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Del Mar for Saturday 20 July 2019

Nice card today and a decent one tomorrow.

Best of luck as always!


race 1    average clarity

1  Mongolian Empire   filly has run well fresh and her lifetime best and a solid fit in this spot was her only route race run on a fast track.......and the strength of race is hidden by a slightly tardy start and then racing a bit wide and  also getting blocked a couple of lengths

4  Dearborn   four year old runs well with ample time between starts and 50 days since her latest racing endeavor qualifies for that.......that and her a.m. work hints that her 1st ever on a fast rated dirt will be a good thing

6  Tequila Sunrise   runs well off of layoffs and that is the case today.......quite consistent on main track circuits (9 1 3 3) and I like the step up out of claiming and with a prolonged tightly spaced work regiment put in.......believe Richard Baltas has never had a better handle on his four year old filly


race 2    average clarity

4  Flagstaff   (4 2 1 1) overall in sprints and he produced his lifetime two best sprints the only two times he raced at 6 1/2F.........both races are better than par for today's higher level........five year continues to train like he has a bright future if he stays healthy

1  American Anthem   five year old owns a dynamite history at 7F (5 4 0 1) so it seems likely that his 1st to date at 6 1/2F will be a good fit........not out of the win picture for Baffert and friends if it is

2  American Pastime   seems to handle the Del Mar surface quite well including a 4th in the B C Sprint in 2017 vs. a very salty bunch.......good history when today's rider Desormeaux is small negative is that he does has something to prove racing as far as 6 1/2F


race 3    below average clarity

9  Collins Ave  SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE   plenty of speed signed up in this affair can sets things up for this East coast invader who comes from far back.......O'Neill is solid 1st following a claim and he entices top turf jock Flavien Prat to ride.....seems better in two turn turf races and did not get that racing at Belmont in his last three grass races

4  Loud Mouth   back to back stout works at GG preparing for today's race at Dmr......likes the AW at GG and owns a decent pedigree for the turf.......the combination of the two factors suggest he will handle his first to date on the his chances if he does take to the change in surfaces

3  Red Clem   very sharp races on the turf and AW since Steve Sherman took over the training duties of this three year old 6 races back.......that and I like the confidence Sherman (off to a very good start at the meeting) shows as he sees fit to step this gelding up a couple of claiming levels

2  First in Show

1  The Creep


race 4    above average clarity

1  Catalina Cruiser   both lifetime races run on the Dmr dirt are off the charts good and one of them was the 2018 version of this Grade 2 race where he absolutely dominated winning by 7 expanding lengths at the wire

5  Mongolian Groom   trainer Ganbat has done well getting this gelding to run peak races in two G1 attempts at SA where he ran 4th and 3rd in 10F affairs.......that and he seems better suited to a 9F race than a 10 furlong affair

6  Dr. Dorr  SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE  Baffert six year old seems best at SA but he did take 2nd behind our top choice in the 2018 version of this Grade 2........and he sure continues to train like a very happy healthy individual


race 5    above average clarity

8  Blue Moonrise   on the improve with each and every race for Baffert and company.......last racing endeavor is quite a bit better than par (and at today's 6 1/2F distance) and likely would win this.....and then you have the prospect that this filly moves forward again.......if of course she handles her 1st to date on the Dmr dirt

5  Miss Ava's Union   solid race in her MSW debut two back way back in December.......Rosario was up that day and he also is say ready fresh.......but she will likely need her best so far if our top selection runs the race she is capable of

3  Sunny Dale   cut back in distance is likely a plus and she gets in very light with the bug boy up and being only a three year old........might come roaring home late.....stranger things have happened

7  Karmically

1  Shocking


race 6    average clarity

3  S Y Sky   the epitome of consistency (13 7 5 1)and Van Dyke should get a nice ground saving trip for a good portion of the race sitting behind a lively pace..........hard not to like

4  Painting Corners   consistent sprint should be in the mix from the get go.......mare is to 2 for 3 with the blinkers on racing at 5F on the turf (and 1 for 1 blinkers on 5F turf at Dmr).......and Prat was up for the Del Mar race where she stopped to clock at 55:2 at the wire......that is fast

9  Gypsy Blu   seems best at 5F on the grass and the strength of the two 5F efforts is disguised by an average of 4.5 lengths of trip adjustment........that and she gets 8 lbs off today from what she carried in her latest

6  A Little Bit Me

8  Just Grazed Me


race 7    average clarity

6  Big Return   trainer Luis Mendez does well with very cheap purchases in two year old colt went for 70K which is much more pricey than most of his regiment indicates this colt is meant and ready for his debut.......we shall see if that is so about 5 pm pacific

3  One Fast Bro   overall trainer Shelbe Ruiz does well in MSW races and decently with MSW 1st time starters like this colt.........nice near bullet gate work just five days ago hint this colt is has tossed 3 winners from 4 starters and they were all Stakes winners.......dangerous sort

4  Side Street Dave  two year old colt has beaten 11 of the 15 foes that he has faced in two lifetime races........and today he gets quite the rider upgrade especially for a baby race.....good recent work tab.....seems poised for lifetime best today

7  Club Aspen


race 8    below average clarity

1  Keeper Ofthe Stars  tremendous final time in her latest which was her 1st ever on the grass......2 lbs off today as she shoots for the "big time" in her 1st in a Stakes race and a Grade 2 Stakes at that the connections go to Bejarano.........filly should be in the mix from the get go.....should be a big price

3  Mucho Unusual   2 for 2 on the grass and both races were at today's 8F distance.......and her past history hints that she really will respond to racing 2nd out following a layoff today....... stout turf jock in Rosario is up

8  Stillwater Cove   locals seem fairly weak so this might be a great spot for an east coast invader to strut her stuff.......Wesley Ward filly does well with ample time between races and gets it......dangerous sort

9  Maxim Rate

6  Over Emphasize


race 9    average clarity

5  Save the Story   exits a very fast MSW heat where her fig earned in her MSW debut is better than par despite running a 6 1/4L beaten fact her time was faster than the winner of the 2 yr old MSW race run on the same day.........and her a.m. work since hints she benefited from the race and will move forward today

6  Pure Xena   just bought for 390K 3 months ago so the connections pretty much got a good look at what they were getting.......solid a.m.........decent trainer with MSW 1ster's in Koriner

8  Tacocat  SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE  brother team Desormeaux have bee ice cold but might get some of their mojo back with this MSW 1st timer who appears meant and ready in her debut with some solid a.m. work

4  She's So Special

2  Hail On Hoofs


race 10    average clarity

10  Overdue   last three grass races all fit well pace runner gets a boat load of speed to flatter his late kick......difficult post but with all the speed in here Prat's job to get on over by turn one becomes very hot rider might give the D'A his 1st win at the meet

5  Battle of Memphis   shipper who has done all of his running east of the Mississippi sure has an excellent spot as the pace should play into his hands with his mid pack running style.......if of course he if meant and ready 1st time racing for would surmise that he is with the ship and win bonus at Dmr

2  Factorial   Richard Baltas is often at his best 3rd out after long layoffs and that is the case here with his five year old........with all the speed in here my guess is that Rosario will try to take this guy back some his chance more if he does and his mount doesn't fight him too much

4  Foray

6  Cajun Treasure




Posted on July 20, 2019 at 9:24 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections