clarity
5 Trapalanda  back to Bejarano who won on this O'Neill gelding 2 races back in the 8 March version of this race at 1/2 furlong furlong......and he appears as if one mile is a better fit........away since 1 April but working as if he is doing very well
4 Popular  not crazy about the blinkers on 8 days after a decent race and with no work put in since........but other than that this Vallejo runner fits well versus today's group
6 Plain Wrap  significantly better race in his latest than what he has been running and the strength of the effort is hidden by racing wide and checking in the stretch......bug boy Asa Espinoza is riding well in route races
7Â Jay Makes Us Laugh
race 8Â Â average clarity
4 Winning Element  nicely improved in his last which was his first out following the O'Neill claim.......trainer is firing on all cylinders of late so a repeat effort of his last (or even more) might be in the cards for this fellow
2 Hot American  impressive MC debut win at one difficult 9F turf distance for a three-year old versus older to debut at........4 reassuring works since.......good rider/trainer combo.......needs a forward move and seems likely to provide one
5 Taniko  five-year old gelding seems at his most dangerous with ample time between starts and the D'A patiently gives it to him.......believe Ocampo has been given a bone here and best take advantage of it if that is the case
1Â For Him
7Â Zippy Groom